thu2111: Why Experts Can't Say “We Don't Know” & Why NonExperts Are Often Better

Last paragraph of https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23638167

thu2111 states:

Health "experts" have the same problem all experts have: they can offer any answer at all and not be held to account, except if they give the most honest answer: we don't know. That answer is one they cannot offer without undermining the justification for their own job and social status. It's why non-experts are so often more correct than "experts" - they can correctly weigh up uncertainty without risking their livelihoods.