What that means changes on the threat model, but for this scenario we'll say a hypothetical VPN provider in a different jurisdiction that takes Monero and has good OpSec.
The reason they can do the deanonymization attack on the Tor circuit is that they have basically unlimited resources to set up nodes, and Tor is built on the assumption that the nodes are all unrelated.
If a Tor session looks like:
User -> VPN -> Tor( A -> B -> C ) -> Market
then the government could have the advantage of owning both A and B, or any other combination. That is difficult (though not impossible) to do to a VPN that they do not have jurisdiction over.Anyone can set up a Tor node, but it's not possible to just randomly add nodes to a VPN's network, so they shouldn't be vulnerable to that (barring insecurity in other forms).
Plus, you can restrict what nodes are used. It's not like the public nodes are the only ones that exist.
Clearly I've got gaps in my understanding, any good resources you could point me towards to study up?
It'd also be helpful to first learn how routing works. Then check out different types of applications(Tor, AnoNet, ZeroNet, etc) and read up on how they implement their networks.
Also read up on how the people who ran the markets got caught (read up articles in addition to Wikipedia).
Be aware Wikipedia shouldn't be used as actual fact. Check the sources. Many editors misinterpret them, or don't even read them at all.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Internet_privacy
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Anonymity_networks
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Routing
Some keywords/concepts that may help:
I2P/Peer-to-peer/Friend-to-friend/
Onion routing
Garlic routing
Digital fingerprinting
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mix_network
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crowds_(anonymity_network)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ZeroNet
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anonymous_P2P
Tails/Whonix/QubeOS for system protection.
I'm not saying that this happened only that if you think that there is a global adversary that can break the Tor anonymity a VPN won't protect you.
[0] https://www.ohmygodel.com/publications/usersrouted-ccs13.pdf