Your first point is off, people have switched camps to the right since last election, despite how hard this may seem to believe. They look at how childish the left has become and have decided the right is less evil.
The left is childish? President of the United States literally tweets gifs of himself beating up CNN on Twitter.
We live in differently realities. I see one side that shows some semblance of decorum and another that is basically the political equivalent of the Joker but without the charisma and philosophical consistency.
That sums it up doesn't it? Both sides only see the worst the other side has to offer. It feeds the algorithm for it to be so.
But that illusion is actually quite fragile and hard to maintain, and the other side has an obvious incentive to shatter it by any means available. I would guess a lot of people, on both sides, will switch votes this time around.
undecided voters dont care about a 2 year old funny meme gag video. they care about 100+ days of nightly riots in dozens of cities. they care about police officers being shot by assassins and ordinary home owners being assaulted by mobs with impunity. they care about sky rocketing homeless, murders, burglaries and robberies. they care about millions of small businesses being permanently closed and tens of millions of unemployed.
just like in 2016, the Left drank its own kool-aid and believed in its own filter bubble propaganda and got blind sided by the freight train of Reality.
Trump will win again, and the Left will be shocked and cry again because they walled themselves off from the real world.
More explanation here, and links to plenty more, if anyone wants it: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24582668.
There's extensive discussion of "provocateurs". Very little is ever proved, although at one point there was an attempt to build a crowdsourced facial recognition database of police to spot undercover agents.
Here in Chicago, things are completely fine and have been except for the day or two after George Floyd was murdered.
Had the protests been purely peaceful, it would've been looked really good for the left. As it stands, it's been a heaven-sent blessing for the right to use as propaganda instead.
Murders are up 55% in Chicago this year. CPD clearance rate for solving murders is 45%.
citation: https://www.google.com/amp/s/chicago.suntimes.com/platform/a...
that is not "fine." the Left choose to ignore reality and see a happy little tree illusory version of reality. that is why the Left keep losing elections.
Also OP mentioned American cities burning. While 40 murders is awful, nothing is "burning". And keep in mind this 40 is in a city of 4 million... ie a bigger population than the 20 least populated US States.
The actual "riots"?: like 100 people laid on the ground in front of the police station for a few hours and didn't do anything and marched around town chanting slogans or singing songs. I think maybe a streetfront window was broken in? But I could be misremembering.
These people are so terrified of boogeymen they've never seen, of post-apocalyptic events that don't even happen. What the fuck
Here's a map for you - https://www.startribune.com/minneapolis-st-paul-buildings-ar...
And a portland example I think most people have seen - https://usagag.com/2020/09/04/antifa-burn-portland-mayors-ho...