Stalking her daughter’s killers across Mexico, one by one
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
They packed their stuff, and left. Their senior neighbor did not - she ended up getting killed. Apparently gangs like that just seize apartments, and use them for criminal activities (prostitution, drugs, kidnappings, torture/executions, etc.).
Her parents eventually managed to get to the US, but her uncle died on the way - victim of some kidnapping scheme, where gangs/cartels snatch up immigrants on the way, and blackmail their families in the target countries.
Suffice to say, we never visited Honduras - but it's pretty surreal to know that this is the everyday stuff a lot of people go through, in Central America. One day everything is normal, the next day you're a refugee, just like that - and there's no justice in sight, because that would mean getting yourself or your family killed.
Legalizing most recreational drugs around the world is absolutely imperative! If it is not done sooner than later then the largest drug trafficking organizations will be so entrenched that it may become impossible.
Many lives would be saved if these drugs could be purchased in consistent doses with standardized labeling and packaging.
If for example the US manages to somehow curb the drug crisis, they'll find other buyers easily. Or switch to other products in demand, like insulin.
So, with demand, comes supply. Since pharmaceutical companies were the ones who raised prices and used patents laws to curb any legal competition, only illegal competition remains.
The end users will have a different experience but selling and trafficking drugs will remain illegal.
Day-to-day violent crime was the #1 reason that I wanted to leave the country.
EDIT Are there any low crime countries with a diverse population that don't employ big brother style surveillance like Singapore?
> Because of social stigmas attached, many people denied having African ancestry, and after African descended Caribbean workers arrived in Honduras, an active campaign to denigrate all people of African descent, made persons of mixed race anxious to deny any African ancestry. Hence official statistics quite uniformly under-represent those people who have ancestry in favor of a "two race" solution.
Contrasting your example, Japan and Iceland are near 100% homogeneous.
In diversity? Or crime rate?
> Ten years ago, on June 28, 2009, a general trained at the U.S. Army School of the Americas arrived with troops at the home of the president of Honduras, Manuel Zelaya, and forced him at gunpoint onto a plane bound for Costa Rica. An interim president was appointed by his political opponents who was quickly legitimized by United States. — [The Hill](0)
> There was a 1950s-style coup in Honduras in 2009 backed by the government of the United States, and things appear to have been unremittingly messed up ever since. Let me emphasize this one more time. If Honduras is in shambles, it is not because Hondurans are any less resourceful or fundamentally decent than anyone else, or even because its rulers are any more wretched and callous than our own. It is because the structure of the North American economy has made any other outcome impossible. — [No Wall They Can Build](1)
- 0. https://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/foreign-policy/45046...
Honduras is just not internationally interesting, either militarily or economically (outside of some refugee situation).
0. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_doc...
The Salvadoran president, Najib Bukele, a 39 year old businessman is effectively controlling gang activity. He is a pretty cool guy, and serves his country without collecting his salary.
Gangs in Central America extort people with jobs, so that in the end it's too inconvenient to have a job, and more convenient to be a gangster. If you have a honest job, some random armed guy shows up to collect most of your money.
It's a self-reinforcing phonomenon that kills the economy and turns everyone into gangsters.
Some say that this is due to... shady deals with gang leaders: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-54033444
Bukele is also under fire for attacking freedom of the press: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-06/el-salvad...
Writing about both murders in this article made sense, IMHO, even if the transitions between narratives weren't always completely clear. Part of the reporter's angle was that Mrs. Rodríguez's highly publicized fight impacted how people reacted to Luciano's kidnapping, for better or worse.
Legalise the drugs and allow legal production - and the cartels will have to find an honest way to make a living like the rest of us have to do.
This is magical thinking. Organized crime can make money in other ways. This story is about kidnapping, for example. Organized crime exists in many places where it’s not funded by drug trade.
Organized crime will likely never truly go away, but it has flourished because of the war on drugs (just as it did in America during the prohibition era).
Note that labor unions were a legitimate type of enterprise, but organized crime ran them illegitimately anyway. The willingness to break the law is their competitive advantage; it would make no sense to give it up.
It's possible the violence might actually increase, actually.
Sure they aren't going to disappear overnight. But cutting out their most profitable product lines would make a huge dent without a doubt.
We have a real-world example of that from Prohibition so it isn't entirely theoretical.
They end up extorting even more money from the local populace, and try and extend their fangs into other activities.
I’m not saying that legalizing drugs won’t help at all. But it’s unlikely it will help in places that already have gangs without other actions in addition.
Gangs exist as the most promising form of employment for people without other options. If you destroy the gang's single largest source of revenue, then it reduces their relative attracting as an employer. There are alternative to drugs like human trafficking, arms dealing and the wildlife trade but they have much much smaller markets. Perhaps in the short term violence would increase as gangs try to find a replacment for drugs, but even in the medium term I strongly believe that recruitment would plummet and attrition would rise as the money ran out.
>“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.”
Upton Sinclair ~ 1934
https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/21810-it-is-difficult-to-ge...
Searching for their profile on their employers website, and you'll find not a single criminal case. As was to be expected, considering the vast majority of lawsuits are civil law matters.
None of these has the absurd profit spans of drugs, though. You need about ~600-800 US$ worth of raw coca leafs to produce 1kg base cocaine (https://www.businessinsider.com/from-colombia-to-new-york-ci...) - and make ~25-27k US$ once it's on US streets. A vertical cartel that controls everything from the leaves to the sellers can capture all that 41.000% profit margin for themselves!
When the biggest markets US and EU "dry up" for illegal sales of cocaine, the gangs literally don't have anyone any more to extort for money - the population of South America is dirt poor. And also, they can't afford running militia that are more capable than some nations' armies or bribing the utter majority of the political class any more once these tasty US dollars vanish.
Kidnapping is more of a capital arbitrage situation. I don't think it scales like drugs. For it to be really worthwhile, it relies on people with a lot of capital coming into the area. If you scale up kidnapping, people simply don't come, or invest a lot more in security.
A few more pivots like that, and the cartels will be toothless.
Or do you mean make it legal at the destination - the US?
You would need to regulate doses, make sure it's not coupled with other substances to reduce ill effects on consumers, which isn't easy. It's obviously better than letting cartels thrive, of course, but legalizing drugs isn't a silver bullet, it's also a lot of work.
Remember how prohibition went into action: women were tired of their drunk husbands.
But somehow this opportunity for personal action is never brought up.
When PRI was in power, politicians and plaza bosses had mutual understanding: "you can transport drugs, but don't mess with locals who have no connection with drugs". Whenever USA tries to get rid of a kingpin, it will create more splinter factions, whose only way to fund themselves by kidnapping, ransoms, extortions, etc.
Narcos from Netflix triggered me to learn about drug cartels and money laundering
Depends highly on where you go, but then again, that probably goes for every country. Even so, if you go make sure you have a local person you can rely on, and it really helps if you speak Spanish.
Also, one of the subplots in the excellent https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Babel_(film) is in Mexico.
Babel is by Mexican directors and writers. See the previous two in the triptych too.
I am seriously thinking of moving back to the United States. The only problem is that I cannot really afford to live there.
I have some unresolved health issues and for many years have been working exclusively online because I could not handle commuting. But for me it has not been easy to find high-paying programming jobs online. There are just many more low-paying contracts and often I run out of money before I find a high-paying one which seems like it will have a workload that's manageable for me.
So now so I have something which is totally fine in a way in that it's about $2000 per month (to handle all of the programming and servers for an automated cryptocurrency trading system that seems to be going nowhere but has been a steady income for several years) and I have Thursday and Friday to work on my deep learning classes. And I can easily manage to get by in Tijuana on that much.
But this kidnapping thing is terrifying.
Maybe Rosarito will be safer than Tijuana? I mean my neighborhood here in Playas _seems_ very safe. I would have to move to a ghetto or something in the US. Which I would not really quite be able to afford.
I did a 5 month road trip through Mexico and there are so many cheap beautiful safe spots to live.
One explanation was that the cartel members have families too and keep the cities their families live in free or more free of that sort of trouble.
I would look into place like San Miguel De Allende, Valladolid, Puerto Escondito, Puerta Vallarta and the small villages north of it, Todos Santos, Oaxaca, San Cristobal De Las Casa. Guanajuato.
Have you looked into Costa Rica and Panama?
As someone who is "hispanic" it amazes me that someone would do such a thing when they are constantly in danger, and there are safer places to live, but medical and other cheap entertainment in MX is probably the reason why.
If he has spent two years in Tijuana and hasn't heard of the places you mentioned, or done any true traveling, well, yeah.
They're content. That's what they want. That's all they want.
I moved here because it was close to the border and most of the horror stories I heard were farther into Mexico. Also this way I could still visit my father before he passed away and still easily cross to buy things in the US or get US mail etc.
I live in Playas de Tijuana. People here told me it was safe. So far I have not seen any danger.
I have heard of other towns and locations in Mexico and South America.
How TF would you know how much traveling I have done?
Why do you say I am constantly in danger? Where do you think I should live and why?
I put myself out here looking for information and of course I got what I deserved which was just for people to spit in my eye.
Honestly I am not sure all of those little towns in Mexico you mentioned are really safe.
The issue is Tijuana has the name recognition for the bad reputation. So really people only see that.
So I ended up respecting politised people, regardless of their views.
For a functioning democracy, everyone must do politics, even if it's unpleasant.
The comment you are responding to both recognizes that and is telling you that that is a fact that is deliberately being manipulated by and to the advantage of the people promoting false information.
A major part of the goal of extreme political propaganda, nearly as important as mobilizing unreasonable people, is getting reasonable people exhausted with the political system so that they check out.
I've been voting and voicing my displeasure regularly for the last year at my governor and elected officials, down the to the local ones, and nothing has changed. Actually that's not true, the majority of the decisions made have changed quite a bit and have further ruined my small business and my children's education.
Can't imagine how much worse it would get if I didn't waste hundreds of hours writing to my officials while they feed my concerns into a shredder.
What matters the most is how many people you can motivate to do something, and that is democracy.
Sorry, man, I'm gonna just not do politics. There's literally no point.
The NYT will go to great lengths to point out alignment with right-side politics in such matters. Left-side alignments seem not to get much mention, at least as far as I can tell.
"In three years, Mrs. Rodríguez captured nearly every living member of the crew that had abducted her daughter for ransom, a rogues’ gallery of criminals who tried to start new lives — as a born-again Christian, a taxi driver, a car salesman, a babysitter."
The other victim in this story was kidnapped like her daughter and like her daughter was found dead. Furthermore, they later found out that it was relatives who planned the kidnapping and murder of the other victim in the story.
And indeed, a lot of purely repression based solutions to different social ills lean heavily on the "heroes can fight the bad guys" trope. This reinforces the "drug war", which is in many ways the source of the orgy of murder this woman confronted and this isn't going to be solved by more heroics of her sort.
It also spreads the nonsense that there’s nowhere safe in Mexico. I skimmed the article and saw she lived in Tamaulipas. No reason that moving to the US should come before moving to a safer state in Mexico like where I live or where any expat chooses to spend their time.
In our community, all crime has dropped tremendously since we started, and many youths now have purpose to their lives that will (hopefully) keep them from ever joining such groups.
And, importantly, don't forget your own kids. Keep an eye on their friends when growing up, make sure you spend the time to keep a good relationship with them.
If everyone in Central America consciously worked to raise their kids to be better people, and each also took two or three less fortunate kids as projects, it would show. (I am sure plenty do, but we need more working to improve the world!)
Me, on the other hand, as a citizen of a very corrupt corrupt country in which the specter of communism still linger heavily, I wonder how many officials would either "malfunction" cameras when cartel members would be caught on video OR would actively help cartel members organize their kidnappings.
What percentage of BART cameras do you think work? Based on the number of high-profile incidents without footage, I'd guess <25%. I would not be surprised to learn the answer is 0%.
Consider yourself held responsible and allocate yourself the consequences you see fit.
For me it's not a question of whether it's a conspiracy or not. For me it's a question about society. Not only can we not protect a very high profile individual from harm in a cell (self-inflicted or not), we can't even make sure that the cameras in the cell work. What chance do we have that prisons in general can protect prisoners from harm? And if we can't protect prisoners from harm then they'll do it themselves. That's how you get a gang culture. You also make sure that many criminals never even get a real chance at reforming, because they'll have to protect themselves in prison with the limited means at their disposal instead of learning to become a better person.
The argument that Jeffery Epstein was murdered hinges on jails and prisons to be something they are not
Something along the lines of a Knights Templar where segment of a community devote themselves to the protection of people in the area. It might even give youth an alternative to avoid gangs as while jobs are scarce they can join a 'higher order' so have an alternative that provides purpose and a raise in self-status.
Note: I know nothing about these areas or problems really so approach this mental exercise from a position of ignorance and Hollywood.
Evolution would state that, eventually, only the religious will survive. If there is a God, He is laughing."
Nonetheless, I don't think that would help here - the society has passed critical mass of crime, the incentives are for everyone to be criminal, and religion itself would be subverted for its use.
Eventually some of them broke out of prison and executed her in the street.
> Luis obsessed over who they were. But even he had learned the lesson his mother’s murder had been meant to impart: only push so far for justice. “I won’t make the same mistakes as my mom,” he said.
As of a 2007 report, it was estimated that marijuana contributed up to 60% of cartel revenues [0].
> According to the National Drug Intelligence Center, drug proceeds in Mexico in 2005 ranged from... $3.9 billion to $14.3 billion for marijuana... Mexican drug traffickers also grow marijuana in the United States; therefore, the amount of proceeds returned to Mexico is likely greater than the reported estimates.
> Adding up the midpoints for each range, the total would be roughly $15.5 billion, though we note there’s a wide disparity in the marijuana estimates.
This portion has likely decreased substantially with increasing legalization of marijuana in the US, but it was not minuscule by any standard. The drop in revenue has pushed cartels to other income stream (e.g. avocado protection rackets) [1].
> Cartels not only sell marihuana, cocaine and pills, they control human trafficking, prostitution, oil robberies, kidnapping, etc.
I think of cartels as companies whose product is criminal activity. Drug prohibitions make it possible to overcome the initial hurdle needed to build such an organization, but once established it will seek to diversify revenues and adapt to changing markets by offering new services. While legalization of drugs would likely cut cartel revenues, it would not entirely eliminate them.
[0] https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/06/24/do-mexica...
[1] https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2019-11-20/mexico...
Alternative sources all appear to be contemporary to that report. I’m happy to consider other data, but I’m hesitant to give Calderón’s policies the benefit of the doubt, given the dramatic increase in cartel violence [0] under his tenure and his solicitation of bribes from cartels while in office [1].
> The activities that I mentioned specifically oil robberies started after it and that generates way more than marihuana
Oil theft in Mexico cost Pemex $1.5bln in 2016 [2]. Assuming cartel revenues from marijuana have fallen 50% since 2007, oil theft revenues would still need to grow 3x to rival those from marijuana.
[0] https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/06/world/americas/mexico-dru...
[1] https://mexiconewsdaily.com/news/chapos-lawyer-claims-cartel...
[2] https://www.insightcrime.org/news/brief/mexico-state-oil-com...
Despite the fact that cartels may continue to control human trafficking, etc, it cannot hurt to take away large chunks of their profits.
[1] https://blog.oup.com/2019/07/how-medical-marijuana-hurts-mex...
One of the better developments of last few decades is that national borders are, for the most part, no longer subject to violent change. That's due to territory simply losing importance: raw materials are insignificant, economically, compared to the fruits of intellectual labor. Borders have also become much more porous: the conflict in Northern Ireland, for example, lost much of its significance when it became commonplace to commute across the border every day.
Then, a once-mighty nation took the lead in establishing what's called the "rule-based international order": You may conquer some territory with your oh-so-mighty territory. But whatcha gonna do with it when nobody is going to reconise it and you can't sell anything produced there in international markets?
There's been enough regression in these efforts in recent years. No matter how grating it may be to see criminals getting away, it comes nowhere close to being significant enough to go back to might-is-right.
He was wrong -- both times. :)
"The Great Illusion" argued that economic integration made war unlikely. He was wrong in that he hadn't realized how much people wanted something that went against their interests.
But he learned that lesson well: "From the mid-1930s, Angell actively campaigned for collective international opposition to the aggressive policies of Germany, Italy, and Japan. He went to the United States in 1940 to lecture in favour of American support for Britain in World War II"[1]
We got a small taste of how isolated nations are when this pandemic kicked off. It's amazing it didn't degrade further.
If people themselves (the immune system, if you wish) don't make an effort like this woman did, no intervention will help them, Earthly or Divine alike.
At best the US can bunker up and make an effort to contain them.
Close to a trillion have been spent on Afghanistan for almost a decade. That much effort was needed to throw off an easily identifiable terrorist state. How will Afghanistan last until it collapses again? Because it's only a matter of time.
the US has already struck a deal with the taliban, and the afghan government is formally negotiating with them right now. so probably not long...
I believe we live in a narco-state where government works for the cartels. This does not exclude US authorities, search for Garcia Luna and ties with DEA operatives/israel companies
“Military” and “police forces” are different things.
But, in either case, doing so would both start a war with and further destabilize Mexico. There's a reason the US usually does this to countries far from its own borders, separated by oceans, or both, so that the blowback when popular support collapses and the ongoing cost in blood and treasure becomes intolerable is born by people that are remote from the US (in both the target country and it's neighbors.)
Aside from those pragmatic concerns, the same considerations also have a moral dimension, though that's less consistently reflected in policy decisions.
What the USA should not do (again) is "purposely allowed licensed firearms dealers to sell weapons to illegal straw buyers, hoping to track the guns to Mexican drug cartel leaders and arrest them"
Works on Firefox too - it's what I use right now to read this article