No country on Earth is taking the 2 degree climate target seriously
vox.com
vox.com
So every country on Earth has seriously decided that they are not willing to take on the cost of achieving that target; they haven't communicated it explicitly to their voters (because, let's be real, voters don't want to hear bad news), but IMHO that's a serious decision, and not an unilateral one but one that takes into account the will of the voters as well - I'm quite certain that if the necessary changes are actually undertaken anywhere, mandating major restrictions to lifestyles and economics, the mass of protesters will overwhelm the environmental activists and replace the government (with violence, if necessary) with someone else who'll "not take the 2 degree target seriously" and roll back the measures.
Personally I would like to see some temperature mitigation projects right now while we deal with the CO2 levels over the next 80 years.
Then maybe give an extra nudge to those projects that are robustly expected to produce temperature mitigation effects based on 2020 climate models. And what are those interventions that are most robust to changes in the structural assumptions underlying those models?
Maintain and grow current levels of environmental and earth science research as a matter of course. We live here. No need to hide behind the petticoats of climate change...
Any time I talk about how society should act to stop anthropogenic climate change, I am not pretending to think the things I'm professing that I think.
Investment and innovation are where real and sustainable change happens.
Great thing about tech advances...they never go backwards. They are there for the duration.
https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2019/may/16/o...
One positive thing of the climate change discussion is as a gateway drug to awareness of these actual international development issues.
Do wonder about Bangladesh and sea level rise...
There are far too many humans in the world at present. The Earth needs to reduce that number to sustainable levels. By humans disregarding the problems of global warming, there will be global famines which will reduce human numbers markedly.
Climate change is merely a symptom of TOO MANY HUMANS. It's pointless trying to reduce climate change without trying to reduce human numbers.
We have a choice: reduce human numbers ourselves down to around 1-2 billion (possibly with a 'One child per woman' policy which would do the task without trauma) or have the number reduced forcibly (perhaps via the global famines or water-wars which will occur when climate change causes droughts and low water supplies).
Being humans, we'll do nothing and be forced to undergo the trauma of having our numbers reduced forcibly.
It seems unlikely to me that the results of climate change will be so dramatic as to kill 80% of all humans, unless climate change sparks some sort of global war involving nuclear weapons. That doesn't sound very good for the planet.
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/climate-wars-conflict...
https://www.thoughtco.com/bacterial-growth-curve-phases-4172...
Yes we can go ahead blindly, and destroy our living space and therefore our viable numbers. Or, we can control our growth, and bring it back to sustainable levels.
If we destroy our environment (pollution, climate change, overfishing, etc), it will hold less people sustainably than if we don't destroy our environment and reduce our numbers voluntarily to those current sustainable levels.
But, as I indicated above, humans are incapable of acting in their own best interests and it will happen forcibly by Nature and not to our liking.
We’re still coming out of an ice age. So temperature is will go up. It’s just a matter of how much.