That's fair. I don't even have a Twitter account myself (except back when the Nintendo Switch required a social account to export screenshots). But I am _viewing_ tweets my friends share on an almost daily basis as its become the media of choice for realtime news in my circles.
https://hntrending.com/domains/year/index.html
Seems to be the same for HN, though my guess is that Twitter's rise in HN exposure is due to the BLM protests, the Capitol incident, and Trump.
> How many such high-profile users would you need before Twitter's momentum completely stops? I argue that that number is very small.
Microsoft made that bet, and got Twitch's top 2 streamers on to their platform (Mixer), but it still died within a year.
There's a chicken-and-the-egg problem here. High-profile users have no financial incentive to move to a smaller platform. Maybe a platform that isn't as expensive as livestreaming, backed by someone as huge as Microsoft, could sign enough contracts to break the barrier of the network effect.
Another solution would be upending social media's toxic money-maker: blackbox algorithms for targeted ads. That'll give the decentralized Fediverse model a chance. We did see Gab fall under too much server strain, but it's essentially a centralized version of Mastodon.