Keeping Prediction Honest

"when I make predictions, instead of casting them abstractly into the air, I’ll post them here: einfall.slinkset.com. And I won’t delete my predictions — if they turn out wrong, I’ll keep them there, as permanent reminders to learn from."

Here is the strategy that I recommend: predict less often and predict things that are easy to predict. Unfortunately, "big" predictions get you web traffic and short-term attention. When the outcome reveals itself, the vast majority of people forget that you made a prediction. So I don't think this is that big of a move. Now, if you put money behind it...