On the other hand, terrorists' only option now is to just destroy the plane and kill all the passengers onboard. Cabin doors are locked, so this involves blowing up a bomb concealed somewhere (checked luggage, shoes, liquid explosives, etc). How do you propose we detect whether someone is trying to smuggle a bomb on a plane without something like the TSA? Just keep an eye out for nervous passengers and report them?
In other words, if we abolish the TSA tomorrow and replace it with metal detectors, what's to stop someone from bringing a few gallons of chemical explosives in their backpack, mixing them in the lavatory, and blowing up the plane? TSA has always caught when I accidentally left a full water bottle in my backpack.
https://www.investors.com/politics/editorials/tsa-has-made-a...
The reality is that it's already feasible to sneak conventional weapons and explosives past TSA. Here are two fairly recent investigations on the TSA's efficacy, one from 2015 [1] and one from 2017 [2]. Both of these undercover investigations were performed by the Department of Homeland Security. The first one found that in 67 out of 70 tests, agents were able to get weapons past TSA, including a fake IED strapped to an agent's back. The second found that this failure rate dropped from 2015's staggering 95% to "in the ballpark" of 80%.
Yes, the TSA always stops you when you bring a full water bottle. Eight times out of ten, they won't confiscate your gun or bomb. Even if they did, what's to stop someone from mixing chemicals to cause an explosion on a bus? Or in a crowded hotel? Or an elementary school? Or a mall? Or...
In my opinion, there simply aren't that many people with both the desire and means to do these things.
[1] https://abcnews.go.com/US/exclusive-undercover-dhs-tests-fin...
[2] https://abcnews.go.com/US/tsa-fails-tests-latest-undercover-...
Meanwhile, I hear it's possible to carry on a whole pumpkin pie. As if someone couldn't hide a good bit of volatile material in that format, or an improvised weapon in the form of it's carrying container.
As much as I dislike profiling, I do believe it has a place of use in focusing actual suspicion based fact finding and proving. It should be used to exclude suspects and focus investigations and judicial review for search requests to cases that might matter.
That is, they are actively showing they themselves don't believe in what they are doing.
Seems like a perfect way for a terrorist to have a time bomb landed inside a 2L "soda bottle" in that confiscated bottles bin, and go board a plane, all clean.
If we treated TSA as serious we would deputize them as part of DoD, or as part of CBP and abolish the "checkpoint" version of this security theatre we're all complaining about. The Theatre doesn't make sense, we all know it, and as you point out the people working for TSA implicitly know it. A serious TSA agency would have armed troops, along with a myriad of other detection technologies, patrolling airports as is done in other major transportation hubs like Penn Station.
I've accidentally gotten pocket knives, lighters, actual ammo (shame on me, was coming from a military reunion where we spent time at a range) through security in my carry on. Once I was randomly pulled out and had the "sniff" test run on my bag (admittedly one that was in Afghanistan with me), where they wipe it down with a small piece of cotton and put it in a machine that does some magic I'm not smart enough to understand.
It of course came up positive that time.
Same thing that stops people from blowing up buses, trains cars, shopping malls, movie theaters, etc: not much. There just isn't a sufficient incentive and will to do such things.
Then, somehow, they managed to make it even worse.
And airline personnel have to abide by the law since they can be taken to court. That's a VAST improvement over the unaccountable TSA.
And, oddly, the airlines actually didn't cut corners. What "needs to get caught" is well-defined, and all holy hell breaks over the heads of people if it doesn't get caught.
Now, that means that airlines train their security to recognize the test firearm rather than actual general firearms, but that's a failure to define the problem correctly rather than cutting corners.