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onecommentman

Deaths per capita from COVID for the States you referred to, as reported by State health sites mid November 2020:

Nevada: 1 in 1600

Utah: 1 in 4500

Montana: 1 in 2200

North Dakota: 1 in 1300

Minnesota: (outside of the 7 county Twin Cities) 1 in 3700

Michigan: (outside of Detroit area) 1 in 3600

In comparison

Where you moved from (Orange County CA)

1 in 2000

Where you moved to (Michigan/Detroit area Wayne/Detroit City/Oakland/Macomb) 1 in 350, not 1 in 3500, that’s one in three hundred and fifty.

If you moved to someplace six times deadlier (from a COVID standpoint), I’m guessing you have bigger problems to worry about than the COVID public health posture of those States you travelled through...

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Implicit in your comment is the assumption that places that have had the highest death rates so far have more to worry about than places that have had the lowest death rates so far.

We got here by whalesalad complaining about people that don't wear masks. What's the point of masks? To slow the spread of the disease. So unless you've got some reason to think that death rates per infection are radically higher in Detroit than anywhere else along the route, then death rates are a somewhat-imperfect-but-still-somewhat-useful proxy for infection rates.

And therefore your comment is pretty pointless. If Detroit is doing worse about preventing infection than all these places that aren't using masks, then being there for the next month is probably going to be worse than passing through all those non-mask-using places for a week or two. (Unless you have reason to think that Detroit not only reached herd immunity, but did so long enough ago that people aren't currently contagious there. But if you think that, I'd like to see your data. More, I'd like to see why you think that about Detroit but not about the non-mask-using-and-therefore-presumably-spreading hinterlands.)

Unrelated, but I can't help it.

I assume "whalesalad" was a bad autocorrect that was meant to be "wholesale". But since most autocorrects learn from your past typing, I'm really curious what opportunity you had in the past to use the term "whalesalad".

I wanted this to be true, but "whalesalad" was the thread's top-post user.

That only means the conspiracy goes deeper.

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