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Comment by DeonPenny | Hacker News Reader

Eh maybe this is a good idea. Airline and hotel stocks have been up and people are planning for the end of COVID-19 by Jan. So by Jan they could of reached their old level's plus raised cash in a cash strapped world.

I doubt anyone believes airbnb is going to flop anytime soon.

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Who's planning for the end of COVID by January? That sounds a lot like how when everyone decided it was over in May.

I've heard some optimism about the end of 2021, maybe 2nd half of 2021 for rich countries, but not January.

Yes it is wishful thinking... January will be worse then now if covid is similar to historical pandemics.

I've heard it from people working for airlines that they are prepping for august to ramp up. I don't know how accurate that is but it's from my experience the plan.

It's not about finding the vaccine, or virus actually going away. Simply, by Jan 2021 people will be so sick and tired of hearing about COVID that they will say "fuck it" and carry on with their lives as usual. Me personally I'm close to that point already.

Sick of my parents still being alive?

Throw January out the window. Answer this question? Is AirBNB a valuable idea? I think the answer is yes. Stocks go up based on future projections.

Even if they have to IPO, declare Chapter 11 in 2020, and reform for 2021 there's still a valuable company in my mind because the product is revolutionary.

Before COVID killed travel I would always favor renting a AirBNB for over a hotel. It was marginally cheaper and offered a better experience usually (in my experience).

> Is AirBNB a valuable idea?

That is a meaningless question. What matters is value vs price and the IPO price isn't known yet.

> people are planning for the end of COVID-19 by Jan

Unfortunately a virus doesn't care about people's plans.

Yeah people saying "glad 2016/17/18/19/20 is over" thinking everything will be reset... But things like viruses, climate change and political corruption doesn't recognize human calendars..

the double whammy is both travel market uncertainty plus regulatory action.

regulators are getting more serious - just look at Uber and Lyft in California. could easily see the same thing happen to STRs.

By Jan?

Says who?

If there is no vaccine, there is no chance any of such activities going to happen without consequences.

Even if there is a vaccine, people are severely underestimating the logistical challenge of manufacturing and distributing literally billions of doses in a few months.

could've

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