Much is still to be discovered about the virus, science only knows the effects after less than 1 year. The question is, what could long-term effects of this virus? (let's in 10-20 years)
- any new pharmaceutical - diets (keto, carnivore, etc) - 5g
etc
point being: modifying behavior due to decade time-horizon unknowns is not really pragmatic.
And with diets and diseases, if something has a short-horizon effect, that's good evidence it might have a long time-horizon effect too.
The seriousness with which I respond to COVID19 is mostly due to short time-horizon effects giving strong implications of possible long time-horizon effects. I'm less concerned about the 3% CFR as I am about the larger portion of individuals who might have long-term disability, lower economic output, etc. If that passes, we'll be feeling that for many decades.
Here's a Twitter thread listing post-infection syndromes from other vital infections: https://mobile.twitter.com/aetiology/status/1318676570467409...