Technically, the bet is
> This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2020 presidential election.
So unrelated to the actual certification process.
> This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2020 presidential election.
So unrelated to the actual certification process.
Not the way “projected electoral votes” has ever been used in the past in the context of US Presidential elections, but I will grant that the BetFair bets terms are imprecise enough that they could mean anything.
Seems like an oddly vague phrasing for such bets.
The rules are woefully ambiguous.
In this case I suspect the only reason they haven't settled the market is to avoid causing a scene with people laying bets against Trump, not because they genuinely believe there is any chance of it going the other way.
Traditional bookmakers have already paid out, including Paddypower who are part of the same group "Paddypowerbetfair".