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>I hope so, but the more I read about cults and mind-control the less I believe we'll have a good outcome.

The real crazies are a (regrettably) loud minority. We only need around a 75% vaccination rate with a 95% effective vaccine to get to herd immunity. I've no worries at all we'll be there by the end of summer.

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That seems high to me. If R0 is 2, shouldn't a 50% vaccination rate (with 100% effectiveness) get you to an effective R0 of 1?

No, because people engage in riskier behavior when they start to feel safer, driving up R0.

By riskier you mean normal.

Well, we’ve been restricted for so long I would expect a portion of the population to be much more out and about than they were even pre-COVID as a sort of overcorrection.

On the other hand, a number of people have gotten so used to the lock down and risk aversion protocols, it may be a long time before they feel comfortable letting anyone else in their personal space.

It may or may not also be more "normal" as you put it, but that's not at all relevant to what we're discussing here.

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