Future gun control has been shot down
thoughtleader.co.za
thoughtleader.co.za
I disagree with the premise that gun control has been shot down because of this new technology applied to make improvised firearms. First of all, these things are going to be far less effective, durability, reliability and range wise than factory firearms. Second, laws are about scaring transgressors into not doing something with the threat of state violence against them, not making some action a complete impossibility.
This is technically true, but doesn't accurately represent the state of 3d printed firearms.
Durability - a 3d printed/hybrid firearm isn't going to last as long as one made by Ruger and co. However, the difference is between components lasting thousands of rounds vs tens of thousands of rounds - meaningful, but we're not talking "two shots then the barrel melts."
As far as range goes, that has far less to do with whether or not the components in question were homemade, and more to do with physics - namely, barrel length, the caliber of bullet you're firing, and how much powder is being used. Longer barrel = more complete burn of the powder = higher projectile velocity. The aerodynamics of projectiles is rather complex, but you can rule of thumb it as "heavier projectiles are more accurate, lighter projectiles go farther, faster." This is a long way of saying, as long as the barrel meets a certain threshold of quality (which, homemade firearms have met), it's not going to matter unless you're shooting out past 200 yards. Furthermore, barrels are (in the US anyway) cheap, plentiful, and entirely unregulated.
I agree that barrels are available in the US but that isn't generally true worldwide. I admit that I don't know much about homemade barrels but my understanding is that for a long rifle barrel (needed for >200 yard shooting) is going to require some pretty specialized and expensive equipment, and I would be very surprised if they could approach the accuracy of even a cheap, non-accurized factory chamber/barrel, but I'll look into it more to satisfy my curiosity.
The converse story of that would be that of the AR-15/M-16 tight tolerances and precise engineering lead to it fouling in action due to dust and debris to the extent that it went thru several decades of revision until we ended up with the modern AR-15/M-4.
As far as barrels I would say that is the biggest issue with ever production a 100% 3D printed gun, unless there are serious advances in modern plastics that lead to an extremely ridged, heat resistant, and expansion resistant material they will continue to need to be metals with high tensile strength. It needs to be rigid to resist barrel wrap where the barrel flexes and reduces accuracy under fire. It needs to be heat resistant for obvious reasons gun barrels get hot and it needs to resist expansion so that the barrel is in contact with the bullet at it travels down it. Thus metal seems to be the only possible material at the moment that contains the requisite properties for barrel development.
Beyond that, even if they can get to 100% of all other parts being manufactured and using common pipe with some chemical treatment to overcome the barrel issue there are still some major disadvantages that cannot be overcome without at least rudimentary metal shop tools. The biggest being that just using a pipe gives you the equivalent of a smooth bore slug gun. For any amount of accuracy the firearm has to have riffling which is groves cut into the inside of the barrel to cause the bullet to twist as it moves down the barrel thus stabilizing the flight path of the bullet when it leaves the firearms barrel. I just don't see how the above issues can be overcome via 3D printing. That being said, it's actually pretty easy to home manufacture a firearm with the most basic of metal shop tools.
Factory ammunition in common calibers like 9mm and 5.56 is hard to find now at least in the US.
US states with strong gun control laws now focus on ammunition sales, requiring identification and criminal background checks, and creating law enforcement databases of ammunition buyers and sellers.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0TMrunbZLJw
Here's another one on 1920/30s Chinese 'mystery' guns:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HNaB7l2GQk
His videos on Khyber Pass firearms are also fascinating.
Ian's channel is some amazing stuff for anyone with passing interest in firearms, and it's largely free of politics. Well, as much as it can be.
The Second Amendment is (at least partially) about scaring the state into not doing something with the threat of popular violence against them.
This may mean that gun control simply fails in non-authoritarian countries, and they either go authoritarian or increasing live without effective controls on guns. As a gun culture the U.S. may be better prepared for this transition.
Yes! This isn't limited to gun control either. It's a politico-technological arms race.
People develop technology that subverts the government. New laws are eventually created, allowing the government to adapt to the new technology. With each cycle, the government must become increasingly tyrannical and totalitarian in order to maintain its own power over the governed population. We'll end up with either an uncontrollable population or an absolute state.
Are people worried about un-riffled longarms though?
Unless you have a way to rifle the inside of a pipe, that won't really be an issue. You'll just be making inaccurate muskets.
The important item isn't the 3d printer. Its the CNC Lathe.
https://www.thefirearmblog.com/blog/2019/08/13/make-a-factor...
Desktop Firearms: Emergent Small Arms Craft Production Technologies -
http://armamentresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/ARES-...
There's nothing inherently "more recreational" or more interesting about a thing that shoots bullets than a laser that burns things. That's just your personal interest built on top of the interests of other people, a cultural artifact.
Whatever you say about guns, I can counter with something like: lasers can be bounced off mirrors, therefore they are more interesting and fun than devices that fire bullets.
Nuclear weapons and lasers are not simple machines, nor are they cheap, and (somewhat unrelated) they generally aren't as instinctively fun or easy to practice at towards any goal.
As for chemical weapons, people accidentally create chlorine gas all of the time. Aside from that, the reason you don't see more of this is because the really potent nerve agents and useful explosives (smokeless powders and beyond) have complex reactions that require trained chemists to produce.
It's a good thing most people aren't motivated to do that, but Aum Shinrikyo happened in our lifetimes.
I personally have the know how to create several things that are genuinely dangerous (like an EPFCG...I even have a copy of the 70s-era paper from LANL), but absolutely zero motivation to do so. It's not regulation that's stopping me.
You can build lasers that can blind people with the laser diode from your blu-ray player and people do it for fun. Nothing illegal about it here either and I've built a few.
[1]:https://www.discovermagazine.com/the-sciences/how-to-build-a... [2]:https://www.businessinsider.com/12-year-old-builds-nuclear-r... [3]:https://www.instructables.com/Build-A-Fusion-Reactor/ [4]:https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/a30917842/homemade-... [5]:https://www.foxnews.com/science/teen-builds-working-nuclear-... [6]:https://www.nationalgeographic.com/news/2015/07/150726-nucle...
Regulation really hasn't stopped any government from manufacturing nuclear weapons. Proliferation treaties have largely been a failure as you can see evidence of in recent years. The actual _use_ of nuclear weapons is something else and has nothing to do with regulation. The use of nuclear and chemical weapons doesn't support any governments war objectives. It turns out you don't actually win if everyone in the world simultaneously hates you, won't trade with you and will sanction you into oblivion. It turns out that the ability to import and export goods is worth more than the dead bodies of your enemies.
So sure, people can do plenty of mildly dangerous things, but it’s hard to find something significantly more destructive than intentionally setting off a few hundred fires out west. That’s the kind of thing a homeless person could pull off with a backpack and 30$ worth of supplies.
Regulation is not the reason that people don't use the technology. It turns out that most people aren't assholes.
And notice how all of the access to said technology is still there.
The people capable and interested in building them have no interest in such, regardless of regulation. There also don't seem to be buyers on the other end to motivate anyone with money. If you did build such a thing for cash, you can't assume it won't be used on you or your loved ones.
Your argument is assuming a market that is not there. It's also a disgustingly cynical view of humanity that I care not to entertain.
That’s an extraordinarily optimistic view of humanity. How to you align that with say the tobacco industry which actively spent money to kill ever more people by getting the young addicted? I honestly don’t want to change your mind, but I am curious about how you could think that in the face of what some people will do for money.
Tobacco had hundreds of years of use as a medicinal before we realized anything about addictions and cancer.[1] It also looks to be a very viable biofuel (at least a GM'd, non-smokable version of it) providing 3x per acre the amount of ethanol per acre as corn and 3x per acre the amount of oil as soy. It's also a natural pesticide & insect repellant and source of saltpeter/potassium nitrate.
Not just that, but smokers mostly just hurt themselves and smoke for the benefits nicotine provides them. People drink alcohol too and that's not good for you either.
We will be growing and selling tobacco long after people stop smoking it.
I'm not aware of any medicinal benefits of nuclear weapons or nerve gas. Almost nobody has any reason to produce either. This is veering off into stupid territory.
"Younger adult smokers are the only source of replacement smokers. Repeated government studies (Appendix B) have shown that: Less than one-third of smokers (31%) start after age 18. Only 5% of smokers start after age 24 Thus, today's young adult smoking behavior will largely determine the trend of industry volume over the next several decades. If younger adults turn away from smoking, the industry must decline, just as a population that does not give birth will eventually dwindle. In such an environment, a positive RJR sales trend would require disproportionate share gains and/or steep price increases (which could depress volume)." original quote from the internal documents of the R. J. Reynolds Tobacco Company, circa 1985, in the collection of Stanford Research Into the Impact of Tobacco Advertising (note that statistics are out-of-date).
But thanks for helping me to understand where you’re coming from.
> Consultant in Johannesburg, South Africa
So probably closer to something that relates to him directly than posting because of the headline.
"The enumeration in the Constitution, of certain rights, shall not be construed to deny or disparage others retained by the people."
One of the early arguments about whether the Bill of Rights should exist was that special-casing some rights would narrow the scope of "rights that exist" to just those explicitly listed; the compromise was the Ninth Amendment.
But guns are scary.
I think pro gun advocates need to distance themselves from irresponsible gun owners and the NRA. It doesn't help your cause. Promoting responsible gun legislation without spouting "they're going to take our guns over my dead body" just makes you sound like a nut. We also need to address the vastly different circumstances the city living has compared to rural in terms of gun ownership. As well as stop burying the conversation when it comes to mass shootings, they happen way to often and absolutely would not happen if gun control was stricter, the entire world is evidence of this. Making guns harder to acquire makes them less likely, but only if that applies to an entire geographic region. If DC makes guns really hard to get, but Virginia makes them super easy, then it doesn't matter at all.
I just don't have much hope for anything bipartisan to actually work. Things are too split, and there's very little upside for people to change sides.
Of which we have numerous writings and documents to show what that sentence means. We have documents which break down what the Founders at the time meant by militia and what they thought about ownership.
I consider nuclear weapons to be arms, I should be able to have my own nuclear weapon for hunting. The second amendment makes no mention of it, thus I should get one.
At the time the Second Amendment was ratified, private individuals could, and did, own field artillery pieces and fully-armed and -crewed ships of war.
When it comes to inducing a mass-casualty event, a 32-pounder full of grapeshot is going to beat the hell out of an AR-15.
Edit: an AR-15 bullet masses somewhere around 4 grams, depending, so a 32-pounder would fire roughly the equivalent of 3,500 AR-15 rounds in one shot.
>I should be able to have my own nuclear weapon for hunting
The Second Amendment has nothing to do with hunting.
> The second amendment makes no mention of it, thus I should get one.
I strongly suspect than anyone with the financial resources, technical infrastructure, and desire to own a nuclear weapon already has one, laws or no laws.
The argument always comes up, well someone could commit an act of mass murder with xyz do limiting firearms won’t do anything. And yet, it absolutely will. Firearms are the path of least resistance by a long shot for the goal. So limit that path and it’s much less likely people will do it with anything else.
Just admit you like your guns more than you want lower murder rates
Although using a fixed magazine, I don't think it would have been too much of a stretch to imagine a detachable one - especially as the air reservoir was.
Energy-wise it's about 10% of a standard 5.56x45mm round, but still apparently quiet effective.
The Supreme Court does seem to have settled upon it being an individual rights[1] issue. Considering all the other rights in the bill of rights are individual, there does seem to be some consistency to that.
[0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pp0-g-cjxmM
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Amendment_to_the_United...
But it could be argued that we would be a safer country if all of the rights in the bill of rights were collective rather than individual.
That makes me think of the society from Heinlein's Starship Troopers where you had to earn citizenship through civic duty. He certainly portrayed the non-citizens having a safe existence (during peacetime).
Vehicles can be a deadly weapon but are highly available. We put reasonable regulation in place so that getting a driver's license for a small car is not very onerous while obtaining a commercial driver's license to pilot an 18 wheel tractor trailer requires more training. Similar rules around firearms with differing capabilities to harm others seems reasonable. We also require insurance for vehicle owners at various amounts based on risk.
I think comparing a driving license with a concealed carry permit is the most apt although not a perfect case. In many states a course must be undertaken to obtain a concealed carry permit, and some states put many restrictions on obtaining one.
A driving licence does however allow you to use any public road, whereas concealed carry permits are per state. I've wondered if lawmakers could use the possibility of federal level permits in exchange for tightening of current restrictions on say background checks.
If we look at the crux of the issue it is this part of the text that causes issues: "a well-regulated militia" this issue, specifically is the term regulated. In modern terminology, regulated takes on the meaning of controlled and generally implies controlled by an authority, which even in classical definition there is some connotation to control by a system of rules that govern it, but it implies that the control are a ruleset that guarantee a desired outcome. In colloquial terminology regulation would more translate into a word that meant "to supply via a process or ruleset to keep functioning properly" and in this context the 2A makes perfect sense. The best example I can think of is a regulator on a SCUBA tank, it regulates the supply of air so that the diver receives the correct amount of air. This is the concept that is being transferred in the 2A. The framers where concerned with government infringement, they wanted to ensure that the militias where well supplied via a process, the 2A is that process or ruleset to regulate (supply the militia) thus their individual right to keep and bare arms shale not be infringed. I have tried and tried to find that video and wish I would have bookmarked it as it really helped make sense of a confusing sentence that can imply a different meaning when "interpreted" with the modern dual use of the word regulated.
If one takes the text and replaces the word regulated with supplied it becomes apparent what the intent was:
"A well supplied Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed."
The issue is, that regulated more confers what they where trying to say and that was that they need the Militia supplied by men and guns via a process, that process and ruleset that regulates the supply is the 2A, specifically the lack of ability to infringe the right to keep and bare arms.
This is also why the practice of possession of a weapon in public is not an extension of the 2A. As it does not deprive a person of their right to keep and bare arms, yet restricting a particular class of arms does, thus we cannot ban handguns.
That's kind of the point. Prohibiting of the sale of something that anybody can easily make for themselves only restrains the people who follow the law from having them.
Also, good luck with actually exercising your right to "keep and bear" arms when the Interstate commerce clause is the preferred mode of shadow firearm regulation, so production of regulated parts can get you into hot water if someone doesn't like you enough. Enjoy carefully planning every travel arrrangement with having the possession of your firearm in mind, so you know the right song and dance to do on crossing State/jurisdictional boundaries, and double check with any NFA items and whether you need to engage with an FFL before crossing State lines. Also God help you if they really don't like you and you have the means and knowledge to manufacture an automatic firearm or other NFA item. In today's world, I'm not entirely sure they wouldn't try to spin it as constructive possession. Furthermore, if you machine or manufacture related components, enjoy your Special Occupational Tax, and if you're a Federal Firearm License holder, surrender of your 4th Amendment rights as a condition of doing business, and opening yourself to at will audit by the government.
Yeah, yeah, I get it. "Just don't do anything illegal and you'll be fine." That's cute and all, but I've been trying to run down and list everything I have to technically pay attention to and make sure to never slip up on as a pre-condition of owning something, and to be honest, cannot justify the risk of ownership given most of the penalties involved, because I'm horrible about keeping up with the bureaucracy. It seems to me to be less a means to get anything meaningful done, and just something to increase the odds you can throw the entire book at someone if they do do something.
So while technically the argument can be made you face no infringement to keeping and bearing of arms, I don't buy that that assertion holds water. When you create a secondary class of citizen that has to report every movement to the government just to keep their personal property with them, that's the very definition of infringement. Same thing is relevant to the closing of the Machine gun registry via the restriction of funding applied to maintinging the bloody thing since 1986.
So to comply with the law one must change out a certain percentage of the gun with US made parts to not violate the law.
https://www.ficarettalegal.com/domestic-assembly-of-nonsport....
I’ve printed AR lowers on an Anycubic i3 Mega that I bought for $100 on Facebook. My current printer was $500, but doesn’t bring any more capability.
― Chris Rock
People do it in their basement as a hobby.
Now, the boxes of 50 rounds that were issued as standard kit for military conscripts is no longer issued. This was designed to allow the conscript to fight their way to a designated muster point. As the need to do that is low currently the practice has been stopped to both save money and hopefully have a small effect on impulsive firearms related suicides. It's perfectly legal and normal to put one's own ammunition through an issued rifle.
There are also government sponsored shooting events, to encourage practice. The rounds here, being paid for by the government are tightly controlled to stop people walking off with handfuls for their own use.
Lack of gun-related crime is more caused by the law enforcement being very enthusiastic and effective about solving such crime, than it is caused by a lack of guns oe ammunition.
But just to state the obvious, there's nothing in the constitution that talks about an inherent right to control over your phone, but there is absolutely an amendment that says "a well-regulated militia being necessary to the security of a free state, the right to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed" (and no, "well-regulated" does not mean the modern definition of "regulation")
According to the analogy, Apple should have less control over our phones.
Which is true.