I never said they were equally likely. I said it is just as silly to promise something you can't possibly promise as it is to suggest it is a state-sponsored attack. They easily could have said, "it is much more likely programmer error", and I would have 100% agreed.

> Either you think the world is a much more perilous place than it is or you give programmers much more credit than they deserve

It generally isn't a good idea to make this many assumptions like this about people you don't know. I think neither of those things.