The iOS weather-app market
marco.org
marco.org
There are SO many calculators, to-do, and weather apps. This wouldn't normally be a problem if it wasn't for the fact that many actual great developers and designers are working on these too. Why would anyone with this kind of talent consider making a weather app? Even if its the best weather app in the universe, its still just the best weather app in the universe. It's as ridiculous as fantasizing about owning the weather channel.
This is why we end up with apps that are all form over function, because there's no problem left to solve, just minor quibbles and preferences to satisfy ("oh I wish the to-do app had projects AND sub projects!").
You can view the weather ONLINE. Yes, perhaps there is a magical experience someone may be able to bring to the weather, but that's missing the point. The point is that weather, and to-do, and calendaring, and calculators, are all solved problems, and while they can be done better there exist a whole slew of new apps that no one has imagined possible before on touch and mobile thanks to iPhone and iPad.
I say this because I respect these developers and I know they're capable of so much more. Just look at GarageBand. More people should be thinking about the next GarageBand.
We have some extremely talented people working on Stormpulse and the size of the underserved market is staggering.
And yes, we have an iPad app launching this summer. :)
Unless you're a landscaper or something, I have to say this sounds a little on the crazy side.
But his point about making weather accessible to consumer levels of expertise is spot on.
But even granting that they are, having the vision to find an ambitious and original project is part of what it means to be "capable of so much more," and is not a common skill.
What gets me is when Facebook starts hiring the best engineers away from Google and Microsoft to go work on Deals and Messages. That Lars Rasmussen built Maps (one of Google's 2 killer apps) and the awe-inspiring, but before it's time Wave, and now is doing who knows what trivial (though I'm sure technically hard) thing at Facebook is a real shame.
Imagine the design sense of some of these guys applied to medical or scientific apps. It would be incredible. I see my father use the most horrific and inefficient web interfaces in the universe to find papers or do gene cutting. Now there's a space waiting to be disrupted with usability.
I personally wonder if not the only thing that drives the weather-app market on iOS is Apple listing Weather as its own category.
Disclaimer: I'm the creator of Degrees, Weather for your Mac http://itunes.apple.com/app/degrees/id430173763?mt=12
Where is the next Word, Excel, Powerpoint, Photoshop, Hypercard, Eclipse, XCode, Visual Studio, browser extensible with plugins like Firefox, vmware, Bittorrent, Protools, Cubase, Live, Avid, FCP, Maya, Blender, Max, Aftereffects or Dreamweaver?
Well, quite a few of them have been actively banned by Apple.
I haven't seen any really complex new Apps for the iPad, where somebody invested heavily. Games don't count, they are very rarely killed by Apple. Ports don't count neither, there is less investment there.
Where are the big investments?
I've seen 5 so far: Pages, Numbers, Keynote, Garageband, and TheDaily. 4 from Apple and 1 from Murdoch, created with the personal guarantee by Murdoch's buddy Jobs that it will reach customers.
Could somebody comment? Are there app creators that indeed play it save? Are there others that are investing big time and have just not reached their 1.0 yet?
I expect this to be based on Adobe Air, though. That makes it a multi-platform investment. Also, I am not sure this is 'big time' for Adobe.
But the problem with the complex set you show is that those kinds of applications can take millions of dollars to get to a point where they can compete.
I have a great idea of how to take Excel down, for example. However, when I tallied up the hours it would take just to get to an MVP, it was far out of my range, and far out of three people unless we locked ourselves in a room for a year. To get to an MVP. To compete with something that many businesses get with Word.
You can't beat Excel from the bottom up, because LibreOffice already has that world. The key in that world, I believe, is to attack at the top. Big excel spreadsheets are a nightmare to handle. There's no good way to version control. VBA is easy to turn into spaghetti code. It's expensive to develop ways to see your business intelligence data, whether by packages such as Xcelcius or custom solutions taking a developer's time.
It's the wrong arena to compete on price, but you need a large subset of Excel's features to get to the point where you can tackle that fish.
Or, you can try to make a hit in the app world to prove you have the chops so you can get investment for your bigger ideas.
Are these guys on HN?
And yes, I check in every week or so to see if they've brought it to the iPad.
http://weatherspark.com/#!graphs;ws=31029;t=312594;mspp=9000...
And out of that, I've been working on a simple weather app: http://Dopplecast.com
It sends you a direct message via twitter every weekday morning at a time you specify.
My main goal is to learn how to build and deploy an app on rails. However I wanted to solve a real need I had too. I found that most people need information about the weather when they are getting dressed to go to work, so I wanted to give them a short sentence to glance at on their phone like this one I got at 8:15 this morning:
New York: Partly Cloudy 55 now | 61 low, 78 high. Isolated Thunderstorms today.
My initial goal was to get a text message so I can just look at my phone when I need to know, but that was too expensive to run as a service. Then I moved to @messages on twitter, but that was too noisy. Im now doing Direct messages. With an iPhone you get a push alert, and you can get twitter to text you direct messages. Double win.
If anyone uses it and wants to give feedback, I'm @alphacolin or @dopplecast on twitter.
The site is rough right now, but I solved the weather problem for me, and it's not an app. If it works for you too, let me know!
I have a motorcycle; I only have one weather question in the morning - can I ride today? Rain is pretty much the only thing I care about, and I'm on the Florida coast, so "Isolated thunderstorms" is a "no shit, Sherlock" during spring/summer/fall and entirely useless. I want to know if it's the usual 10-30% chance of mid-afternoon rain, or if it's something more.
An alert on my phone ready for me every morning would be ideal. I've found apps in the past that do it, but they always close shop after a few months.
The problem is that I know just enough about both weather and machine learning to know that such a simplistic approach probably wouldn't work very well. And, of course, the relative costs of false positives and false negatives are very different (false negative: I miss a good riding day; false positive: I get soaked and have to deal with slippery pavement).
These two sentences pretty much explain why there isn't a decent app on the market. TV networks will shove a kitchen sink into an app to distinguish themselves from their competitors (resulting in too much info), small devs are either too inexperienced to create a decent app, or are too experienced to waste their time trying to break through an extremely saturated market.
If we get access to more sensors we'll figure out things to do with them.
If you are a pilot be sure to check out Pilot My-Cast, which is what I work on. The iPad is incredible for pilots, for far too long they've had to put with complex and arcane UI. We are working on changing that here at Digital Cyclone.
Also, with quick links to the NOAA forecaster discussions.
The wunderground site also has a pretty slick mobile site, a lot better then most of the apps out there.
The Android weather-app market is quite similar. Lots of apps and they all suck (so far as I can tell). I'd love to find that gem too, but I don't hold out much hope...
Frustrated by what was available, I created a weather app for Android which did what I want from a weather app: smart alerts about tomorrow's weather. In talking with people about it, I learned there are many different ideas about how the perfect weather app would behave for different people. This is not surprising; weather information is only useful in the context of how it would change your behavior. Since everyone has a different schedule, a consistent and simple interface is not likely to be possible.
The name of the app I created is "Anticipates (Weather)". comments are welcome!
https://market.android.com/search?q=Anticipates&so=1&...
Same results on a real phone.
http://itunes.apple.com/us/app/fahrenheit-weather-temperatur...