The Rogue Wave of Enterprise SaaS
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All this together - i think - will force LPs and VCs to change their return models and invest/operate fewer businesses but still generate excellent returns.
In other words a 20M arr business is amazing, if you arent trying to get to a $B.
Fwiw, this post isn't meant to be an endorsement or condemnation of the venture backed high-growth model – it's just a description of a phenomenon that seems to occur fairly predictably in those types of companies. I do agree that moving to a world with slower growth, more profitable companies would be excellent for software, and also agree that we're shifting that way as the market matures.
Thanks again for reading!
Where they're really looking at companies in the sub $1mil ARR space that are poised for growth and then they're investing in tons of them. In general they're far more stable and long lived than the typical VC ratios of 9 failures to 10 investments (with the 1 paying off for all of them).