How America Bankrupted its Cities [video]
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I also take exception to the use of the gestalt 'America' as if there were some central force orchestrating this phenomena - there isn't, just the same incentives that push developer's voices in city governments louder and louder.
These things start at the top - based on what the US govt decides or does not decide to regulate. With a lack of regulation, we all know the "free markets" reign to a point where they are no longer free and instead enhance divisions in society and further monopolies.
Amazon, Facebook, Google are too big. They've provided great benefits to society to date - but govt needs to step in and control them now.
So, these municipalities, acting independently and without coordination, and have arrived at the same state. Because they are all currently incentivized to.
The Strong Town books also discusses what happened with a lack of regulation throughout almost all of human history: everyone lived in rural areas to work a farm, or else lived and worked in dense urban areas. American suburbia happened in large part not due to a lack of regulation at the top, but federal money being spent on roads, highways and infrastructure at the top.
Agreed. This reductionist mindset bugs me to no end
Channeling the late comedian Mitch Hedberg: I used to do drugs. I still do, but I used to too.
- What if we waive impact fees so new construction doesn't pay for its impact on transportation and other services? Wow look at all that construction!
- Oh no, we don't have enough money to pay for increases to transportation and police and fire and libraries and schools!
- Try to pass increased property taxes on existing residents, who vote "No" because they always vote no on any tax increases.
The issue is that many people, like myself, want a say. I don’t mind paying more in taxes if the money is used well and I feel like I actually had a say in the process.
Also, Colorado is expecting one of the biggest economic and population booms in America, so people’s incomes are going up and thinks are looking pretty good. Try the same in states with stagnant economies and job markets, and even schools won’t get the votes for tax increases.
And the nuance of the statement, of course, is people won’t vote for tax increases for things that won’t benefit them. Roads benefit all car owners, so car owners don’t mind voting for roads. But taxes for public transportation won’t be voted in. And people will vote to increase taxes for their own school district. But not to help subsidize other cities’ schools.
In Boston we constantly complain about the state of our public transit system which has been in debt for decades. Being proximate to a train station has a 20-50% positive benefit to home prices. The transit system can't raise fairs as those punish lower income workers who most need it, and they are even prohibited from raising fairs at more than 2%/yr by state law. Why can't we tax the property owners (I am one) benefiting from proximity to the train stations? Why are we building stations with 100 year growth horizons if it means we only build 1 new station?
Decades of Republican propaganda have led the average right-of-center voter to believe that higher taxes, for any reason, are a) stealing their hard-earned money, and/or b) a socialist plot to turn America into either the USSR or Venezuela.
Major Boston examples include the Seaport District and Assembly Square.
Seaport: http://www.bostonplans.org/projects/development-projects/sea...
Assembly Square: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assembly_Square#Marketplace_hi...
So basically what I'm saying is... the POTUS doesn't need to do song and a dance in order for taxes to increase for people. For a lot of states, as long as the value of the property keeps increasing, the residents are paying more and more taxes every year. And if the income from your job doesn't increase at the same rate as your property taxes... it can put a lot of financial strain on you (my relatives in NY moved to a different state because the property taxes in Albany were eating them alive)
Example:
https://www.baltimoresun.com/business/real-estate/bs-bz-tax-...
> Why can't we tax the property owners (I am one) benefiting from proximity to the train stations?
don't you pay property tax based on the value of your home? if so, this is already happening.
Another point to consider is that most towns in Massachusetts seem to use replacement cost as the main method of appraisal versus potential income/value. Meaning, 2 families appraise for nearly the same as a single family when they are in reality worth 1.5-2x more in potential income via rent or selling.
This is the beautiful thing about prices - we let individuals decide what something is worth. Perhaps we don't need new taxes but just better assessors and planning.
Generally speaking, increased development will also require not just roads and transit, but investments in water, electric, sewer, schools, police, fire, etc. If you dedicate funding for one thing it takes away from something else, and you really don’t want to turn a general funds tax bill into dozens of line-items that get nitpicked and fought over constantly.
Which leads to comedy like this: https://twitter.com/nextdoorsv/status/1265719788875272192
At the local level, we see pretty regular tax increases here in the midwest. There's a lot of resistance to increases in federal and state-wide taxes largely because federal and state spending is really hard to directly connect to a benefit to the payer (i.e. home value increases, better commutes, a fun local park). On the other hand, a ballot initiative to fund an improvement in roads or sewers is pretty easy to get through.
Have you seen the Big Dig? Look at the size of the check we wrote for that one. Now look at the kind of houses all the people who got to work on that project (whether in the office or in the field) in their mid and late careers (when you can make real money rather than be schlepping supplies around a job site for a "you haven't put in your time yet" size check) are living in.
Waste like that is why nobody wants to increase taxes. Pretty much anything more than the bare minimum seems to just slowly evaporate. The money goes poof before it trickles down into programs, infrastructure and services that actually provide benefit to the taxpayer. People would rather ride on a crappy T and pay marginally less tax than pay more tax to ride on a crappy T that has a handful more spots in the org chart for politicians to fill with people who won't show up.
Look at the semi-annual (well, let's be fair and give them credit, it's more like 3yr) state police "fraudulent overtime" scandal. It goes way, way back. Remember when the Probation Department got caught paying salaries to political appointees who didn't show up and didn't have any job duties? Remember when there was that enforcement/compliance arm of the Dept. of Elder Affairs that didn't actually exist like it was supposed to because the money was redirected to pay for more (politically appointed) middle managers who just forwarded emails all day? This is what "raising taxes" looks like in Massachusetts. For every $10 spent you'll be lucky to have a buck actually be used to run a bus, patch a pothole pay for healthcare, etc. etc. It's no surprise that people don't wanna pay for that.
People will pay for public services. Nobody really cares whether the garbage truck driver gets his pay stub on private letterhead or government letterhead. Nobody really cares whether they have public or private EMT services so long as they show up with equal promptness. What people won't pay for is public leeches and Massachusetts has done a very good job cultivating the perception that you can't buy one of the former without getting ten of the latter in the deal. No surprise that people don't wanna take that deal.
Could efficiency improve? Yes! But note that waste was private companies padding out the contract not government employees. People want to outsource government functions, blame government when that fails, and use it to justify increased outsourcing. Clearly there is a failure in that logical reasoning.
I have no references to back this theory up, but I feel like this is where most of the waste happens.
[Gov spend public money] -> [pay private company]
The government isn't incentivized to get the best deal for our money which results in overpaying or just flat out corruption. eg. I'll overpay my friend's company and they will kick me back some money for choosing their contract.
Is it that wrong that the people who ran one of the largest infrastructure programs in the US live in nice homes? The project was horrendously over budget and late, but it did do what proponents wanted it to do. Private firms taking over the commuter rail like Keolis don't seem to be achieving any quality or cost benefits.
We may be in a strange situation where fundamentally underpaid workers find ways to game the system to make about what they could in the private sector, would higher wages help eliminate the "wasteful" practices?
The Red Line was going to extend out to Arlington and then 128... but Arlington blocked it. You'll see several rationales listed, but the big one was racism: Arlington (now a liberal bastion like Cambridge) was afraid that "those people" would come to their town.
What Massachusetts needs is a coherent state-wide plan that handles transit on a public-first rather than car-first strategy. What we've got is a set of non-cooperating agencies all trying to deal with local problems.
There is nothing that stops the government from increasing property tax surrounding train stations.
Reduced congestion on the road benefits everyone.
As does the reduction in air pollution, and pm2.5 from break and tire dust.
If proper rezoning takes place around train stations, then everyone benefits from denser housing available for those who desire it, reducing upwards pressure on housing elsewhere in the city.
Businesses all along the entire train line benefit from an increase in customer volume that doesn't require a corresponding increase in parking requirements.
The decrease in parking means land is more efficiently used, actual buildings can be constructed which increase tax revenue for the city, and provide more jobs.
Mass transit is awesome.
Personally, I think tax increases would be much more popular if the government showed the money would be spent efficiently. Cost+ contracting and endless cost overruns have eroded public support for government projects.
[1] https://www.urban.org/policy-centers/cross-center-initiative...
Over time, older buildings become cheaper until they’re either renovated or razed and replaced with new construction. But it’s a cyclic process: new construction is expensive, and gets less expensive relative to other newer units over time until it is renewed.
Now, there’s still a ton of unmet demand from people moving into cities: this pushes all prices in the market up. And unfortunately, (covid era excluded) there’s just so, so, so much demand from people moving to SF/NYC/LA/Seattle/etc that even if we removed all zoning restrictions and started building at a furious pace, cities probably wouldn’t be able to meet demand across the economic spectrum for another few decades. Covid may affect this in some way in the short term, and other trends may affect this in the mid-long term (we did have suburban exodus once before in US history).
One way to address this problem is to massively fund public transit infrastructure projects inside the city and in surrounding metro areas. Tokyo has ~30 million residents is relatively expensive for Japan, but living even a 20-30min subway/train ride from the city center is actually surprisingly affordable compared to other international cities. Seoul is similar. Chinese cities have similar infrastructure systems, but I can’t speak to how that affects affordability because there are other economic/political factors at play. But that seems tragically unlikely to happen in the US.
No one will need to try and change people, they will be forced to change once the budget deficits force their hand. The ones that can may move to a new jurisdiction and start the game over.
I also would not say kids are safer in suburbs. Lots of car traffic, lots of big roads to cross, lots of big cars since why not buy an SUV/pickup.
How far the setback from the sidewalk is, how much green space is required, parking requirements, all contribute to a lack of density.
And certain types of housing, e.g. boarding houses, aren't even legal anymore (moral crusaders shut them down long ago!)
Growth, at least in the short term (the 50-100 year timescale), makes it possible to have an economy where gains can be had without necessarily making other folks lose. The downside here is that growth can only go for so long before resource constraints of one form or another bite everyone in the butt.
GDP, or counting how many buildings and streets and strip malls were built is a totally seperate axis from quality of life.
A town could shrink while every single person's life in that town increases because it changes the structure and quality of their of lives.
https://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2011/6/14/the-growth-pon...
(IE each professor cant train 10 grad students in their field to be professors because academia is simply not growing that fast anymore)
And not every lawyer can become a partner anymore etc. (not every google engineer can become senior)
With a ponzi scheme things get worse over time, not better.
This works as long as you have economic growth (usually as a result of population growth).
Doesn’t work so well when automation and cheaper labor from other places in the world are taking away the economic growth, and simultaneously people are having 0, 1, or at most 2 kids.
I think you are misunderstanding something. It works just fine. The problem is that there are these "waste" humans that nobody knows what to do with.
There is also a glaring flaw in your comment. Automation increases economic growth. If a single worker is 10 times more productive he can ask for 10 times the salary. A lot of low income jobs pay badly precisely because there is not enough automation to turn them into productive high income jobs.
Ok, back to the waste humans. The default answer to a surplus with no buyers is to just let the wealthy hand out a loan so that those with no possessions can buy the surplus and use it productively and earn money. For obvious reasons interest rates are down to 0% so this is not a viable strategy. However in principle it works the same with automation. Humans with zero net worth cannot work because robots are doing their job can instead borrow robots and use those robots productively. Debt is just a way to convince people to work today so that their productive output doesn't get lost.
The borrowing strategy works out if there is enough demand for the robot labor, but what if there is no demand at all? You can just create demand out of thin air. Let the government print money and use it to buy consumer goods and services or let the government invest into domestic jobs that would otherwise not be done. Again, it's just a trick to make people work today so that their productive output doesn't get lost. The benefit from working is higher than letting the money sit around.
Why? Because that's the policy. 2% inflation is a target. Your money gets increasingly less valuable so you cannot sit on it. You will have to do something with it. If you put your money in gold you are doing so with the expectation that society as a whole is doing productive work. If you put your money into stocks you are doing so with the expectation that this individual company is doing productive work. Yes, these assets are inflation proof, but only because someone is actually working. If everyone put their money into gold the assets would just become worthless eventually because society as a whole is not doing productive work.
If CPI inflation is driving asset inflation then you simply cannot sit around and do nothing. Unfortunately the Fed is driving asset inflation directly and completely skipping over CPI inflation. At that point the system is built on circular logic without any connection to productive work. Capitalism without the capitalism.
This is only true if very few workers are 10 times more productive. If many workers are 10 times more productive, then the supply of labor has increased 10x and unless there is a corresponding increase in the buyers of labor, the price of the labor will go down. Which is what has happened in real life.
Low income jobs pay low income because the buyers of that labor are not willing to pay much and the supply of labor is high for that type of work.
I believe the rest of your comment does not apply to state and city governments in the US, since only the federal government can print money. For state and city governments, their tax base and therefore potential economic growth/future tax income can move away.