In addition to usage patterns, there's a lot more that contributes to mean time between failure of hard drives; like operating temperature (ambient, fluctuations, max), relative humidity, vibration and alike.
There's also well researched and published literature around this.
From Microsoft 2016: Finds relative humidity to be the dominant factor for disk failure https://www.usenix.org/system/files/conference/fast16/fast16...
From UToronto 2012: Finds no correlation with DRAM failures, nor high temp and disk failure but concludes temperature variability affects disk reliability more than maximum operating temperature http://www.cs.toronto.edu/~bianca/papers/temperature_cam.pdf
From Google 2007: cannot find strong correlation between failure rate and temperature or utilization. https://static.googleusercontent.com/media/research.google.c...
From Microsoft 2013: focuses on operating temperature being the driving factor of failure, more than load. http://www.cs.virginia.edu/~gurumurthi/papers/acmtos13.pdf