How to Vote in the 2020 Election
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
The law in several states is based upon when they receive it. If it is postmarked in time but they receive it late, your vote literally gets thrown away.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-mail-voting/20...
I will for damn sure be voting in the general, but my local rep is running uncontested, my state has a polling average of ~+40 biden, and no local ballot measures of any interest are included this cycle, so all i’m doing is bumping the popular vote a bit in an extremely predictable direction as far as top of the ticket is concerned.
Downballot, we have a right to repair measure that I think is important, but not a lot else.
edit: just to be clear, I _love_ voting, I take my obligations seriously, it's one of my favorite civic activities, I am well aware of the importance of local politics. Mostly, I am equal parts relieved that we're here again, and only disappointed that the pandemic is almost certainly going to preclude my usual celebratory post-voting girl scout bake-sale brownie at my polling place.
Not in this election they aren't.
(And then occasionally - you don't know when - it will also matter mathematically.)
For a "bastion of democracy and freedom", America has some major problems with its most basic rights.
Democrats controlled the house continuously for 40 years until 1994, due in no small part to gerrymandering. Republican-advantage gerrymandering (on a nationwide basis) dates to only about 2010.
> Democrats controlled the house continuously for 40 years until 1994,
1955-1995, actually, and yet it is still true that the current Republican effort (which also includes gerrymandering, but also all the other factors list by GP) has been in place for decades. (1995 was two and a half decades ago, and the Republican strategy being discussed started before they took control of the House.)
And, yes, some of the other bits besides gerrymandering also used to be Democratic strategies, especially racially-targeted restrictions on voting rights before the parties switched sides on race issues in a process that included Johnson's embrace of civil rights followed by the Republican subsequent exploitation of that and pursuit of disaffected ex-Democratic racists as a core voting bloc.
It’s easy to take my right to vote and ability to vote relatively easily for granted, and that’s a major lesson we’re learning in 2020.
Personally I think that the US should go the route of a national voting holiday.
Agree. Voting is important, and a voting holiday calls that out.
Concrete examples that did not exist at founding include:
- social programs (welfare, social security, unemployment benefits)
- high levels of military spending/military industrial complex
- income tax
- many of the executive branch regulatory and other agencies
etc.
Would voting in Germany be so non-political under the same circumstances? Obviously, voting shouldn't be political. We should pick voting rules without discriminating based on race, naturalization status, etc. That's the ideal we should strive to achieve. My point is different: human nature being what it is, it's worth asking whether anyone is really doing better under similar circumstances. And if they are doing things better, what are they doing that we could be copying?
Generally, in a democracy, more voting is, at least publicly, considered better (in private, of course, some party officials might disagree, but the backlash if they tried to _do_ anything about it would be unthinkable).
I actually wonder to what extent this is a function of how democracy developed in the US vs everywhere. At least in the popular mythology, voting went from available to all male members of the ethnic majority, to all members of the ethnic majority, to everyone (this isn't actually quite true; a number of southern states had property qualifications for whites pre-civil war). Whereas a more common pattern of development elsewhere was the vote for practically no-one -> the vote for a very few (property qualifications) -> the vote for all men -> the vote for everyone. Most people in Europe will need to look back no more than a few generations to see where _their_ family wasn't able to vote, which may cause people to be more defensive of the institution.
There's also the example of history; most of Europe's 20th century totalitarian regimes screwed with voting early in their development.
If you look at the map, you see not a very strong correlation with the idea that Republicans remove voting rights from felons because they lean democrats(which I assume is what you were getting at). Literally only two states don't restrict felon voting rights, and that is Maine and and Vermont. If there was some voter suppression operating against Democratic leaning felons, one would assume states like California, New York, and Massachusetts would not restrict felon voting - but they do.
Once people have served their time they deserve to rejoin society. They are imperfect human beings, but human beings nonetheless. Plus stuff like drug offenses count as felonies and I don't think those people deserve to be ostracized for a lifetime.
[1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/03/30/trump-vot...
Reminds me of the famous quote: "In its majestic equality, the law forbids rich and poor alike to sleep under bridges, beg in the streets and steal loaves of bread."
I'm about a quarter of the way through this book which tackles this issue in detail throughout US history: https://www.amazon.com/Fight-Vote-Michael-Waldman/dp/1501116...
I'd recommend it so far if it's something you're interested in.
I found it from this interview which is also good, might be worth listening to this first before deciding to pick up the book: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SgVuJiMxOb4
Some quick tidbits:
- Initially the public couldn't vote for senators who were chosen by state legislature.
- Initially the public couldn't vote for president.
- Initially the 'public' was white men with property (this one is more widely known), but there was a lot of arguing between states about this. In some states the vote was originally available to more people before being restricted.
- Early on candidates persuaded people to vote with booze filled parties. A lot of early anti-women voting arguments were originally about protecting them from these parties (bizarrely).
- Lots of long discussions between founders about what it would mean to having a voting public, fear of the public vs. aristocrats, potential abuse of government, and the rise of a tyrannical leader, etc.
I liked this argument from Ben Franklin:
“Imagine that a man owns a donkey, and so he gets the right to vote. And in the next four years, he learns a lot more about politics and current events and becomes a more equipped citizen, but his donkey dies, and you want to take his vote away because he no longer owns property? So who, pray tell, does the right to vote reside in? The man or the ass?”
I've lived in the USA for over half a century. I have never seen a single person denied a vote, not even once. I have white friends, black friends, friends of all kinds. I have never had one of my friends or family 'disenfranchised'.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/usps-states...
Maybe fingerprints, a PIN, anything. As it sits, it does look susceptible to fraud. Pandemic or not, we shouldn't make major changes without ensuring integrity, IMHO.
You can magnify your influence by not just voting but also volunteering for and donating to political organizations, getting involved in local politics (such as running for office yourself or sitting on local boards), becoming and organizer yourself, and educating yourself and others on the issues, organizations, techniques, history, and people involved in politics.
https://www.youtube.com/c/howtovoteineverystate
I like those because it’s sometimes easier to share video content with people.