San Francisco man becomes first in history to be ‘cured’ of AIDS
rawstory.com
rawstory.com
The fact that 30 years later we cured ONE person has really deflated my hubris. Also, no mission to Mars, no general purpose AI, no flying cars, etc, so many disappointments!
I have a theory why it is so, I'll not bother you all with it, I'll just say that the other symptom of the underlying cause is the GFC.
But look at all the cool stuff we got instead! Augmented reality! Internet everywhere! 3D printing! Controllable prostetic limbs! Gigaherz multicore computers! Terabyte storage! Sliced bread!
Also, almost noone dies of AIDS of anymore, or has died in the last 10 years in our western countries. The HIV suppressants are so good that even if you are infected with HIV, you'll have the same life expectancy as everyone else. It's not cured, but the quality of life is very similar.
My point is that in the '80s there was a lot of optimism about humankind's capabilities, people were saying "it's not a question of what CAN we do anymore, it is what SHOULD we do", implying we COULD do anything. I believed that at the time, but have grown increasingly skeptical (and I blame the brain drain away from science and into zero-sum games like finance for not fulfilling our potential).
Also, you are wrong about AIDS - apparently in USA alone there are around 18,000 AIDS caused fatalities each year (http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/resources/factsheets/us.htm).
You are wrong about AI too, it has already been implemented - in meat, of all things!
Predicting what we'll have in the future is always going to be hard, because it's very hard to know the pitfalls, the actual hard problems of a technology. Sending stuff to Mars isn't hard, but having a human survive the trip is really hard because of radiation and psychology, and it took a while to figure that out.
Meanwhile, noone in the 80's thought we'd have the internet, tablets, or mobile phones.
What makes you think that? Given that we have one class of systems that have evolved general intelligence I can see no reason why we can't engineer others. This may, of course, be rather difficult but I'm not aware of any good argument that engineering a general intelligence is impossible for fundamental physical or logical reasons.
In short, I'm with Searle. We can never have strong AI, but we can certainly have weak AI.
Granted, having a similar life expectancy is nothing to sneeze at.
The risk isn't 0%, but it's less risky to have unprotected sex with someone infected, but on suppressants, than to have unprotected sex with someone who doesn't know if he or she is infected.
All the cool stuff in life resulted from the words "I wonder.." and "let's go see..". I am sure people will figure out the answer to your question.
Taking money out of the equation would be an interesting experiment - what if you'd had access to wealth based on your achievements that benefit human kind and not based on whether you're playing stock market games?
So in other words, we are doomed :)
On the other hand, as a cynical contrarian that I am, I'm thinking that medicine may have gone too far. Natural selection doesn't work anymore.
there you go. the catch.
> Doctors still aren’t exactly sure
> clinical trials are scheduled to begin in 2012
or just > 2012
?It has been hypothesized that the main advantage of sexual reproduction -- which causes every member of a species to be genetically different -- is resistance to microbes and other parasites.
If you examine asexual reproduction: you get a "tree of evolution". Each node in that tree is slightly "more evolved" than its parent on average (natural selection prunes the devolved ones more than the evolved ones).
However, each branch in the tree has to evolve every single feature independently from its sibling branches. You only inherit evolutionary enhancements of your own ancestors.
Assuming a tree of depth N: each node in the tree has only O(N) ancestors, and thus, about O(N) evolution experienced in each node.
With sexual reproduction, you also recombine the evolutionary advancements of two ancestors into new nodes. It is no longer a tree, but a DAG of nodes (Directed Acyclic Graph). Each node now has O(2^depth) ancestors. Evolution can recombine features that took a long time to develop into a new baseline, and evolve from there.
This is an exponential increase in evolution speed -- and I believe that is so incredibly huge of an advancement, that I predict that even species we believe are incapable of sexual reproduction, are probably sexually reproducing (e.g: exchanging DNA in some way) because it is too huge of an advantage to give up.
Lastly, I find that it is interesting that there's a similarity between sexual-based evolution process to one of the frameworks we use for parallel computing: "Map/Reduce". Take a single node in the tree, and just "Map" (mutate & select) over it multiple times, you get slightly better nodes. Now combining the mutated & selected nodes together into descendants is much like "Reduce". "Map" is not a useful parallel computation, but "Map & Reduce" is.
The disadvantage to sex is you need vary similar organisms so your N^2 ancestors becomes (species population size) * number of generations. Where direct DNA exchange can cross DNA from far less compatible organisms (~total life population size)
See wikipedia: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CCR5_delta_32#CCR5-.CE.9432
There's another gene with a variant that confers similar resistance to noroviruses, also called stomach flu.
Why shouldn't there be people who are immune to HIV?
HIV immunity is not at all analogous to that.
You see, there are receptors on white blood cells - which are involved in lots of things the immune system does, if you're interested you can find an explanation elsewhere. Normally, HIV uses the CCR5 receptors to enter white blood cells, in which it replicates. However, in some people the genes that generate that receptor are mutated, with a small portion being deleted. It still works for most of the things the immune system does, but HIV is no longer able to enter cells through it (I'm not entirely sure if it's unable to enter or just unable to enter anywhere near as well; the former would suggest total immunity while the later would be partial immunity).
See also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CCR5