It's been a pretty insane 12 hours across the Bay Area
wrh.noaa.gov
wrh.noaa.gov
I worry about wildfire in the hills, since it hadn't rained for months. Thankfully, it wasn't an entirely dry storm. We had quite a bit of rain in my corner of Palo Alto last night - more than the 0.01 trace amount officially reported.
https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/Thunder-lightnin...
I do remember a glorious ~2004-ish thunderstorm, right at dusk, rolling over the Santa Cruz mountains. So maybe a little more than once a decade or so for the big lightning events?
The Bay Area rarely gets summer rain, and what we get is pretty negligible. Since you said "hills," here's what I found for La Honda:
The only news is the fires if there are an abnormal amount of them.
I don't know the exact source of these inaccuracies, but I would be willing to bet climate change has broken some of the assumptions that these models rely on to make their predictions. Those factors may be in a state of flux so that the model can't even be corrected at this point.
I would be very interested to hear from anyone else who is familiar with ECMWF and has (or hasn't) noticed the same problems.
Five kilometers away? Nothing. Funny times.
I interpret these events as the first manifestations of extreme weather events as projected by some climate models, due to more energy(heat) in the system.
Climate change seems to be really starting to have measurable day-to-day affects.
But what is really happening is these ridiculous weather patterns becoming so much more common the last few years that it’s noticeable to pretty much anyone.
However my memories is that UK houses are built for a colder climate than even the north of Italy (which in winter is colder than London) so you might need an AC anyway. I'm using one in the night to sleep with closed windows (city noise outside and darkness.)
Some people complain about this, me, I think about the poor bastards in the past who had no response at all and I think, "eh, it's an ill wind indeed that blows no good."
Today is hot. There was a hot day in July. Rest of the summer so far has been pretty mild.
2 days later and we had the start of a record breaking heat wave.
We've been breaking records...
And we don't have AC either really
It was also interesting to note on Nextdoor the Midwesterners who were unfazed by the storm and people who have lived here their entire lives freaking out. Those roles reverse when we have a magnitude 5.x or lower quake.
Having (barely) slept through the bay area weather this morning, others took advantage of the situation to get some gorgeous photos of lightning. https://sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com/2020/08/16/rare-august-thu...
There's also some maps for lightning strikes in the bay area that are fun to look at: https://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en#m=oss;t=3;s=0;o=0;b=;... (8-16-20, 12 UTC for example)
I can’t really figure out what is so insane, or even very interesting about this at all? Just that it’s uncharacteristic for the area? Is it that a large number of HNers are in the Bay Area this is trending?
For me the chief concerning thing is the “literally dozens of new fires” around the area.
I live in the south east, I remember a few years ago we were in a serious drought, and we experienced a run of widespread wildfires. For weeks on end there was a visible ‘fog’ in the air from the smoke. Very strange.
In the realm of Apocalypse 2020, yesterday (Saturday) northern California had a fire tornado.
I had to remind myself seeing it suddenly pick up last night that no, the world isn't ending, this is an ordinary tropical pattern.
It’s not just a Bay Area thing. It’s an American thing.
Non-renewables (edit: all minus solar and wind), hit their peak at 6pm and stayed there until 8:30pm.
The problem is that solar isn't available during the late evening hours, where, e.g., A/C demand remains high.
Needless to say, the ability of solar power to cover this peak is highly limited because the solar peak is earlier in the day.
I know it takes my house hours to move 10 degrees if the HVAC is off and the windows closed.
That technology is nuclear power plant.
[1]: https://w1.weather.gov/glossary/index.php?word=AREA+FORECAST...
That said I'm also a trained severe weather spotter so the forecast discussion is where I go to see if spotter activation may be likely or not.
It's also fun when some major storm is coming in and they are like "PWAT values are over 2 inches... this is historic!"
I think the format predates ASCII.
As a bonus, if you watch the local news on TV, you'll hear the local weather personalities parrot language from these forecast discussions...
What is "off"? Startled you see glowing and flashing clouds, but it is so far away, you can't exactly tell. Also dark. And no sound of thunder at all? Then you see tiny bright threads arcing between mountains of towering dark clouds, maybe 30 to 45° upwards from the horizon. The dark clouds begin to glow stroboscopically. Still no sound at all. It shines pink, violet, electric whiteblue, orange, yellow, sometimes, especially in the upper regions even greenish. You stand there, awestruck, and still don't know what it is. Cars on the street stop, drivers getting out, asking you what that is, because they've seen it since maybe 10 minutes, and didn't know what it was either.
You tell them you have no clue, never seen something like this before, but it's probably just a large thunderstorm, far away and high up in the sky, maybe 50 to 60km away.
About 10 minutes later, back home, you open https://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en and see an inferno unfolding. It dawns on you that the "tiny threads" which flickered horizontally between the glowing clouds for up to 1.5 seconds must have been dozens of kilometers long.
For some strange reason I had clear line of sight in form of a cone into that front, maybe 60 to 80° wide. Very unusual.
Next day the media is full of it. Also some very impressive videos of it in the net.
Anyways, I'd have expected that one can see this far from some mountaintop, or tower, or a plane, but not from the ground.
TBH my first thought was: Is this how it(WWIII) begins?
Just last week, the windspeed equivalent of a category 2 hurricane rolled through IA/MO/IL, destroying homes, business, and billions of dollars of crops: https://twitter.com/coldbrewedtool/status/129407960042804429...
That's like saying if it was -40 degrees where ever you are and then someone else says "that's nothing, we get that in Antarctica all the time"
If the insane Bay Area weather affected major internet services globally for example it would be relevant.
This certainly can be the top story in local Bay Area news, but too often does the HN Community conflate local Bay Area top stories with stories of global significance.
It's supposed to be dead dry right now. It was dead dry last August.
But now we've been getting random thunderstorms almost daily.
Weirdass weather.
I was reminiscing and missing the midwest summer storms earlier this week.
One example of how an effect like this could work: https://www.climatechangenews.com/2020/04/09/coronavirus-pla...
Or is it one of those things we could to point at if the needle moves in any direction?
And unfortunately, vegetables, plants, trees, nature like stability
It seems pandemic stress is intensifying our feeling about other events. People immediately relate every incident to 2020 as if everything is getting worst.
I don't remember any year that some places on earth didn't report unusual weather conditions. Maybe people are reading more news and incident news are trendy and get more coverage.
https://www.denverpost.com/2020/08/16/colorado-wildfires-pin...
The storm was a welcome surprise.
That's why this is "insane." It's not typical to have _any_ thunderstorms in this area. It's also not typical to have rain in August.
I think the most frightening thing to read in Courier all caps is, "EFFORTS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION".
F-- Twitter and the political BS, this kind of all caps is real.
Edit: I didn’t really appreciate the drought conditions, let’s hope the wildfires don’t get bad.
The issue isn't simply the lightning (that would be rare in the Bay area). It is the lightning combined with drought conditions making wildfires a major issue.
https://ecle.biz/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/avg_sd_2005-2014...
The population density is probably lower though.
I remember at the end of 2016 in the southeast where I am, we were in the midst of a severe, multi-year drought. Wildfires started popping up everywhere, causing lots of damage/ deaths.
It was very strange, the atmosphere was ‘foggy’ from the smoke for weeks. Praying for rain!
It is all a question of perspective.
(And what we call drought, well...)
> Temperatures soared to 98 degrees in Oakland, breaking last year’s mark of 90; 96 degrees in Salinas, breaking the 1984 mark of 84; 96 degrees in Richmond, breaking last year’s mark of 90 degrees; and 95 degrees in downtown San Francisco, breaking the 1995 mark of 86.
https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/08/14/bay-area-heat-wave-ar...
[Edit It was 2012:]
https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/Thunder-lightnin...
HN is so SF Bay centric sometimes
Given that 21% of global VC money is pumped into the Bay Area[1], that seems like a pretty natural thing.
[1] - (Through 2017 though): https://hbr.org/2018/11/how-the-geography-of-startups-and-in...
There are numerous bay areas in the US. Maybe drop an SF in that headline NOAA?
> The biggest impact appears to have been numerous fire starts. The fire agencies are still flying recon but literally dozens of new fires from the North Bay, East Bay, South Bay, Santa Cruz mtns and down to Monterey.
I don't understand the need to say "literally" there.
Until recently, "literally" was a powerful word, arguably best held in reserve for important occasions. The most recent years of popular use have diluted it.
I don't believe that "literally" was intended to be said by a speaker numerous times each day, to be a filler word like "um", nor for general-purpose emphasis, nor to express unhinged enthusiasm, nor to convey "listen to me, I am the center of the universe right now!", nor to plead "I'm actually not lying this time".
I blame Rob Lowe for this (and other things).
I think you’re jumping to an incorrect conclusion. There are numerous sentences in the article (and others from NOAA) with no verb, it has nothing to do with the word literally. This isn’t a piece of literary writing, it’s abbreviated language intended for a very narrow field of professional readers. There are many examples of other professional communication that similarly do not follow normal conventions for casual writing nor conversation. Look up airline or boat pilot transcripts, or medical science papers, or HAM radio users... a huge number of niche fields that have their own sub-languages.
It’s used for emphasis, like it always has been for literally hundreds of years. The meaning has not changed recently, but it has been trendy for people to complain about it on the inter webs.
https://www.merriam-webster.com/words-at-play/misuse-of-lite...
Even if the meaning did change, that’s one of the neat things about language, it’s fluid and changes over time. We don’t need to blame anyone, because words changing over time is the natural state of things.
How I was taught, and how I saw the term used, seemed vastly more useful than it is now, post-Lowe.
Also, I'm not sure I agree with those dictionary company lexicographers abdicating responsibility. If they argue they're not taking a dump in language, then they're gold-plating someone else's dump.
I don’t understand what you mean or why you think they’re “taking a dump”. I’m getting the feeling that 1- you didn’t finish reading that article I linked to, and 2- you might not fully understand what lexicographers actually do. Their goal and their job is to understand how people actually use language, not to define it. Their job is not to establish any rules, nor to be enforcers or make sure people follow any such rules. They are documentarians, and as such their sole responsibility is to show how the word “literally” has been used in the past. The dictionary isn’t a set of unchangeable language axioms, it’s more like legal case law, it’s just a reference of some stuff people said.
That might be the situation for the OED (and I owned a copy of the Compact Edition, so you might believe I might be sympathetic), but dictionaries are/were also issued/prescribed to students for usage guidance, long before we heard of particular venues' style guides. We'd see term senses declared by the dictionary to be "archaic", "slang", "vulgar", etc.
Let's see those lexicographers at least exercise some editorial warnings about the most egregious evolving senses.
Also, I'd like to see some official attribution of blame to Rob Lowe, for this particular episode of the destruction of language, as part of general decline and fall of civilization.
Sprinkle emoticons throughout this thread.
They did. There are notes on the definition that are also pointed out in the article I sent you.
> but dictionaries are/were also issued/prescribed to students for usage guidance
Sure, yeah, as a reference. I don’t follow, why does using dictionaries imply that lexicographers should not document history without judgement? Notes like ‘archaic’ and ‘vulgar’ are not judgements the lexicographers invented, right? Those are historical facts that are widely agreed upon by society before the dictionary writes about it.
What exactly is the “dump” you think Merriam-Webster left on English? I’m trying to understand your point, but not seeing it.
Linguistic prescriptivism is usually a losing endeavor.