Solar panels are starting to die, leaving behind toxic trash
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Coal: 140 million metric tons of toxic glop, at least 100 parts per million of mercury and 10 ppm of uranium, every year, right now.
[1] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2020-02-05/wind-turb...
So much of what we see in news outlets are driven by dedicated PR drives, and these dying industries are trying to hold on, or trying to unload stranded assets on the next biggest fool. (For example BHP announced their exit from coal: https://companysavingexpert.co.uk/2020/08/19/bhp-to-exit-the... )
There was recently a campaign against soy milk, because cows can eat grass and grass is better than soy on certain metrics. That much, alone, is true.
But if you're drinking equal volumes of soy milk and dairy milk, dairy is worse on every metric but price - Animal cruelty, health, clean water polluted, space needed, energy needed, carbon and other air pollutants released, etc.
I can't speak for the UK where the campaign was, but in the US the cheap dairy milk is probably not coming from grass-fed cows. The cheap milk is coming from factory-farmed cows that are probably eating lots of soy, and then the government also subsidizes it to drive down the cost in a misguided attempt to give poor people cheaper food without giving them any agency in their decision-making like an actual welfare program would. (I'm upset about this)
To further muddy the waters, some of the Amazon rainforest fires were started to clear land to grow soybeans - To feed to cattle.
Attacking fracked gas would make more sense.
One of the biggest actual challenges with Soft Energy is its low EROI. As you have to start buying huge batteries and transmission lines at a certain point, it dips below feasible levels in some studies, like [1]. Because of it's astronomical energy density, nuclear is amazing on EROI (and also effectively carbon-free).
[1] Dynamic Energy Return on Energy Investment (EROI) and material requirements in scenarios of global transition to renewable energies (2019) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2019.100399
Oh, and EROI is another failed anti-renewable argument. EROI of renewables are just fine.
EROI for renewables, especially as it decreases substantially with added storage at scale, is by some accounts (the paper linked) troublingly low. If you have to put in roughly the same amount of energy into a system as it produces in its full lifecycle, you run into issues. This is another good physical argument for nuclear.
One can state they're failed arguments, as anti-nuclear propagandists always do, but that alone is not, as David Deutsch would say, a "good argument".
> If you have to put in roughly the same amount of energy into a system as it produces in its full lifecycle, you run into issues.
Renewables are nowhere close to that. Claims otherwise are lying. For example, they pretend that massive storage is needed and then poorly optimize the storage system so building it requires lots of energy.
- https://www.rte-france.com/eco2mix/la-production-delectricit...
- Illustrated example with real data: https://twitter.com/tristankamin/status/1102620969808658432?...
Maybe some additional usable capacity when coupled with reversible hydro?
Not a climate solution though. Gas's 490 gCO₂-eq/kWh is incompatible with stopping climate change.
[1] Tao, Major challenges and opportunities in silicon solar module recycling (July 2020) https://doi.org/10.1002/pip.3316
No, China actively bought the tech and move the production into mainland china. Closing down boughtout businesses after all knowledge was absorbed.
Their strategy was to become market leader in solar - its a good future bet.
Lastly there's the resin and framing.
The side by products of this process are very quickly hydrolyzed to silica and hydrochloric acid, neither of which is something to worry about as a persistent pollutant.
The volumes are also small. Just a few hundred thousand tons of silicon are used every year for all electronics (PV and ICs combined).
But...(at least in the US), wafer manufacturing is highly regulated and focused on safe waste handling...
I think the dominant consumer of HF, industrially, is in petroleum refineries, where HF is used in alkylation units.
Because of mercury levels, courtesy of coal-burning power plants. It goes up the smokestack and lands in the food chain.
This is also why people are advised to limit consumption of ocean-caught salmon, tuna, etc. - they have high mercury content, almost entirely thanks to coal plant smokestack emissions.
By the way, 100ppm of mercury or 10ppm of uranium aren't that high, you can find that in nature as well.
https://amp.ft.com/content/a05d1dd4-dddd-11e9-9743-db5a37048...
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/1355/measuring-sola...
Worldwide coal provides a lot more power than wind [1], although of course it still produces more waste and pollution and everything per TWh than renewables.
[1] https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/energy-consumption-by-sou...
The exceptions are practically rounding errors, even though Siberia is one of those regions that is worse than the UK and has 33 million people in it.
https://www.acaa-usa.org/Portals/9/Files/PDFs/2018-Charts.pd...
Even coal doesn't necessarily produce waste. It is our choice not to capture waste/harmful byproducts makes it so dangerous and "bad".
Solar, on the other hand, can account for its own waste stream, even in energy terms, because the source of its energy comes from outside the system boundary.
Now, without setting a net-0 carbon dioxide emissions goal, which isn't feasible without salable atmospheric carbon dioxide capturing, there won't be enough incentives to capture the exhaust co2 from a coal power plant.
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integrated_gasification_combin...
Both can be clean and zero-impact however in practice neither are.
PV is still "cleaner" than coal in its current form but neither are truly clean. It's the significant lesser of two evils until we make the effort to go net-zero.
Solar thermal is vulnerable to attacks from media articles about dead birds and the fact that some of them have to burn natural gas to start the plant in the morning. You can find both varieties of article courtesy of Fox News:
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/taxpayer-backed-solar-plant...
https://www.foxnews.com/science/emerging-solar-plants-scorch...
Solar thermal does have one huge advantage over PV: the plants contain their own short-term energy storage and keep running well after dark. Unfortunately due to market forces solar thermal is currently dead in America. All planned plants have been canceled.
Is there a working example of any of these perceived waste capture mechanisms? How much more expensive are they to operate?
Reclaiming a cell is as easy as polishing off its surface layer, which contains most of defects, and resurfacing it.
A much more crude method just heats up the cell to the temperature where most defects from solar radiation disappear, but not hot enough for dopants to start diffusing more than they should, and then reselling it as a lower spec cell.
Large hail can break through a polycarbonate skylight or the tempered glass of a car, it’ll do the same to a solar panel covered in the same.
seems they're likely damaged by hail roughly the size of a golf ball, but in the link above they point to an example where 2.75in diameter hail did little damage to panels at NREL.
One thing about Climate Change is: more energy in the system means worse extreme events, and the less extreme events more often. But when is the cut over point?
The solar cells themselves are usually quite delicate, but the surrounding material keeps them safe in the case of weatherproof ones.
> A: Solar panel wastes include heavy metals such as silver, copper, lead, arsenic, cadmium, selenium that at certain levels may be classified as hazardous wastes.
> Q: What does data show? What are the constituents that make the panels hazardous?
> A: In general, data shows that older silicon panels may be hazardous due to lead solder. Some older silicon panels are hazardous for hexavalent chromium coatings. Cadmium tellurium (CdTe) panels are typically hazardous due to the cadmium. Gallium arsenide (GaAs) panels may be hazardous due to the arsenic. Thin film panels, such as copper indium gallium selenide (CIS/CIGS) panels, may be hazardous due to the copper and/or selenium.
> Q: What about electronic components associated with the solar panels? What are they hazardous for?
> A: The electronic components associated with the solar panels (e.g. drivers, inverters, circuit boards) contain all of the common electronic device hazardous constituents such as lead, arsenic, cadmium, selenium, and chromium.
Note that this is grouping together ALL kinds of cells, particularly cadmium telluride. These cells -especially gallium-based cells- are a small or tiny minority of solar panels.
The vast majority of solar panels do not contain any of these except copper and lead. Lead is actively in the process of removal, but the plan is to do so over the next decade or so. Regardless roughly 2000x more lead is used to make car batteries:
https://www.freeingenergy.com/are-solar-panels-really-full-o...
I sent this to a friend of mine who is an energy expert who reminded me about how terrible coal ash is: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Dan_River_coal_ash_spil...
Here we have to compare solar making large amounts of moderately toxic waste from solar that remains toxic forever vs. nuclear making very small amounts of extremely toxic waste that becomes less toxic over time. Clearly more people dislike nuclear waste, but the E=MC² thing makes it so small that it can be completely internalized.
At the very least, it is valuable to talk about the negative externalities of decarbonizing at scale with solar as we debate the details of the clean energy transition.
At this point they would have paid for themselves over many times, and would now be generating free electricity, so for most installations there is little point in replacing them.
Unless they do something foolish like coat the panels in a plastic that degrades under direct sunlight, I don't really see why panels shouldn't last for quite a long time. Does the silicon itself take UV damage or something?
Yes, exactly that. Solar radiation causes crystal defects.
When you mention after 25 years they would have paid for themselves many times over, based on what criteria? I'd love to revisit this topic -- power costs in Florida are very high.
Edit: Just curious on why the downvotes? Not enough context? Negative sentiment? (not intended, genuinely curious about revisiting solar)
That system should produce about 10,000 kw*hr of energy over the year, so the payback excluding installation would be under 5 years.
Our home is relatively large (square footage and high ceiling heights compound that) and since we both work and teach at home, the cooling systems are in constant demand.
Appreciate the ballpark figures; time to revisit the idea.
Power /bills/ may be very high (due to hot/humid climate necessitating extensive air conditioning). But a quick google shows me power /rates/ in FL are around $0.11 per kWh - which is very low on a global scale (and on the low end of average for the US[1]). Solar costs are coming down on a per-kW basis, so the per-kWh electricity cost is the one you need to compare to find when it breaks even.
[1] https://www.electricchoice.com/electricity-prices-by-state/
We work and teach from home (pre-Covid) so the cooling systems are in use throughout the day.
People will point out that it's silly to factor out labor and permitting but those costs drop radically on grid scale 10MW+ systems where as they make up nearly 50% of the cost on a household scale system.
It's a larger 1-story home: we've tried to address insulation, low-e glass, and AC SEER ratings. Working and teaching from home = consistent cooling demands throughout the day, every day.
Either you have a poorly insulated 25k sqft mansion or your neighbors are siphoning off your power for an indoor weed farm.
None of this sounds like much of a problem in a landfill. I guess some panels might use lead-based solder, but I would be shocked if it’s more than a handful.
If it’s not economical to recycle them, why shouldn’t they go in a landfill?
Not only it is like saying the safest human is a dead human, it is also wrong. We can easily harvest energy for our human endevours and put a portion of that into “good” use including keeping and even making more things green.
What we are currently having is a game theoretic policy problem, not an inherent law of thermodynamics. And I don’t think sloganeering will help us overcome that, because appeal to emotions won’t convince China or India to not increase their cheap, non-green energy flow while they are also experiencing their largest economic expansion. (Not saying they are solely responsible of course, but they drive the trend in increase)
I'm also all for sustainability. We aren't going to reach the stars if our home planet collapses before we get there.
I found the comparisons in analysis they performed here: https://ourworldindata.org/safest-sources-of-energy#why-do-b... interesting. One estimate results in nuclear being more deadly per TwH produced than wind, hydro, and solar (about 2-3x), and the other results in it being less deadly by the same amount. It is important to note that a significant portion of deaths from nuclear seem to come from a few large events; with this in mind, one study includes Fukushima, and the other includes Chernobyl. [1]
A larger factor in the discrepancy is one study's very conservative estimate of "deaths from occupational effects", which I interpret as the net added risk versus background from radiation exposure for all workers involved in the maintenance and fueling of the plant. The true relationship between radiation exposure and death risk seems to be under dispute: the more conservative estimate now appears to be an overestimate because it assumes a linear relationship, while the article states consensus is shifting towards a threshold model where one assumes that very low exposure to radiation (the type of exposure most nuclear plant workers experience, I presume?) does not increase cancer risk.
[1] perhaps this is an instance of a more general difficulty in statistics: that of estimating the mean of heavy-tailed distributions (see e.g. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1906.04280.pdf). I'd guess that deaths from nuclear events follow a heavy-tailed distribution, which implies the mean could not be a good estimate of the true impact. But as I have not actually taken the time to investigate the analysis of nuclear deaths performed in the studies, I can't say how well existing analyses do this.
But the main argument against nuclear is "organisational" so to speak.
For some reason nowadays the more liberal a country is, the less success it has in rolling out nuclear.
Perhaps it's the additional incentive of being able to reprocess waste for weapons that's so alluring.
https://thoughtscapism.com/2019/05/08/what-about-radioactive...
With nuclear....that's the dirty part of it:
And keep in mind that Japanese people are usually religiously meticulous about work, procedures and safety.
And still remains the problem of radioactive toxic waste.
Edit: I don't want to underplay your comment, but it's important to understand that when dealing with nuclear power all it takes is one major fuck-up to completely screw a whole region.
They aren't likely to stop, either. It's vexing, but there's not a lot that can be done about it.
1. https://www.npr.org/2019/04/30/716837443/as-nuclear-waste-pi...
2. https://slate.com/technology/2019/06/department-of-energy-nu...
Did anyone else chuckle when they saw this?
Also, what will happen to the poor people who cannot detach from the grid? As the amount of people using solar increases, I am sure the costs for those who can't afford solar will increase, right? Also, as solar increases, if it does, the already horrible grid infrastructure will suffer even more so as the utility providers face even less financial incentive to provide upkeep.
If too many people start producing power and not buying it themselves, power companies would not be able to afford maintaining the power grid as effectively or would have to increase prices for people who can't supply their own power.
Basically the argument is that a movement for those who can afford to be self-sufficient to do so ends up being a tax on those who can't afford to.
There is some level of merit to this argument and if we transition to a heavily renewables based energy system, we will likely see this occur to some extent during the transitional period.
There are a handful of solutions to this problem but the easiest is to move maintenance of power infrastructure from the public utility to the government and implement a local tax to pay for the power grid. Power Utilities would still exist however instead of also maintaining the grid, they would just be responsible for producing power and supplying sufficient redundancy to minimise/eliminate brown- and black-outs.
With this solution, everybody shares the burden of maintaining the grid rather than just those who can't afford to be self-sufficient. Those who are able to be self-sufficient can feed back into the grid to help recuperate their expenses on their energy equipment as well as some of the tax they paid in.
This is a bit inaccurate. Utility scale solar is cheaper to produce than rooftop solar generally.
But there are a lot of other things in play too, such as markets, subsidies etc.
Also: power companies don't just provide the electricity to the grid, they keep the grid running and in balance. If the consumption does not equal the production at all times you are going to get blackouts.
Self sufficiency isn't the goal and makes no sense even with batteries getting cheaper.
Still less toxic than coal.
With "enough energy" you could recycle anything. In theory you could for instance vaporize any waste mixture (including radioactive compounds), send it through a giant mass spectrometer, and get output beams sorted by atomic number. But in practice, how much energy is "enough energy" is quite important to whether that process is realistic.
In this case, the relevant metric is how much energy is spent producing and recycling solar panels compared to the energy the solar panels are expected to produce over their lifetime. As long as that ratio can be made sufficiently low, we should be good.
Apply as much energy, heat and oxygen you want to mercury and it’s still mercury.
https://journals.aps.org/pr/abstract/10.1103/PhysRev.60.473 (1941)
So few people know that the alchemists ended up being correct. (they just didn’t have enough energy at their disposal!)
That said, most panels die before the cells themselves go bad due to mechanical failure of the cells (cracking, etc) or failures in the electrical wiring in the panel due to corrosion.
It is the same problem as with LED lighting. I have not seen a single LED bulb which lasted long enough for the actual semiconductor devices to age noticeably, but I have seen dozens of bulbs where thermal cycling caused the electrical contacts to the chip fail or the power supply capacitors have gone bad.
Also, due to the rapidly increasing efficiency and decreasing costs of solar cells, it can often be economically viable to replace your array with fresh cells just for the added power output you get. If you took cells form 20 years ago and replace them with current cells you can quadruple your output power for the same area!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EahfGfDdgNY
Not really, but it's a neat alternative for turning solar energy into mechanical power. Achievable (at grossly inefficient power outputs) by the hobbyist without expensive tools or nasty chemicals. Much easier to recycle at the end of a system's useful life.
Glass and silicon are both rocks. Putting them back into the ground isn't going to hurt anything
The vast majority of solar panels were manufactured in the last ten years: they are largely free of toxic atoms, and built to a higher standard of power delivery and reliability.
In short, the article is clickbait.
I'm pro solar but it does have a few downsides that we shouldn't ignore.
Wind Turbine Blades Can’t Be Recycled, So They’re Piling Up in Landfills
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2020-02-05/wind-turb...
This is wrong, the trucks that bring those blades could well re-take them to recycling plant. It would be a special transport, but a well pre-planned one.
Similar concerns were raised around solar panels by Michael Moore in a recent documentary, which claimed that the total lifetime cost of a solar-powered society makes these alternative green technologies not really green. See https://medium.com/@tejasgole67/is-michael-moore-right-8603f... and https://medium.com/@tejasgole67/is-michael-moore-right-part-... for a discussion around that.
Ultimately there may be no getting around the fact that we simply need to reduce demand. And reducing demand, if we want to preserve our quality of life, likely means population control.
You can see the whole thing here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zk11vI-7czE
I disagree with the movie's conclusion, which seems identical to yours. We can use tech to keep quality of life high by using responsible and sustainable energy systems like nuclear/wind/solar/hydro.
PoTH hardly even mentioned nuclear, which tears their whole "we must depopulate" narrative apart easily.