Is there any evidence that capturing heavier droplets has any material effect on transmission? No. And we know that transmission is driven by aerosols now. Aerosols are not heavy droplets.
Moreover, at this point, it isn’t challenging to find cities and states with high levels of mask compliance, and spiking cases:
https://mobile.twitter.com/ianmSC/status/1329187274794225666...
https://mobile.twitter.com/ianmSC/status/1329218665187745794...
https://mobile.twitter.com/yinonw/status/1329558423604695046...
https://mobile.twitter.com/ianmSC/status/1329610060125749251...
A great many preprints were created in the the spring (when cases were on the decline in the northern hemisphere) claiming to prove that masks “work”, based on the same kinds of observations. Now that cases are increasing in the northern hemisphere, I eagerly await a revisiting of those publications.
Frankly, I think it's been a huge mistake to discourage valved masks: they're much easier to breath in and more comfortable. Better to encourage the vulnerable to wear high quality, valved N95 masks and protect themselves, than worry about those same people infecting others.
My risk from COVID is something like 1/50th that of my parents.
Because I've seen that claim a lot. But never actually seen a scientific study making that claim.
Whether or not masks protect others seems much harder to isolate but there does seem to be lower R^2 values for countries and areas with more normalized mask wearing. Perhaps it is just a correlation (just seeing masks reminds people of the risk and they modify their behavior).
The purpose and design of surgical masks is to protect others, not the wearer. Mask catches big droplets but is not effective catching small particles. It's hard to wear tightly.
Respirator is designed to protect wearer. Buy N95 respirator and wear it correctly (trim your beard if necessary) if you want to be safe.
A respirator with an exhalation valve, protects the wearer but does not give as good protection to others as respirator without a valve.
I have personally been unable to find a single reliable study of mask efficiency, and the ones about N95 respirator efficiency that I found had the grim conclusion that they don't help much unless expertly fitted, and even health professional aren't very good to fitting them properly.
What I have found are some simulations that make unrealistic assumptions and reach the pre-supposed conclusions.
> Mask catches big droplets but is not effective catching small particles.
Well, then it's all a question of virion size vs mask hole size, then, and how long virions are still active, and what the effect of breath diffusion is. Of which the raw numbers would say that masks are mostly useless. I have not yet seen a model/study/trial that addresses this properly.
I wear an N95, and I encourage everyone else to do the same, but I do recognize that it's not a "fact"