Shorting a stock 140% is the market manipulation and should be criminal. Anything a large group does after some hedge fund pulls that stunt is fair game.
The sooner we prohibit these terrible exploitative practices (lending money with interest being the first to go), the better and stronger and more fair the economy will become. Unfortunately most people don't know, and they jump to things like "tax the rich" which has no meaning really.
So people might tell themselves they are doing a workaround, but it is not really valid from the point of view of the organized religious body.
No. Islam bans all these workarounds. What you describe is still a money for money exchange. Interestingly enough, Islam does not just ban interest, it has a concept of Riba, which includes interest/usury, but encompasses other transactions as well. What you describe falls squarely under Riba.
In general, you're correct. People invest their money, with the possibility of profit or loss. One reason interest is prohibited is that the lender is contractually obligated to a profit regardless of the outcome.
generally there are 2 types of loans,
1. Kharz Hasan (Loan of goodwill) given out to people/institutions without any collateral, sometimes even without a term limit. Its up to lender to decide if they want their money back or forgive the loan which then turns this loan into a "Sadqah" (charity).
2. Loan with a collateral: this is the standard loan where the two parties agree on a collateral and lend money based on that.
Neither of these above loans involve any kind of interest.
(My) Islamic Understanding of Mortgages: The risk profile is different compared to normal. Normally what happens is that institutions loan the amount of money and you buy the property and pay interest on the money. In the Muslim Model, the institutions BUY the property and you pay money. The money you pay goes partly towards buying the property and the partly towards paying "fees" to use the property that you don't completely own.
You can see why people would say things like, "oh, they are skirting the rules by changing the name from interest to fees". However, a "proper" implementation would put more burden on the banks in case of a crash.
Hope that clears up few things.
Check out what the Companions Ibn Abbas and Ibn Mas'oud said about such a transaction. It's still Riba (usurious) because the price of the house or asset is raised in exchange for postponing payment. It's only relatively recently with the heavy influence of Western banks that this "model" has gained some traction, but it remains a usurious transaction and many scholars have spoken against it.
It's weird to think that this entire piece of morality, which was taken seriously in the past, has just been erased from western culture.
The Catholic Church prohibited usury across Europe until the invention of the contractum trinius, allowing the economic revolution that powered the Renaissance and the transition to modernity.
As opposed to the Western world and its traditional decennial world-threatening financial crisis?
And the ever-widening gap between rich and poor?
And the gap between rich and poor is ever-shrinking, not widening, as poor countries develop by adopting modern technologies and institutions.
Look up Iraq during Umar II's rule, how there were no people left to take Zakat because there was a proper economic system.
Fix one mistake with another mistake? Plus, it's the other way around, interest rates cause more inflation (how else is the government going to pay its debts?). It's a cyclic phenomenon. Without interest, inflation would be a much less problem.
Secondly, freeing currencies from gold is another mistake because it allows the government to devalue its currency at will, we've see the chaos that comes out of it. Hopefully bitcoin and gang will fix that mistake, but we're already seeing the big banks not liking it because it will take away their power to control the people.
> We found that the Great Moderation promoted speculation in real estate, causing the GFC,
Which would have never happened if we were following proper economic laws which we've literally known about for over 1400 years. Mortages and selling debt for debt are both prohibited Islamically. We already know it's wrong, yet people keep engaging it it because a few rich and powerful will benefit at the expense of everyone else.
The solution is to go back to a sound economic system, not to anticipate the next crash because it's built in to how the modern system works.
The laws of millennia ago were appropriate for their time but would be hilariously ill matched to today's world. Look at Turkey to see where that takes you.
They work in tandem with the government obviously.
> Raising interest rates reduces the stock of viable projects thereby reducing lending and money creation, which halts inflation. This is trivial stuff.
Setting interest rates to 0 also heavily reduces lending because no one would be incentivized anymore to lend as they're not getting any benefit. This is why in Islam, lending is purely an act of charity since the lender can in no way shape or form be contractually owed any sort of benefit, monetary or otherwise.
This is proven to work up to even recent times before everyone was forced by the West to succumb to their dangerous economic practices. Claiming that these ideas are only suitable for millenia ago is outright false.
If you look at Iraq during the Ummayad dynasty (Umar II), there was a period of time when there were no poor people left to take charity (Zakat). Would be nice to see that again in "modern" financial economies.
I looked a little but couldn't find a longer article explaining it in more detail, but it should be easy enough to search out for interested parties.
Humans gunna human.
Why shouldn't someone be allowed to pay to borrow something, and then rent it out? How is that manipulative in and of itself?
It can easily go over 100% if the person you sell it to also lends it to someone to short (and they have no clue that the share they bought was involved a short, already).
Note - this is why it's possible to lose your shirt when you are shorting. Eventually you will need to return that stock you've sold, which means buying it at whatever the price is. So if it goes WAAAY up, you lose a lot of money. In contrast to buying a stock, where you can only lose your position.
What happens if you don't?
There's no way of making it comparable without making some kind of derivative contract against the deed to the property but then it's back to traditional shorting.
Tickets are sold at 100$. But the show is extremely popular, so the tickets are traded, and the price shoots up to 300$. You think the price is still going to go higher, so you buy a ticket for 300$. The price goes up to 400$, you sell the ticket, and you made 100$. (You were long, and the price went up - you made money.)
Now, the price goes to 5000$. You think, well, that's way too much - you're sure the price is coming down. So, what to do? Well, your friend Mike is going to go to the concert, he has a ticket, and he wants to keep it. He doesn't care what the price is, he's going to the concert. So, you say, listen, Mike, can I have the ticket for a week or so? I'll give it back before the concert. He says, sure, and hands you the ticket.
You go and sell the ticket for $5000. A week later the ticket price has come down to a more reasonable $4000. So, you go buy a ticket for $4000, and hand it back to Mike. You received $5000, spent $4000, and made $1000, because you were short, and the price went down.
That's the basic mechanic of short selling.
Now, assume the price is going up though. The price could go up to $100000. The date of the concert is coming closer. Mike wants his ticket back. Dang, you have to go out and buy the bloody ticket for $100000. You lost your shirt, because the price went up while you were short a ticket.
Ok, price is back at $5000. You think the price is going to fall, and want to short. You put an ad in the paper saying that you have a ticket to sell. Joe calls and wants to buy the ticket. However, Mike is out for lunch. You tell Joe to transfer the money, you'll mail him the ticket. When Mike comes back, you ask Mike to borrow the ticket. He might or might not give it to you - if he doesn't then you either have to buy it from someone else, or you're stiffing Joe.
That's a naked short.
Now, price is back at $5000. You want to go short, but big time this time around.
You're going to Mike and borrow the ticket, and to Steve and borrow his ticket, and all your 8 friends (MSetc), and borrow their tickets and sell them to Anna, Betsy, Charlotte, etc (ABC). Now you're short 8 tickets, you'll have to buy back 8 tickets later to give back to your friends (SMe).
However, your hedge fund buddy (HFB) also thinks the price is too high, and wants to sell. He goes to Anna, Betsy, Charlotte etc. and asks whether he could borrow their tickets. Well, why would they give him their tickets? Well, he'll give it back in time, and he'll throw in a 2$ borrow fee for every day he has the tickets borrowed. Sure, they say, and he goes out and sells those 8 tickets to Redditors.
However, turns out that it's an Indy band, and they had only sold 15 tickets in total, 8 to your friends, and 7 to random other people (ROP).
There's a net supply of 15 tix.
Your friends SMe have 0 tickets, have lent 8 tickets, so are long 8 tickets.
You have 0 tickets, have borrowed 8 tickets, so are short 8 tickets. (Replace "borrow 8" by "lent -8", if you want.)
ABC have 0 tickets, have lent 8 tickets, so are long 8 tickets.
HF buddy has 0 tickets, has borrowed 8 tickets, so is short 8 tickets.
Redditors have 8 tickets, haven't borrowed or lent, so are long 8 tickets.
All of the above have a total 8 tickets (Redditors) = 24 long position (SMe, ABC, Redditors) minus 16 short position (You, HFB).
Random other people have the remaining 7 tickets.
Total ticket supply = 15. Total long = 24+7 = 31. Total short = 16. And, 31-16 = 15 net.
This is how short interest (16) can exceed net supply (15).
If the price goes up 10$, the total price of the tickets (=market cap) goes up 150$. The longs win 310$, the shorts lose 160$.
If the price goes down 10$, the total price of the tickets (=market cap) drops 150$. The longs lose 310$, the shorts win 160$.
Ok. Penultimate step.
Now concert comes closer. You owe SME their 8 tickets, and HFBuddy owes ABC their 8 tickets. However, Redditors are not selling their tickets. So, you and HFBuddy go out to random other people (who have 7 tickets in total) and want to buy back 16 tickets! They might give it to you, but when they realise what's going on, they might want $20000 per ticket. Or more! You have to pay up, and what you need is more than what's available on the market!! They won't sell it! Price rises!
That's a short squeeze.
ROP, Redditors, ABC, SME get rich (31 long), and you and HFbuddy lose (16 tix). Hey, you wonder, how can so many people get rich, nearly twice as many as lose? Well, they don't really - remember, 15 people will go to the concert. They won't sell the ticket. They don't care about the price. There is a 15 net supply. Someone ends up with the ticket, with the concert. Not 31 get rich, but 16 get rich, and 16 lose. 15 end up holding the tickets, going to the concert (= being long term share holders.) They might still sell the ticket, then they might win or lose.
Ok. Now, final step.
The Redditors are a fine bunch. They won't sell, and they won't lend their tickets to evil shorters! They like the band, and they will prevail.
But you know, one of the ROP is not that keen on music, and when HFBuddy offers him $5100 for the ticket he bought for $5000, yeah, he sells it. HFBuddy loses a bit, but hey. He gives the borrowed ticket back to Anna, closing this short. So, now he asks her, "would you sell it back to me? $5100 dollars." She is not as keen as the Redditors, and sells it to him. HFBuddy loses a bit, but hey. He gives the ticket back to Betsy. So, now he asks her, "would you sell it back to me? $5100 dollars." .....
Ok, you see where this is going. After a while, he can give back the ticket to Henrietta, and he is out of the short position. Bought 1 Ticket from a ROP, and closed out all his short positions, by buying from the people he had just returned it to. HFBuddy is out of his short, with a bit of a loss.
So, Redditors have 8 tickets left, and they're HODLing, ROP have 6 (since one of them sold out) - and Henrietta has a ticket. You ask Henrietta whether she'd sell it. She does. You take that one ticket and give it to Steve, ask whether he'd sell it back to you. He does. You go to all the other friends MSe friends (except Mike), close out your shorts, and buy it back. Finally, you give the last ticket to Mike, closing out your entire short position.
Now, who has tickets? Mike 1, ROP 6, and Redditors 8. Together 15 tickets. You and HFBuddy are out of their short position, even though 6 ROP and all 8 Redditors held on to their tickets and their long position for dear life.
Price had gone up from 5000 to 5100, so both you and HFbuddy have lost 800 each on their short, total of 1600, (while ABC and MSE (minus Mike plus one ROP)) each made 100, being long, total of 1600.
Now the hype dies down. Nobody wants the tickets anymore, and now Mike, 6 ROP, and the 8 Redditors have to go to the concert.
The Redditors don't really want to go to the concert, they were in it for the LOLs. So now they're trying to sell. Couple of original MSE and ABC say, yeah, I'd be willing to see the band, but I'll only pay 100$ for the ticket.
Redditors lose their shirt, or go to see the concert.
(That's being long term share holder. :)
Not totally familiar with all this, just trying to understand.
Also subletting is not selling..
2) You can view renting as a sale -- the renter buying the utility of the space in exchange for a series of cash flows (but not paying for the economic upside/downside). Financial markets have the ability to separate components of assets (ex. voting vs non-voting shares) and value them; there's no reason to not do the same here.
In that structure a sublet is simply a rent on a rent.
Point taken on how subletting is not selling.
The former seems fine, and yah, I guess I do think that the latter should be illegal, because it only benefits some wealthy jerk who can afford to corner a market.
Can you explain this more? More efficient on what axes? How does that translate to societal benefits that aren't just on paper?
* When a firm decides whether to take on new projects, they look at the projected profit of that project, and compare to their cost of capital. Only projects whose profit exceeds the cost of capital should be executed.
* Stock prices influences a firm's cost of capital, eg when raising more money.
* Relative stock prices also influence, in mergers, say, who takes over whom.
* Via all these levers and more, stock prices help select which projects of all possible ventures are realised, and who manages them.
* All of this is aimed at funding those projects that produce the highest output relative to the resources dedicated to them.
* All of this only works if stock prices are a somewhat accurate reflection of the prospects of a firm; in other words, if the share price reflects the fundamental value of the firm.
* Short sellers (and long buyers) that analyse firms and trade when they perceive a discrepancy between share price and fundamental value can trade upon that insight, which will have two effects: a) it will tend to bring the share price closer to the fundamental value, and b) it will be profitable for the firms that are correct in their assessment.
That's basically the big picture story.
There's a lot of fun Matt Levine articles on Bloomberg about this dynamic.
Eg from https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-05-29/you-ca... (https://outline.com/atF74W):
> The thing about inflating your revenue by pretending that you sold more coffee than you did is that people can go to your stores and watch you sell coffee. It is a reasonable bet that they won’t do that, because it’s incredibly boring. “Who is going to send 1,500 people to our stores to watch us sell coffee all day, count how much we sell and compare it to our financial statements,” Luckin could reasonably have thought. But the answer was “short sellers”! They actually hired people to sit around watching the coffee get made, so they caught the fraud.
I also warmly recommend his "Everything is securities fraud" rant that follows this paragraph. (note: I know nothing about stock markets (or reddit or gamestop for that matter) so someone let me know if I'm just a noob eating up some slightly smarter noob's nonsense)
The GME heavily-shorted position specifically has directly led to significant manipulation on the parts of investment firms that are now endangered by the very positions they created. If the end game of the stock market is an unregulated free-for-all, then it can't be manipulated by definition and there's going to be short cycles of calm punctuated by terrifying chaos like 2008 and today; if people want to avoid that chaos, then they have to accept the regulation of chaos-causing behavior.