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Comment by tomrod | Hacker News Reader

> now try to apply this same trick to as many new fields as possible.

Right, this is normal and expected. While scientific growth looks like an exponential curve, the lateral application path is equally important to maintaining that curve!

We may get to AGI one day (I have my doubts) but I have to remind myself that all theses clunky things we see today are v1 -- and virtually everything can improve!

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It is normal, but it's kind of disappointing that from my (uneducated) vantage point, we don't seem to be at all closer to AGI than we were in 1994.

It's like the difference between Kitty Hawk and a Boeing airliner. Yes, they are impressive feats of engineering, and the massive training hours tell the story.

But the Boeing Airliner is still less clever than a fruit fly, to merge the metaphors.

Edit:

to expand - it seems to get something as smart as a dog is almost the same as something as smart as a human.

  1994 neural net
  2020 GPT-3
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  .
  .
  .

  unknown numbers of dots...

  .
  .
  .
  dog
  human

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