Tesla Driver Watching Movie While Using Autopilot Crashes into Cop Car
jalopnik.com
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Interested as these would be totally different failure mechanisms - swiping the cop car whilst maintaining reasonable position within a lane is pretty different from deliberately steering out of the lane and heading directly for the cop car.
I am not sure you are looking at the correct numbers. according to NHTSA – https://www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov/Main/index.aspx there are 1.18 fatalities per 100 millions miles driven. That means, if an individual drives 15.000 miles per year, that individual will face the possibility of dying in a fatal crash as a driver, passenger or pedestrain, once in 6666 years, so the cars and road system are extremely safe as they are today. Most of the self driving cars developers recognize this like Chris Urmson in his Recode Decode interview – “Well, it’s not even that they grab for it, it’s that they experience it for a while and it works, right? And maybe it works perfectly every day for a month. The next day it may not work, but their experience now is, “Oh this works,” and so they’re not prepared to take over and so their ability to kind of save it and monitor it decays with time. So you know in America, somebody dies in a car accident about 1.15 times per 100 million miles. That’s like 10,000 years of an average person’s driving. So, let’s say the technology is pretty good but not that good. You know, someone dies once every 50 million miles. We’re going to have twice as many accidents and fatalities on the roads on average, but for any one individual they could go a lifetime, many lifetimes before they ever see that.” – https://www.recode.net/2017/9/8/16278566/transcript-self-dri... or Ford Motor Co. executive vice president Raj Nair – “Ford Motor Co. executive vice president Raj Nair says you get to 90 percent automation pretty quickly once you understand the technology you need. “It takes a lot, lot longer to get to 96 or 97,” he says. “You have a curve, and those last few percentage points are really difficult.” Almost every time auto executives talk about the promise of self-driving cars, they cite the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration statistic that shows human error is the “critical reason” for all but 6 percent of car crashes. But that’s kind of misleading, says Nair. “If you look at it in terms of fatal accidents and miles driven, humans are actually very reliable machines. We need to create an even more reliable machine.” – https://www.consumerreports.org/autonomous-driving/self-driv... or prof. Raj Rajkumar head of Carnegie Mellon University’s leading self-driving laboratory. – “if you do the mileage statistics, one fatality happens every 80 million miles. That is unfortunately of course, but that is a tremendously high bar for automatically vehicle to meet.” min.19.30 of this podcast interview – http://www.slate.com/articles/podcasts/if_then/2018/05/self_...
What you are using is a fallacy, emotional statement done by self driving cars developers and enthusiasts in order to make people think by adopting this technology they will be part of a bigger better future, by doing essentially nothing.
Proper number seems to be ~40k, and the rate is ~ 11/100,000
This isn't a fermi question, it's just google-able.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_in...