Comment by jb775 | Hacker News Reader

Comment by jb775 | Hacker News Reader

According to the WHO, the virus shows no signs of seasonal patterns[1]. This means that the spread and transmission of the virus doesn't change depending on the time of year. So which organization is wrong?

Also, I've seen many posts claiming something like: "Study shows recent protests with 300,000 ppl hanging off each other didn't cause spread of coronavirus". If you believe this (and I actually do btw), why do you think it will spread so easily in public, where basically everyone is wearing a mask and bathing themselves in hand sanitizer?

Not trying to incite an argument, I'm asking real questions that I feel people aren't asking themselves because it intersects with other aspects of their beliefs.

[1] - https://m.dw.com/en/coronavirus-digest-covid-19-shows-no-sea...

In the first few line of TFA they mention not the seasonal pattern but the fact that it is going to be more difficult to find COVID cases in the background of flu and common cold that do have a seasonal pattern.

So why is this article framed as a doom & gloom coronavirus article if the only thing they're trying to communicate is "it's gonna be hard to pick out the corona patients"?

In many areas, mask use isn't mandated, nor enforced. Same with social distancing; a megachurch in California ignored all the social distancing recommendations and even had the chutzpah to inform the authorities. They didn't cite a single violator.

And outdoor exposure is largely immaterial. It's exposure indoors where the research is starting to indicate aerosols as a significant vector (compared to droplets).

I don't know about the riots not causing a spike in Covid cases. Here in LA County the spike started on June 15 and hit its highest points in July. That would seem to coincide nicely with the incubation periods of the initial riots and then spreading it to others.

You wouldn't known how many cases came from a protest unless you test everyone or a truly representative sample a while after. In any case you wouldn't know until at least two weeks later, and then only with significant effort asking everyone whether they attended a specific protest (assuming they answer truthfully) and/or tracking people.

People have seasonal behavioral patterns, not the virus. The end result is similar.

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