Iron, How Did They Make It? Part II
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Social History was and is enormously influential among professional historians, probably the most influential intellectual shift in the history business in the last 100 years. (All people, everywhere, make history! A powerful message!) The author of this blog is a great practitioner of the social history tradition but it’s not a novel approach per se. That said, there should be more social history blogs! This blog regularly hits the front page of hacker news; people love this stuff!
That was probably more common in a feudal society, but not a given. I'm sure a lot of producers just bought the materials they needed.
Yup, and that's a good part of the problem with central planning and autarky. There is just too much going on for any one decision-maker to effectively handle.
There is a lesson there for large companies, I think. OTOH, go too far with decentralisation and you have Google's 8 or 9 different messaging systems …
Markets can be summed up as discovering the value of the Nth of each and every little thing. And strangely enough you can use them with central planning. NYC could set the number of Taxi medallions based on their market price.
But that's not what we're talking about. A medieval sword is expensive because making one requires thousands of hours of labor. Making a modern pencil has a lot of steps, but requires probably less than ten seconds of labor. Pencils are cheap. The number of steps is not relevant to anything. The complexity isn't hugely relevant either, though more so than the number of steps.
The only reason I can come up with that you would think that is that you discount all these products that are easily delivered by the market as having no time and effort that goes into them. The part of the comment I was responding to is "required hundreds or thousands of man hours chopping trees, managing slow burning fires, carting ore and wood around". That's clearly referring to the whole production lifecycle of all the components, as otherwise you can just reduce that to the fixed cost of what you can pay the market to provide it for you.
I didn't use a pencil as an example as a whim, but because this has been studied before[1], economics essays have been written on it[2], and people have actually gone through the steps to make it from scratch which has been covered here[3] (unfortunately the blog that was submitted seems to be gone), and let me tell you, the time to make a single pencil is not ten seconds if you could up all the time going into making the components that are used to create it.
1: https://freakonomics.com/podcast/i-pencil/
2: https://fee.org/resources/i-pencil-audio-pdf-and-html/ (1958)
Yes all those steps take work but you get a truly ridiculous amount of ore out of one person labor hour, enough for God knows how many thousands of pencils.
I think you're confusing total labor volume involved in an entire supply chain that makes billions of pencils each year, and then what the person is responding to which is that you divide the total amount of labor spent by the total number of swords produced and it still ends up being hundreds to thousands of hours of labor per sword. This isn't remotely true of pencils using modern automated factory production.
Okay, so how much time does it take to make a steel sword with modern techniques and machines to do all the work mentioned? If we're going to compare, we have to compare while matching as many variables as possible. At a time when almost all processing was by a person doing it, possibly with the help of a domesticated animal, how much time does it take for people to but down trees, mine graphite (or lead), harvest rubber or process petroleum into synthetic rubber, and transport all those materials to a location so they can make them into pencils.
> the amount of labor per pencil is minuscule because it gets spread out across millions of them.
And the amount of labor per steel sword is also reduced because you're making tens or hundreds of them.
A pencil still isn't ten seconds by this metric, but that doesn't matter, as the point wasn't that a pencil is as hard or harder than a steel sword to make, but that if you want to look at all those inputs going into making a sword and count the time of people cutting down trees as part of it, then it makes sense to look at that part of it for modern processes as well.
The only reason a pencil as we recognize it today (that is, not a twig with graphits, but the six sided with rubber item you imagine as the ideal of a U.S. style pencil) doesn't cost $5 or $10 or even more is because we've found ways to vastly reduce the costs of harvesting and processing those inputs.
The point of my original comment wasn't to say the person I was responding to was wrong (they were entirely correct about the reason for the cost is time and effort), but to expand on their comment and note that the complexity can also be abstracted away the same as it was back then. A sword is cheaper today than it was then for the same reason a pencil is cheaper today than it would have been then, the input components are vastly cheaper because we've found ways to harvest and process them more efficiently.
A random Cold Steel longsword was about five hundred bucks, after a quick search.
Figuring 100% markup and the rest labor averaging $15/hr, about 17 hours of labor.
That's an extremely lazy calculation, but it has to be in the right ballpark.
A good machete is about 30 bucks, and a sword is fancier, but not much: $60 is a decent guess at the price of a quality sword, if they were an important sidearm that most people needed to have.
Also, $30 gets you a good machete (as distinct from fancy/hand-made). $5 gets you a cheap Harbor Freight machete that nevertheless does seem like it does the job.
If we manufactured swords in the same volume we do chef's knifes, machetes, hammers, screwdrivers, prybars, etc., they'd be super cheap.
In the past, a vastly higher proportion of the cost would have been base materials, but also they might take some of that in-house, if there aren't industries to support manufacture of materials to a form better suited to the final stage of manufacture.
What if the cost of the steel going into a modern sword was something like $10k-$20k because it was so costly to harvest and process because of labor? That then makes you wonder why steel is so expensive, and now you're using economics as a window to peer into into how ancient economies worked. :)
Looking at a single pencil, 10 seconds is well in excess of what is actually spent.
Yes, if you are only making a single pencil, then it would take much, much more, but the labor savings from mass production is precisely what makes the modern society possible, and this is precisely how the situation today is very different from how things worked in the past. No-one has spent more than a few seconds in labor in that single pencil of yours, simply because they spent their thousands of hours of labor on producing very large quantities of varying commodities, vanishingly small portion of which were spent on making that single pencil. And this is exactly the key difference, because the woodcutters and colliers who did all those thousands of hours of labor to produce that charcoal did very emphatically not produce a large quantities of product, only some of which was actually spent on smelting that iron. All of the products of their labor was consumed for just a relatively small amount of iron.
Note that no-one is talking about complexity here. Modern steel manufacture is definitely more complex than it was in the early iron age. We are talking about marginal cost. And that is where all the difference is.
Yes. And what I'm saying is that you can look at the base cost of inputs back then compared to now. A pencil today is cheap, but there are a lot of items that go into them, and all of those have seen a drastic drop in price as we've developed new techniques for harvesting those components.
A pencil created in the same time period would have a vastly increased price too (obviously not as large as a sword). What I was originally trying to express, and it got kind of lost in my second comment, is that the original comment is right, but you can basically boil down the "hundreds or thousands of man hours chopping trees, managing slow burning fires, carting ore and wood around, etc" to "base component cost was exponentially higher".
That concept was somewhat lost in my second comment, when I was going more into what inputs of a pencil, but didn't continue along with how those inputs have gotten cheaper over time. The cost to make one manually doesn't exactly show the cost of doing it before modern practices, but it's much closer than modern materials harvesting practices, so gives a better idea of what the cost would be back then.
I wasn't trying to contradict with my first comment, but to expand and note there are ways of looking at this that scale along well and help you think along the lines of why things cost what they do at certain times. If you think of a sword as a set of inputs, and then ask yourself what those cost in the 1300's, you'll quickly come to the realization that swords were very expensive because all the things that went into making them were very expensive by the nature of harvesting and/or processing them.
Interestingly, fabricating other writing and drawing implements requires less-than-iron-age sophistication. Charcoal, referenced in the article and used prior to graphite for many/most artistic drawings, is considerably easier to make than steel swords or graphite pencils, and has been used for drawing since the Paleolithic (and still is). Ink made from a suspension of carbon particles is only slightly less crude (needs an aqueous binder).
If you were an artist thrown into pre- or post-civilization Earth and lacked a stash of graphite pencils (but could make fire), baking some vine sticks in a small stone oven for a few hours would enable you to write or draw... if you could find something to draw on.
Back to the original article -- what I found most interesting was that my intuition about the complexity of making iron (to say nothing of steel) was way off. Some things, like charcoal, ink, and even oil paint require surprisingly small operations to fabricate[1]. I incorrectly assumed iron was in that category.
[1] Watrous, "The Craft of Old Master Drawings" https://uwpress.wisc.edu/books/1945.htm has a good discussion of how traditional drawing media were created.
And yup, it took around 600 hours of labor to spin the thread and weave the cloth needed for a single shirt.
Using comparative economics, you could ask what would you have to sell something for to cover all of your expenses for two months? (food, housing, everything) Noting that if you're doing that much manual labor you are probably eating like an athlete in training (i.e. a LOT).
Pretty sobering.
So why did they switch to coal? It's been explained to me that the only reason people finally switched to coal was desperation - there were no usable wood reserves left at the time in Northern Britain. And people were desperate enough for iron that they would use the bad stuff.
Eventually they figured out how to adapt the chemistry to compensate for the sulfur being added, and you suddenly had cheap, plentiful metal that you could use to launch an industrial revolution.
But I have to imagine, for the people at the time, how dystopian it must have all seemed. You have literally run out of trees, and the market is being flooded with cheap but low quality metal.
Charcoal for water filtering, cooking, and smelting is probably very abundant in the Pacific Northwest right now....
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Backyard_furnace https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=60_Q-kAZbXA
Pretty much half of the decisions he made led to a disaster.
If a fourteenth century charcoal burner was 3 pence a day (3d), then his daily wage could buy:
- 6 chickens
- half a goose
- one shoe (half a pair)
- 2 gallons of medium ale
- about a gallon of very cheap wine
- 1 spade and shovel
They find ore, construct furnaces, smelt the ore, refine the iron and then work it.
It takes an entire village weeks to do this.
- It really illustrated the point made in the article of how labor is really what makes it difficult to accomplish. Weeks of effort sourcing materials, constructing furnaces, bellows, and refining. When it came to extracting ore, they just dug a hole nearby.
- If the Wealden group (the attempt cited in the article https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zsywnQJMJEk&feature=youtu.be) had watched this documentary, they might have had less furnace cracking and less trouble forming a bloom. I didn't see them add flux for example
Reminds me of the infographics showing that only a small fraction of our water usage is direct (lawns, showers, ...) and most is indirect (meat, almonds, ...). In both cases, supply chains abstract over the inputs "embedded" in the outputs.
An excellent account on this subject focused on the life of a small population who achieved state of the art in this thousands of years ago.
Either way, a good ruler seeing a lack of resources can go take them from those who have.
I’d be really interested to hear a well researched answer, but my guess is the answer is ambiguous. When you think of areas with little available wood, they’re mostly pretty marginal to begin with. Deserts, grasslands, etc. Places without enough water to support major agriculture and centralization. Maybe part of the reason people might stay in a marginal area is because it’s hard to get enough metal to conquer something better. But what about someone like the Mongols? They couldn’t possibly have a huge charcoal-making operation. So where’s their iron coming from? Trade? (For horses, maybe?) Plunder? But if you’re gonna kill someone and take his stuff, you need your own sword to do it with. The iron-availability ball has to get rolling somewhere else before you can really start conquering anyone.
The big exception is Japan (although their problem is geology not timber), but their geographic isolation means they don’t really answer parents question about what happens to an iron-poor (or rather iron production input poor) society next door to an iron-rich one.
They may not necessarily have chariots, wagons or other animal powered vehicles at all or in the necessary quantity.
> I did this plenty of times
How much did you carry? Was it for barbecue or are you a blacksmith? How did you transport it over 4km? Did you use any roads? Any modern containers?
Like the article says, iron smelting requires an enormous amount of charcoal.
Remember that in the medieval period, even sacks were relatively valuable things.
So, yeah, you could probably have carried charcoal from one town to the next, but you aren't gonna see long supply chains of charcoal, same way you didn't see long supply chains of anything else. That's why the biggest cities in the period were so small by modern standards, and were all along rivers/oceans; you literally couldn't supply more than a medium-sized city by land because it was impossible to get enough food into the city.
Ancient Arabia has established trading routes that operated from Mecca, during winter to Yemen and during summer to Sham (modern Syria).
[1]https://animals.howstuffworks.com/mammals/camel-go-without-w...