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Comment by bob33212 | Hacker News Reader

During BLM protests conservatives were posting pro police updates. Now that Trump supporters murdered a police officer reality has set in for them. This is the end of Trump. Most conservatives are good people who would never murder a police officer for Trump. They are not going to fight for him to be replatformed. No one is going to insure his physical rallies. Even if they do the turnout will be low as most people don't want the attend a murder riot.

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I hope you're right.

The obituaries for Trump's popularity have been predicted so many times that it's hard to be confident that "This Time It's Different."

For what it’s worth, I’ve only seen the odds of this go to non-zero once: it was the case two days or so ago. It’s back to zero in my mind now that Twitter banned him and martyred him. I think he probably is actually now a permanent fixture in our lives, afraid to say.

As a counter-anecdote, I was pretty sure that the Access Hollywood tape would lead to Trump being dropped by Republicans. Instead, bragging about sexual assault somehow became "locker room talk" and the story had little impact. Since then, for each new story, I've been waiting to see whether there is a corresponding drop in his popularity among Republicans before ever concluding that there is a moral line that won't be justified.

To be clear, the reason for this and why it was different wasn’t because of the capitol attack alone. It was also because he appeared to capitulate and abandon the people who did it and supported it. That group took it as a sign he wasn’t the leader they thought he was and betrayed them. Now that he has been martyred and has re-rebelled against the tech companies, threatening to create a new platform, that is over.

Maybe?

It's hardly martyring to be kicked off of Twitter IMO, but even if his fans see it that way -- Trumps fans seem to predominantly posses a very short attention span.

It's the only way that many of Trumps reversals make sense. They can be cheering him for saying A and then cheering him five minutes later for saying ~A. I suspect that if Trump loses his platform for some number of months, the shine may wear off.

And Parler is being kicked from AWS, so their entire service is going down too--and they may get the full treatment of being kicked from other servers and payment services if they don't agree to police their content. And without easy access to his marks, it will be harder for Don the Con to stay relevant.

Not predicting that it will happen. I'm not that optimistic, TBH. But positing a mechanism that it could happen.

> I think he probably is actually now a permanent fixture in our lives, afraid to say.

Life has a 100% mortality rate. His presence is our lives is inherently temporary. And for a morbidly obese man, it could happen suddenly, or take 20 years. We just don't know.

Wouldn't people have said the same thing about Hitler after the failed Beer Hall Putsch?

I think Trump's allure is going to mostly survive this event, he will figure out a way to brand it as not being his fault or intention. I could be wrong about that though.

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