Ask HN: What are you surprised isn’t being worked on more?
What are you surprised isn’t being worked on more?
What are you surprised isn’t being worked on more?
Social isolation is probably the biggest cause of unhappiness in advanced countries. Having a strong social network has lots of advantages including providing better romantic and career opportunities, as well as improving physical and psychological health.
Humans have a long history of dishing out lots of money to be parts of strong communities too--country clubs and fraternities have high fees. Church goers regularly give up 10% of their (gross) income to be part of that group. Cult members might even hand over ALL of their possessions to join.
The camaraderie and experiences that go along with being part of a strong, long lived community tends to be the thing people value most in life. Yet finding those communities has become increasingly difficult in the modern era. People move away to different cities, or just don't run into the same set of people everyday. With the rise of remote work, social disconnection is only going to rise. I think there's a lot of room to create new social organizations with pretty minimal technology, and make a pretty profit from doing so. Humans are still human--they want those connections--they mostly just need an introduction.
Last year I did everything I could, to go to tons of concerts, meet up groups, and alumni events. I had a very successful year in terms of meeting new friends, finding high income partners , and generally loving my life. I've long been disillusioned with social media, and I completely blame it for destroying a generation of mental health.
You need to make friends, and you need to go back to the old fashioned way of having light-hearted discussions. Versus nasty arguments on social media. I had to stop using Reddit for the most part, since no matter what I said people would attack it in some way shape or form. Even something as mundane as I find Java to be difficult, turned into a personal attack on my abilities as a programmer. Tons of people are obviously angry for whatever reason, and you feeding into their anger isn't going to help anyone.
I went to tons of meetups, and even though and all of these cases I was a complete stranger I was never insulted or made to feel unwelcomed. There's community out there you just need to seek it out.
> [...] even though and all of these cases I was a complete stranger I was never insulted or made to feel unwelcomed.
My feeling is that once people no longer have a keyboard and monitor with which to "hide", they no longer have the ability to hurl insults at other people spontaneously and without being reprimanded for it (if anything they might get juicy upvotes).
The reason I put "hide" in quotes is because people don't act this way consciously. No one wants to throw personal attacks at other people for simply expressing a different opinion. In fact, I regularly read stories of politicians who were arch rivals politically but would still foster good friendships with one another. Another good example is the relationships the judges have in the US Supreme court. I have trouble believing that the judges would be able to form similar friendships with one another if they did that online through soulless text boxes, rather than face-to-face contact.
The anonymity provided online enables this subconscious switch in people's minds that allows them to do things they would never do face-to-face. And I want to add that it's not really the anonymity (though that does amplify this effect), it's the lack of seeing the other people. Posting online with your full name (e.g. Twitter) can still enable these subconscious switches simply by virtue of giving you the illusion of not talking to people because you can't see them. In the end, all the people responding to you are text boxes, not humans with feelings and emotions.
Seeing somebody face-to-face just cannot compete with online connections. The way you see what you say form an expression on somebody else's faces, or the way that looking into somebody's eyes somehow forms this inexplicable connection (I remember reading about how studies were done on the brain that noticed hormones being released when people looked into each other's eyes... not sure where to look for that now), or how you can listen to their voice tones change as they talk allowing you to subconsciously gain more understanding of what they feel as they express something. It's... just not the same.
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There was this article I remember reading a couple of years ago an article that delved into what guaranteed anonymity does to people. It was very interesting, I highly recommend it: https://gawker.com/5950981/unmasking-reddits-violentacrez-th...
I think such people are called "bullies" in real life.
The better ones tend to be able to disguise their actions and gaslight people [1], and therefore get away with it.
Does this sound like something for you? https://doubleunion.org/
It's a bit unfortunate that most of them might have shut down (either temporarily or permanently) due to COVID-19, but I hope you'll find what you're looking for!
It used to be, 100 or 200 years ago, that your workplace, your home, and your usual hang-out place were all within reasonable walking distance of each other. It wasn't a huge deal to go out and meet new people, as you'd naturally bump into them every day.
Nowadays we have a large portion of people in bedroom communities, isolated in a sea of houses. They drive in isolated cars to their workplaces, swing by to get some Starbucks on the way in, and that's the extent of their social interaction. Apart from libraries and parks, there's not many places that you can regularly go and just "hang out" without spending money just to exist in that space. It's incredibly easy to go for weeks or months without any substantial social contact outside of work or your few neighbors.
I feel like this is a reason why internet organizations and social media have exploded in popularity, for that matter. It's the new "default place" to hang out and get social interaction, for better or for worse.
(I expanded on this in an article I wrote, https://invisibleup.com/articles/31/, if you want to check that out.)
Now I know people shitting on suburbs is the fashion, but the fact is if you are the kind of person who has hobbies that don't involve going out and socializing a bedroom community is perfect. You get your own land and a detached home with plenty of space to do mostly whatever you want. Woodwork, swimming in a pool, running around with your dog, playing loud music and movies, hosting dinner parties, whatever. It's so much more comfortable for people who don't have urges to just "hang out".
I love in a sea of houses. Bu where I live I can take 30 minute walk to the doctor, or ironically, the gas station.
Doctors, dentists, hairdressers, cafes, bakeries and flower shops all fit nicely with housing.
Went home for Christmas and as part of it swung by the nursing home where my Grandma lives.
She is basically in actual prison for the past nine months. For a good part of it she was confined to her room. It appears that they've relaxed the restrictions after Coronavirus ripped through the place and everyone that didn't die is now immune. She is at least allowed to go sit in the lobby area now and talk with the other residents.
Nothing quite like watching a 98 year old woman break down in tears every time someone reminds her that she can't actually come outside and give us a hug or talk to us in person.
How do they know?
The only question is how long-lasting it is, and so far the answer is "indefinite / a long time".
“Huh well that was interesting”
so honestly theyll say whatever is convenient. nobody knows anything, nobody has any plan, we’ll see
https://themreport.com/daily-dose/09-02-2020/as-more-stay-ho...
Translation: "As someone that lives in desirable parts of high cost of living areas, even the largest premium units are below the average square footage mentioned in that article, I generally try not to think about it but it is fascinating to see, I think I can relate to other people that earn enough to comfortably live in these areas, but it is not common to ever talk about being financially stable in an expensive area, lets go back to pretending that we are all struggling and 'got a good deal' on our 900 sq ft penthouse."
So either the source claims that the average apartment has three or more bedrooms (and this is false, very few 3BR+ apartments are built in most buildings), or that the average apartment offers palatial luxury. Maybe they miscalculated?
I am a reluctant, but accomplished touring cyclist, and I've ridden hundreds of miles through American landscape that is positively hostile to pedestrians and vehicles operating at less-than-car scales. The assumption of cars has led urban designers to implement travel distances that are only grueling to traverse, and the interstitial spaces are inhospitable, bedecked with exhaust ports, bad lighting, narrow spaces or vast, entirely unfurnished without shade, let alone water or public facilities for miles, even, in larger towns. Sometimes, just crossing the street to go a kilometer I've found the American cityscape impassable without hopping in the car, and popping over a minimum of one (1) freeway exit.
That's just one aspect of the alien dimensions to which our environment's built.
Going from the Cupertino Hotel to One Infinite Loop on foot felt like I was risking life and limb, despite it having pedestrian lights [1].
[0] http://thetrendler.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/Maps-Icons...
That road was a 3-lanes-each-way road with no pedestrian crossing points. We just had to run across when there was a gap. It wasn't a fast road - there were plenty of traffic lights for traffic purposes - but still, nothing for pedestrians.
This is like saying buy a Hummer for that one off road drive you take in a decade and suffer its drawbacks for 99% of your use case.
Have vast sprawling houses protected US from COVID-19 ?
Let's make data driven decisions please.
The problem of relying too much on "data-driven decisions" is that it leads to absurd optimizations that make the overall system more fragile.
We had only one pandemic in our lifetime, yet. But don't forget about Avian Flu and Swine Flu also happened and caused concern less than 10 years ago. The world is way more connected and we never had so many people being able to go across the world spreading a virus in less than 24h. The likelihood of another pandemic threat is increasing with time, not decreasing.
If anything, one of the lessons that I hope we take from this year is that we need to think our environments (on all scales, from the bedrooms in our homes to our cities and schools for our kids and the city altogether) for robustness and longevity, not for cost, practicality or marketability.
I wanted to get a larger house with a garden before the pandemic (which is ridiculously expensive given the rent / value ratio in Europe is a joke) and the pandemics reinforced that tenfolds.
How long before the government lock us in our tiny homes again?
Within 5-10 min walking distance we have all daily activity requirements like grocery stores, gyms, pharmacies, restaurants, bars, schools, large year-round indoor swimming pool that blows away any private pool that I've seen, etc. If I did want a car we have underground parking or I could buy a private garage in a self-storage warehouse type area nearby for parking it or using as a hobby workshop. The one thing I do miss is being able to crank up my electric guitar, still looking for a solution to that one. Maybe a music space that rents by the hour or something.
I don't miss the car centric lifestyle for a second, and I'm saying this as an amateur race car driver. With all the time I used to spend driving around for the most basic of activities, I now have much more time available for my family, hobbies, side projects or even the occasional nap. You can't buy this quality of life anywhere in the US at any price or income level.
https://eurocities.eu/stories/reclaiming-the-streets/
and an article in the Guardian about Barcelona https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2016/may/17/superblocks-r...
I'm personally heartened by people's moves to de-focus the car in urban places.
Socializing, there can be a substantial difference between interaction and meaningful interaction. Both can require time away from favored/necessary activities; both can have multiple consequences (desirable or not). A perceived need for constant contact may be unhealthy.
Tech is a crappy substitute for the real thing (as E. M. Forster famously noted), so has some destructive potential.
- They miss their kids
- They prefer friends and activities much closer to where they live
- Transit home gets far more complicated the later it gets, particularly when alcohol is involved
Big contrast to being able to catch an underground/subway within a few minutes with no planning, and fall back to a relatively affordable Uber if you get carried away and miss the last one
Plus, most work related social functions are quite cringey.
Just give me my pay-check. I'll skip the booze and small talk with coworkers I should be friend with so I have less excuses to quit.
Advertising basically works this way. Nudges demonstrably work at a population level without anyone feeling coerced. In aggregate, for the population as a whole, it likely makes a statistical difference, even though no one in particular feels like it makes a deciding factor. Like, say, with organ donation. Make opt in default, an enrollment goes up.
Unless some other factor associated with suburban living cancels the effect, it seems extremely unlikely that it does not make a difference, even if every individual feels like "the only thing that dictates it is my desire/initiative/ability".
Even here in the Bay Area I live just a couple blocks down from a huge and well-appointed Elks lodge, and just a few miles away in downtown Mountain View, there is an Eagles lodge across the street from an Odd Fellows, itself a block away from a Freemason lodge.
If something exists but people aren't using it, it isn't the right solution. It might be hard to say why it isn't, it could even just be a marketing problem, but nevertheless the problem isn't solved by its existence.
I think just talking to an Apple dad about his life and priorities would be extremely eye-opening for a lot of people on HN.
I live in the mid-west, where these organizations were very common. I'm ~50 years old, and I don't know ANYONE who's in one of them, and every one of them around the area that I drive by is in disrepair. I expect them to disappear with the boomer generation.
Another feature of my location are all the small "mainline" churches (Presbyterian, Methodist, et. al.), who hover around 30-50 people, and have no members younger than 60. There's a business opportunity coming to buy up a lot of prime real estate when these churches fold in another 10 years.
I think a huge problem with finding "community" now is the utter isolation caused by social media and access to the thinnest slice of the news you want to tolerate. It has created a culture where people are only tolerant to their SPECIFIC view of the world, and it's just really hard to find people who think EXACTLY like you.
I actually tried to join a couple of those sorts of organizations, and I found them all very off-putting. Between the weird elitism, the arbitrary and time consuming hurdles for membership and the feeling that everybody there felt 20+ years older than me (even when they probably weren't) didn't make it seem like a good time.
I like the concept though, I just wish there was one that felt more up to date and actually felt like a sort of thing I'd want to join.
For the tech and maker types, a hackerspace/makerspace might be more appropriate.
So, basically people just wanted to hang out but now everyone thinks they want to take over the world.
Part of the problem is many are invitation-only clubs. That kept them mono-culture and full of the 'right people'. And the current members have at some time quit inviting? Don't know why.
You had a room just big enough for a bed, a desk, and a sink. Everything else was common.
If I was a developer I'd build a "dorm for adults" right next to places like Amazon, but at least around here zoning won't permit it.
It's great if you're single and don't have many possessions. Inexpensive, too.
[1] https://therealdeal.com/2020/06/08/wework-may-abandon-welive...
Feeling a little agoraphobic with the above floor plan? Don't like those vast sweeps of empty space? No problem, try $875/mo for 147 square feet: https://seattle.craigslist.org/see/apa/d/seattle-apodment-su...
Carefully examine the bathroom photos. No sink! You wash your hands in the kitchenette. Easy enough, when it's three steps away. (After all, where would you put a bathroom sink? The entire apartment is the size of an RV.)
One upside: if the landlord gets on your nerves, it would be real, real easy to move out. A one-backpack apartment.
A couple of years ago I inquired about the prize in a room in a hotel in San Francisco I happened to walk up to -- the front desk person cautioned that it offered 'european style' shared bathrooms. plonk -- I never encountered a hotel in Europe with shared bathrooms, but I've never been to Albania either.
The hotels with shared bathrooms are very common even in Switzerland, and everywhere else in Europe.
The small apartments are more common the richer the country. Larger apartments are more common in the poorer countries. You can find the small ones in every capital city though.
Truly curious. Could you provide a link to one?
As a young lad (on a tight budget) I stayed in youth hostels in Europe and USA as well. Those (at that time) not only were equipped with shared bathrooms, but also commonly with bunk beds in dormitories (separated by gender -- yeah, such were the times) and usually expected you to take on chores. I enjoyed my stay as it allowed me to go to places I couldn't otherwise afford and meet like-minded young travelers, but it would be impossible to mistake those places for hotels.
Seems to be trying it, rebranded as 'co-living' as I imagine dormitories holds a bit of a stigma.
I'm not familiar with varying types, but AFAIU (or hope), the organizer / owner is not usually the main employer. It's foremost a community where people live. Some people work there or self-employ, but it's not usually a corporate-dictated, top-down governed establishment, which would be something quite different. At least in the examples I know of.
Even if there is a troublemaker people can't get rid of, they'll graduate sooner or later and will be forced to move out.
There were a couple of places in this space when I was looking but I didn't go with them for a few reasons: - cost was high - contractual terms were long (6-12mo minimum) - reviews were mixed, but the general vibe was a "tragedy of the commons" type situation - location / transit links didn't appear great
I ended up boarding with an older couple for a while before finding a more traditional share house with other young professionals.
If I'd been able to try it out with a 1/2 month minimum I would've looked past the other issues to give it a chance, it seemed like it could've a great way to accelerate finding your feet in a new country/city
Internet communication, with its much richer modes of communication, is essentially social junk food. It's not a real substitute for meatspace interactions, but it satiates the hunger for socialization. Thus people feel ever more connected and ever more lonely at the same time - loneliness being social malnourishment.
I agree though that it's annoying that going out = spending a lot of money.
I guess one distinction between those and your examples of country clubs, fraternities, and churches is that the latter are long-lasting institutions: you find a group of people, potentially spend an extended period of time interacting with them without commitment, and then you become a "member," which carries informal commitment. (In the case of cults there's formal/irrevocable commitment, but for the rest, you're free to leave, there's just a social norm that you don't do so casually.)
The flip side is that a lot of people have either first-hand bad experiences at such organizations or know people who have, and committing to an organization that turns out to be mentally draining (even if not abusive per se) is a worry. So maybe if you want to add some sort of structure on top, find a way to manage that risk. Certainly one step is to not accept as customers/members people who make your organization less fun to join, and be very up front about that. But beyond that, there might be ways to demonstrate to newcomers that the existing members are good people, or to support the organization in establishing social norms that discourage bad experiences, or possibly even figuring out what sorts of things toxic people tend to latch onto and designing your society in a way that lacks those.
(One other danger here is that the easy way to provide some of these benefits, like better career opportunities, is to be exclusionary and offer your members favorable treatment from each other and unfairly treating those outside the organization in a correspondingly unfavorable way. Country clubs, fraternities, and churches all have a reputation of helping the rich and powerful remain rich and powerful. It's possible to provide the benefits in a non-zero-sum way, by actually using the connections to make your members better people, but it's harder.)
The Meetup platform is pretty terrible. It’s designed to get people to join many groups, most of which they never engage with and just get a lot of spam from. I’m sure >99.99% of pre-pandemic “social” Meetup groups were totally inactive. Most of the rest would have semi-regular events that <4 people would sign up for.
That said, I think there’s a lot room to build a better version of Meetup.com. The main problem with it is that the managers just don’t know what they’re doing, or are in too deep with tech debt and legacy code. If someone here actually wants to build a better version of Meetup, let me know.
My feeling is that we're losing the facilities to make general friends, and that void is being filled with the non-optimal but best-you-can-do interest-based groups. This is even more effective on the internet where you can find even the most niche group that may not have been possible when we were limited to our local area.
In short: Meetup is good for activities, but it doesn't fulfill the third space OP mentioned.
(This is my experience, YMMV)
Let us know more, I have similar issues and intentions to try to improve up the social fabric around my neighborhood.
Having seen the finances for several churches, I can say pretty confidently that most church-goers do not tithe 10%.
http://gruberpeplab.com/teaching/psych131_fall2013/documents...
There are fascinating implications for those that are closer to 10% than the average tithe.
I can't see university grads opting for 5 remote work days a week unless they've already got a big bubble. It's the people in their 40s with kids already who love fully remote work the most.
There are all kinds of issues. Setting an agenda. Getting people to follow the agenda. Fostering conversation. Finding venues. Getting the right mix of people. I've been to so many meetups where these kind of issues were not handled well.
If you just want random people you can go to a bar. If you want "like" people it's much much harder.
If I were to start something up, it would start with a clubhouse and probably two employees—one is an event organizer who plans parties and other special gatherings, and the second would be a host/hostess that is responsible for welcoming new members and ensuring they’re comfortable as they try to fit in. Maybe something like an “onboarding partner” would work too when you’re trying to scale.
I think in-person power dynamics are often not immediately obvious, and "inclusive" groups sometimes make it worse.
For example, cases where the inclusion of someone who's socially awkward lead to the self-exclusion of some other people.
Someone's social awkwardness could lead them to constantly stare at people they find attractive; the leaders or organisers of the group might be too nice to exclude said person, since they didn't do anything criminal like harass people, just awkwardly stare at them; and other people might choose to self-exclude themselves because of this.
It’s generally funded by synagogues and charity foundations.
I’d of thought the Christian churches/denominations have similar programs.
It could be unique to Jews due to historical and present anti-Semitism. E.g. Jews were (and still are in a few establishments) barred from many fraternities, country clubs, athletic clubs, summer camps...etc
No, it's going to drop. Think immigrants who can move from crowded cities back to their country or a place that feels more like home
Employers won't pay a first world salary while living in a low cost country.
Do tech companies also charge less for their products in non-rich countries?
Yes they do. They heavily adjust for PPP and local currencies
Here is a price chart for Cyberpunk 2077: https://steamdb.info/app/1091500/
Spotify, Netflix, YouTube Premium.
I think about this often, but then I go for a walk (or in other cities, a drive) and see packed bars and restaurants every night with people from all ages having a good time. Makes me feel like the problem is on me - people are obviously able to make friends and hang out without any special apps beyond what is available now.
The only new people I’ve met at bars are friends of friends, not random strangers. And when people are with their group of friends, it’s hard for a stranger to jump into that dynamic.
For recent transplants they roam bars until they find one with more singles and folks looking for social interaction. They do exist, but are probably more rare.
My theory of course is that the latter type of bar morphs over time (decade+) into the prior type of bar as "friend groups" get established at the new place. The new place slowly turns into the old hangout spot.
Think about as optical waveguide technology becomes more affordable enabling very lightweight comfortable headsets that actually are close to normal glasses in comfort. Combined with pose detection from cameras with fast AI.
Things like VR Chat are already pretty good.
And actually I think the potential to create perfectly tailored 3d workspaces in VR could make those spaces preferred in some cases over real ones. To me the biggest issue is the size and comfort of the headsets and new technologies are coming to mass deployment in the next couple of years to address that.
Instead of dating-specific qualifiers, it'd ask for your interests, hobbies, values, age and other demos, then match you based on overlap.
Not Meetup - it's not quite solving the same problem, and so it solves things differently (focusing on shared interests and on discrete meetup events).
I've never used either, but I feel it likely suffers from "The problem with Tinder is that everyone on it thinks Tinder is a good idea" issue.
The best tool for this right now is calendar and email. There's a lot of room for improvement.
Please PM me if you're interested in a deeper discussion. I've thought a bit about what this tool might look like and how to get it off the ground.
Also, PM me if you're working on this problem (to anyone reading this :)).
Lost Connections by Johann Hari The Great Good Place by Ray Oldenburg Better Together by Robert Putnam
Nix the thought of walking to do the following activities: - fetching a missing ingredient from a local shop/store that would take 25min round trip and benefit you with additional exercise. - spending an evening going between bars being mildly intoxicated but not requiring a taxi.
Bedroom communities established during the mid century tend not to have those. My experience with those have been Fairfax County, VA; Fayetteville, Arkansas; and the suburbs around Sarasota, Florida. These are places that if you walk or bike around or take a bus, people seem to assume you are poor or a servant
I think this is the reason Crossfit got so popular. People could go every day, see the same people, compete against them, etc. Definitely more expensive than a regular gym but offered more than just renting time on equipment.
Coffee shops are great for this. Game shops as well
At the end of 19th century workers got better working hours. In the hours after work they set up clubs for everything you can think of. Sports, rabbit breeding clubs, pigeon clubs, shooting clubs etc.
Tot this day it's still a thing, and it's in the canon of the Netherlands.
https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=nl&tl=en&u=https:/...
I think it’s hard to build a community around people who just want one, and it’s more effective if it’s based around a starting ground of an interest and better yet shared values.
Irl organizations surrounding particular interests do materialize as extensions of online enthusiasm (we see this for meetup groups) but this is still insufficient. What's missing is accessible infrastructure to facilitate new connections. For instance, there are today collaborative workspaces and makerspaces (or even University grounds): these can be a good spatial medium for meeting like-minded people. However, the cost of renting is a deterrent. So, that can be addressed in a myriad of ways. As a remote worker, prior to COVID, I'd periodically hit the coffee shops but this did not appear to be an appropriate medium for engaging others.
We are going about things backwards, because it was all we could do: create organizations surrounding particular subjects, then have people join in. In many cases people are surfing around these groups as a means to an end, they don't care the slightest about the subject but they need it as a medium to connect with others. Not only is this contrived, it can lead to friction between individuals who want to focus on the subject and others who want to go on tangents away from it. This problem disappears if you simply have a space where people can choose to mingle or focus on their projects. Historically, physical spaces like this were always important large communities. Now our socially acceptable avenues for engaging others we don't know include very loud pubs, just barely, sports complexes and the like.
As a long-time member of a hackerspace, I've always envisioned it as a "church" (of sorts) for tech. I feel like I've learnt quite a bit from just immersing myself in the place, and having conversations with people from various disciplines.
Unfortunately, we're always struggling to make rent. It's a pity that the concept doesn't seem to work well in high-rent areas — many people view use of such spaces as a transaction, and won't contribute financially if it's just like any other office or co-working space.
It seems like these social groups -- besides needing a non-financial mission, shared rituals and beliefs, and some kind of exclusivity -- need a strategy for dealing with the social connection-dissolving "market" that exists around it.
The reality is the changing social dynamics of a population spending increasing amount of time on the internet and less inclined to do things in-person, amplified by people choosing to have 'busier' lives, is the direction we are currently heading in.
We need top down (govt) and bottom up (community) efforts to start real change that can gain momentum (network effects for the founder inclined).
Working on experiments to chip away at this from the bottom up .
When I tried using these apps, I found myself trying to reverse engineer the algorithm to figure out exactly how it was ranking me and how to optimize my match rates. Most of it comes down to picture quality and your looks in those pictures. I learned this by running my own A-B tests using different pictures, but unfortunately the apps don't really give any stats on which pictures on your profile are and are not performing. This gave me an idea to create an app to do just this. I called it Cupid's Critics, and you could upload candidate pictures and get people of a certain demographic to vote on them and collect statistics before pushing them live.
What I realized is that this is a band-aid to a broken system. I think a new system is needed entirely, which is why I am now trying to figure out how to make group dinner party dating scale.
If anybody is interested in building it out with me, please send me a DM. If you're interested in an invite/signing up for a group date, please fill out this survey: https://kadray.typeform.com/to/VmhktNHD
Yes yes, I get the economical barriers. I'm past caring. It is so incredibly frustrating to look outside the Apple ecosystem and feel like the entire PC industry is content to sell the bare minimum of quality (outside of Gamer hardware, which looks obscene - but I get that it's subjective).
It's a horrible business idea on the numbers and nobody would do this, but if some lunatic out there wants to blow the money, build and sell a laptop at whatever price point you want that:
- Supports CoreBoot
- Isn't a rebranded Clevo shell and has close enough fit and finish to a recent MacBook. Read: No. Plastic. Case.
- If there is ever the phrase "panel lottery" uttered about your machine, you've messed up.
- No logos, or throw them on the underside like Purism.
- The screen has to be relatively close to the MacBook in brightness + viewing angles. Give me an option for a glossy screen.
- Trackpad must be glass. You won't get close to the MBP trackpad on the first or second pass, but try.
- Go for some crazier vertical integration ala the M1. I don't care if it blocks upgrading certain parts, since I consider the industry to move fast enough that I won't _want_ the machine anymore in 4-5 years.
- There is no need for touch of any kind, nor the ability to flip the screen or anything. Just make a damn laptop.
- Edit: high quality boutique feeling support. I don't need an Apple Store equivalent, but at least invest in this.
I get why Apple can do all of the above. I would pay literally twice what I pay Apple for a competing product. Currently, every laptop that I try feels like stepping back a few years.
The upcoming Purism Librem 14, in terms of images, feels like it could _feel_ close - but I'm not impressed with their other products so I'll believe it when I see it. I remain shocked that System76 hasn't bothered with this.
End my rant about this industry, I guess.
I do often look at a ThinkPad and wonder, though.
I'm just past the point in my life where I want to itemize this stuff. Take my money and give me the best package possible. I've got better things to do with my time.
The entire buying experience also feels very sales-like - which, yes, it's absolutely a sales process - but the buying experience with Apple is leagues better and feels more human. This isn't even hardware, but website UI/UX... why on earth is it like this in 2020? This is much easier to solve than hardware chain issues.
Unfortunately, there’s no retailer out there that I trust to actually display these high-end laptops so you can go actually get a feel for them. The Microsoft Stores was the best bet, but those are all closing. I shopped for an all-metal laptop 2 years ago after leaving Airbnb and was wholly disappointed with this $600-$1400 lineup at BestBuy. I ended up getting a Huawei Matebook Pro X (sic) from the Microsoft Store in San Francisco. I put Linux on it, but were I to do it again I’d just spend 2x more on an actual MacBook.
That said, to me the existence of the Matebook _proves_ that what I'm after should be possible, and it just comes down to nobody actually doing it.
Apple has also made some poor decisions in various areas in the past like poor thermals, power-sucking dGPUs, and of course the butterfly keyboard. The M1 Macbook is very nearly perfect though, and I don't know how any of the PC vendors are going to top it.
It's no longer "ongoing", as it was fixed and has been for some time. This is noted elsewhere in this thread, too. You can't try to claim someone has no credibility then wade in with incorrect facts.
The TouchBar is bad and I wish they'd remove it, yeah.
As if that weren't frustrating enough, redeeming the warranty required about five hours total of phone conversation per incident. At every step of the way, they would demand I repeat dozens of irrelevant troubleshooting steps, or they would tell me the problem isn't covered (contradicting the last person I'd been handed off to), or they'd tell me it isn't covered but if I agree to pay to extend the warranty by another year then many he can ask his manager to backdate it and squeeze this in, etc. etc. As you might be able to guess, it's all sales/lies/incompetence and eventually I got through to someone high enough up to initiate the replacements under warranty.
Of the many Macbooks I've had, only one ever had a failure that required service. I just scheduled a time to drop the computer off, then picked it up a week later and it was fixed, didn't have to argue with anyone about my warranty.
Also - in my opinion - the XPS may be the best build quality of non-Apple laptops, but it's not even in the same league as a similarly priced macbook.
Just another anecdote but they kind of add up, just like the stories about the butterfly keybord on Mac.
That said, personally I don't use Macs as I've given up adapting to the CMD-tab behavior (and misplaced fn/ctrl etc) after trying hard for about three years.
What jurisdiction is this, that they can get away with not properly honouring warrantees?
Horrible horrible support. Incredibly frustrating doing all of the steps on phone support to even get someone to come out. They advertise it as better than an Apple store, but after the first year you have to mail it in with a two week repair delay
I now use a MacBook with zero issues, while the XPS never worked properly (they forgot thermal paste after the first repair) and it died entirely after barely 2 years. Huge waste of money
In the PC world, the consumer space is dominated by anti-design nerdy guys who demand every port imaginable, and for good reason, and the business end is similar with their own legacy demands. Big changes in any way, be it features or lack-of are frowned upon and mocked (no wireless less space than a nomad -lame).
No one is going to win here because no one else can have Apple's market. The incentives to win on the PC side are just too different. And even then, you can just bootcamp Windows or Linux and buy the 'real' Apple you want anyway. Honestly, its a small miracle something like Apple even exits in the tech space. Its usually a race to the bottom on half-cooked features, general cheapness, and terrible UIs. Somehow Apple broke free of that and never looked back.
Complaints that you commonly see about Apple products are, I find, similar to reading complaints when you're apartment shopping: those who complain have reason to do so, and those with good experiences don't necessarily feel the need to write about them.
For instance: those who experienced botched Catalina upgrades that caused Mail.app issues? I never experienced that, and I've two significantly sized accounts attached. In fact I upgraded my last machine from High Sierra to Catalina with no issues at all. The "beta" parts of macOS that people call out are just never things I've fought against - and I run a fairly custom-ish setup to boot.
On that same note, I could throw a rock and find a KDE user who complains about KMail having issues... but you won't find many KMail users saying "yeah it just works and life is great".
Software is complex. I wouldn't call macOS "beta" and by the same token I'm not going to label other OS/DE combos that either.
(They also fixed the keyboard, so I'm over that complaint. Would I prefer the ThinkPad keyboard? Absolutely. But the new one works fine and fits the design aesthetic of the device.)
tl;dr: The only "agreement" I find myself signing is that the thing looks and feels, and functions, like a premium product. I find myself endlessly frustrated that if I go car shopping for a premium item, I have different options... yet I just don't feel like I have this with computers.
> No one is going to win here because no one else can have Apple's market. The incentives to win on the PC side are just too different.
This is exactly why I'm saying that my ideal product wouldn't compete with the PC market. I fully recognize that's a losing battle.
My guess is that, at this point, Apple has absorbed the vast majority of people who care about these things. And that is causing the other manufacturers not to care, because they have already lost the audience who does...
It's like adding 'I want a million dollars' to your list.
Not sure if it's caching on HN or whatever, but to that point: so is, clearly, my entire list. If I'm saying I'll pay whatever price, though, you bet I'm putting that on there. ;P
Edit: and to be fair, I'd take a logo that isn't an eyesore - the other commenter on this thread used some odd language for it, but I consider the Razer logo to be an eyesore. Bright green is not something I want on my laptop.
The Apple logo, as annoying as it might be, at least doesn't look like someone took a crayon and scribbled on the back of the machine.
For laptops I don't have much choice except to put a sticker over the logo.
Like you pointed out, Mac feels premium because of the software/hardware tight coupling, and it just works. Windows is the same, but for reasons can feel less polished than MacOS.
I turned an old Macbook into a Linux box, and it's fine*. It does what I need it to do, but it doesn't feel premium at all. I just wish I had really slick, solid, premium-feeling alternatives.
It seems to me that Microsoft or Facebook or SOMEONE with a bajillion dollars could afford to do this and really make a dent in the space and give us more alternatives. I guess the demand just isn't there. Very sad.
Why when there is no third OS that has even 1% share and all Linux combined is about 3%. And desktop Linux is bad.
I use MacOS (whatever it is called this week) Mint and LXDE
Love Mint (typing on it) The Apple OS has a lot of rough corners (e.g. (max/min)imising windows is a world of pain) LXDE is acceptable because it is on my PI and I do not use the desktop much
I have not used Windows desktop for about a decade, has it really gotten that much better?
I am really happy with desktop Linux
There are a huge range of reasons. There's no consistency, everything changes every 2 years, the documentation is awful when it exists at all, if software is outside your distro's package repo it's a bitch to install, there are too many different distros, the community is full of pricks, fragmentation is a time-honored pastime, complexity is fetishized... fuck sound still didn't work consistently on the last Linux based media center I built. A cursory search of the internet will turn up innumerable reasons Linux Desktop is bad.
Which isn't to say that MacOS and Windows aren't bad (and getting worse), but they're still a damned sight better.
Just a reminder there's like 7 different context menu styles in Windows 10, not to mention two control panels.
And as you say, Windows 10 still sits there having confusing and mediocre system UIs.
In the days of electron and web apps, it's clear that the users either don't care or developers are shooting themselves in the foot.
In either case, consistency died a while ago.
It all depends on the distribution (hence "too many different distros" is good). Choose Debian XFCE and you will never see any change, everything is rock-solid. Tested with my relatives.
With my really simple needs, macOS and Windows is just mostly memory-wasting fluff to me. I switched away from Macs when I realized that what I need and what I can get is cheaper than getting a Mac. ("Cheaper" because I am very sensitive to cost vs. utility. I am typing on thinkpad t430s I found in the trash which I spent just a little to get a better screen, having everything else already that was missing.)
That said, sometimes get frustrating, but they don't happen frequently for me.
In contrast, in all my years of using Apple computers, I've rarely if ever had a driver related issues that wasn't easily solvable by updating my OS.
I switched to Linux when I left the company and while I ran into issues installing it on both my PC and laptop (not Mac), the end result works perfectly. I think all the digging around has made me better understand computers. A lot of the Linux command line skills are transferable to Mac.
(just my data point)
Keep in mind that the context of my original comment was with respect to having "premium" devices. People pay thousands of dollars for a Macbook because the hardware and the software feel very high-end. The UI/UX is generally seamless. Stuff "just works". There are regular updates. Any software written for MacOS will work on any other Mac, because the hardware/software integration is so tightly controlled. Is it perfect? No. Are there things Linux does better? Sure. But taking the entire Apple ecosystem into account, it feels cohesive and thoughtful, and it feels like it's worth the money.
Contrast that with Linux. With many Linux distros, it doesn't "just work." The OS itself can change very often. The software ecosystem is fragmented. You have to use apt or yum or some other package manager. Sometimes you need five different package managers to install the software you want! On top of that, you can't necessarily run all Linux software on every distro or any hardware. There's little to no UX/UI consistency. As someone else pointed out, Qt vs GTK apps can and do look totally different and there are no style guides or any enforcement mechanisms to make sure that users enjoy the experience. It's the wild west, which is good in many ways, but in the context of making a device feel like a premium device, a wild west methodology fails that criteria pretty hard.
In other words, Linux is fantastic for computer nerds like us who like tinkering with things and don't mind rolling up our sleeves and getting our hands dirty. But it is no way, shape, or form a "premium" experience.
Error messages, crashes, graphical anomalies, hardware kind-of working. There are often fixes, but how much time are you willing to spend trouble-shooting? When you get a new computer or reformat, will you remember what you had to do?
I've experienced this class of issues on a range of hardware and software over 2 decades.
My best guess: Too much design-by-committee, and losing track of emergent concepts - like responsiveness, how the overall ecosystem affects performance, and how the various parts (designed by different people and teams) work together.
Another potential root cause: The way software dependencies and linking works, and the expectation to compile software on your machine.
Fascinating.
Microsoft is probably the most strategically important company on the planet. Literally too big to fail.
It seems like Microsoft or Google could double-down on the software-hardware integration and build a seamless, premium product that really, truly competes with Apple. It seems like it would be beneficial for MS or Google to identify and partner with (or acquire?) a hardware partner and develop their systems hard against that, creating a seamless hardware-software interface like Apple does with its devices.
And I guess I'm just baffled that nobody else is doing that. On the contrary, everyone seems to be going the Microsoft route of developing for as many hardware configs as possible.
If some company wanted to create an Apple-like desktop experience with purpose-built hardware but with an open OS, this could be a good route: implement all the drivers needed to run well on bare metal on the company's own hardware products, but anyone can run it in a hypervisor on any computer.
A better goal would be to isolate OS features to give us more choice. The file system would be independent of the GUI engine, which would be independent of the executable manager, etc. It would give one mix-and-match ability. Possible partitioning:
- Execution/task manager
- GUI
- File system
- Security system
- App and upgrade manager
- Integrator> Chromebook shipments have grown 122% year on year to a total of 9.4 million units in Q3 of 2020. [1]
It covers big market, from tablets [2] to enterprise [3]. And they have AArch64 models [4].
[1] https://www.zdnet.com/article/pc-shipments-google-chromebook...
[2] Lenovo Chromebook Duet (10.1") 2 in 1 ($266.79) https://www.lenovo.com/us/en/laptops/lenovo/student-chromebo...
[3] Dell Latitude Chromebook Enterprise https://www.delltechnologies.com/en-us/chromebookenterprise/
[4] https://www.chromium.org/chromium-os/developer-information-f...
Tesla is, if anything, similar to Apple in how closed-off they are. Teslas are attractive because of their design and powerful electric powertrain, but polished they are not.
The companies I can see who are in the right position to profit from developing and giving away an OS that's at least as user-friendly as MacOS or Windows and as open as Linux are Intel and AMD. But it's hard to imagine either of them making something that's a joy to use.
Something Linux-based could work, but Linux is kind of stuck with a lot of decisions made thirty years ago. The kernel is pretty good, but the basic abstractions of POSIX-like operating systems are perhaps not what you'd design if you were creating them from scratch in 2020.
googling
Answer seems to be maybe:
https://www.most-useful.com/ubuntu-20-04-linux-on-surface-pr...
https://old.reddit.com/r/SurfaceLinux/top/?sort=top&t=year
TBH I hadn't really considered Surface's before due to them being Microsoft devices.
Overall, I do agree that the hardware feels quite nice, and besides those issues I listed, the Linux experience is quite good. I was very happy to not be forced to use Windows.
These limitations seem small, but are enough to degrade the experience.
Didn't feel like it to me, for development and fairly casual gaming.
> “not enough resources for USB”, freezing, the multi display setup gets often messed after undocking and so on.
Not my experience at all; in fact I was impressed at how well it remembered all my different multi display arrangements.
I didn't see this initially, but I now see frequent, .5-to-3 second lagging response to the touchpad, seemingly fixable only by reboot. Googling suggests a lot of other folks have seen a similar problem. For my machine, there's no lag from the touchscreen or from an external mouse...only the touchpad.
Re your USB problems...I'm not sure if I've seen that specific error, but I have noticed that I simply cannot plug in two external USB cameras and expect them both to work. The first one plugged in always works, the second appears as a device, but no software I own can get an image off of it (where the same two cameras can easily be used by other Windows boxes).
And, yes, I've also seen multi-screen problems when I put it to sleep with no external monitor and try to wake it up after it's plugged into the external monitor (plugged in through a USB-C hub). Basically, I had to plug in the monitor after it woke to avoid this.
Also...the detachable screen is a cool concept, but given that the seemingly larger portion of the battery life is in the keyboard half, and that the screen half has no power or USB ports, it really blunts the applications I might have put the detachable screen to.
Yes, definite problems here. I've wondered if I would've been happier with the Surface Laptop rather than the Surface Book.
I've bought myself a Surface Laptop 3 (15", i7 version) 11 months ago. I had been looking for a laptop powerful enough to code on, that would look "premium" for business purposes, lightweight and the charge had to last a full workday(or more). This laptop checked all the boxes, and performed wonderfully since then. To the extend that now we're considering getting it for our employees.
First off, The support was horrible: on my first purchase (with MS directly ever by the way) they blamed me squarely for a 1 day old (!) Factory broken display (it would turn on but when it got a bit warm it would show only stripes; switching off and waiting for cool off would 'fix it': did I say less than 24 hours old!?); I sent it in and they said I broke it and told me I could buy a new one.
Also when I got a new one, the new keyboard was broken and they refused to replace that as well. Again, blaming me from something that came broken from the box.
And the rest of the experiences was not much better but at least they took them back without whining (there i learned my lesson and went to a shop instead of order online). Horrible battery life (far from what is promised on the tin, even with relatively low workload), random freezes and crashes, weird balance feel compared to, say an iPad or mb air and slow compared to old and new apple products (iPad and macbooks).
After all I was most angry about the bad support; I never had that with apple even when it was my own fault (they repaired a water damaged mb air without issues and replaced two iPad pro keyboard which where damaged by dropping for free) which this was not.
I tried to give them a chance and I tried: I got most of my money back luckily as after the first fiasco I prepared for that and returned them to the shop in the box, but definitely will not buy again soon.
The MacBook Pro has cooling issues, an awful keyboard and feels flimsy. The Zenbook had only a pseudo 4k display, a massive charger and a large bezel, although I believe that's gone on newer models.
I wouldn't call one premium and the other not. They were both kind of underwhelming.
M1 does shake things up somewhat, and will make an even larger difference at the high end.
I've tried PCs, they just aren't on the same level as Apple's hardware and I hate Windows.
I've seen some cool customizations of Linux but would really rather not have to spend that time myself to get to a place where I'm productive. I want something that 90% "just works", but that's also pleasing to use.
I really wish there was a solid third option, new tech is so cool yet the options available today seem so boring!
In what way is Apple so bad that you would pay twice as much (thousands of dollars more) for a competing product?
I'm annoyed with having to give my money to one of the richest companies on the planet, solely because nobody else will actually compete. I run Apple hardware daily; it's clear that I'm fine with them as a product, especially if I want it cloned.
Basically: I will pay a premium for an Apple-esque open laptop.
I use Stealth 13 and impressed with its metal body and touchpad, also no shiny RGB logo
I've had stellar longevity out of Apple hardware. I'm usually able to use it for a handful of years and sell it on ebay to put a good chunk towards something new. I have noticed certain models/runs have specific issues, laptop keyboards are probably the most recent and obvious, but for the most part you know what you're getting. Screen lamination problems or pinched monitor cable being a few others.
When looking at alternatives saving only around 20% on the cost made it difficult when not being confident about longevity or resale. Sadly, other aspects weren't appreciably better (soldered on RAM, camera quality, performance, battery).
Razer still has hilariously bad product management.
One of their newest (non-hardware) launches is Razer Pay, a QR payment and Visa prepaid solution for Southeast Asia. It's been around since mid-2018, but they've just launched their prepaid card in Singapore.
The app and backend quality is below average for a large company like Razer (think: multiple incidents of double charging, and authorisation charges not being refunded), and has the app's UI is ugly.
Made in Japan and oodles of legacy ports...
Nobody in the entire laptop industry cares or even knows about our complaints. There seems to be practically zero overlap between the professionals that use laptops -- such as software developers -- and the hardware engineers that design the laptops. As you've alluded, it's an insular industry with mostly foreign players such as Clevo in Taiwan.
The market exists though. I suspect it would be profitable too! I regularly buy laptops for about AUD $5,000-$6,000, including the Clevo laptop I'm using now for work.
My requirements are much more mundane than yours, but will similarly never be met:
- Alternative keyboard layouts: Why must a $6K laptop for professionals (or gamers!) do idiotic things such as compress the arrow keys or hide the Ins/Del/PgUp/PgDn keys? Why can't I choose the keyboard layout?
- Wider keyboards: I can't stand "gapless" keyboards that make touch typing the rarely used keys difficult. Most laptops reuse the 13-inch model's keyboard on all larger sizes, which wastes enormous amounts of real estate. (My current laptop is wider than my full-size 101-key keyboard, not including the number pad.)
- Decent webcams and microphones: Is there some law that only mobile phones and tablets can have decent cameras?
- Narrow-bezel screens: This is starting to very very slowly become the norm, but is still hit and miss.
- Lightweight power supplies: Only Apple seems to have heard about Gallium Nitride power electronics, everyone else ships their more powerful laptop models with a power supply that is the size and weight of a brick. (My current laptop's brick is 1.9 kg!!!)
- Integrated 5G: I'd like to have Internet connectivity without tethering, just like an iPad.
If anyone from Dell ever reads YC News: I very nearly bought the new Dell XPS 17, but then I saw the keyboard and I immediately cancelled the order: https://i.dell.com/is/image/DellContent//content/dam/global-...
Compare with a Clevo 17 inch laptop keyboard: https://accessoriesales.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/1165_...
They seem to have found the room for full-size up/down keys, a number pad, as well as dedicated keys for ins/del/home. I never have to press the "Fn" key in normal usage!
Every few years I look at Dell's top-of-the-line laptop, but decide against buying one because of at least one glaring flaw.
The trick is to have a bunch of microphones along the edge of the display, all the way around. This then enables beam-steering and noise filtering by keeping only the signal common to all microphones.
Mobile phones often do this kind of thing, but PC developers are stuck in this local minimum that they seem completely unable to escape.
Speaking of which, the iPhone 12 Pro has a HDR OLED display that goes toe-to-toe with a USD $35K Sony BVM-X300 Master Monitor: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n_czpXW3yKE
Meanwhile... good luck finding a decent 17" laptop with an OLED screen!
As far as I can tell, all OLED laptops made in 2020 used the exact same Samsung 15.6" panels, and then all other OLED manufacturers also simultaneously agreed that no sizes above that need exist:
https://www.oled-info.com/here-come-oled-laptops-sdc-start-p...
https://www.oled-info.com/boe-demonstrates-new-oleds-monitor...
Keep in mind that Samsung makes an OLED panel for Apple that is capable of 1,200 nits peak HDR brightness, but is incapable of making a laptop screen that exceeds 400 nits for some mysterious reason. I can't prove, but strongly suspect that all PC parts are now being made in the supplier's legacy plants, and the top-tier stuff is exclusively reserved for mobile device manufacturers...
Considering how small my cheap 65W GaN charger is, I would have been disappointed in Apple engineering if theirs were still as heavy and big as they are.
This is actually a fantastic point! Some models of Dell/HP/Lenovo have easily removed keyboards by design in order to install additional RAM/service parts etc. All they have keeping them connected other than some sliding plastic tabs is the ribbon cable. I can't believe no one has ever made drop in replacements either from the manufacturer or as aftermarket parts. Having Ctrl/Alt/Super/Fn keys in a dozen different configurations due to different vendors makes switching between different devices a huge pain.
Imagine if you could even get customised switches on your laptop!
There are some non-Apple laptops with much better displays BTW, even Lenovo ships 500 nit displays and wide-color gamut ones with some their laptops nowadays. Dell and other manufacturers ship OLED display with some of their gaming laptops, which far outperform any Apple laptop display.
Regarding Aluminium vs. hardened plastic / titanium I'd say it's just a style question, I have never had any issues with my Thinkpads and they're way more resistant to scratching than Apple laptops (a poor colleage of mine badly scratched his new Macbook with his steel wrist watch only days after receiving it).
Regarding upgradability I prefer being able to extend RAM and hard disk as well as easily replace the battery, again Apple is a poor choice in regard to that.
Regarding repairability Apple actively keeps me from being able to repair my machine, take e.g. a look at Louis Rossmans' Youtube channel to learn about some of the crazy stuff Apple does to keep independent repair shops out of the game. Again nothing that I want to encourage.
That said the introduction of the M1 chips is pretty great, I plan to buy a Macbook Air as my second laptop for office work, I'll keep developing on a Thinkpad with Linux though.
What other brand has leaked schematics and boardviews? Replacement batteries, iFixit guides, and skilled independent technicians keeping the A1398 and A1466 going as long as possible? I doubt Apple will return to their glory days of making those laptops new, but I feel like the repairability of 2014 Macs is still better than many Dell/Lenovo/HP/Sony alternatives. At the component and logic board level.
> I like Apple laptops but they're not great in terms of repairability, extensibility, modularity and openness.
I just don't care about any of those. If I need it repaired, I'll pay the vendor to do it. If I need it extended, I'll pay them to do it - or buy something new. I don't care if it's modular. I only care about openness insofar as I can tell what it's doing. The rest is a waste of my time.
I suspect I'm not the only one who feels this way, given the way this thread has gone.
The HP has a much better keyboard. So much better. It runs Linux, not quite perfectly but pretty darn well. I actually like that the HP has a touchscreen, it’s often way quicker to reach out and touch a spot on the screen than to maneuver the mouse pointer to that same spot and then click. The HP has a regular USB port so I don’t have to keep a USB-C adapter around. The charger isn’t a giant heavy wall wart that falls out of older outlets. It’s a bunch of little things like that.
We have different needs. Your needs are not mine.
That said, I would would wager that your needs are moreso met as an existing, direct market though - whereas what I'm after is splintered and left only to Apple.
To each their own, of course.
- Ships with CoreBoot
- Much nicer fit/finish than the average non-Apple laptop (all metal, aside from the rubber palm rest)
- Display wasn't defective :)
- There's a logo, alas
- Comparing to my work Macbook Pro, I'd say viewing angle and brightness are both on par, and the screen is indeed glossy
- I don't know if the trackpad is actually glass, but it does feel nicer nicer than pretty much any other trackpad I've used (to the point where I don't miss having a nub like on my usual Latitudes/Precisions and ThinkPads)
- No crazy vertical integration hardware-wise, but it being one of the main targets for Fuchsia is kinda cool, I guess
- It has both touch and screen-flipping, but it's easy enough to just... not use them (and indeed, most of the time I don't)
- I can't speak to the support aspect (since I've never had to put in a support request, and typically prefer fixing things myself anyway), but Google unfortunately has a, um, reputation...
I've been pretty happy with it; it's a nice solid machine, and while I ain't a fan of Chrome OS at all, the Crostini support makes it at least usable for my purposes (and the first-class Android app support is a nice bonus).
The main downside for me is that Chrome OS seems to be the only option for it that doesn't have some major drawbacks like missing audio support or suspend/resume issues.
Ever been to a book store in Japan? Practically every book is the same size. As a result, bookshelves also are designed to be the right size to optimally fit books. This allows people to fit more books in small homes. It makes books easier to transport in book-sized boxes and book-sized bags too. You can get perfectly-fitting reusable cloth covers to protect your library books.
American bookstores are a war between publishers to stick out from the shelves as much as possible. There's not much that a bookshelf designer can do except guess and have adjustable, oversized shelving.
That also describes the state of today's packaging. With more shopping happening online, the need for items to stand out on a shelf is lower, and the need for them to fit nicely in boxes is much higher.
Nobody would force you to design your products to fit the closest available standard package size, but companies would tend to do so more often because of the efficiency gains. Logistics companies like Amazon or Fedex could offer incentives.
https://www.alamy.com/stock-photo-stack-of-science-fiction-p...
Conversely there are plenty of randomly sized books at a Japanese bookstore. I can go walk to some today and take pictures if you don't believe me.
It's possible the USA is 50% standard sizes and Japan is 70% but it's definitely not close to all of them. Even in the USA many hardbacks are a standard size. At most they are off by an inch so that you can get by with certain sized shelves and have on extra shelf for really odd sizes.
So while every western bookshop has that shelf full of Lonely Planet travel guides that looks really organised, in Japan you can photograph an entire aisle of books that looks just as regimented.
https://s3-media2.fl.yelpcdn.com/bphoto/W4Jp1QrsdmGXmogVT8q4...
Each series is a uniform size but that's as much commonality as there is. The height and also depth of each is different. And that's starting from uniformly sized source material; Western graphic novels are even more extremely sized.
(The neat shelves in the sibling comment are mostly not manga, by the way).
It would also have knock-on effects -- by creating Schelling points for what are generally free variables, your water bottles would be more likely to fit in your car's cupholder, your tupperware would fit in the fridge, and so on.
Oh yeah, and you'd be able to ship your cousin's wineglasses using the boxes that your order of hand soap arrived in, and it would pretty much just fit perfectly.
Marketing people don't like that. They want a unique look. Many US state laws requiring some standardization of sizes and fill have been repealed over the last two decades.
[1] https://www.dairyreporter.com/Article/2017/06/09/Four-trends...
I'll grant them that kids do love things they can squeeze. My 18mo loves the baby food pouches. When we're in the store, she'll spot them and grab them off the shelves as we're wheeling by them. We ended up buying resealable pouches that we stuff with home-made food, to cut down on plastic waste.
Pressreader gets close but it only gives you yesterday's print versions (not current online content), it has a few notable gaps which matter to me (the FT, The Times (of London), Bloomberg news among others) and it doesn't really collate different sources for the same story very well. Though I have to say it's great for magazines.
From a user perspective, we're looking to give a holistic view of what's happening around you, regardless of which trusted journalist is posting.
Hopefully we can expand in the near future
The aggregator is 100% the judge of quality but start with access to the highest quality sources and go downward. So everything is editorially decided except how many actually subscribe but since it's access to the best quality, it would be a desirable thing to subscribe to.
Where I can cut off subscriptions easily and with no hassle, maybe one time payments, etc.
For news, shopping, any kind of subscription (Netflix, AWS, etc.).
I want banking-as-a-service. I already trust my bank with my money, I want them to be the middle man between me and the online payment jungle.
You can set a budget to spend among the websites you visit, if they have "signed up" to the service.
Create virtual card numbers, set spending limits, frequency, and burn or pause a "card" at any time.
The reality is that for all but the largest news sites, this model won't really work. Say you're in a medium-small city. Even in your best case scenario of like 50% of the population reading your site, you'd still only likely get such a small sum per-article (10-20k pageviews, maybe?) that you'd still have to supplement revenue with advertising and other revenue streams. And now you're back where you started!
I love the idea, but I just struggle to see it happen at scale.
Advertising and other revenue streams also only pay out per view on a fairly small number of views though, right? Is the problem not that advertising pays more per view than people are willing to in the first place of their own volition?
Likewise, most artists don't make any meaningful money from Spotify.
https://qz.com/1660465/the-way-spotify-and-apple-music-pays-...
That doesn't necessarily follow though. It just means that organizations smaller than NYT or WaPo will make proportionally less money, which would be true of any monetization method. The question is whether you can bring in as many total dollars with such a shared subscription scheme as you could with advertising or some other similar venue.
> Likewise, most artists don't make any meaningful money from Spotify.
And if they would have made meaningful money with CDs, merch, and whatnot then the cause is that people are paying less in aggregate for music via Spotify than they used to from other channels (Spotify's cut might also play a role if the difference is only 2x or something). It's not that Spotify is paying out in proportion to listens, because that was already happening.
You should look at the math in the article I linked. It's proportional to the aggregate of everybody - which basically completely disconnects it from what individual users listen to.
For example: Spotify only has 2 users. User A listens to 10 hours of Drake. User B listens to 90 hours of Kid Cudi. Even though User A and User B both pay $10 and have very exclusively chosen their musical preferences, Kid Cudi gets 90% of the total pool of money.
To put this in another perspective - imagine if someone on Netflix just looped Shit Show A 24/7 and there were 24 other users who watched Good Shit X,Y,Z... for exactly 1 hour every day. Netflix would allocate funding equally between the 1 Shit Show A that the 1 user watched and everything else that the 24 other users watched, even though that 1 show only actually generated 4% of their revenue. It doesn't make sense from a user perspective.
As the numbers increase to the ~100MM paid users of Spotify or Netflix, disparity increases between casual users and power users, it all sort of explodes to amplify all of the earnings to a select few.
What this means is the big guys dominate everything. I realize the music industry has shifted from touring to sell records, to streaming to sell concert tickets - but how do you do that for newspapers? Newspapers can't do anything equivalent to concerts. At that point they're just news stations, which really aren't the same as concerts from a business perspective.
I have actually read the article, and that's wholly compatible with my take on things (that before and after Spotify artists are paid roughly proportionally to how much their music is "used"). There are two interesting points that can create the apparent problem/paradox you're seeing:
(1) It's interesting that a typical power user before Spotify would pay more money for more music, and now there's a flat rate (or counting ads, two flat rates).
(2) The definition of "usage" has shifted a bit. Skipping a lot of details, before recordings people paid per performance, with the introduction of CDs and whatnot people are able to pay per unique song listened to (with power users typically though not necessarily buying more CDs), and Spotify shifts things back so that artists are compensated in terms of total listen time.
It's probably true that power users should pay more (if not, and if artists are appropriately compensated, then everyone else is subsidizing their use), and there can be an interesting discussion around how listeners actually derive value from music and if unique songs matter more than total minutes (or if a more complicated but less explainable metric ought to be used), but the big guys dominating everything is not a new phenomenon.
As an aside, the advertising, distribution channels, and network effects enabling the big guys to dominate everything to the extent they do _is_ moderately new on a human timescale, but that would be true independent of the payment scheme and doesn't seem super relevant to the discussion.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Criticism_of_Spotify
I can't really disagree with anything you said. I just view it from a different perspective.
(1) Inflation adjusted, per capita we spend 5x less for music now than we did 20 years ago. Is that because Spotify doesn't charge power users more? Is it because users won't accept higher rates for song rentals? Regardless of the cause, there's less money to distribute.
(2) Popular music is more popular than ever. For a variety of reasons (some potentially Spotify-induced -- e.g., it's pretty hard for me to get it to recommend somebody who isn't soundly leading a genre it thinks I might be interested in), the top X% of artists are more listened to than ever, and that's going to exacerbate any other problems for the long tail of artists.
(2a) That idea is affecting a lot of industries right now. At some point in recent decades it was easy to be the best <thing> in your local small town or group of peers and get all the business. Plenty of formerly in-person industries are now competing globally though. E.g., I would have a hard time recommending the best ML practitioner in my hometown as a teacher rather than just taking Andrew Ng's courses. I'm not sure how that's going to play out in general, but if the top 1% of the population in any field can make everything we want/need then the idea of having to work for a living might need to be revisited? Maybe we'll eventually all transition to biomedical research when nothing else is scarce? In any event, in the short term a lot of professions are being disrupted.
The sad part is that the $.01 per person rate is way, way higher than what Spotify apparently pays out (around $0.006 to $0.0084 from some Googling).
This starts to look better if you just go to something like $0.25 per read, but at that rate you're likely charging much more than it would cost to buy a print copy, or a per-day subscription rate, so i'm not sure the economics would work out there either.
Apple news costs $120 a year. Basic digital FT is over $350. Premium digital even more.
A bundle of consumer news might work, but you still get the adverse selection problem that the clients most interested also tend to be the clients interested in standalone, expensive subs. So it’s hard to get NYT, WaPo, times of london, etc
There's a huge gap for LaTeX to fill, or to potentially fill, but it's not happening. The other day I saw it described as "a neckbeard knitting circle, not viable software". As a LaTeX "fan", that hurt but it's the truth.
Over the past months, I had to collaborate with various different people across various different organizations. Everything in MS Word. I don't even hate MS Word, it's useful and its dominant position isn't entirely undeserved. But holy cow was working together a gigantic pain in the behind. I really started to loathe it (Excel is far worse and did its part too).
This was all with technical people. They could potentially grasp WYSIWYM approaches like LaTeX. Slap git and CI/CD on top and you're where software developers have been 10 years ago. But my industry is still light years away.
Part of it is how Word "just works". But it takes 5 seconds of using it until it doesn't. If LaTeX was more modern and also approachable (very ugly syntax/language. Could learn from Markdown here), technical folk could ditch Word and really upgrade their workflows. I'm sick of Word templates from 2004.
I don't really have a good, productive, use case for it right now but I really can't wait to try it out. It looks really user friendly, fast, responsive, has a CLI, and it produces some easy to version in git latex files.
A while ago I wanted to create my CV in latex from scratch and gave up after days of trying to get FontAwesome to work (I wanted brand icons and other nice things), so I switched to a setup where I have a HTML webpage that looks like a paper page, and using chromium headless to "print" it to PDF (only works properly with chrome as other browsers have CSS incompatibilities on PDF generation, never mind the bit fart Firefox is doing on android lol). I guess I could try to replace that setup with this tool, it seems to have a export to PDF/HTML and a CLI interface for exports. Fingers crossed all goes well and hopefully it's customizable enough for the job. This will keep me busy/entertained for a while :).
I used to work at a bank where we had to collaborate on Word documents stored in SharePoint. It was a nightmare. In SharePoint you are supposed to "check out" documents, edit them, and "check in" the document afterward. The problem was that SharePoint was slow, so it was more convenient to work from local copies. And many people couldn't resist the urge to send documents as attachments when requesting feedback from someone else, thus breaking the version control system. And if someone already had "checked out" the document, there was nothing stopping someone from just working from a local copy, making changes, emailing it to me, and saying "Incorporate these changes into the final version."
It was common for someone to work from an outdated version and accidentally overwrite someone else's changes. Even though SharePoint stored every version, it was still a lot of manual work on my part to be a human git, manually combine edits from multiple reviewers, and update revision history tables on the first few pages of every document because nobody else had the time to do that. There were a lot of manual, human errors introduced by me and others. Partly because sometimes people would make minor changes without updating the version of the document, and then you'd have no idea that you were looking at an older version.
I use git for docs version control now, and sometimes I think of ways to make documentation controlled by git while still making it user friendly for non-technical people to contribute to it. What if you could send someone a file as an attachment, they could edit it locally (perhaps in Markdown or similar, with a text editor that has a Markdown preview), then open it in a special text editor let them click a button that would make a pull request for them without them having to understand anything about git? Maybe the special text editor would also notify them as soon as the doc became outdated.
And if even that was too hard, maybe they could save changes, return it to the sender as an email attachment, then the recipient could quicky make a pull request.
It would be glorious.
Google docs works pretty well, but I wish it had more friction to download documents in office formats. People are quick to start working on local copies as soon as they miss some minor feature in word and you end up with the same problem you described. I think my perfect tool would not even export to word.
I agree sharepoint is awful and it's even worse now that it's baked into teams and people are using it without even realizing it.
I was thinking about LaTeX and if it could solve a problem for us in in my search I came across this:
I considered trying to get us to standardize on LaTeX and git for document management, but delayed that decision in favor of "get started with Word first and get people used to writing at all". Once we went forced-remote and started using the online comment features, I don't see an equivalently accessible means to do that in tex.
I doubt that most offices would benefit from teaching their employees that instead of just hitting control-B to bold some text, they should now do \textbf{foo}, or that quotes should now be types ``like this''. If you need the huge array of features (which is typically only the case in the context of academic publishing), then it's worth making the investment to learn. But for 99% of corporate documents, Word likely can do what you need with much less pain.
Btw. I linked before a link to usable Markdown variations for academic papers which use LaTeX as a mix in only when necessary.
Word is a horrible format too, which explains why conversion is problematic in both directions.
Asciidoctor is a good modern proposition that can handle more than markdown can, but it’s not without shortcomings. Unfortunately markdown, asciidoc, rst and friends have been focusing too much on publishing to the web. Conversion to PDF is mostly over html (in some cases by firing chromium in the background) and the results are not as great.
It is difficult to compete with Word for non-technical people, if the alternative is to install and learn multiple tools, configure a dev environment and setup build toolchains.
I think you've answered it yourself. Also damning is that groff doesn't support UTF-8 directly.
Most groff guides only do very basic formatting. Complex math/equation layout can be awful. Image files apparently need to be ps/eps. I just keep running into issues.
There's also no accessible ecosystem for groff. CTAN. Code highlighting (ideally, I want to use pygments - i guess i could write a backend if i was really invested). TikZ is great and something I've invested in a lot. Bibliography management. Also, not an issue for me, but an issue for adoption is Windows support.
As for competing with Word's workflow, at least with some TeX variant I have a chance. Installer frameworks. Editors with previews. So a few GiB to not run into these limitations sounds worth it to me to be productive.
I'm not saying groff couldn't be used for complex stuff, but I wouldn't know where to begin, or want to work around all those limitations.
The authors of eqn wrote a paper about it: "Typesetting Mathematics" by Brian Kernighan and Lorinda Cherry. Kernighan also wrote two manuals (one in 1976 with a revision in 1992, and one in 2007 with updates for the Plan 9 version). [5].
[0] utf8 was developed by Ken Thompson and Rob Pike during the creation of Plan9. The entire OS is compatible. Story here: http://doc.cat-v.org/bell_labs/utf-8_history
[1] http://man.cat-v.org/plan_9/1/eqn
[2] https://github.com/aligrudi/neatroff
[3] PDF manual for neatroff: http://litcave.rudi.ir/neatroff.pdf
[4] https://n-t-roff.github.io/heirloom/doctools.html
[5] These (and more) can be found here: http://www.kohala.com/start/troff/troff.html
this is maybe slightly unfair, since i don't use TeX or even LaTeX, but XeTeX/XeLaTeX. however, those work out of the box with MacTeX/MiKTeX. i just want pretty PDFs.
You should at least check out the neateqn guide for examples of math typesetting (even output in Computer Modern). But the original guide, as well as the others will show many more and different examples. These aren't groff guides. You might be surprised.
> Warning — square roots of tall quantities look lousy, because a root-sign big enough to cover the quantity is too dark and heavy
The solution is naturally to rewrite big roots as powers.
pic does seem close to Tikz, although I had to look in the GNU pic doco to figure out how to do colors. Even then, transparency didn't seem to be supported?
Heirloom actually looks the most useful/mature. At least the output looks pretty/someone cared enough to make the example files pretty, there's actual documentation. Limitations are still there (having to convert bitmaps to EPS?). I will say I'm at least slightly impressed by `gpresent`, which is like beamer (so for making presentations), and built-in hyphenation support.
I still don't get Neatroff. It's compatible with/implements a lot that Heirloom does, but then the font support is worse again? It's an impressive project though, the source is very readable, and RTL/LTR support. Less impressive is the lack of a license - I think it's ISC, based on a single comment, but who knows?
---
A repository and a makefile are distinctly different than an installer. Random macro packages that may or may not be on GitHub are different than `tlmgr`. Piping stuff around and having to convert images is different than just one command. GUI editors. Example documents (like https://texample.net/). That is what I mean by ecosystem.
XeTeX outputs PDFs by default (granted, via xdvipdfmx), and can also include bitmaps directly (again, granted it needs graphicx or something). All TeX stuff isn't without it's warts, and seems overly complex (pdfTeX/XeTeX/XeLaTex/LuaTeX/ConTeXt, etc). But in practice, it kinda somehow just works (until it doesn't).
---
My interest in neatroff is mostly the code itself. A tiny and opinionated project with readable source that still achieves quite a lot (all that I need anyways). But it's definitely not for everyone! The author doesn't use a windowing system, for example, and instead uses the framebuffer for pdf viewing and editing (both custom implementations). It is ISC, by the way. It's included in the bottom of the readme.
A hybridization of Overleaf and LyX could be pretty incredible.
That's the holy grail of text processors for me.
Unfortunately the TeX rendering engine doesn't cache partial computations and every single keystroke requires calling the full rendering pipeline.
Mostly, if people do talk about social etiquette, it's within the context of not explicitly pissing people off, or looking good to your boss. I've never seen anyone talk about actually having good social interactions online.
I've had a few friends change jobs during the pandemic, and the thing they immediately tell me is that none of them have made any friends at work since starting virtually. They all just work on their own tickets, and whatever collaboration there is, is pretty transactional.
Zoom "happy hours" pretty much get dominated by two or three voices (usually of the most senior people) and everyone else just listens, because you can't have 2 conversations at a time. I've heard a bunch of the most cringeworthy techniques that managements have tried, to enhance socialization among employees.
In person, some things are pretty obvious. If someone is new, usually a good team will invite you into the conversation somehow. It would be weird if you got to your office and sat down and for days no one asked you anything about yourself. But it's perfectly fine to log into slack and have no DMs for weeks or even months.
I have had to rise to the occasion, and facilitate icebreakers with new hires of other teams (that work with my team).
Their managers thought nothing of directing the new hires to slack and email a handful of strangers.
The companies or individuals that had successfully implemented remote work prior to the pandemic, I think are dealing with it better.
The best tip I read was from the Zapier remote work ‘guide’, to use the Slack giphy add-on, because it is easier to convey emotions via an animated gif versus text.
Of course, it was a major setback when we had to ban it for inappropriate use.
I agree, but I’d say >95% of management is completely unprepared to deal with remote work right now, and it doesn’t seem like they’re getting much better.
Should they have known better? 100%
It was pretty cool because after we broke into groups I got to have some lighthearted small talk with the company CEO (I work at a 10000+ people company), which felt really neat to me as just a SWE a few management detached from execs, and I don’t think it would have happened pre-pandemic.
Alternatively, we had another “happy hour” organized by a different team that was like you said, 100+ folks with just a few of the most popular (or maybe just gregarious?) people cracking jokes and taking center stage, like a high school dance where a few people are dancing and everyone else awkwardly stands on the sidelines.
I noticed some people like to work on their own, while others like to work as small teams, or do peer programming sessions or whatnot.
Maybe you could try to find similarly minded people within your team.
I can understand why some people wouldn't enjoy that environment but a focused workday then a chatty short lunchtime walk sounds like an enjoyable work environment for people like myself.
This is definitely a problem and my co founder and I wanted to solve it. We tried a bunch of stuff, but one thing that we noticed was that we were playing a lot more casual games with our friends and family since the pandemic. It was pretty enjoyable. We tried the same with our colleagues and it was definitely much better than a Zoom happy hour. The game provides some structure which removes the awkwardness and there is some amount of participation from everyone on the call. We are now working on a product (https://getlounge.app/) that helps teams organize these game happy hours.
They tried to do “zoom happy hours” where I work, and this was exactly what happened. The two people who were usually the loudest in the office, just ended up talking to each other.
They would quite often stop and say “it feels like we’re the only one talking here”, and then go on talking.
Of course you’re the only one talking, you never stop talking. It’s impossible to get a word in. If you want others to participate, give them a chance, there’s often a small delay, so giving them 2 or 3 seconds to respond would help.
Still I think there's room for more: I'm not that interesting, it just seems that many people want someone to say something.
In video calls it’s much harder to pick up signs that someone wants to say something.
It’s a space were you can walk around freely, have proximity-based audio volume, and your head is your webcam.
150,000 people die every day, and 2/3 of them die of age related diseases. The developed world and China are racing towards a demographic nightmare where fewer and fewer people are left to take care of the elderly. The older someone becomes, the more of a burden they become on the young. As people get older they begin to develop the diseases of old age and have an increasingly pain-filled life. People are forced to save for a future where they have enough to survive for a few years and then pay to have someone take care of them, instead of doing what they actually want to do.
Why are we not all collectively trying to solve this problem? Dying of age related diseases is as natural as dying from malaria or childbirth, yet we try to solve those issues and pretend age related diseases are inevitable. COVID largely shut the world down because the largest risk factor for complications is how old someone is. The gains in productivity alone should make human longevity the number one priority for every government.
I also think it would solve climate change because if you expected to live much longer, the obvious problems are no longer just future generations problems.
IMO it's a subconscious projection of the fact that we do _not_ live meaningful lives in our day to day, and so we fixate on a fantastical (yet inspiring, universal) compensation of extending it forever.
"Left to take care of the elderly" suggests we don't value life in the first place. Why extend it further?
We might not end up as immortals but doesn't mean it's pointless to try to live a longer and healthier life.
So, not longevity, then, but extension of the span of healthy life?
It's possible to imagine health-extending treaments (artificial joints and organs (heart), lung flushes) that don't extend lifespan). We already have treatments that can extend people's lives without health. (Unsuccessful chemotherapy, for one; insulin for type 2 diabetes mellitus, for another.)
Usually people imply extending both healthspan and lifespan when they talk about longevity.
People are trying. We want to cure cancer, and find effective general-purpose antivirals, and help people maintain healthy bodies, and figure out how to repair hearts, and cure diabetes, and fix autoimmune disorders, and figure out general-purpose gene therapies, and work out what exactly is up with the gut microbiome, and make prosthetic ears/eyes/etc, and then there's the brain...
There's only so much that you can do with the technology we have right now. Advances in other fields will eventually help, but you can't just spend a trillion dollars and make people live an extra decade.
Anyways, wouldn't significantly longer-lived people exacerbate climate change? You'd have many more people on the planet, and individuals would accumulate much more total wealth to spend on wasteful consumer goods thanks to the power of compound interest.
As a collective, we try. But are we really trying as hard as we should be? Companies have influenced the public and even health research to be in favor of sugar. I'm pretty sure the rate of diabetes is going up and that doesn't help. Companies contributing to global warming have influenced policies and discredited science they knew would harm their businesses.
There are plenty of smart people doing what they think is best for us, but then there is also greed that hinders us. Sure some of us are trying, but not even close to as much as we should be. The money just isn't there.
> but you can't just spend a trillion dollars and make people live an extra decade.
This I don't get though. Why not? We already do that. Making people healthier for longer is a massive win.
It's like growing a factory. expanding the bandwidth on one component, just pushes the bottleneck elsewhere.
If we cure cancer, at best we're adding a few years to the average lifespan before something else kills you off. If we rejuvenate the immune system to that of a 20 year old, not only are those cancerous cells far more likely to be killed off at an earlier stage, but also prevent a ton of other age related diseases.
I don't think it's something that should just have a blank cheque written for it, but I think that governments should encourage young people to become researchers in the field and should spend far more resources on basic science. We can change the incentives for insurance companies to pay for preventing diabetes instead of treating it.
Climate change is solvable - it requires both research and effort to get us there. Many people are simply not willing to sacrifice to solve it since it won't affect them. We also have tons of older people who go from producers to consumers, and are not contributing to fixing climate change. A 75 year old can be building windmills instead of hanging out on a golf cart in florida. A research scientist can continue their work instead of experiencing cognitive decline. We'd probably experience a short term increase in carbon emissions but I think the long term trend would be much lower since we'll get past the technological hurtles quicker with more people working on the problem.
I feel the extension of young and healthy life (ideally to infinity) is a number one priority.
Surprisingly, people almost always strongly oppose when I just start expressing my views. I never understood this.
Wouldn't it be nice to see Mars colonized and terraformed? Wouldn't it be great to see the completion of a Dyson swarm and using 100 % of the Sun energy for some ultra-mega-project we can't even fathom yet? Wouldn't it be cool to see the spectacular Betelgeuse star going supernova show in 10 000 years? Wouldn't it be awesome to witness full Milky Way galaxy colonization?
If I would ever become an Earth dictator, I'd use all available resources to fight ageing :).
This is if biological aging could be _fully_ fixed, the first steps are rather to live a healthier life a bit longer.
Hundreds of thousands of years would be utterly unpredictable given how big the scale change is (fun though the idea of star-lifting is), but a few thousand years is definitely still in the range of learning to master skills that I admire others demonstrating.
I don't have the exact number, but without aging, we'd statistically only live until ~1000 on average before getting hit by a bus or choking on a bite of steak.
* Kurzgesagt: How to Cure Aging – During Your Lifetime? (7:20) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MjdpR-TY6QU
* Kurzgesagt: Why Age? Should We End Aging Forever? (6:48) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GoJsr4IwCm4
* Why we should cure ageing (11:30) - Heads up, it's a book intro https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tNn-2TXzSaA
* Ageless: The New Science of Getting Older Without Getting Old (Book, not yet released in the US) https://andrewsteele.co.uk/ageless/
* Lifespan: Why we age and why we don't have to (book) https://www.amazon.com/Lifespan-Why-Age_and-Dont-Have/dp/150...
* Google talk: Why We Age and Why We Don't Have To (55:13) - By the author of the book https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9nXop2lLDa4
Edit:
* If you wish to contribute to this kind of research make sure to check out SENS: https://www.sens.org/
Science advances one funeral at a time and so does perhaps also humanity in general.
(That's not to say that I didn't wish that friends or family lived long lives, but that's not the point here of course.)
This is of course included in that and we're already seeing some research into it. To prolong life itself isn't a goal if we can't keep healthy, and the brain is part of that.
If we slow down or reverse aging the brain won't deteriorate either. It's all about solving the root cause of why our bodies and mind fails us over time.
If everyone has been rejuvenated, then age would no longer matter. Someone who is 100 can have just as valid opinion as someone who is 25. Better yet, someone who is 100 will still able to contribute intellectually rather than needing to be taken care of by someone younger.
I understand the fear of a geneontocracy, but I think it's unfounded. New people will still be born, older people will get tired of living and opt to end their lives. If age no longer matters, the range of people in ones social group would only expand. The only advantage longer lives people would have is wealth and influence. We can solve the former with taxation and the latter is more dependent on the individual.
Helping people in developing countries and curing aging in not mutually exclusive the way I see it, they can be done in parallel. They also usually require very different skills and usually have different budgets for example.
I don't want to take resources away from helping the poor but rather see more focus in the medical world towards aging/longevity. Rather than spending a lot of money on trying to cure (for example) Alzheimer's decease I'd like to see more of those resources spent on trying to solve aging, which seems to be the root cause of Alzheimer's (and many other deceases.)
Does that make sense? Or maybe I misunderstood you again.
The birth rate in the developed world is way below replacement, so unless we import workers through immigration, there will be fewer workers to take care of the previous generation.
This seems like a shortcut to hell on earth.
Who do you think will have the means to pay for this first?
It won't be the saints, it will be the greediest ones.
So we (or rather out descendants) would probably be stuck with a ruling class of demigods.
Why?
1. They were already pretty well off (since they are the ones who can pay for this treatment in the first place.
2. Now they suddenly also have all the time they want and need.
3. They will now have generations to build alliances etc.
Within three generations no normal person has a chance anymore.
Also for many of those persons I guess it will become nightmarish after a while: the though of dying from a car crash at age 100 probably feels much worse if you are planning to live forever than if you know your lifespan is lifespan.
If treatments become available, the pressure to make it available to everyone will be immense. Consider how much of a government budget goes to health care and how much productivity and resources are wasted on those who have exited the workforce due to age. It will be economic and political suicide not to ensure everyone gets access to anti-aging treatments.
As for a ruling class, the problem exists with or without anti-aging treatments. We're already moving to a world where more wealth is concentrated with fewer people. The solution to this is to demand taxation on wealth and enforce it globally.
I can think of ways around this, but none that I want to recommend, and I never hear proponents of longevity research mention it.
This is the example we gave to the upcoming generations, we're fucked when it's our turn lol.
I've been reflecting a lot on this, and thinking of ways to solve this, but it's not easy - it's bigger than infrastructure or tech... it's a social problem.
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/12/pandemic-...
My buddy is a latino and as soon as the elders got too old, they just moved in to the family house and their needs were met.
* I do understand that some level of care is unable to be met by normal families but I'm talking about the situations where its really just room, board, food, and love.
Of course there are other social problems, and inequalities, like racism, unemployment, sexism... but the difference is that these groups still have strength and a voice. The vulnerable groups are exposed and left at the waves of the society.
While people were complaining because they had to stay some weeks inside, you have countries where the elder are still in isolation after 9 months, only to finally get the virus to creep in slowly and start to wipe a lot of them. It's borderline criminal.
It's sad, and it makes me worried for when it will be my turn. If we're this detached from the problems of old age, we won't have a good end.
The earliest Christians followed principles described in this first century document here: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Didache
The most famous at the time was loving neighbor as self. Pagans at the time left the sick to die in the streets. This is one reason Christianity had such a positive feedback loop for community life that it became generally the world’s largest belief system.
The difference of course is that the cultural hegemony of christianity has made charity expected
The "old way" is the current way. It hasn't changed, which is why we needed socialist programs like Social Security. Why? We live in a high trust society that is more individualistic. Families in low trust societies tend to adopt a more "clan" like mentality where you even know your distant cousins pretty well, see your cousins on a regular basis, and it's common for three or more generations to live in the same building. Why? Because in a low trust society, you will lean more on people who are related by blood when it's harder to rely on 3rd parties like the government or anyone not related to you. Conversely, we don't have that issue, so our families tend to be more distant.
LTC insurance is a scam. They will do everything they can to not pay, and most LTC facilities have an organizational structure that makes that possible.
There are tons of quack doctors in Japan. Apparently to be a doctor here is much easier than some other places. I love (I think) that it's relatively inexpensive (via price controls) and that their is government medical insurance so it's relatively easy to get covered. I'm not so sure I like that if you want a skilled surgeon you need to bribe them.
I would add not just elderly care, but appropriate regulation of facilities that provide elderly care. Evidently, the standard business practice is to not just own the nursing home, but the businesses surrounding it, which are used to siphon money away from the facility. As an example, a separate legal entity owns the building and leases it back at a high rate, or the laundry and over charges, or the medical equipment and over charges, etc. It makes the facility look like they're losing money, but in fact the owning conglomerate profits handsomely:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/07/business/coronavirus-nurs...
https://prospect.org/familycare/the-corporatization-of-nursi...
The net affect is that the facilities themselves are incredibly understaffed and that leads to poor care and massive number of medical errors. As someone who's dealt with both assisted living and nursing home with my own family, it's incredibly frustrating.
Gigabit internet, house Slack, LAN parties, VR gear, zoom calls with family, rigs for new members... create house guilds. Set the tenants up with streaming setups and let them have fun.
I don't think the gear would be prohibitively expensive given the cost of nursing care.
Nursing homes don't have to feel like you are giving up on life. A tech'd out nursing home could be absolutely kick ass.
It seems like the system works really need to change to get your dream to a reality
It would probably be more successful in 40-50 years when millennials start checking in to nursing homes, although who's to say we won't be as out of touch as the current generation of residents are.
And some folks just didn't move out of bed much because it was so labor intensive.
We need robots and lots of other tech.
That said, there are some cool hospital beds that are like Transformers. For example, you can get hospital beds that not only tilt and let you sit up in bed - but they can basically turn into a chair or help you get out.
(do an image search for "hil rom p1900")
It is definitely a step up from a nursing home, especially for people who would like to live with their family or chosen roommates.
It’s better than most nursing homes. My siblings and I grew up with the residents and were quite attached to them when we were younger. It’s a hard job though and the systems aren’t set up to support you. Full commercial fire systems are required for what is otherwise residential housing. Of course to my mother it’s more of a mission than anything else.
Um, yes? That's what happens when you get old. It's not lack of humanity, it's just reality.
I see no infrastructure, or tech, or social changes that will stop people from getting old and dying.
On the other hand this culture has problems as well. It's not easy to take care of old. When children move out, often because of their own children, unless at least one kid is very happy to take care of now very old parents, it becomes a great question which kid they can live with.
I never really understood the culture of adult kids and old parents living all separately as a way of life. What's considered wrong with living with your parents or keeping them with you?
It would also be a whalefall for the hosted vm industry if it caught on, which is why I'm surprised it isn't being worked on by Amazon or similar. The only company I know of working on this is Urbit, which seems at this point unlikely to take off for a variety of reasons.
I'm pretty happy with proxmox - apparently lots of people use the LXC appliances.
Not knocking the nas's btw, I really like them because they do make it relatively simple to do a whole swathe of the common services, but it's only simple to me because I know how to do it by hand. A non technical person won't even understand the terminology.
That said.. I did wonder whether the deployment of solar and batteries to many homes might eventually also enable the deployment of edge services to per home servers. Right now the power draw prob makes in unworkable, as do maintenance costs.. but won't someone think of the reduced latency?
Sure, and digital cameras used to be challenging for non-techies to use, and you used to need to understand port forwarding to use ICQ. There's no law that it needs to stay that way. It would take a lot of work, but the benefits would be enormous.
I guess to put it another way, what I'm saying is, when I take a cute picture of my kids and want to send it to Grandma, what I want to do is put it on a $5/mo VPS instead of putting it on Facebook for free (or "free"). But I also don't want to be a part-time sysadmin or set up a private blog and configure it and walk Grandma through authenticating to it - I want it to just work. Which raises the obvious question, "Well who will pay to make this amazing software?" which has an equally obvious answer: whoever sells $5/mo VPSes.
edit to add: I personally would run such a thing on the server in my basement, but the realistic way for such a thing to exist (both in the sense of someone paying to develop it, and in the sense of millions of people to use it) is for it to be mainly run on cheapo cloud instances. It is the answer to the question "What use would a non-technical person have for their own cloud server?" which is a question I would think that Bezos et al would very much like to answer.
There are a lot of tools that do parts of this but connecting it all is a lot of work and in the end you probably end up with something hacky.
This is the closest project I can think of.
There is also nextcloud which is more a all in one product.
Extremely simplified, all you need to do is drill a hole deep enough for a high temperature difference. Then stick in two pipes, on for sending water down, one for steam to come up. Run a turbine, add a valve to regulate how much water you want to converted into steam to be able to regulate output, enjoy your first mover advantage and price the competition out of the market.
... It's not that I do not understand that it's a lot more complicated than that - but I'm puzzled that noone is doing it on a much bigger scale.
Oil companies are the ones at the forefront of deep drilling technology,
They know that "Oil is bad" and that oil is going to run out. I'd like them to stop drilling for oil completely - but even if they keep pumping oil, why do they not cash in on this additional front and enjoy money and good PR.
There is a form of geothermal energy generation that is being used here, that injects water into the ground and taps into the heated water. This is somewhat similar to the way fracking is performed to extract oil and gas from the ground, but it's not the only method.
But to your point - to me it is surprising that these issues aren't being "worked on more".
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Naval_Air_Weapons_Station_Chin...
Could you imagine if "causes F-4 tornadoes" or "causes "golf-ball-sized hail" were just normal things that new tech might cause?
The issue is we are still heavily dependent on non-intermitent energy generation. Which for now is mostly Coal and Gas Power Plants. Coal is extremely poluting and Natural Gas is both polluting and has a geo-political mess of supliers.
Fusion is still years in the future and if even if there was a political will for nuclear it cannot be realistically rolled out quickly enough to decomission coal in terms of climate damage.
Without knowing all the details it seems like a much easier problem to solve:
- Get 24/7 heat out of deeper earth's crust without 'fracking' earthquake's
Vs
- Energy efficient time sustained nuclear fusion
As a bonus, if I'm allowed to be completely cynical, geo-thermal could enable much of the Oil and Gas drilling technology and know-how to transition to a new industry, giving them an exit strategy rather than continue this tactic of agressive lobbying and squeezing the final dollars out of the Petro-Chemical industry at the cost of Human Future.
One might have imagined an environment in which geothermal replaced (say) diesel at remote locations, because diesel fuel is expensive. But add some wind/solar/batteries to that diesel and you save most of the fuel. The benefit of replacing it with geothermal is reduced.
One nice advantage is it draws on skills common to the oil and gas industries.
The author, Dave Roberts, is a reliable read in the energy world and has recently launched a Substack dedicated to energy.
[1] https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2020/10/21/215154...
Graphene has exceptionally high thermal conductivity, 12000x of copper:
https://futurism.com/thanks-to-graphene-we-may-harness-the-l...
>There's plenty of asteroids rich in gold/titanium just floating around. All you have to do is bring them here.
No way geothermal will be cost competitive. Even if it has promise in today's marketplace, by the time you get the project completed solar/wind will have dropped in price 50% or more.
It's the same reason that nuclear projects should only be in research for another 10 years. Once the solar/wind hockey stick plateaus, then you have a rational target for these other alternative energy projects to pursue.
A hole in the ground is more useful for cooling in hot climates. You can use a well as a heat sink for air conditioning.
Payoff for such investment to break even with more basic forms of heating is around 5-10 years in cold northern europe climates. Sadly most people have shorter foresight than that when it comes to economic planning.
Nevada in general is basically a giant blob of hot springs when looking at a hot spring map, which makes me strongly suspect that it could be a major geothermal energy hub for the Western US. Plus, pretty much all of it's desert, which is perfect for solar, too.
So, the US number is on my Google Fi account that I pay to keep active and I get a prepaid SIM card for Hong Kong. I can switch the SIM cards if I travel back.
But why? We have two semi-independent networks, one for voice and one for data. The voice one is arcane, region-locked (local numbers cannot easily or cheaply make international calls), and subject to all sorts of restrictions and regulations.
The data network can send and receive data to anyone, anywhere in the the world, for practically free. Why are we even bothering with the legacy voice network at this point? Why can't I get one number that works anywhere in the world? Google Fi kind of does. It's great if you live in the US and travel a lot, but I've heard that if you're living outside the US and use it outside the US too much, they'll shut down your account.
Even porting the number to Google Voice isn't a solution. It only works in a few select countries and of course Google might decide to just shut it down at any time, so who knows.
Internet speeds are more than fast enough now even on mobile in most of the world that you should be able to handle voice calls with a data-only plan. If someone figured out the backend to connect it to the legacy telephone system, to just have one phone number that is independent of a carrier that you can access from anywhere with an Internet connection, they'd make a killing.
Also the backhaul of mobile networks is usually VoIP (references to this on Wikipedia date back to 2011 [1]), i.e. even calls starting and ending over the old analog network are converted to VoIP in between.
So what's stopping us is not technology, but exactly these local carriers with their national phone numbers and often also national law around selling these services (e.g. in Japan you need to identify yourself as a resident to buy a phone number). Why do we still need carriers? Because they are operating the local physical infrastructure necessary to connect your phone to the network.
So the problem to solve is to cooperate on an international level to use the physical infrastructure of a country/carrier free of charge while you are paying a different carrier in another country. We just recently (~2 years back?) "solved" this in Europe ("solved" because it only works within time limits generous enough for long term travel but not for permanent relocation). It will eventually happen on a global scale.
[1] https://web.archive.org/web/20110809025050/http://www.eetime...
I'd be happy to pay a local carrier for a data connection using their infrastructure. What I'm imagining is an app that lets me get a local phone number anywhere. Calls and texts to that number ring and show up in the app. If I move to a new place, I just get a new SIM card for data and create a new local phone number in the app.
WhatsApp is almost this, except it doesn't manage any of the phone numbers, and I'd really prefer to use something that I can pay for that isn't owned by Facebook. I've taken to giving people in Hong Kong my US number as well since that's what is tied to my WhatsApp account and there is a 90% chance that if anyone here is going to try to contact you, they'll do it through WhatsApp.
There are several such apps in the iOS and Android app stores. They work reasonably well.
I'm also somewhat surprised there isn't a standard for this (maybe one is being worked on) so that all services and register for the standard to let me connect.
Further, I'm surprised there isn't work to let me register some contact info in a global way. As it is, when I move, I have to contact 15-30 companies and update my address. Why I can't I just do that in one place and the companies can use the info live?
Yes, I get here are all kinds of privacy issues. Still, there must be some solution. For example, id service providers let me login, change my address, and then select which companies that I've registered to that id get my new address, etc.... I'm going to tell them anyway, just make it less tedious to do it.
Emergency services. You can't call an ambulance via Zoom. Even if 911 supported Zoom, Zoom probably won't support 911 because they don't want to be held liable if people die because of a Zoom outage.
Earlier this week, the FCC Fined CenturyLink $400,000 and West Safety Communications $175,000 for a multi-state 911 outage that occurred in August 2018. To resolve the dispute, both companies also entered into a Compliance Plan.
https://www.beyondtelecomlawblog.com/fcc-fines-companies-for...
Not to mention rural communities without adequate cell service.
But I've lost count at the number of times all these things have failed me at work and in my personal life, where I've had to resort to "telecom" (just making a voice call, although I do know it's still VoIP, but there are different quality of service considerations and carriers always prioritize these)
Not surprisingly most vendors also dropped support for this merely in favor of lock-in.
Because the government helped to create it, so that it was easy to track and intercept, and there's a lot of infrastructure around those purposes, when they want to use them.
Cure for hair-loss.
Some might say it's just vanity, but if someone could come up with a cure, and sell it affordably, that would be a multi-billion, maybe even trillion dollar industry.
Going from quite balding (NW4-NW7 in balding terminology) to a full head of hair makes most guys look a solid 10-20 years younger.
The hair-loss industry has been in a permanent state of "in 5 years..." for 30 years now.
And yes, I know there are more pressing issues in the world of medicine, but it's a real problem for tens of millions of people.
The holy grail would be a pill or lotion you could take and truly stop/reverse hair loss. There are some existing pills (finasteride) and lotions (rogaine) but they don't work for many, and have their own issues as well.
Hair loss is important in the IT field because age is frowned upon in our industry. It directly affects our career.
Fields like medicine and law value age. I'm jealous of those of fields. In IT you have a grey arrow on your back and have to consciously try to counter it, such as acting enthusiastic about dumb fads that management falls for.
Youngbees don't know better and lick them up with a smile: "Yum yum, block-chain q-bit microservice no-sql serverless node.js++ for our little contract tracking app! Woohoo!" I know better, but STFU to not look like an old-tech-loving geezer.
Today, just to stall your hair-loss / keep hair, you'll need to be on minoxidil (foam / liquid, twice a day) and finasteride and/or dutasteride (pill). Though many will use more products - and as of lately, microneedling your scalp has gained popularity.
Some of these meds have adverse health effects, but in the end - they can be expensive and time-consuming, and results range from poor/no effect, to good.
A hair-transplant could cost you between $10k-$50k, depending on where you get one. Musk has had a HT, but probably needs to stay on the meds mentioned above, to halt any other loss that's going on.
Long story short: The current solutions are expensive and time consuming. It becomes a lifestyle / daily routine, like with other chronic illnesses. And the effects can disappear if/when you can no longer afford them.
That's just your opinion though. It's certainly not mine. In fact, I think bald people look cool. I also think a lot of them have much more confidence in themselves than I do and I have a full set of hair.
All people have hills to climb, though. I just wish people who are insecure because of their lack of fur on top wasn't. Only douche-bags will ever hold that against you. Don't try to please those people. They are jerks.
Not everyone can have hair.
The improvement in atteractiveness from losing weight for the “average” USA person far exceeds hair.
So if you want to look better focus on what you can control and lose body fat.
Not really true. Some people's genetics make it difficult for a 6 pack to show even at a low body fat %.
> Not everyone can have hair
I mean, this is the whole problem that is trying to be solved here.
Imagine if everyone _could_ have hair!
The entire history of human progress is about finding solutions to problems that seemed like they couldn't be solved. Humans will always try to shape reality to their liking.
Person's baldness was given to them at birth. They had no say in it just like the pigmentation color. What's the objective difference?
Not everyone with hair looks good. The ugliest person ever was probably one with hair on top.
>> some people have faces that look young instead of manly
Some women absolutely love a boyish look. Some men too.
>> Plenty of reasons men still hate losing hair.
Men with hair hate their lives just as much.
Perspective, perspective, perspective.
Like it or not, bald women are a taboo in our society.
I'm glad it's not that easy... I can see the "pranks gone wrong", the "ex-boy friend revenge" and the "shave-your-kid facebook 6-month trend" potential of this..
Good point. The fact that it would be multi-billion industry means that it's probably super hard. I may be wrong but when people claim we're on the verge of curing ageing, I like to point that we're not even able to cure hair-loss.
I'm a doctor, if that makes a difference.
It's not that fixing hair would improve heart health, but that on a systemic level improving heart health could prevent balding.
[1] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25632043/Anyway, that's the opposite of what you said before. Treating heart to improve balding is not the same as treating balding to improve heart.
And finasteride is not a cure for balding. At best it slows it, with variable results among different people.
It's not simple to address something like this. Either you have to replace the follicles (e.g. transplant surgery), or mess around with people's androgens (right now, we can only do that pharmacologically). Drugs that affect people's hormones have a tendency of having longer-lasting effects than those that affect neurotransmitters, which makes treating a cosmetic condition with them somewhat iffy from a "first do no harm" perspective.
Minoxidil (topical) and Finasteride (oral) are the two most reliable pharmaceuticals for pattern hair loss.
- We don't actually understand how minoxidil works, but it probably stimulates blood flow to hair follicles that are going dormant, buying a little more time. It's fairly safe side effects wise, but only addresses some forms of balding (top of head, smaller areas).
- Finasteride affects the production of DHT in men, which can halt or even reverse male pattern hair loss - but a very small subset of patients experience loss of sexual function as a side effect, which can be permanent. This makes it iffy to recommend to everyone without reservation.
The worst thing about both of these medications is that they have to be taken regularly, or else the hair loss will resume.
Until we more fine-tuned ways of tinkering with people's hormones or editing their genes, I don't think that we'll have a truly consequence-free cure for hair loss. Medical technology is just not there yet.
...That said, you're absolutely right that there's a lot of money in selling people cures for hair loss. In fact, if you just take the two drugs I mentioned above, explain them to men on the internet in clear language, and charge a small premium (3x the price of generic) to sell it to them... Boom! You got yerself a startup that just raised a $47M Round B! https://www.keeps.com/
Edit: Just searched up synthetic hair implants
The FDA banned the synthetic fibers in the US in 1983. The ban resulted because widespread use in the 1970s led to numerous complications including recurrent infections, rejection, contact dermatitis, granulomatous hypersensitivity reactions and cyst formation. Not to mention frequent loss of fibers from breakage.
The synthetic fibers continue to be manufactured in Europe where they are still in use.
Check out this website with an unfortunate name for more info https://www.hairlosscure2020.com/artificial-hair-implants/
I’m still a bit surprised nobody is trying to tissue-culture skin with follicles that don’t go bald in the same way. Artists have already done the tissue culture part with a different goal in mind, and the tech in this area has been developing rapidly: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Victimless_Leather
[0] https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsob.190010
For a long time Becker's book was about the only thing out there: "The Body Electric: Electromagnetism and the Foundation of Life" by Robert O. Becker https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Body_Electric_(book)
Now there's pretty serious progress being made at Levin's lab: "What Bodies Think About: Bioelectric Computation Outside the Nervous System" talk by Michael Levin https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RjD1aLm4Thg https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18736698
We get surgery without blinking all the time in this country, and the most common types are incredibly safe. You make leg replacement on the order of knee or hip joint replacement surgery, and you’ll have people beating down your door.
I know there is the whole difficulty with nerves and what not, but I think at least half of my and my wife's families and extended families have back problems.
Ag is the material basis of human society. We have to stop destroying soil. We have to stop poisoning ecosystems. We have to minimize artificial fertilizer inputs. We have to stop emitting and start sequestering atmospheric carbon to mitigate climate instability.
If we don't do this we will likely see widespread crop failures and food shortages within 50 years. Land use practices must be reformed to protect soil health. Agriculture must become carbon negative. It may be possible to tweak crops to increase CO2 incorporation rates and store more carbon in soil, for instance.[0]
I want to leave future humans a planet with fertile soils, a stable climate, and vibrant life. I do not want our grandchildren to live in concrete domes and eat out of yeast vats.
There are also real possibilities of supply chain and infrastructure unreliability due to increasingly frequent extreme weather events, geopolitical tensions, etc.
What's most appropriate is likely highly context-dependent. I think a multi-pronged approach is best, and vertical farms could certainly play a role. Personally I see halting deforestation and fossil fuel use/extraction as the most urgent priority. I'm also a bit biased toward crop breeding/engineering for increased carbon uptake and soil sequestration (the lab I work in is pursuing this); it could help restore soil health while improving yield as well as resilience to environmental stressors.
I don't know much about the details of vertical farming, though. If you have anything to share, I'd love to check it out.
That's funny, because I do see vertical farming scaling to replace 100% of two-dimensional (read: "traditional") agriculture, and feeding billions. Every city of over a million should have at least 15 skyscrapers with at least 30 floors each growing staples.
Of course, we also need to switch to meat grown lab for > 75% of our meat demand and mostly stop producing cattle food with agriculture.
I’d guess even reclaiming land from the sea to add conventional farmland would be cheaper, if the numbers were run.
On Mars, maybe another story...
If you can point me to any resources you've found to support this, I'd be happy to read them and revise my view.
Besides the power/construction overhead, the infrastructure costs, and the lack of political will, many large coastal cities will likely see partial flooding and increasingly frequent weather events this century, while some are at risk of complete loss.
The meat issue is complex. Lab-grown meat is subject to many of the same power and infrastructure constraints as vertical farming; I don't see it scaling to sustainably meet (meat? ;) current demand. We need a massive reduction in meat consumption in the developed world, but we also need to be conscious of the fact that ruminants remain critical to many agricultural ecosystems. We should certainly stop razing the Amazon for cattle pasture, although that will require a dramatic shift in economic incentives.
The fact that our political and economic systems do not prioritize long-term agricultural viability, as you point out, ought to give us pause.
Automobiles kill ~6k pedestrians and almost 140k are sent to the ER in the US - many of which will have life-altering injuries.
https://www.cdc.gov/transportationsafety/pedestrian_safety/i...
But I think the market has basically spoken on automobiles, people are more then willing to take the safety risk for convenience and many are willing to live far far outside the city for one extra bedroom.
I don't know about the US but within the UK you have to pay a premium to live somewhere where you aren't car dependent.
google: Western Europe.
We have degraded 1/3 of the top soil in the last 150 years. At the current rate, we won't be able to grow food in 60 years. This is a significant threat to our food production capabilities as a planet, and has severe 2nd, 3rd degree repercussions as well.
At the moment, agroforestry and syntropic farming are the only large scale solutions, but they need mass adoption.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/only-60-years-of-...
First of all, it may take a 1000 years to naturally create topsoil, but that's not our problem. We have topsoil and can make topsoil much much faster. So how do we preserve, and continue to create topsoil faster than it is depleted.
What is top soil? A collection of macro and micronutrients, microorganisms, and organic matter in the first 5-10 inches of soil. Essentially, its compost.
Traditional farming depletes topsoil because it takes more than it gives. By traditional, I mean subsistence up until early industrial. After we figured out that plants need food, and supplemented it accordingly, the draining of nutritive value of the topsoil largely ended 100 years ago.
However, industry brought about destructive methods such as deforestation and deep tillage which increase erosion. Even if you are adding in enough inputs to balance out what your crops are taking, erosion may simply sweep away your 5-10 inches of good soil. However, in the last 40 years, tiling and no-til methods have vastly improved this. No-til and more efficient combines have also much improved soil organic matter (which take decades to build, but not 1000s of years).
In general. Yes, the erosion of soil is the erosion of civilization, but don't believe the media hype. Farmers aren't dumb, they are incentivized to manage their soil as best they can.
Farmers aren't dumb but:
1. they've made serious mistakes like this in the past, across cultures and civilizations
2. farmers are not necessarily the people making the decisions in the contemporary vertically integrated "food business" economy of US agriculture in 2020Roughly 1/3 of all US farmland is leased.
https://www.fool.com/millionacres/real-estate-investing/inve...
If it is owned by folks in the community, there is some social incentive. Out-of-state landlords? Profit and loss.
A feedback loop for remote landlords to pay the price for letting their land get overworked might be nice. More than just the crop yield loss, but rebuilding the soil for the next generations.
No-till and cover crops are a great approach, but I’ve been told there’s a steep learning curve. But the results are impressive.
Farmers are definitely not dumb. But many are not currently incentivized to manage soil and (more broadly) agricultural ecosystems with long-term viability in mind.
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg24232291-100-the-idea...
Similarly: I'd love to have a little reading sconce on my wall next to my bed, but running a circuit through the existing walls without tearing them up is impossible. Why isn't there any attractive battery-powered home lighting? Sure, maybe overhead lights for lighting a room need more draw, but there's no reason to plug in a desk lamp, wall sconce, or coffee table light every day. Especially for renters who aren't about to hire an electrician—why no battery-powered lights designed for the home? Periodic recharging is annoying, but it's better than literally not being able to have a light where I want it.
There's a market here and it's not new technology. It's just repackaging existing technology with a splash of industrial design. Hell, the battery requirements for my drill are much greater than the battery requirements for my immersion blender. It shouldn't even be expensive!
Power tools are a bit different because they need to fit into any given tight space about once, and can't rely on wall power being nearby. Your sconce and kitchen appliances don't work on the same assumption.
Does it, though? Never in my life I've seen a house anywhere in the countries I've been to, that would have a sufficient number of outlets. Myself I think corded devices are fine, but houses come with way too few outlets.
I have seen battery powered blenders, though.
Every appliance i have nowadays have their own built in proprietary lipo and even worse their own proprietary charger which adds yet another mess of cables everywhere. Why can't i take the DeWalt battery and plug into my Bosch screwdriver?
My cordless dewalt drill cost more than my mixer, immersion blendar, and food processor combined.
Personally, I'm more annoyed by the fact that electrical systems in buildings are still too hard to modify. As you say, you cannot really tweak much once the wall is done. In a day and age where electrical devices continue to multiply, it's sadistic to bang on about extender-cords being "fire hazards" while not providing alternatives. You don't want fire hazards? Give me a way to safely upgrade the energy distribution of my home that is as easy as plugging in an extender cord.
Glad someone else is sharing my views. Burying cables into physical fixtures that cannot be accessed any other way than brute force is, I find, completely archaic. The solution is modular home design. Houses should be built more like gaming PCs in a way. Every wall would be 4-5ft thick, be mostly empty on the inside, and have a special door to allow a human to go inside. This "closet inside a wall" would contain standardized plugs/hooks/supports for electrical cables (along with plumbing and gas lines and internet fiber and any kind of wire or pipe that passes through the home). Load bearing would still be assumed by columns and other hard elements, but hidden inside these 5ft thick walls.
Now I see significant technical drawbacks to such a system, but it is an interesting idea to think about and would be way more space efficient than the one you are talking about.
(I'm not sure she fully understands how serious I'm about it, and the extent to which I want to push it. I want them across the whole wall, i.e. so I could, if need be, reroute any cabling throughought the entire floor.)
This seems like a solution in search of a problem.
I can't be the only person who uses graphs, flow charts and images as a primary mental model for idea representation. This a domain I have been obsessed with for ages. The tech seems to be there. Ocr, shape recognition, pen technology is all there. New devices increasingly have the ML hardware to support it.
Why isn't it here yet? We are living in the midst of a remote collaboration revolution, with notion, airtable, teams and slack becoming the norm, but this one thing seems to be completely sidelined.
I would have blindly jumped headfirst into making such an app if I did not have serious visa related causes holding me down. I can see it, but it just isn't there yet.
p.s: I have spent days finding a good app. (onenote is my begrudging compromise for now). Send me a good one if you can. There isn't much on apple either, but I care more about the windows ecosystem.
I am hoping for something that treats pen input/ white boards as first party and have text take a back seat.
It's cross platform and works offline. You write markdown and it produces a visual graph of your data. It supports interlinking notes, tags and images too.
Plain text notes[0] work best for me but I'd probably use Obsidian if I wanted to see things visually. When I tried it out briefly it was really solid.
Also strongly seconding the graph point. Over the past few years, I've learned to see directed graphs everywhere (particularly in task/project management, something I rant on every now and then). It's a truly powerful mental model, it's a natural model for representing quite a lot of things, and yet it's also terribly underutilized on the UI/UX side.
Currently, I'm thinking about writing my own todo app ( :) ) with a strong graph twist. I've already switched from org-mode and all the Trellos/planners to Microsoft Project, of all things, precisely because it understands that tasks form a graph and not a shallow tree. But MS Project's UX is quite clunky if you want to use it as a day-to-day task management tool. I think there's a lot of space for improvement here.
(A nice side effect for using MS Project to break down my own work is that when my PM asks me about my progress during our 1:1s, I just show her the GANTT chart, which cleanly communicates my plan, the order of things, their interdependencies, and estimated delivery date. I've learned to appreciate GANTT charts myself, too.)
I hope their API opens a lot of possibilities.
To what extent is this what you're looking for? I focused on: collaborative, stylus first, multi-device and pressure sensitivity.
If this is what you're looking for, feel free to chat about it! (my email is in my profile description)
[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QhrNl-fRrC8&
Note: doodledocs.com is currently offline, so that's why I'm showing the video. It worked on a Wacom, iPad and MS Surface.
Whiteboarding, there's a dozen existing apps, but none are like IPO worthy IMO. If you think there's something missing, I'm not sure you need a visa to pursue it (unless I suppose if you are already living somewhere on a work visa and need to continue that work).
The problem is that most homes aren't build with this in mind and don't provide a place to run the refrigerant lines (nor comes with the lines built-in) especially for the fridge.
Your time and money would be better spent on buying solar panels and batteries. And once you have those it would be better spent on investing in solar farms.
1) Builders at scale aren't willing to make these kinds of investments. They want standard designs that they can throw up as cheaply and quickly as possible. Frankly some of the developments I've seen in my area are just hideous - like if they had just run the streets the other direction people would have had view lots, but they were too effing cheap and lazy to even do that, let alone hire an actual architect.
2) Distribution networks of building supplies are ineffective and feels like a market ripe for disruption. Just because there exists some cool new material or energy-saving option out there in the world doesn't mean that one's local builders have access. So, whatever is available to them is what's going into local houses.
3) Consumer tastes. Human beings have notions about houses. Lots of humans like house designs that are conforming to local norms and traditions. So thermally efficient designs like below-ground homes often end up as outliers that don't sell particularly well to buyers who don't understand the benefits.
Wouldn't that have allowed them to make more $$$$$$$ because places with a view sell for more than places without?
I'm also surprised other homebuilders/designers haven't connected the a/c condenser heat exhaust to a centralized location for hot water tanks. I've seen a few people on YouTube do it however for their heated pools.
They also put their HVAC into the attic and the entire house is insulated with spray foam, so the attic only a few degrees warmer than the house below it.
I need to ask them what the energy bills were but I imagine they were low enough to prevent complaint.
Its a small step to run hot/cold water supply lines when you are using tax-free muni bonds to put in the streets and sewers already, and have to have a maintenance fee structure that operates the plant.
This already exists and is starting to gain popularity for new builds. It’s also not that expensive to retrofit, but is most effective when a home is sealed well.
The only common appliance that I can think of that produces a lot of unwanted heat would be a dryer. But instead of a gas dryer that sends all the waste heat outside, you could get a condenser dryer with a heat pump which consumes much less energy and hence produces much less heat.
From a residential standpoint it doesn't really make sense.
But you forgot the "oven-in-summer" :)
Talk to a few architecture / landscaping experts. They got plenty of ideas of how to optimize homes.
EDIT: And then a technologist comes in, wonders who put this big tree in front of their roof. They cut down the tree, install 20% efficient solar panels and overall have to spend more energy cooling down their house in the summer... completely ignoring the thought and effort the architect and landscapers put towards the home.
Its thermometer currently reads 6° C, so in winter it can more-or-less be used as a second refrigerator.
Manufacturers killed the feature to reduce energy waste, instead of adding thicker insulation around the compartment.
I think no one wants a new hole in their home unless they can't avoid it. Its a hard sell all around I'm afraid. Not to mention the DIY spirit around electric appliances. They are such wonderful marvels because we can just buy them and plug them in! We don't need a credentialed professional running tubing or cutting through our walls to install them. A competitor asking for an exhaust port will simply get eaten up by the one not asking for it.
We would need todo the same thing but more modern take with a heat exchanger/heat pumps. That would save gadzallions amount of energy used for cooling refrigerators. Depending on climate of course.
Unfortunately winter air is actually _too warm_ for heat pumps to use winter air for cooling! They use outside air for heating, year round.
We've invented this artificial energy scarcity problem by refusing to use the cleanest and safest solution out there, even traditional 60's era nuclear power kills fewer people per unit of energy produces than any other source of energy.
I put this down to virtue-signalling more than anything else, but even so, nuclear energy is what I'm surprised we're not working on more.
Things like road surfaces that don't need to be replaced every couple of years, or better consideration when large infrastructure spending comes around how those bridges, dams, water works, etc, etc will be monitored, maintained and expanded over time.
Thunderf00t has some really entertaining videos about that.
I remembered this article where they discuss self-healing materials for use in road construction: https://www.theverge.com/2017/5/4/15544156/potholes-self-hea...
I don't understand why the Web Browser ecosystem is stuck with Extensions, and why Web Browsers, the most used programs on the planet, are still unautomated for 99% of humans.
This just doesn't make sense in any economical or rational view.
Web Filtering and Ad Blocking are things that are stuck UX wise, because currently there are basically two different concepts. Either you have some scammy anti-virus firewall premium service that does things you don't understand, or you have an Ungoogled Chromium with uBlock Origin and uMatrix where you can block per domain basis (which most people don't even understand in terms of terminology).
Why is the Web not allowlisted?
Say you browse a website, and you disable everything by default. Then you want to allow a payment provider because you want to buy something, and you click on "Allow PayPal".
Wouldn't a collective list of services and SDKs and their required assets in the form of a named "web service" list make more sense than the adblocking approach?
I think that this can be improved a _lot_ in its UX.
Coming back to Automation of the Semantics of the Web:
I think once a Web Browser gets smart enough to understand the semantics of a website, and the implications of user interactions ( e.g. "make a payment" or "subscribe to channel") - it can be recorded, trained, and automated.
And I think this is the reason why I started to build a Browser from scratch, even when it is an almost impossible task to do. I believe that Web Automation is a necessary step to get to a superintelligence level.
And such a Browser would push our collective efficiency far beyond what we can imagine right now.
Standardizing things at such scale would limit the implementation of new web technologies as sites have to wait for the overloaded browsers to catch up with their new technologies each time they invent something new. All in all, it would overcomplicate things and slow down development.
Plus, web browsers are an intimate part of our online lives and act as the main gateway for almost all our activity on the internet. As such it is better to have barebones web browsers like we are used to having in my opinion and extend them as users see fit (similar to adhering to the Unix philosophy), instead of having rigidly-built software that take away control what technologies to implement from the user.
Isn't this the state we're already in, given that most websites still use jquery, and the websites that don't use babelified codes for decade old web browsers?
My argument was meant from the user's perspective of an Adblocker. A user doesn't know what an included script from xyz.paypal.com/what/ever.js does. But a user recognizes PayPal as a service, and knows that they want to pay for something.
> web browsers are an intimate part of our lives (...)
This kind of contradicts your own argument, because Web Browsers as they are built right now don't give a damn about anything and will happily execute any code from any malicious website.
The only project that somewhat pushes this state (or default behaviour) forward is WebKit, and Firefox sometimes keeps up with how third party trackers are handled.
I don't know how you perceive this as taking control away from the user. I wanted to offer a button that says "Enable PayPal" and a concept that disables everything by default.
A user that doesn't understand the concept of uMatrix is a user without control, that will just enable everything anyways once websites stop working due to lack of understanding.
It's simple, really: because it's strongly against the interest of people with money. And I don't mean some shady megacorps like Google here. A sane web goes against most of the commerce, big and small alike.
Ad blockers are what they are because there's no money in making them, and a lot of money in making them go away. That's why they're not included in browsers by default (all two relevant browsers being directly or indirectly ad-funded). A good chunk of the Internet - including all the little content creators - makes money from ads, and would like to see the blockers go away.
> once a Web Browser gets smart enough to understand the semantics of a website, and the implications of user interactions ( e.g. "make a payment" or "subscribe to channel") - it can be recorded, trained, and automated
Again, entirely against the interests of everyone with money. Pretty much every business on-line wants to control the interaction between their sites and you, and most of them want to use that control to screw you over. Expose you to extra advertising, upsell you some of their other wares, make sure you choose the option that's profitable for you and not them, etc. Whether you (generic you) realize it or not, the relationship between you and a commercial site is almost always antagonistic. Any automation and browser smarts that makes your experience better is one that cuts into site owners profits.
In short, the problem isn't technology. The problem is business incentives. The web is a wild west, built for people with means to exploit those without.
One very easy win though would be to address the fact that history in browsers only allows you to see and sort by the most recent date you visited a page. So you can't really answer the question "what are the pages I visited in March this year?" (for example) with any confidence and you can't be sure you've got all the pages you visited in a particular cluster if you might have gone back to one of them later.
> We realized although its a valuable feature to search your browsing history, its not solving a super frequent and painful problem for users
...
> We spent so much time on building the search and with it also 30-50% more time on every new feature because of interdependencies with the amount of data produced. End2End encrypted sync, backup, search performance, search filters, all were directly or indirectly necessary to work much better than we can afford. We're just 2.5 devs.
Another developer attempted this, too. But didn't have many users:
> I'll also point out that I did collect usage stats for a time, and they were horrific. At my peak I had ~5000 installs and out of those 5k something like 3-5 searches/day was the norm.[2]
One user does point out the reason why this may not have took off:
> about once every two months, I am looking for something that I swear I came across on the Internet at some point. However, the rest of the time, I'm able to re-find it just by doing another search, whether on search-engine-of-choice, or a search box on particular-website (e.g. socnet, stackoverflow, reddit, github, hacker news...).[3]
[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17745931
[1] https://github.com/c9fe/22120
Here's then a problem I wish people worked more on: structural support for products/features that are used rarely, but when they're needed, they're really needed. Browser history interface falls under this: it's rarely needed, but when you open it, it's usually because you really need to find something again that's not easily found through web search.
...and a history feature that's nearly unusable. I don't even trust it anymore - Chrome's history UI feels like it's losing information, and there've been plenty of times I'm 99% I visited a page few days or weeks before, but it's nowhere to be found in history. And honestly, I don't even need full-text search. I need a table with the following columns: page URL, page title, and access time. I need that table to be sortable by these columns, and filterable by their values.
In a way, we've regressed from the days of IE 5, back from the time where browser cache was a folder. Because back then, I could open that folder, sort it by date, and guess the sites I visited from the name of the files - that being a much better UX than what I get in Firefox today.
Random examples of the state of the art, which is remarkably similar to the state of the art, oh, 15 years ago:
https://freefrontend.com/assets/img/css-pagination/paginatio...
https://uicookies.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Pagination-...
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/4a/af/58/4aaf58f56e598e6c485e...
The only disadvantage is you lose control over the browser version that's running, but you also lose that with a shared runtime (unless every app pins their own runtime version which defeats the purpose of sharing). Besides, most Electron apps also have a web version that has to support all browsers anyway. The advantage is you seriously reduce the disk and memory footprint of your app and shed the responsibility of shipping prompt patches for Chromium security issues.
and a Node.JS runtime, and native libraries to support menubars, system trays, dialogs that support folder selections, native drag and drop for all file types, ...
I agree, though: if the electron app doesn't need any of these things, it really shouldn't pull in the entire electron runtime.
And we're back in Java-land, but with HTML instead of Swing :-)
It's nice from a developer point of view but I wonder how many application creators/vendors will actually use it. Most want to control as much of the stack as possible.
Idea of runtime mode - https://github.com/electron/electron/issues/673
I've only been using Asciidoctor for a few weeks but I'm already an MD convert.
So many papers are just too dense for readers outside of the specific field. This can be because of the complexity of the subject matter, but I often notice unnecessary specific vocabulary and over-complicating concepts.
Because of this, it's impractical for the layman to go read academic papers outside of their field. This leads to reading some news article that attempts to summarize it, and we all know that majority of the time it's just the headline that gets read.
If it is a clique of experts, they can do what they want.
If Society is paying for it, then the customer base is arguably larger. But the current incentive system for academics and the like doesn’t reflect the needs of that (generally educated and interested) larger customer base. It’s a happy accident when those needs are met. No easier time in the history of the planet for them to be met.
Rather than everyone selling a SaaS which they're just hosting on AWS anyway, they should just have a one-click install of an instance to my personal AWS. There's really no reason it should be any harder than installing an app to my phone or computer.
I've seen one or two "launch on AWS" buttons about, and they have a marketplace, but clearly these aren't widely adopted or useable.
I think this would open up some interesting opportunities for non-technical individuals and small businesses. Plus then you know you own your data.
Of course the customer experience lacked mostly due to the lack of a better platform for offering such "one click to deploy" apps. But still the customer needs to manage the uptime of the system and have on-call engineers who not only are intimately familiar with our software but can quickly identify and fix the issue.
I cannot type a single sentence without making a typo and I have been using a smartphone for 12 years. I miss Blackberry's keyboard. At the moment I even cannot use my natural keyboard layout with a fast and responsive keyboard. I type 3 times slower on my phone than on a computer keyboard.
Being generally a luddite when it comes to devices, I'm honestly shocked at how seamless the pairing process is.
I don't know why they don't sell these in North America.
https://www.amazon.com/Keyboard-Bluetooth-Geyes-Wireless-Sma...
https://www.amazon.com/Geyes-Ultra-thin-Kickstand-Universal-...
What I've longed for is a bluetooth dongle (or something) that I can just plug into the PC or piggyback on the keyboard's USB connector, and which will let me use the keyboard I already have to type on my phone.
Seems like we got to a search bar that can answer any question we type in but haven't thought beyond it. Like what if we were recommended what questions to ask in the first place?
Thinking out loud here: we generate a ton of data just by browsing and existing on the internet. This data is plugged into recommendation algos to serve ads. What if instead these algorithms were tuned to serve us direct websites or text that could provide our next source for inspiration?
^I'm working on this idea, still pretty early stages but it feels like the time is right to create such technology. Do reach out if you want to collaborate or riff on it.
That's what Google is doing in the last several years and it's very annoying. They don't try to look for niche sources and articles and just gently correct your query to pertain to something more popular or trendy. We don't need more of that.
> What if instead these algorithms were tuned to serve us direct websites or text that could provide our next source for inspiration?
Sure, I like that. But how do we ensure it would also not be used for ads and tracking again? I feel companies are just too easily tempted and can't be trusted.
> Seems like we got to a search bar that can answer any question we type in but haven't thought beyond it.
IMO a lot of us here thought about it but (a) it's not easy, it's likely a rather gigantic undertaking and (b) nobody funds such research and (c) we can't do it as a hobby while maintaining a $dayjob so in the end we are the mercy of the corps.
I see mental health care as one of the most important problems of out time, at the root of so many of the issues we see in society today. Yet government has been very slow to act, which in turn means insurance companies don't modernize their reimbursement policies, which then stifles innovation.
I'm very hopeful for the future of psychedelic therapy, as it seems to be very effective after just a single dose and non-toxic.
I see it as an information issue. According to research, online-administered CBT can be effective, and so are workbooks. Since CBT is so simple in principle, no reason this information shouldn't be easily accessible. I've even found free CBT workbooks online: https://depts.washington.edu/dbpeds/therapists_guide_to_brie....
This doesn't have to "replace" therapy, but it can be the first line of defense, along with what we know helps a great deal: regular exercise (boosts serotonin and reduces stress), adequate vitamin D3 intake (mood enhancer and helps anchor circadian rhythm), proper whole foods diet, enough socializing, etc.
I think the (possible) epidemic of mental health issues is exacerbated by a combination of isolation, stress (and negative newscycle bombardment), sedentary lifestyle.
I think the military throat mics are usually built into flight suits, so they may be less prone to shifting? I know in the lab, they are usually taped into place, which isn't really practical for the real-world.
Something that hasn't been tried as far as I know is to design a new human language from the ground up with only phonemes that are easily distinguishable when spoken silently.
That is, first we figure the kind of signals that are well separated by ML interpreting EMG output on the throat when subvocalizing a range of sounds, and then we build a conlang using only the precursors to these signals.
Possibly this conlang could then be parsed and translated and the recipient of the message could hear their native tongue instead.
It could start as a computational language at first, only used to send commands and control to software, but then it could be expanded with more nuances and human-centered constructs.
Basically, if someone can point me to a solid subvocal speech recognition tech demo and a reliable subvocal mic (note the sibling comment that indicates generic subvocal mics are frustrating and fall out of alignment easily): I think I could train production subvocal speech models, tune support for the audio style in my app, and ship to the public in a matter of weeks.
Can you link any of the literature you have in mind?
Yet, our current web standards are GUI and CRUD un-friendly. To be desktop-like in a browser requires giant JavaScript libraries which are clunky and buggy.
GUI's may no longer be sexy, but they still run the backlots of the world and that's not likely to change within the next decade or more. Mobile UI's are a sub-set of rich GUI's, which logically means they don't have the same full ability. I could list several UI patterns GUI's do with fewer human eye and finger movements.
So, let's create a state-friendly GUI markup standard so we can have rich GUI's in browsers without requiring bloated buggy JS/CSS libraries.
And somewhat related, our current web standards have too many "positioning problems" such that they can't replace PDF's. PDF's are needed because end users (non-IT office workers) want WYSIWYG documents; they can't afford to go to CSS school.
iOS doesn't even have a stable answer to React, yet. The problem isn't JS/CSS.
The Oracle Forms client seemed to somehow pull it off. (It used a proprietary markup, not XML.) There are deficiencies with the Oracle Forms model, but it proved a browser-like GUI client approach can work. Companies loved Oracle Forms before Java ruined it. They weren't pretty, but cheap and practical to create and maintain. The Oracle Forms devs were 3x more productive than our MVC team and it took about 1/5 the code to do the same thing. Productivity died in CRUDville; we de-evolved. (Same for desktop VB & Delphi like tools, although they required per-PC reinstalls for app upgrades, unlike Oracle Forms.)
Site asks for my mother maiden's name? Let me check "pwgen 18 1"... That'll be "Viquo4cai2gienoo2p".
Also, some sites don't allow you to not set up one, so it's like forcing users to open up a new vector to be hacked.
I wish that newspapers at least, etc. would instead consider working out their subscription models a bit more. I like to read stuff from multiple papers but can't justify multiple subscriptions for the occasional thing I want to read from them. The Internet opened new ways for people to access news and information but it just feels like the business model of newspapers hearkens back to pre-Internet times where you would buy the paper either at a newsstand or through home delivery.
Meanwhile, I believe cars could do motorway driving from entry to exit today, if we focused on that. With LiDAR, some extra safety hardware on roads, coordination with local highway services, a company could make a car that is fully self driving on specific highway stretches.
However, if the cars were able to communicate and get information from the road itself (speed limit, turns, traffic control etc) then the car doesn't need to be able to figure this out. Yes, it'd take awhile to retrofit roads.
Car to Car communication could be used to let vehicles know how the traffic is flowing without needing to use radar/lidar to determine when traffic is slowing ahead.
These are very basic thoughts on the subjects.
Collection of environmental/lifestyle information of cancer patients. I know it would lead to a ton of stupid headlines, and correlation does not equal causation, but I think if you have cancer they should ask where you live what you eat what products you use and whatnot. Atleast for the cancers that do not have well known causes.
Superficially, why is there no standard video streaming api. Do content/platform owners really want to be in the app business? They are all bad it.
There are tiny vibration units like the one in your phone, why aren't there sex toys with 200 of them and various patterns going through them?
Why are there no sex toys that use expanding or contracting materials like electroactive polymers.
The sex toy market is apparently 26 billion and growing.
Why isn't there a way to load up your groceries in the store, put them in your car in a modular way, and help you unload them into your house somehow?
It could go even further to mini palettes that can be loaded and unloaded automatically. And even electrical cool or cold boxes to keep stuff at the right temperature as you drive home.
Bed organizers are already a popular addon for pickup trucks, including rolling drawers.
Though a not well studied phenomenon (thankfully), it is well documented and seems to be a reliable, if brief, predictor. Even if it is only a few seconds of warning, that could mean a lot of lives saved by announced warnings or via automatic means.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earthquake_prediction#Animal_b...
the lead time is important for the value. I don't think a 3 second warning is valuable at all, but a 30 second warning might be. so we have stats on this?
3 seconds is plenty of time for a sensor to trigger an actuator to close valve, say a natural gas valve that could leak and cause fires.
> A reactor trip causes all the control rods to insert into the reactor core, and shut down the plant in a very short time (about three seconds).
Kinda like a reverse Schrodinger's Cat experiment: the cats live if the random event triggers.
Or: really efficient petrol/diesel cars that weigh 600kg and consume 2l/100km (that's about 120MPG).
I am in general interested in this as well, and have found debugging in most text-based IDEs to be a step backwards.
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/science/can-breathing-pure-o...
Don't know if anybody has shown any actual benefit from having the telomeres boosted. Some of what had seemed like a good idea (antioxidants!) have turned out to interfere in essential signaling pathways, and be therefore harmful in excess.
But a cure for cancer, for example and if it ever happens, will have no effect on poverty, lack of education, inequalities of all kinds, mental disorders, and the multitude of other societal and environmental problems.
There are tons of things we can be doing that can improve people’s quality of life, standard of living, enjoyment of life, reducing stress, and more that have little if nothing to do with healthcare advances.
Even advances in the fields of psychology and psychiatry are a bit like trying to plug a leak with bubble gum. Certainly helping people to recover from and live with mental disorders is a good thing, although seemingly underfunded in current times, but one must understand that humans are not emotionally built for the societies we’ve created. I just don’t see how longevity should be an explicit goal when the lives for so many people are a complete struggle.
The quest for longevity explicitly helps many things. Fixing cancer is reactionary, preventing cancer from starting is longevity.
You’re confusing existing medical research with longevity research. They are very different. Almost all medical research is for fixing things that have gone wrong, longevity is trying to prevent them going wrong in the first place.
There’s always the idea that we could be doing something else, something that helps more. No one said you need to stop all other research and funding, but if we are able to prolong aging diseases you’ll help near everyone on the planet.
Give Lifespan by David Sinclair a read
> Longevity is one of the commonly used terms in aging research that may be defined as an individual’s ability to reach longer life span under ideal conditions.
That is the definition I was asking why against. My genuine question was and is: if life is such a struggle and tough for such a huge portion of the population, why is increasing the duration of life an interesting goal?
Aging itself isn't something you die from, you die from age related deceases. By living longer (eg. slowing down aging) it usually means we somehow avoid and/slow down the occurrence of these deceases. On a high level this isn't something new (eg. working out, not smoking etc), but on a medicine level slowing/stopping/reversing aging isn't something that's very researched and have just recently started to get some kind of traction.
So you're correct in your thinking, we don't want to increase the duration of life without also increasing the duration of healthy life.
Edit: see my other comment with some resources you might find useful/informative.
As I've stated multiple times now, this is only true if you consider suffering related to health, and I am not considering just health-related suffering. Please read my other comments before replying. I keep getting replies only talking about health in the very physical and medical sense. When I say "quality of life", I mean it in the holistic sense. For example, if someone who is poor, disenfranchised, has no retirement, lives paycheck to paycheck, lives in heavy pollution both of air and water, etc., is living longer really on top of their list?
And of course, no one has addressed the societal issues that longevity creates.
> Aging itself isn't something you die from, you die from age related deceases.
That's kind of pointless semantics, but anyway, it doesn't address anything I've said.
If we go back to the original query: "what are you surprised isn't being work on?", then is it really surprising longevity is a niche thing when there's so much else to work on (i.e., so much going wrong)? If someone really thinks longevity is interesting enough, then I'd like to see the political, societal, and environmental, not just the medical, arguments and solutions that would need to come along with it to make it a net positive.
Wanting longevity seems to be a rather privileged position.
> For example, if someone who is poor, disenfranchised, has no retirement, lives paycheck to paycheck, lives in heavy pollution both of air and water, etc., is living longer really on top of their list?
Maybe, maybe not. Most people don't want to die even if they don't live in the western world. Some of the things mentioned here (eg. no retirement, polluted air) wouldn't be as big of a problem if aging was solved since they would be healthier.
I would agree most people in developing countries wouldn't put longevity on top of their list (seems like people in the richer countries doesn't do that either) but the thing is we can work on multiple problems at the same time. People generally aren't suggesting we take money from aiding the poor to instead focus more on solving biological aging. It's rather using resources allocated to fighting age related deceases one by one, to instead fight aging (which seem to be the root cause) and/or adding _more_ resources to the pool of doing good in the world.
Amazon/Kindle self publishing is actually a less known but pretty clever innovation they did, especially for printed physical books. The books are printed on-demand after a customer places order on Amazon, instead of advanced publishing. This cuts down a lot on costs and resources for each book, cuts out lot of middlemen for a writer and also provides avenue for writers to go direct to market without giving up huge profits to publishing houses.
Cycling is a great mean of transportation, it's ecological, healthy, quiet, convenient. Lack of safety and theft are hindrance to more adoption.
That products are design for repairability and sustainability in such a system.
Third an economic system that is not built upon debt slavery but promotes individual freedom in the age of robotics.
That would be the three main things that needs fixing. Plus most countries needs four-seven weeks of vacation per year. This would promote healthier work life balance. Four day work week another one for work life balance.
But jokes aside, what a terrible life for an AI to live.
That or become this automaton yourself. Making my bed each morning happens almost automatically before my brain is fully booted, after a while of forcing myself to make it.
Open the front door: You can do this with a $5k investment in some IoT + automated door opener
Get the mail: Curious what subtasks you imagine here (e.g. outdoor vs indoor, pick up packages, climb stairs, etc)
Put shoes where they need to be, pick up socks: This could totally work today if you don't need to open doors and you don't mind organization on piles in the floor, but I think the use case isn't compelling enough on it's own to create sufficient demand.
Dust/mop/broom: lots of people have robots for floors, but higher surfaces are hard to make work. Despite this, some teams have worked on bathroom-cleaning robots with this capability.
Mow the lawn: https://www.pcmag.com/picks/the-best-robot-lawn-mowers
Fold towels: Not that hard, but small market
Fold clean clothes from a basket: Super hard if you never want to destroy the clothes, and hard even if you can destroy some clothes.
Clean toilets, replace toilet paper: People are trying! Not going to be in homes for 5+ years though.
Scoop out kitty poops: products like this exist, but you still have to manually unload them to a trash can.
Make the bed: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qzNZrFhBeoY haha
In the early days of computing, we quickly came up with the spreadsheet and the user-friendly relational database (Access, FileMaker).
Then we just sort of stopped. The no-code thing today is a step in that direction, but we could do so much better.
I’m actually ashamed of the software industry that we have done so poorly at this.
A long time ago I used QuickBase. It was like a Google sheets before google sheets and you could couple multiple sheets together, relating them.
It has probably come a long way since then, but ironically, I can't get past the marketing ui of the website to see how it really works.
Fucking marketing people love to hide the product behind bullshit.
Let's say there's such a tool out there and you want to buy it to roll your own mailing list and want to message your customers on Facebook Messenger. Well, you can't, and any attempt at circumventing the restriction such as screen-scraping will be met with account closures citing ToS or legal threats abusing the CFAA or even the DMCA.
Then add the universal integration tools: * IFTTT * Zapier * Tray * ...and many more
Basically we're now "post-app"... a non-technical user can go to a SaaS product, follow a tutorial, create something representing their business, and link it to other best-in-class products for accounting, warehousing, shipping, e-commerce, etc.
Don't be ashamed. We've a long way to go for sure, but we've come a long way, baby.
Learning how to write maintainable code is actually harder than learning to code. You pretty much have to be burned by maintenance trial and error on your code AND others' code to learn this skill. There are plenty of books that teach "principles" of maintainable designs, but the principles often conflict with each other such that it's a balancing act between competing factors such that a simple list of rules fails.
I can give lots of anecdotes of people getting carried away with specific "principles". The necessary principles are a piano keyboard, but they play only a few favorite notes, making even cats cry. Knowing when and how to use which note is still an art.
Healthy, delicious and cheap exists (at home at least). But it is very labour intensive and it will go bad in a couple of days.
That said, with higher degrees comes higher wages. And with 'outsider' skill sets comes higher wages. Things like programming, EE, and management-skills will get you a better job in bio. Honestly, most bio people don't have anything past Calculus 1, so if you even have Linear Algebra, you're much ahead of the group, let alone Diff. Eqs. or some real Stats classes.
Granted, these salaries not near SWE jobs, but you're not working on dog-walking-apps, you're working on heart conditions and health issues. The effort, inherently, is compensation to those doing it.
That poster is the result of ~70 years of hardcore work and blood and sweat of ~10k+ people on the human mitochondria. That poster alone is worth billions of dollar of research and will likely save billions of lives. And it's just the normal functions of the human mitochondria. One of many organelles in a 'typical' human cell. I'm not aware of any attempts to produce such a thing for something as complicated as the ER or the nucleus.
Our understanding of bio is very much limited. But I want to stress that Bio is complicated much more beyond what anyone thinks it is. There is a good quote to help grok the ocean we are looking into:
Imagine a flashy spaceship lands in your backyard. The door opens and you are invited to investigate everything to see what you can learn. The technology is clearly millions of years beyond what we can make. This is biology.
–Bert Hubert, “Our Amazing Immune System”
https://www.roche.com/sustainability/philanthropy/science_ed...
There seems to be so much that can be easily automated by simple scripts. We just need a better UI and a better way to teach people how to use it.
Also I'm a big fan of chat-bots. How about a chat-bot that answers typical HR questions for an organisation?
"How much leave do I have remaining this year?" -> 16 days.
"Book the dates 10/5/2021 to 11/5/2021 as leave" -> Confirmed. Request sent to your line-manager.
etc...
I've seen so many bespoke web pages for these sorts of tasks. Including emailing someone in HR to do it for you.
I'm sure a system exists, but too lazy to google for it :)
If I need help, I'll go specifically to the "contact us" page.
It's the questions that are difficult that you need people to answer and some chat bot cannot figure out. "Chatbot, does my spouse taking a new job trigger health plan reselection allowance for my family?" Go figure out that one and maybe you've got an idea.
Cost of dealing with miss raised children is very high.
Good luck with that!
I don't get the jump from parenting classes to "the correct approach".
Anyhow schooling is considered a Good Thing (tm) and nobody claims we should give up on it, because some shout that it's _wrong_.
There are legal expectations for parental behavior at a Societal level, and perhaps informally at a Community level. Is that enough?
Always thought a parental/guardian “report card” for those caring for school age children would be a good idea. We measure students and teachers, why not parents? Teachers rate parents on the educational support they provided their children and their teachers. Red/yellow/green, meaningful in child custody case and the like. Just an idea...
It's super easy to judge when you make a 6 figure salary and are highly educated. But most families aren't making that kind of coin.
But then: what harm would it do if you'd anyhow participate in a training, that, in said happy case, would just reiterate and reinforce what you'd do anyhow?
And has the society possibly gone awry exactly because some common sense in child bearing has been buried? Dunning Kruger tells us we might just not know what we don't know...
So, if the curriculum can be freely chosen for the "parental drivers license" what is the problem?
There is plenty of research on the outcomes of parental training, btw, one random example of a training that has proven useful:
https://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0%2C5&q=bris...
That's programming 1.0, and we're need programming 2.0
What I mean about programming 2.0:
- better security
- less bugs and more stability
- less complex code and API
- less APIs
- no halts, reactive live coding everywhere
- less coding, NoCode variants
PS: Who works on programming 2.0 besides me https://animationcpu.com/ ?
I think there is no way to reduce the number of APIs with code. NoCode hides complex APIs from the developer. Use third party services and projects that bundle random APIs like Miro.com or hackhaton-starter bootstrap etc. Higher API level that hides a lower API level that YourApp is not interested in and only focuses on the program algorithm.
But here is situation where we have 14+1 API standard
The model of trust that everything linux, windows, etc. is based on is faulty. The process is given access to everything it's owner is allowed, by default... which was fine for academic computing in the 1970s, but not in the age of the internet.
There is hope... Capability Based Security is on the way, slowly but surely... and then we can kiss virus scanners and the like goodbye.
We can fix the software (Heartbleed), but the main thing is the hardware (Meltdown)
All that to say - it's not a bug, it's a feature to many Americans.
I've experienced some bad marks when doing critical thinking exercises in grade school simply because my view didn't match with the teacher. They wouldn't even let me defend my positions, just mark it wrong. This was a common problem for me as I would think out side the box (as told) but they didn't like my answers because it doesn't fit with their view. This still happens at work today.
I had a logic course in college called philosophy of argument. It was graded differently. You were graded on your knowledge of fallacies and structures of arguments. You did have to construct some basic arguments, but you could have people in the same class with opposing positions and both could still recieve full marks if their arguments didn't contain fallacies, factual issues, or structural issues. This way provides the building blocks for arguments and recognizing fallacies without indoctrination.
- cryptography basics
- how the web works (cookies, JavaScript etc.)
- how email works (MTA/MDA/MUA responsibilities, OpenPGP, S/MIME, maybe also SPF/DKIM/DMARC)
- TCP/IP basics
- how computers and operating systems generally work and execute programs
Though I'm not suggesting we should replace other subjects with IT.
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/12/us-physicists-rally-...
Or is fusion energy really not just a matter of how much cash we throw at the problem? I don’t buy that.
It's the main source of humanity's current woes and will only get worse with time. We seem to be content with addressing the symptoms rather than the problem. The idea of population control is taboo but will help everyone in the long run.
> “In a very cynical way, it’s a triumph for science because at last we have stabilized something — namely the estimates for the carrying capacity of the planet, namely below 1 billion people,” said Dr. Schellnhuber
I actually made a preview of iirc ~10 pages that I found to be very powerful near the beginning of the book, but I don't just want to post it to avoid copyright issues. Shoot me an email at factfulness202012@lgms.nl (just link this comment in the subject or so, no body needed) if you are interested.
My concern is mainly an ecological one, which I don't recall Factfulness really addressing. While human welfare continues to improve in most of the world, our sustainable use of natural resources does not, reducing our access to fertile land and fresh water in years to come. I hope technology can get us out of the giant pickle coming our way because I don't put much faith in our long term planning at a national or global level.
Also: peak population growth rate was 50 years ago and it has been decreasing since then: https://ourworldindata.org/world-population-growth-past-futu...
Net population growth peaked 30 years ago, see [0].
The rest is "technically true" if you argue solely based on an exponential model. That's not how it works. There is more to modelling population growth (or a pandemic for that matter) than just fitting an exponential.
People had lots of children in the past because almost half of them died young and the parents needed children to care for them when they were old. So they defaulted to "more children". Then child mortality was brought down and people adapted with delay - which lead to more people growing up and increasing the population. Then people adapted and the fertility rate fell a lot and in some cases even very fast. Compare how fast Iran an South Korea transitioned and see how long it took the United Kingdom to do so before [1].
The articles on "Our World in Data" are really interesting and the people behind it make lots of effort to ensure good quality of the data. I can really recommend to checkout the website.
[0] https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/absolute-increase-global-...
[1] https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/children-born-per-woman?t...
Outside of economy, why is replacement rate needed? If the world reduced to 1 billion humans would the Earth be in a better or worse place?
Seems clear to me that fewer humans = less CO2, less deforestation, etc. You can argue less invention too but that’s not as obvious to me given Multiple Discovery (1).
Imagine the village ages out and you have 90 old people, and 10 middle-aged people. There's not enough people harvesting grain to feed everyone. There's not enough workers to maintain the roads. The life-savings everyone accumulated under the balanced population gets spent squabbling for the limited food at inflated prices. The water and roads fall apart with no one to maintain them. Life gets worse, not better. Unless there is war, famine or pestilence, usually reductions in population will be unbalanced by nature.
Basic income is a way of re-allocating the value produced. I'm for it. It won't solve the problems that come from sudden population contraction, which would be a separate additional problem to add to those you list. For example, when you have way more houses than people, what happens to real estate prices and most of your people's net worth? The real estate and construction industry? Rent? Empty restaurants with too few people?
When your tax base is too small and can't easily pay to maintain your infrastructure (Arecibo?) what happens to it?
Seems a bit extreme. I don't think drastic population decline is on the horizon anytime soon.
Japan has been in a funk for years. China has shifted from a many-child culture to a one-child norm. These problems aren't theoretical.
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-53409521
https://www.oecd.org/japan/working-better-with-age-japan-978....
That's because budgets etc. assume population growth out of institutional habit. If population stops growing, then the usual assumptions and habits of governing shaped by past patterns are suddenly "wrong". Also known as "poor planning".
EDIT> I would say that advertising is a worse problem than overpopulation.
There are non-profits out there that might help to this end, but they are numerous. They ought to organize better. We need Universal access to contraceptives, and elimination of global poverty. Some organizations that may be helping: https://pai.org/, https://populationmatters.org/, https://www.ippf.org/, https://www.guttmacher.org/
Maybe solution is some type of composite of fast growing fiber material combined with some type of binder...
Similarly being able to search easily for balanced parens, brackets, quotes. And being able to search programming language aware as in "only in strings", "only in comments", etc...
All of those seem like they'd be useful features but I know of no editor that do any more than just a single regex with no context
This seems like a less error-prone and more testable way of writing regular expressions in code too! Writing out the individual portions of a regular expression might be a ton more verbose, but it's because regular expressions hide a ton of complexity with "write-only" shorthand.
I realize that a fully-general voice interface is an "AI-hard" problem, but surely we can improve over what's on the market now?
I want an OS that gets smarter by the day but without phoning home. I want my OS to become better than yours, simply because I trained it better that you did yours. I want this OS to be _my OS_. Not your's. Not Apple's. Not Microsoft's.
Did you see the movie "AI" (written by Kubric, directed by Spielberg)? In the movie there's an AI driven teddy bear that is awfully close to being an AGI. I want my OS to be like that.
Super users and developers of these systems are likely able to harness them for much more powerful usecases than the average person, but how do you make those options and usecases visible to the end user?
It would seem like the answer is either 1) a robocall / callcenter bot style solution (press 1 to ____, press 2 to ____, press 3 to ____) where you must listen to lists of things but can more expressively verbally respond rather than press 1, or as you said solve the Hard AI problem of the bots contextually understanding your current situation and suggesting options based on it.
The technology is in its infancy. Yet, being built into more and more devices and services daily.
Not to mention, I don’t want to talk to my television remote. I want to use muscle memory to press a button.
Voice recognition is a mess.
Examples: quantum mechanics, string theory, certain advanced algorithms, AI etc.
The applications of this are intended at the personal, interpersonal, and social levels. At the personal level, the mindset can be used to make sense of complexity and for self-understanding. At the interpersonal level, such a mindset is useful for finding common ground/understanding between philosophies such that we can have difficult conversations with those who seem most different from us. And at the social level, we have many applications such as more efficient and rich education, and for companies and job seekers we get better talent recognition and integration into organizations (e.g. removing the keyword bingo everyone must play on resumes).
Please feel free to check out the site: mathis.art and subscribe to our newsletter. Also feel free to reach out. We have a passionate team working on content to help people understand this way of thinking, its utility, and its ability to help one to express!
Think OMNI
It's being worked on, but not nearly to the same extent as machine perception. And yet it's probably the biggest technology gap preventing us from deploying human-equivalent robots in unstructured environments.
I've seen older (yet still updated) implementations/portals, but I'm surprised nobody has made federating site scripts easy for client-side use to expose as pseudo localhost site APIs and a portal that resembles Craigslist to bring all of the data together. Again, this has obviously been half done, but it's not packaged for mass appeal ala popcorn time for general web info.
It's a collaborative DAW that allows you to record, save, and mix music in the cloud, and even lets you share access and collaborate in real time with others. It was great for sharing ideas with my band when we couldn't really meet up and play in person.
It has a few performance/audio syncing issues being in the browser, but for what we use it for it's an amazing tool.
Movies work like this, I can pay $15/month for Netflix OR I can just rent a movie on Amazon for $3.99. Why not for Web content?
1) Profits are more important that facts and integrity
2) That race to the bottom prevents the media from policing each other. That is, for example, ABC News won't call out CBS News because ABC News fears retaliation (so to speak).
A website made up of Google maps, people would post status or their street or place they visited. Status could be picture or message like "Green", "repair" street lamp not working, awareness" too many street dogs.
Messages could be just few sentences not big as a article. Restricted tags to filter news. This is sort public alerting what's happening in their neighbourhood.
Let's not get to crazy here... fear and hate drive audiences which drives profits.
Also we we need to start with a critical thinking public.
But I'm with you, I'm going to keep hoping.
However, that lack of critical thinking doesn't excuse the media from too often selling editorial as journalism. It doesn't excuse them from serving up click friendly fluff while real news gets sidestepped.
PS: if that wasn't clear I don't listen to many if any right leaning shows. I listen to radiolab, this american life, flash forward, no stupid questions, etc....
1. Social network that people vote on where in the political quadrant something is, at the same time it takes into account their own political leanings/upvotes/etc. So you can say this is lefist, I'm right-leaning, but I still like the article, and think it's newsorthy so I'll upvote it.
Basically adding a lot more granular user sentimentality around articles. Letting users organically fact check, but having it all be transparent, you can see the user, and they're color coded by their political leanings so you can know you're talking w/ someone who supported Biden or Trump.
2. News show like Morning Joe with Krystal Ball, Cenk, Tucker Carlson, Hannity, Joe Scarborough, Cuomo, Anderson. -- Essentially voices from left, right, center-left, center-right, and mid-center. All with equal air-time on the issues.
Format could be something like: Announcer announces topic/news. Each person gets 1 minute to respond, 15 seconds for rebuttals. Then move on to next topic.
At the end of the show, fact checkers will grade each person's performance based on the percentage of factual statements vs lies and post it online with the video segment for transparency.
In light of that: I'm surprised we're not better at spreading awareness of, and prioritising, problems.
This means that the core libraries define the signatures of the functions that an Elm application must implement. (All Elm apps "work the same way" in that sense.) It also means that you never have to mock or stub anything in a test. There are also great implications for performance and maintainability.
Elm compiles to JavaScript and is specific to browser applications, but there's no theoretical reason the same idea couldn't be applied to mobile apps or CLI applications or webservers or anything else. (It's just a lot of work.)
Elm the language is different from JavaScript, Java, Ruby, etc because there is no facility for statements or imperative APIs. It’s restricted in that sense. Frameworks in those languages still have some inversion of control, but there’s nothing stopping you from making a network request in your Celsius/Fahrenheit conversion function. (And over enough time that’s usually what happens, and you have fewer constraints with which to reason about what the code does.)
I can’t speak for languages that are similarly restricted, like Haskell, but my impression is that Elm is different because you don’t have to learn extra rule-bending mechanics to do I/O.
The Elm approach is unique, as far as I know. And while it doesn’t make for a truly all-purpose programming language, it’s a great model for developing libraries and applications on the web. I’m just a bit “surprised” there isn’t a similar thing focused on web servers or IOT or whatever else.
For example news. There are thousands of topics. They are hierarchical. Every news article touches some of those topics to various degree. I would love to subscribe to some topics with some kind of tolerance. Like I want to know about most important world political news. I want to know about important IT news and my country political news. I want to know almost everything about Java, cryptography and my city news. I want to get every content from or about my favourite bloggers.
And that should be extended to all kind of new content. News, articles, videos, tweets and so on.
If we must commercialise it, more people with money = more customers.. Apple, Amazon, etc.. there's billions of potential iPhone and Alexa users out there long term if you set something up to help them now. What, you don't think you'll be around long enough?
Companies are the only entities with the clout and long term justification to get those reforms started on.
e: version 1 of this comment was very snarky, sorry. I took your comment as quite dismissive and responded emotionally.
What do you envision for an "AppleHelps" program?
1. Improve device sharing. One example: a family can have one phone with individual accounts for each member.
2. Permit better repairs. One example: the company can state that it's legal for a user to replace an old phone battery.
3. Accelerate free knowledge. One example: preinstall Wikipedia and similar free libre open source software (FLOSS).
#3 sounds good.
Think build multiple companies for services people already use/need competitors to existing products but they're owned by the community. People still pay for the service, but they earn shares for their loyalty to a product and get dividends from those shares.
Marriage of socialism and capitalism essentially. Marketplaces still exist, but union/co-ops thrive and make businesses more about building products/tools people want not for profit motives as much as to make society better / stronger as a whole.
If everyone could afford 4 year colleges and science degrees and didn't grow up in poverty how much faster could we as a society get to the stars? Fix global warming? Instead millions are lying in bed, covers over their head, depressed that next week they will be homeless or worse.
If the didn't have to worry about money, they could do something productive, drop the depression or work on fixing that, and live happier more fulfilling lives.
As a freelancer, I bounce back and forth in this situation. Doing good, to depression/sour grapes when clients are sparce.
So, part of my wanting to do this is self-serving essentially fix this for myself as well as others.
We could buy up hospitals, medical companies, etc... takeover 80% of the medical industry. Start our own medicare 4 all (who are in our union: workers, consumers/loyalists, adopted (need our help, but can't afford to consume)). We could lower costs, offer hospital boards like 300k salaries take it or leave it, and offer doctors/nurses the position instead. We could do single-payer negotiations with drug companies, etc...
If anyone wants to work w/ me on this... email me: patrickwcurl - gmail Trying to put a team together. Co-op style.
Before buying something I want to know all CONS about specific thing, service, product, car, real estate, etc...
Everyone pitching PROS. I want to know CONS BEFORE I commit.
There are millions of assessment items created and administered by instructors everyday in the United States, but the results are unreliable so we spend billions on standardize testing which is “trustworthy” while also (often) having negative externalities. We accept this dual system because the two modes of assessment have different goals, but it is wildly inefficient.
If it were possible to create an assessment platform that supported the rapid generation of unique and trustable assessments[1], we could have 1) more frequent/less costly assessments of student progress, 2) better instructor accountability, and 3) greater opportunities for non-traditional educational pacing.
[1] more ‘contextual autocomplete’ than ‘discrete item creation’ as a primary mechanism for assessment creation. Yes, someone has to create the original bank of assessment materials - but, for the love of god, how many times has an assessment been developed on “To Kill a Mockingbird”, the Pythagorean Theorem, etc? Make the tool slick enough for content creation that it is at least on par with current offerings, do automated assessment analysis a la College Board, et. al. in the background on all submitted content, and then allow the instructor to create an assessment based on the class & lesson context as easily as accepting/rejecting a list of questions as a final “cultural fit” culling. Ideally, this final step would be completed as quickly as the instructor can read and reject assessment items such that they could - conceivably- be able to create and administer an assessment during a lesson in a manner that is reactive to the immediate progress of the students. Reduce the assessment feedback loop time this much and the ground would move under the profession.
Edit: for those asking via email, the core tech here to be developed (at least initially) is automating the assessment analysis: how do you know the assessment items are correctly assessing what you want them to?
Once you have that there would be downstream effects on instructional design, pathways to graduation, talent identification, etc. - but that’s the special sauce.
The labor of assessment analysis is what provides the creators of standardized tests the ability to maintain a monopoly on trustworthy assessments. They will not themselves develop the tech to do this analysis in an automated and distributed fashion as it would undermine their core business. In this way, they seem to be trapped in a classic innovators dilemma.
I've been writing auth for the web since 2005 and it hasn't gotten easier or more convenient as a programmer or as an end user. The problem is so bad that email/password combos need to be managed by 3rd party services.
Migrating away from Google Authenticator was a massive pain for me this year and as we continue to use more services, this problem will grow.
Some apps on my phone started using biometrics (face id) for authentication and it's extremely convenient.
It may sound amusing, but there really are many sexually frustrated individuals who could potentially see massive improvement in their social and physiological life and lead to a net gain for the society. Also it might lead to a reduction in the overvaluation of sex in romantic relationships and thus happier couples. Add this to its potential of sexual education (by having realistic simulation devices) and it might just compensate for the damage pornography has done.
Designed for the user, not for developers, or cooperations.
All these initiatives like SOLID, ad blockers, regulation & censorship should not be needed in this new alternative.
Power was given to devs and we ended up with web obesity.
Power was given to cooperations & we ended up with subversion.
Then when people asked regulators to fix it we ended up with popups.
The web is currently rotten beyond repair. We need an alternative
For different applications, you can have:
- NNTP
- Gopher
- IRC
- Telnet and SSH
- etc.
(I have a NNTP server set up. If you want to set up discussion forums, this is a good idea, I think. I also have Gopher and QOTD (TCP only, no UDP) services set up too.)
There can also be the better uses of HTTP too (it is capable of some things but that they don't commonly use properly), and the uses of different file formats (you do not have to be limited to only HTML; you can also have plain text format, httpdirlist format, etc).
Instead, one could imagine a programming language platform designed to transpile the new language to multiple underlying platforms. Like LLVM IR, this transpilation platform could be a nexus that supports many different frontends and many different backends. Such a transpilation platform would make it easier for new languages to be useful sooner.
Like many other things, I guess the demand just isn't there. And even though Bluetooth devices have made having things in your ear all the time way less stigmatized than they were when I was growing up, there's still a bit of embarrassment about having something like a hearing aid in your ear. It's a shame, really.
[0] https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/ne...
Here's a "wishlist" of features I'd like in such a framework:
- Absolutely no boilerplate code: It should feel more like a powerful templating language than a general purpose programming language.
- A static type system that's checked before your application can go live
- Vertical integration, especially towards the database: You could go really crazy with this. LINQ-style query-ability is just the beginning. Imagine if you had a typed access control framework that lets you specify which users/roles can access a database column. Or built-in ways to handle migration and automatic schema checks to prevent mismatch issues.
- Useful primitives, especially around authentication and authorization: For something simple I should only have to write my business logic.
- FFI (for example to C or JVM libraries)
- Automatic and safe dependency updates
- Poverty
- Inequality
- Racial Discrimination
- Affordable Health and Education
- Old Age Care
The list goes on. We are 200 years into industrial revolution and have made significant scientific and economic progress. Time we start looking for solutions to the really Hard problems.
Just think of all the good it's brought and how underfunded it is
Computational flops are microscopes for a mathematician these days.
• Social connection apps (dating/friends/hangouts) that aren’t optimized for fleecing users
• VR tourism
• Some way to digitally record and recreate smells, scents and odors
• A unified paradigm for controlling machines from fridges to elevators. Like tiny touchscreens with a modern and accessible UI you can hook up to with your phones
Easy to use, type safe, automatically validated/decoded/encoded/documented interface boundaries. There’s awesome tooling for this and nothing I’m aware of checks all those boxes, at least on platforms I develop on.
I’m considering experimenting with solutions for the former, and actively developing a solution for the latter for TypeScript/Node.
In all of them the events and message buses are kind of an afterthought. Everything seems geared towards request-response systems, and nothing adequately deals with the range of event systems and message flows.
Haven’t looked into it too closely but it looks promising
Most printer companies make their money off of the ink/toner for consumer products. The printers themselves are usually close to break even prices. That doesn't leave much room for open source competitors.
I guess I could see it if it was DIY. But then the question would be why it hasn't been done already.
Now scanning on the other hand...
They likely already have enough processing power for that anyway...
The real question is, can it actually be done more cheaply (commercially)?
Someone is likely making good industrial quality ones, now finding those and selling them on that point is something that should be solved...
It seems to solve several issues with apps like Tinder / Bumble etc. I guess a negative is that it's more nerve-wracking to video-date complete strangers, and to ensure it doesn't go the way of chatroulette.
Over quarantine I started something in this space [1], but I thought some of the larger dating companies would have introduced products around this concept too.
2) Universal charging adaptors for electronic devices.
3) Charging for disposal of oversize trash like appliances and furniture. Reduce the bad habit of buying cheap junk only to toss them in a couple of years. This is how it works in Tokyo and consumers think full-life cycle cost of a product, not just the upfront cost.
4) Grocery trucks that make their daily rounds in urban neighborhoods so all people need to do is walk up and purchase fresh food. Reduces the need for grocery delivery which requires a lot of packaging. Basically same as food truck idea, but for fresh groceries.
Today I use an editor that knows, semantically, the context of everything I type. It suggests nouns, and checks compatibility. It automatically shows me documentation for APIs. It knows several hundred common pitfalls to watch out for and suggests corrections for them. It even auto-formats my code so I don't have to dink around doing that.
We've come a long long way in 40 years.
* Ok, it was actually 1979. We got Vaxes and VT100 terminals with VMS EDIT 4 years later. The state of the art in editing was QED, a souped up version of unix 'ed', and vi hadn't really escaped Berkeley yet. Somewhere in MA and CA, some people were munging TECO to become Emacs.
Light Table (http://lighttable.com/) started down the path of what I was thinking, especially with the continual/inline code evaluation.
Once again, these are primarily just thoughts I've been considering. I haven't found a good outlet for discussing my ideas, everyone I discuss them with seems to respond that "that's the way things are" or "that sounds complicated". I've been considering writing a little editor proof of concept to explore some of these thoughts.
There are many new and small institutions being formed all the time (e.g. HOAs; new companies; local non-profits; technology standards committees; etc) but few of them experiment with new and "experimental" procedures, and few experimental procedures are proposed (which could be a bit of a chicken-and-egg problem; maybe no one wants to try out a novel procedure unless it has been at least analysed a lot, but maybe no one wants to spend time inventing and analysing novel procedures if there is little chance they will be used).
In addition, there is little work on novel procedures for self-governance of large asynchronous online communities (such as forums).
We see this in basically all established industries. The bicycle of 30 years ago looked pretty similar to one you would buy today. Its just every part has been made slightly stiffer, lighter, more durable, more vibration absorbing, etc but the core shape is still the same because we already came to the correct design.
s/Windows 2000/the first Macintoshes/
ftfy
This is my focus next year.
Placing many small bets that niche/vertical search will make this space much more interesting.
Google launches approximately one new and helpful search feature per year. What if you launched a company or conjured up a community that could give birth to two helpful features per year, wouldn't that company or community catch up and eventually surpass them in functionality?
This company wouldn't have to come up with a new paradigm for information access. Instead, they would have to come up with a way to launch helpful search features that wasn't dependent on PII. To me that doesn't sound as scary as having to come up with a new paradigm for information retrieval. To me it sounds fully doable.
Self-replicating cells that can be programmed to perform specific tasks.
The first protocells will be bacteria with heavily modified DNA. Eventually, we’ll be able to build fully-artificial self-replicating protocells (more “artificial cell” than “small robot”). Being fully-artificial will help us integrate new tech that nature hasn’t quite discovered/made-full-use-of yet — like different battery techs, RF communication, transistors, etc.
Here’s a good paper exploring the topic: https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/5/2/1019/htm
Imagine a blob that could wash along the floor, clearing 100% of detritus and intelligently depositing it — or perhaps even recycling it.
Imagine being able to repair a worn hip joint by injecting then commanding these protocells — no surgery required.
Imagine them self-assembling into structures to transport, deposit and combine material like an advanced 3D printer, building objects to incredible detail, or massive structures quickly, or both: massive structures with incredible detail.
Imagine programming them to kill all COVID-19 virions!
Did I leave anything out?
While it's not python, Godot's 'native' language is GDScript, which is quite python-like.
I don't really see the point of the rest of your comment though. Python is fine, but other languages have their advantages as well.
The annoying thing is that the community/OSS is so great that nothing that departs too drastically from JavaScript can get traction. Code you're working with is written in JS, docs are written in JS, tutorials written in JS, people you talk to are talking about JS.
TypeScript has really taken off because it's still very similar to JavaScript, something that can't be said of things like Elm or ReScript.
Today's JavaScript is different from JavaScript of 10 years ago. There's also TypeScript and other alternatives that compile to JavaScript.
Are you looking for something different?
Given how important the knowledge economy is, I would think that significantly more money (worldwide) would be invested in researching promising delivery models. Admittedly, I have no idea what those are either.
Google failed miserable with their invite requirement.
I know I was incredibly excited about it because I immediately understood it to be a way to kill email and the things that surround it. To think that Microsoft's Bedlam DL3 incident could have been a bitter memory.
Oh well. I guess we're stuck with email as it continues to exist today.
Reply all. "Remove me from this thread please." Send mail.
Endometriosis is a condition that affects 10-15% of adult women, that can be extremely painful, that we barely understand, and that we can't effectively treat most of the time. It also confounds a lot of the conventional understanding of the source of pain, which means we might get some interesting insights from studying it further.
And no idea what causes it, how to treat it, and what all does it affect. Does it cause infertility? Who knows. Maybe. Does it need to be removed? Maybe. Depends. Is there medication? Not exactly. Can you do anything to reduce the effects? Be healthier.
It is one of the most frustrating things to go through and it absolutely messes with the quality of life. It’s basically the “default:” or “Other” for all undiagnosable issues.
Unlike the NoSql movement, it embraces SQL and many RDBMS conventions to reduce the learning curve. It only removes or changes RDBMS features that get in the way of dynamism, but keeps the baby in the bathwater. And it allows incremental tightening of constraints/types to go from prototype to production. I'd love such a tool for prototyping.
This "isn't being worked on" topic is large and popular; I suggest follow-up HN entries break suggestions into categories for further discussion. HN is about innovation and the future.
I miss the C2 wiki for documenting opinions on various suggestions, and allow slower pondering. Nothing has replaced it for that function.
So yeah I am shocked that this very urgent matter is not being discussed and challenged yet at a mainstream level
They would need to be easy to build, fly, program, and use, and have good range for the mesh net. Then you could send out thousands which could park on trees, and be just far enough from each other to deliver good signals but be as cost-effective as possible. If one node goes out, another one flies in and takes it's place.
And I don't mean some obnoxiously advertised chrome plugin but a core part of spell check on my devices.
Also while I'm here: ios autocomplete is infuriating. It's constantly learning complete jibberish typo words and so I have to reset it every few months.
I'm a little ashamed to admit this, but the feather on the camel's back was a word I commonly use autocorrecting to 'ducking'. Infuriating. I remember listing to a podcast with Ken Kocienda - former iOS engineer who wrote the original iPhone keyboard with the dictionary; it was intentional.
I like it when it truly catches a real mistake but grammar is more flexible than it believes it is.
Credit card numbers that when given to a scammer trigger an investigation into the scammers finance network. Each person can be given a unique scamCatcher number.
I'm sure it's illegal in a bevy of different ways, though.
Emphasis at first would be red states close to turning blue, or with large electoral college votes. Then maybe states needed for local change, could ask people to move to 'support' the changes needed. Like legalizing cannabis in Utah (we'd need a lot more blue for that to ever happen even via ballot initiative, it's a miracle we got medicinal).
Maybe sad more than surprised
This reminds me that there is/was a company working on blockchain tech for tracking legislation changes.
But that also might help combat censorship by governments if you can get your data hosted outside of your country. Not sure how well that would work in practice, though.
I used to think BitTorrent was easy for the average computer user by now, but actually not so. You can't really delete a magnet link, but you can relatively easily take down the websites that host them, so it's not really relevant. It doesn't matter if the file still exists and there's a peer willing to distribute it if I cannot find it. In practice a lot of a popular torrent trackers (or magnet link indexers) manage to stay up for several years, but there's no technological guarantee for this.
My eye sight is getting worse by the day and my finger joints are getting sore. I need a voice driven work-flow, soon.
Almost every company out there is collecting tons of data, but 90% of companies don't have an IT department capable of keeping it safe and compliant with the latest regulations. Companies thought data was an asset but as the hacks and regulations pile up I think they will begin to view it as a liability.
So what are their options: 1) Try and beef up your tech operation. Maybe spend $xxM with AWS and hope their customer engineers can set you up right. This is a distraction from selling cars or whatever it is that you actually do, but the shareholders like that you're modernizing I guess. 2) Buy insurance. The same thing that people do to prepare for any other potential disaster that they can't prevent. If Russia decides to hack you there's nothing you can do, but at least the insurer will cover the bill.
The key is that this should NOT come from a traditional insurance company. Those companies do not have the ability to assess the risks properly nor do they have the expertise to recommend simple preventative measures or help a customer recover from an incident.
Instead there needs to be some sort of combination Cybersecurity consultancy and data insurance company. They come in, audit you, fix the low hanging fruit, and insure the rest. Maybe they even sell you some cloud services too for data warehousing, etc.
All the cloud companies are trying to sell Kubernetes to every traditional company out there. Forget it, just sell them insurance.
Also mental health issues (which is closely related to human rights issues). After watching Medicating Normal, I've lost hope in the psychiatric/pharmaceutical system. Why are there no better solutions to depression? It seems to be affecting a large number of people.
Local news.
Twitter is too noisy, nextdoor has too many busybodies.
ML is great, but at the end of the day you need some logic in order to make sense. Maybe some combined system could try to take on the knowledge acquisition problem?
They have a list of models that are fully compatible with Linux. Many have e.g. a scanner that isn't, but can print fine.
Phones that don't copy all of Apple's dumb decisions.
Space exploration, particularly in LEO manufacturing.
And, technology to efficiently cut the bonds between atoms in any visualized part of the body.
What would something like this require? What is missing? I would expect this to be the next step after MRI/electron microscopy and gamma knife.
If this existed, we wouldn’t need vaccines for Covid, we would just shoot the bonds of those ... . Also the same cure for cancer cells.
We've been doing it for many decades in expensive facilities or doctors offices, it should be democratized by now.
Echography/ultrasound (huge market for pregnant women btw), sports injuries, sprain ankle, muscle ache, stomach pain, I want to see what it looks like inside. Soft tissues, bones, tendons... I want to take hundreds of images of the normal state and compare when something is weird.
Interpretation of images is hard but we can learn it. And it will be much more data that we can feed to ML models to help us make sense of it.
To this day I'm still puzzled that I can't buy a €100 device and look inside myself.
So we can optimize farming, cultivation and stocks of food, reduce waste by insane amount and make sure everyone has a healthy diet, no matter his income range
Or better, globalize and generalize powdered meals (a la Soylent)
If you mean an alternative browser not based on the 3 major rendering engines, well that one is not really surprising given that you need a large team to concentrate on it.
Where's that moon colony we were promised?
https://www.inverse.com/innovation/spacex-starship-elon-musk...
I think a moon colony could be good for mining helium3, maybe creating some sort of manufacturing facilities (or maybe even an asteroid colony) that's a hub for space-mining.
Got to start somewhere, and since it's more expensive to launch from our gravity, might make more sense if majority of space launches/etc was from space structures w/ less gravity.
Though, a space colony would have to maybe figure out gravity, or something if that was magenitized uniforms that made your body feel as thoughit were in earth's gravity so you don't lose muscle/skeleton mass.
- General purpose. Applications don't have to pay a fee to the OS maker be treated as applications.
- Simple, but aesthetically pleasing interface. Not trying to push weird paradigms (e.g. laptop/tablet hybrids UIs). Polished look.
- Applications are installed through regular files. Stores are acceptable, but only as frontends to this same file interface, not as replacements. It should always be possible to store the installer or bundle as a regular file.
- Consistent vision. Programs don't feel like they were developed by completely different groups of people with completely different purposes.
- No surprise updates. User has full control over the computer.
- Preferably open source.
Apple have been the closest to this OS nirvana (if you forget the open source part), but they decided to screw their users with spying and forced signing of applications instead.
I think at this point it's clear that market economies are good at getting people out of bed, and for innovating, finding new markets, optimizing for efficiency, etc, and generating 'wealth'.
But they are perhaps not good at creating the right kind of wealth, spreading it fairly, fostering healthy societies, respecting the environment, optimizing for resilience, sustainability, etc.
It isn't really fixed by what we do now; tacking on taxes by government - which is always seen as 'lazy bureaucrats stealing from wealth creators', etc.
We should be researching, and testing alternatives, built into the very fabric of how economies are structured, along with ideas like Georgeist land taxes, universal basic equity/dividend etc.
It seems like the AI field got stuck optimizing a particular (and very primitive) decades old ANN model, which is a dead end in my view.
2) Alternative nuclear reactors & fuels, it seems like the field is stuck in iterative improvements on decades old LWR/PWR designs.
It's the next billion industry.
I wish people would stop wasting time on AI and speech recognition and work on that, it's the next step. ( AI obviously might be needed for 'deep fakes' of good speech output, we need focus on AI that gives us achievable returns, in steps )
https://anvil.works/blog/python-in-the-browser-talk
We build our all-Python full stack dev environment (https://anvil.works) on Skulpt - but there's a lot of room in that solution space! If you haven't checked out Mozilla's Pyodide project, for example, it's truly impressive - they compiled all of CPython and popular data science libraries to wasm for a full notebook experience in your browser:
Think about how quickly science could progress by sending back results from experiments performed in different timelines.