World’s first COVID19 reinfected patient
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This level of proof suggests that there have likely been other reinfections - reinfections of the same strain would be difficult to differentiate from shedding of dead virus, for example.
However, I think there's no understanding yet of how likely reinfection really is; I believe it seems rare so far, but I don't know if there's really enough spread of the disease yet to tell.
Also interesting: both of this patient's infections were mild, with the second time being completely asymptomatic.
Another good source with a few more details: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/24/world/covid-19-coronaviru...
Additionally, the fact that he fails to show symptoms currently could be an indication that while immunity may not completely prevent reinfection, it may reduce severity. It's been hypothesized that many diseases, including the flu and the common cold, were more deadly upon their initial introduction to the population and, over time, as people gained stronger immune responses from exposure, became less lethal. Additionally, flu vaccines, even if they don't prevent the flu completely, can reduce the severity of the illness. Its possible that this is evidence that, even if it is not possible to completely immunize the population against Covid19, widespread vaccination and infection will lead to it may simply become another endemic, relatively low-severity disease along with the common cold/flu/etc.
Of course, this is all based on literally a single patient, so at this point anything is still possible.
Or am I way off the mark here?
[0] https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/24/world/covid-19-coronaviru...
What if we can never rid the world of covid? At what point do we just return to our lives the way it was before all this and accept this super dangerous version of the flu as part of our new world?
The most realistic path to managing COVID is herd immunity. -> Just return to our lives.
We may never achieve COVID herd immunity. We'll just keep getting it over and over. -> Just return to our lives.
Sure, let's imagine a world where we accept widespread and repeated COVID infection as a presence in the average person's life. That means we should immediately, in every organized society, start planning for:
- Significant growth in the numbers of the long-term disabled: Planning living environments for a population with chronic and lifelong respiratory damage. Many of us will be unable to run, distances we are expected to be able to reasonably cross on foot will shrink, and a lot fewer of us will be able to do manual labor such as construction or do jobs that require prolonged standing.
- Planning for a vastly reduced employment, either because entire segments of the economy are no longer in demand, or because a lot fewer of us can take on certain jobs because of disability.
- Significantly reduced average lifespans: changes to policies around retirement age, senior housing, life and health insurance policies, etc.
I think saying "just return to our lives" obligates someone to describe what we should start doing to be able to live the kind of lives we will return to!
I'm baffled that "flatten the curve" is now "lock down until further notice".