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Seeing how manual transmission cars from the mid aught's are demanding a massive premium (like 100%+ on 1,3, and 5-series), I could see in 2045 ICE cars demanding a premium. Manual ICE cars even more so. But that's assuming they aren't projected to be illegal/heavily taxed by then.

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Yep -- already they do, speaking as someone trying to find a manual BMW Wagon.

The supply is already gone and has been for a while. The other comment in this thread on ever-smarter (cloud connected) cars too means that the market for not-cloud-connected cars is going to continue to increase too.

My first car was a manual 316i wagon. There definitely wasn't a premium back then unless you compared it to a ratty Corolla.

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