A swarm of drones flying through heavy forest–while staying in formation
sciencemag.org
sciencemag.org
Longer Video: https://youtu.be/K5WKg8meb94
A friend did his PhD in lidar mapping of trees and forests, with a focus on identifying risk trees. He primarily focused on roadside trees that were a danger to drivers, but that was in part due to the ease of lidar mapping from a vehicle. He did trials with drone imaging, but they had to be manually controlled, which made them no better than people.
I live near a national park, and they average several lost hikers and roughly one death a year. The majority of those are due to poor planning and injury (FFS always check in at a ranger station, tell someone your schedule/route, and stay on the trial if you are injured!). A system like this with thermal cameras could find injured people much faster than a search party every could.
Half the battle of fighting a forest fire is understanding its location and boundaries, and tracking/predicting its movement. A system like this could be augmented with smoke particulate sensors and thermal cameras.
Many ecosystems are being devastated by invasive species. Wild hogs, anacondas, airborne pests. Early attempts to track 'murder' hornets were hampered because the scientists could not follow their transponders effectively.
That said SAR already use drones to help search when weather permits.
For autonomous systems one thing I find interesting is how far they have to go in this sort of domain versus a good human pilot for example: https://youtu.be/bFVvUeP_oqY?t=36
Others are working on drone charging systems that are faster than the unit's flight time: https://dronelife.com/2020/08/01/a-drone-battery-that-charge...
To the best of my knowledge, all SAR drones operate above the tree canopy. The forest I live by has, even at peak occupancy, more people sized animals than people. It makes thermal imaging through a dense canopy difficult at best. A good friend spent 2 years as a coast guard pilot stationed near me, and he spent the majority of his time doing SAR training. He was the one to describe the issues with thermal imaging above the canopy. We discussed using drones at length, and his main issue was the risk that they might randomly enter his flight path and damage a rotor. Operating below the canopy would eliminate this risk.
https://phys.org/news/2019-07-iceland-trees-razed-vikings.ht...
Perhaps carrying one of these folded up ready to deploy in an emergency wouldn't be a terrible idea as the availability of SAR imaging goes up. Much cheaper to carry that than some of the GPS/beacon devices sold to hikers. Image detection is already a common ML tool for Earth observation analysis so building in something that looks for that marker in a known area of forest sounds possible.
https://www.westmarine.com/WestAdvisor/Selecting-a-Radar-Ref...
That said if you're doing anything serious away from people carrying a GPS and EPIRB/SPOT is way more effective. The latter working even in the most remote locations. It's no good being able to signal if no one is even looking for you.
Keep in mind that timber cruising is an industry, so there are also plenty of focus on software and hardware to speed up inventories: https://www.fs.fed.us/forestmanagement/products/measurement/...
Sorry, not sorry
This is done a lot, you are not used to the idea of 'Swarm/Formation' so you are using it to cure everything.
One long range drone with thermal cameras (and other wavelengths) is all you need. No formation is needed or wanted.
I still rarely see even one drone used. We need to start with one, if its useful.
I can give you many locations with invasive species, swarms won't solve that. Unless you give the swarms guns.
But one drone with a gun would kill pests fine. I think even with hunting humans most killing wouldn't need formations.
Mostly fear. There are a lot of people suffering out there right now and the risk of that leading to a war is real. This is a salient reminder that militaries can send a drone anywhere and mow people down.
The forestry industry is nice and all, but tech like this is going to literally kill people. That will be the most interesting application in this decade.
- What if adversaries develop full AI-tech with weapons mounted on them? How can a nation defend against such a threat?
- What if democracies around the world get wiped out by such a tech which has no public opposition in communist/ authoritarian states? They will and are developing such technology.
- We just saw the use of (non-AI) drone military tech in the Armenia-Azerbaijan war. Being defenseless is not an option.
If it wasn't the CCP, it would be Russia again, or if not Russia, then another emerging power. In 10 or 20 years it could be India, or the fragmented parts of European Union that combine to form authoritarian regimes if the swings toward autocracy continue.
Every military force is investing in drone technology because any military force in the world is investing in drone technology, and while the US was the leader for a long time, the push to outsource manufacturing and globalization led to a broad distribution of the skills, tools, and manufacturing base to build modern drones.
China is no more the root cause of the arms race than Thog was when he hit Ugh with a stick some time in ancient history. Its humans and tribalism all the way down.
You're not considering the historical consequences of your perspective. And I made no such claim that China is the root cause of the arms race, that's a strawman.
Historical counterfactual: What would've happened in WW2 in Asia if the US had no aircraft carriers because some pacifists convinced the administration that investing in arms was just tit for tat tribalism and contributing to an arms race?
If you can't explain why the US should not invest in drones today but they should've invested in aircraft carriers in the 1930s and 1940s, then you're holding a sack filled with little more than misplaced confidence.
More accurate than a roadside bomb, probably less risk as well.
It's not as easy to blow up a wedding with an F18 as it is to do so from a trailer in Arizona, for some reason.
Disagree.
These programs, from the President's perspective, are as autonomous as the machines. Barely any interaction, if any, is required from the W.H. to keep the bombs dropping.
The only thing that’s changed is we have a slightly better idea who we are shooting over time.
PS: Somewhat more bizarrely, letters of marque and reprisal mean private citizens can get the rights to kill other Americans who happen to be working on non military foreign ships.
Please watch: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9CO6M2HsoIA
https://old.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/jgmou6/azerb...
Warning: This contains real world footage with examples including troops in a foxhole being precisely targeted by a drone that you can see on film moving into the foxhole with them that then explodes, numerous cases of troops in an open field spotting a drone, running from it and then exploding. Also contains numerous examples of tank and vehicle columns as well as fixed emplacements exploding.
I think we're there. As of 2020, and in particular the Nagarno-Karabakh war it's clear that having more drones than the other side is the key. Number of troops, tanks and gun emplacements isn't as relevant anymore. Mid-sized drones such as the Harop drone trump all of those.
Have you not heard of the recent Azeri invasion of Artsakh? It was a major war between modern armies that was won by small drone warfare, just a few weeks ago.
You're correct that that government wanting to kill you is a primary concern. However you're submitting this comment under a story with a video of drones flying autonomously through a forest, in a world where facial recognition is commonplace, and commercial drones can easily carry the weight of a polymer firearm.
There is value in the inherent friction a state encounters when deciding to kill someone. A lot of people have to say yes, and a person usually has to pull some kind of trigger.
Reduce that friction, reduce the amount of people involved, and it is a guarantee that coups and purges will be too tempting of an option for power seekers.
For example, you might feel secure on your remote island retreat with its own airfield, security system, etc.
That any nut (not "Government") with a drone carrying an IED could surgically take you out would very likely worry that individual much more than it would worry you or me.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Nagorno-Karabakh_war#Mili...
[1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/sebastienroblin/2020/03/02/idli...
https://www.stm.com.tr/en/kargu-autonomous-tactical-multi-ro...
I suppose the different types of drones will cause different types of tactical shifts.
It is so sad that we, humans in general, devote so many resources to devising bigger and better means of violence.
His writing is fairly-near-future (10-30 years) and uncomfortable in much the same way that the show Silicon Valley can be uncomfortable (that is, it's so close to the truth / likely near-future that it hurts).
I swear I don't know the guy, but this will be my... sixth recommendation of his books on HN. I just love me some near-future peri-apocalyptic fiction.
YouTube link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IujQzSQtaTU&ab_channel=Scien...
Images of war come to mind
Though this and AI may allow us to map out forest flora (fauna will avoid them)
Or map out and chase poachers
I don't see how this is more advanced than each drone getting a start and end point and attempting to maintain a line. Is staying close to each other that significant of a challenge that I'm missing something?
Edit: The article is trash, the actual project is just navigating multiple drones in a highly-obstructed environment, nothing about maintaining formation. That's the impressive part, and this seems pretty damn good.
* More range and speed
* More obstacle avoidance autonomy
* More heavily armed
* Much, much cheaper
What’s the effective countermeasure against an enemy sending ten thousand of them at you?
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/9345/the-u-s-armys-las...
Or, simply, belt-fed automatic shotguns.
Following an ATV through a forest: https://youtu.be/mXeUHD-eVMs?t=329
Now reaching a physical universe near you!
The achievement here is not the planning. It's the mapping, from vision only, in a small package.
As scary as these things look, a silent drone fleet would be truly terrifying. Imagine hiking along and turning around to that.
A (more) silent drone will be huge for online shopping/meal delivery. Amazon has ambition to eventually deliver most packages to most places in matter of (tens of) minutes.
Birds do it all the time ...
What happens when technology progresses so much that anyone can make a swarm of killer drones? Will politicians no longer be able to go out in public? What about a distant future, when enriching uranium can be done in your garage for cheap...
I wish my car could do this.
Maybe Ajit Pai’s FCC replacement could get V2V/DSRC back on track?
It's a bit late for that. The FCC reallocated the spectrum last month.
[0]https://www.gardenzeus.com/protecting-your-lemon-trees-sunbu...
And they shared the source code.
if (aboutToCrash) { dont(); }