I had assumed, from a combination of the title and my intuition about 2020, that desktop computing would be enjoying a resurgence. My thinking: many of us are stuck at home and desktop computing is the premium computing experience—especially for enthusiasts, gamers, content creators, engineers, programmers, etc. We're no longer carrying a computer to and from an office each day, so the value of a laptop is diminished. In fact, when my laptop died in April, I didn't replace it for several months because my home workstation is what I'm using every day and I wasn't traveling anywhere.
I suppose enthusiasts don't really count for a big enough market to lift the numbers. Still I would have expected 2020 to be flat on desktop computers, not dramatically down.
For my company, since we didn't want to use a bunch of money to buy new equipment during an economic squeeze, we let the programmers (essentially everyone) take their workstations home, and most did.
* Creatives who need more horsepower than a mobile workstation can provide
* Hourly employees with minimal computing needs who won't use their computer outside of their cubical
Anyone in the middle is better served by a laptop
I don't think it's capturing anything about people who build their own system, so whether or not that market has grown probably isn't reflected in this.
- Some lucky folks took home shiny new hardware from their employers to connect to the office
- Some unlucky folks had to pay out-of-pocket because on their first day working from home they learned Teams doesn't run on a 13 year old Macbook
- And yes, some folks splurged on new hardware for COVID-compliant fun (myself included), but newfound imperatives like having to work from home will more effectively drive sales than a shift in taste