I would not do this, because it is unethical. However, if there is a 5% chance you will get caught and lose 230% your profit margin, seems like a rational agent would do insider trading at every opportunity.
I imagine if you get caught once, the SEC is going to audit everything you've done and find most occurrences of insider training. Theres a 5% chance for each of those occurrences and you're going to owe a lot if any are found.