Do countries lose religion as they gain wealth? (2013)
cbc.ca
cbc.ca
I think this isn't quite right. Religion is a social mechanism. It creates the right incentives for its members to buy into a kind of insurance program. When a member falls on hard times the other members will take care of them. Of course this is more appealing to people in financially or socially unstable circumstances.
In order to avoid free-loading, there might be something like a tithe where you actually have to pay money into a shared pool. But if you don't have money to spare then usually membership comes down to costly signalling, i.e. various forms of self-sacrifice. Usually the poorer the members the more extreme the religion.
The idea of divine, absolute laws of conduct and an un-gameable entity that enforces these laws sounds fantastical but it's very effective at getting people to cooperate once they've bought in (which is why costly signals of buy-in are so important). It shifts the prisoner's dilemma payouts away from defect, toward cooperate. And a strange quirk of the human mind is that the more socially useful something is, the more it will prevent us from realizing it's not actually based on something true, and the more socially harmful it is the more it will prevent us from realizing it's actually true.
As society modernizes, people move away from religion because the costs don't seem to justify the benefits. Also without strong social incentives to believe, it becomes too hard to believe based only on the likelihood that it's actually true. Unfortunately I think we do lose something in the process. Modern society is more likely to be disconnected. Religiously active people generally tend to be happier. Looking around a lot of people I know have nothing like a weekly church meeting where they can socialize with a group of people that takes care of each other.
Can you clarify what you're trying to assert here please?
> The idea of divine, absolute laws of conduct and an un-gameable entity that enforces these laws sounds fantastical but it's very effective at getting people to cooperate once they've bought in ...
Would you be able to cite some examples of where this has happened in the past few millennia?
I was also into conspiracies and aliens/UFOs and religion also makes sense as a tool to keep the poor suppressed So IMO when the priests were no longer the only source of education then the things collapse for the church, the people in my village are on paper part of the church but in practice based on what they do and not do the story is different. There are some different sects/versions that appeared after the revolution in 1989 that do a better job on converting and keeping their people more engaged but still are talking about the creation myths so this is invalidating some of my points( and I am still mystified how people that studied physics in university(including astronomy) will defend the Genesis as a correct historical thing).
Just so we don't start some mini comment war here, if you are a religious person I am fine with that and I am honestly happy for you, I never ever start discussion with people in the attempt to convert them, they start this conversations and I have to explain where my doubt come from. Also you don't need to try to defend creation her, it will not work and is not the main point for me anyway there are more deeper issues , philosophical issues that even a proof of God existence would not be enough for me to start woshiping him/it.
Personally I am a believer but I can discuss astronomy or evolution just fine.
It is kind of like wave or particle: I use the model that works in the setting.
I don't think these questions are going away with wealth. Wealth doesn't answer the question of purpose or meaning, nor does it answer the question of why we desire connection with other people but we don't seem to be able to do it very well. I suspect the West is getting a lot of surrogate religions that just aren't called by that name, such as "changing the world!!"/activism as an answer for the meaning of life.
It would be nice to just see a graph of all the data and see how well the data really correlates.
Israel lives on the brink of war with her neighbors, a great source of uncertainty.
You can stamp the "uncertainty" label on everyone. The idea is to do it in a proper manner and be transparent about it.
China, India, and the USA have high inequality and few working programs for the poor. They also have high religiosity.
Japan and Northern European countries, on the other hand, have low religiosity, and low income inequality, and no threat of war or famine. Korea is in transition, with still fairly high inequality (and also fairly high religiosity), although that's on the decline.
You can of course stamp the "uncertainty" label on everyone if you want to play semantic games, but I'm not interested in that.
That's despite of their religiosity (to be more specific, against the teachings of Islam), not because of it.
It depends on which religion. Islam definitely makes the rich behave better. There is tons of evidence and anecdata.
Adam Smith has this wonderful quote on why it is difficult to model humans and societies in the theory of moral sentiments, which I feel holds even today:
> The man of the system. seems to imagine that he can arrange the different members of a great society with as much ease as the hand arranges the different pieces upon a chess-board. He does not consider that the pieces upon the chess-board have no other principle of motion besides that which the hand impresses upon them; but that, in the great chess-board of human society,every single piece has a principle of motion of its own, altogether different from that which the legislature might chuse to impress upon it.
Always an excellent idea to start off a study with an attempt to prove a preconceived point.
> Religion is highly variable, and therefore we need to ask why is it sometimes popular and why it isn't," Paul said. "One thing we do know is that it's only popular in societies that … have enough rate of dysfunction that people are anxious about their daily lives, so they're looking to the gods for help in their daily lives.
A supermajority of people in every western country believe in god or some higher power: https://www.pewforum.org/2018/05/29/beliefs-about-god/pf_05-...
No Western European country has more than 20% atheists: https://www-pewresearch-org.cdn.ampproject.org/i/s/www.pewre.... France is 15%, Germany is 10%. The US is 4%. People in developed countries are much less likely to participate in organized religion or subscribe to some general idea of spirituality, but atheists are still a small share of the population.
If you look here [2], you can see that the USA is more on the religious end of the religion curve in terms of Western countries. You can also see a trend linking uncertainty, inequality, and religiosity.
[1] https://www.pewforum.org/religious-landscape-study/religious...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_irreligio...
e.g.
https://humanism.org.uk/2019/08/29/more-people-opting-for-no...
And a religious wedding or funeral just informs us about your relatives not about the UK.
Same for weddings - I can't think of any wedding I have attended where it wasn't very clear that the style of the wedding was determined by the people getting married.
I think people don't generally talk about religion in the UK because it is pretty irrelevant to most of the population.
A higher power could also be an omnipresent intelligence with no interest what so ever in human affairs.
In my opinion the whole debate should be using a terminology regarding spiritual awareness and not of religion since the latter is much more loaded with assumptions which biases the results. This way an atheist could actively be pursuing a personal spiritual program.
Are you saying that people who don't believe in advanced alien tech also do not believe in God? Or am I having a mental breakdown? I'm fairly sure I know what a subset is and its logical implications.
To go from there to ((English ("X does not believe in a higher power")) logically implies (English ("X does not believe in God"))) is trivial. And that is the definition of a subset A of B: \forall x \in A, x \in B
Your link belies what you said. That survey was not in "every western country", but fifteen western countries. The Czech Republic is west of Finland (surveyed) and less than 20% of its population is religious.
Also you say from that survey people believe in God or a higher power, but it does not limit to that, they include people who believe in a spiritual force. That could be a Buddhist.
While most people in Germany formally belong to some Christian church or are Muslim or Jewish, in a lot of cases that does not extend past the entry on some registration form.
Look for example at [0] whose headline states: "Believe is irrelevant to majority of Germans".
[0] https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/deutschlandtrend-821.html
> Always an excellent idea to start off a study with an attempt to prove a preconceived point.
That's highly disingenuous.
The intention as stated was to disprove a preconceived point -- viz 'societies that don't believe in God are doomed'.
These kinds of teachings were necessary for organized religions in large societies, because people could plainly see the rich being rewarded over and over again, while the poor were screwed over. For a religion to gain traction in such an environment, it would have to teach of a Great Equalizer, such as karma or omniscient and omnibenevolent god(s).
That death leaves both poor and rich in the same situation is of little comfort to the man shivering in the cold as he watches the rich in their mansions. There needs to be another chapter to the story, where the poor man finally gets his share. Religions can provide this because they tell stories of life after death that are comforting to the downtrodden.
I won't be able to, but my genetic semi-copies with heavy memetic influence from me will be able to. It's not about me, the individual. It's about the genes and memes that compose me, and accumulating wealth does pretty well at ensuring replication of those genes and memes.
>Again I tell you, it is easier for a camel to go through the eye of a needle than for someone who is rich to enter the kingdom of God." (Matthew 19:24)
If the measure of religiosity is "participation in religious services", are we even measuring the same thing when participation can vary all the way from watching Jim and Tammy Faye Bakker on TV, to being blessed by the Pope in the Vatican, to receiving alms from Mother Teresa on the streets of Calcutta, or completing a Scientology audit graduation on a Friday?
Religion, for many, is a hope to be saved from their economic misery. Once they are out of penury then religious obligations become a bane on the newly found freedom that comes with money so the fallout is obvious. The developed west is a proof of this phenomenon. Software engineers in India would confirm the hypothesis in the next decade or two.
This quote from Marx is often misrepresented but I think he said it in a positive sense,
"Religion is the sigh of the oppressed creature, the heart of a heartless world, and the soul of soulless conditions. It is the opium of the people"
For example, I would say every single person is routinely perplexed by 50% of the rest of the planet (aka the opposite gender). That is a constant source of uncertainty, but doesn't cause us all to become religious.
Besides, even the richest substrata of economically developed countries just somehow automatically gravitate towards religion-influenced philanthropy. A lot of these philanthropy vehicles are predominantly religious in nature, e.g. a missionary to build schools in Africa. The economic certainty experienced by the rich folks isn't making them object to the religious nature of these organizations even if they themselves don't explicitly believe in religion. They could just stop donating, but something tells them the good outweighs the (in their view) bad.
I think there is a deep need for people to find meaning in their lives, but it is also a personal and subjective notion. Maybe richer countries are generally better set up for this because of the larger number of opportunities for people to find meaning in the way they define it.
Of course. Economic uncertainty just happens to be the largest source of uncertainty in many parts of the modern world (unless you happen to live in a war zone or under an oppressive or corrupt government).
> For example, I would say every single person is routinely perplexed by 50% of the rest of the planet (aka the opposite gender).
What an odd thing to say!
> Besides, even the richest substrata of economically developed countries just somehow automatically gravitate towards religion-influenced philanthropy.
Religion is historically the driver of philanthropy [1], but in modern times you also have things like the Gates foundation.
> The economic certainty experienced by the rich folks isn't making them object to the religious nature of these organizations even if they themselves don't explicitly believe in religion. They could just stop donating, but something tells them the good outweighs the (in their view) bad.
You haven't explicitly stated it, but it sounds like your premise is that religious feeling is causing these people to donate, rather than them donating to any cause that reduces world suffering. In fact, the religious nature of so many philanthropic organizations is one of the driving reasons for the rise of secular philanthropic organizations in recent years. More and more people want to support evidence based help that doesn't also spread a religion.
[1] https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1057/9781137341532_32
- worship as much as before
- believe in things they don't fully understand as much as before, only other things
I guess it all depends on how you are defining 'religious'. Without Christianity, the West wouldn't have universities, hospitals and democracies. It also looks like the decline of Christianity in modern society leads to stagnation and mimesis.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/11/23/medieval...
I'm doing fine without it. I would vote for government healthcare and democracy if it was on the ballot.
You don't really know that because we didn't try it. What is certain is those institutions have been increasing in size and number whilst religiosity has been decreasing in many nations.
It also looks like the decline of Christianity in modern society leads to stagnation and mimesis.
It certainly hasn't led to economic decline, we have never been so wealthy. We have never lived so long. The chance of dying from violence has never been so low.
All of these predate christianity.
The first real university was founded by the Roman Catholic Church and the first real democracy was a Christian nation.
The first real democracy was also Greece.
Women and blacks might disagree with your second argument.
The first "christian" democracies only gave the vote to men of the aristocracy (even less representation than in ancient Greece). Universal suffrage is not a christian victory.
Perhaps the real tragedy is that we are now all free, and I, a non-slave, choose not to enrich society at large but myself. But that's not a tragedy I have that much sympathy for. I'd rather be a non-slave on this Earth than have a galactic humanity where I'm a serf.