I know the politicians are mistaken because it was my job to predict which people will become billionaires.
This does not follow. You could just as easily argue that this means you are bad at predicting billionaires. YC is 8 for 1000 in the billionaire prediction game. Maybe that is good enough to claim expertise, but I think you have to actually make that argument and not assume it.
If the key to becoming a billionaire — the defining feature of billionaires — was to exploit people, then I, as a professional billionaire scout, would surely realize this.
This does not follow. First, "if this was true, I would know" is not an argument. Second, if exploitation is necessary, but not sufficient, it might be essentially useless as a predictor while still being universal among billionaires.