Lord and Taylor, Oldest U.S. Department Store, Files Bankruptcy
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I'm truly worried about the economy 4-6 months from now.
I am not excited. After all, "May you live in interesting times" is a curse, not a blessing.
What do you mean by this? That what usually would occur in decades would now occur in weeks?
"Есть десятилетия, когда ничего не происходит; и бывают недели, когда происходят десятилетия"
“There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen.”
-Vladimir Ilyich Lenin
Given my age and health I wear mask indoors which is required in my locale. I do not one outdoors where distancing is possible.
Always a compromise
Clearly selling products and services to consumers is passé, and financialization is the future.
Speaking of restaurants, there's a funny thing that's happening with them. Ones in residential areas are currently doing OK. Ones in predominantly commercial areas are dying - because everyone's telecommuting.
Lifting the lockdown won't do a damn thing to help the latter. All of those telecommuting workers are going to keep telecommuting [1], regardless of whether or not some politician decides to sacrifice a few million kulaks on the altar of economic growth.
[1] Amazon, for instance, will keep most of its employees at home until at least January 2021 (And will doubtlessly push that date off, again). Do you think any of the restaurants surrounding their offices in South Lake Union are going to get any customers, even if Washington state re-opens tomorrow? Why would Amazon employees patronize them, when they are all working from home?
At very least, it would help.
>if there's an exponentially-growing out-of-control pandemic sweeping their city?
yes case its growing because there is more testing but for majority the case its either asymptotic or only mild symptom.
>All of those telecommuting workers are going to keep telecommuting
Sure but doesn't mean they won't go to restaurant. I'm wfh but still go to restaurant.
Testing also isn't the only indicator we have but the results of the others lag behind testing. Other useful indicators include the number of hospitalizations for covid patients and excess deaths.
I didn't say testing make people stick.
> It just revealed how many people are actually sick
Testing doesn't reveal how many people are actually sick. A lot of people tested positive but never get sick.
>That implies that tests are being used on people we're pretty sure have it
It was hard to get testing before but its relatively easier now. A lot of people get tested despite they never have a symptom. A lot of hospital test all patient coming to hospital get tested despite they come for different reason.
You said that there are more cases because we're doing more testing. That's wrong. Testing doesn't change the number of infections; It only changes the number of infections we know about.
> A lot of people tested positive but never get sick.
If you're infected but asymptomatic or have mild symptoms you're still sick.
> It was hard to get testing before but its relatively easier now. A lot of hospital test all patient coming to hospital get tested despite they come for different reason.
"Relatively" doesn't mean much when testing was abysmal before.
> A lot of people get tested despite they never have a symptom.
Where is this happening? Where in the US are there enough tests that anyone that wants a test can get one?
> A lot of hospital test all patient coming to hospital get tested despite they come for different reason.
Hospitals are a unique situation. They have a lot of people there that are at risk of severe complications if they catch COVID but at the same time have to deal with anyone from the public being able to enter the hospital at any time. It makes sense that they would take special precautions that are not necessary or appropriate elsewhere.
>If you're infected but asymptomatic or have mild symptoms you're still sick.
Sure for mild symptoms but if you don't have any symptoms you are not sick.
>Where is this happening? Where in the US are there enough tests that anyone that wants a test can get one?
At least in texas you can have test if you want anytime, you may have to pay though.
>Hospitals are a unique situation. They have a lot of people there that are at risk of severe complications if they catch COVID but at the same time have to deal with anyone from the public being able to enter the hospital at any time. It makes sense that they would take special precautions that are not necessary or appropriate elsewhere
Sure, we already know the covid spread easily, but we also know for the majority of cases it either asymptomatic or only have mild symptoms. The damage caused by lockdown are way more than the covid. Lockdown create bigger problem then it solves.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vS5Gfbu0lWQ
Sweden didn't kill their economy and they didn't all die either: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v-YkFyH701Q
At this point it's more about fear and power than "science!" :p
Howany dead bodies are there, and how did those people die if not from covid?
This suggests that NY undercounted COVID deaths by 22%, comparing all-cause mortality.
"The great thing about science is it doesn't need you to believe in it to be true."
Test or don't test, the infected would still be infected. Only without testing they would not know they were infected and much greater risk of spreading it.
The case rate is easy to manipulate with changes in testing rate. The death rate is hard to manipulate.
At least in Contra Costa County, the % positive rate is increasing (back to 10%, the highest it has ever been.)
Testing more people doesn't increase the % positive rate. An increase in rate of infected people does. We do not have this under control, and rushing to reopen will just cause it to go exponential again.
Not many people are going to willingly risk their own life or those of their parents until a vaccine is available. Contrary to popular belief, people aren’t sheep and if hospitals are filling up despite the government saying its “ok” people will just continue to stay home.
I want to go but I can't if the restaurant is closed.
Would you go if the restaurant was open right now? If so, why? Maybe you know you don't have "'rona", but can you be 100% positive the stranger next to you doesn't? Why would you risk sitting in a restaurant? I get patronizing the restaurant, but you can do the same with curbside pickup. Is it the dire need to get out of the house? Or do you feel it's a hoax?
Absolutely, I never stop went to the restaurant that are still open.
> If so, why?
The same reason on why most people go to restaurant: To enjoy the food and the service.
>but can you be 100% positive the stranger next to you doesn't?
Of course not, so ?
>Why would you risk sitting in a restaurant?
Everything in life has some risk.
Why would I do anything at all ? because the benefit > risk.
>but you can do the same with curbside pickup
Its not the same.
>do you feel it's a hoax?
No, the virus is real but the risk is low.
What do you mean by "the risk is low"? Do you mean "COVID doesn't kill a large portion of the people that get it"? "There are no long term consequences to a COVID infection"? "I personally don't have any of the factors that would put me at higher risk of death"?
Covid may spread very easily but for majority of people its either asymptotic, means they never get sick or they only have mild symptom.
As far as long term consequences, of course, covid like any other diseases in existence can have long term consequences for some people.
>I personally don't have any of the factors that would put me at higher risk of death"?
There is always some risk with anything if you keep looking , at some point people has to accept the risk.
You think Lockdown doesn't have risk ? it cause damage and people suffering too. At this point the damage is way more than the covid itself.
[0] https://www.nj.com/news/2020/07/huge-mansion-party-with-700-...
You're fighting mass hysteria right now from irrational people, the same type of fear and irrationality thats led to all kinds of negative things throughout human history.
Just be sure to vote against people who support this. That's all.
(I’m sure someone would take it over, but it’s neat to have the continuity. And nervously, because downtown high street retail is a declining business?
I've never even heard of this company. Perhaps I'm just part of the unwashed masses? I know Dillard's, Neiman Marcus, Sachs Fifth Ave, ummm and that's about it from the perspective of my layman's understanding of department stores.
If this company has never managed to inform me of its name over the decades I have been alive and browsing online, perhaps this bankruptcy is not as huge as surprised as one might think poor marketing, poor awareness, poor sales...?
I've seen them in shopping malls in the northeast but never gone in.
AFAICT, department stores never really carry anything that I would want to buy. If the number of people who feel as I do is increasing, then perhaps all the other dept store chains are close behind.
As you've misspelled 'Sachs' & didn't even mention the paragon of American department stores, Macy's, I'm guessing you're of a generation or region where they've been far less important. But before Amazon, & before the WalMarts & Targets, retailers like Macy's (brink of bankruptcy), Sears (bankrupt 2018), & JC Penney (bankrupt this year) were giants of retail through the mall era.
I'm wondering if the massive obesity problem in the United States has also contributed to this problem. People who don't really fit well in to clothes probably don't want to spend a lot of money on them because it's humiliating/degrading to shop for them.
My wife once told me to meet her "in front of Lord and Taylor's". I had no idea these scribbles were words and got lost: https://www.ladyandtheblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/lo...
Barneys and Brooks Brothers RIP.
anyone have a source for something as good?
But I’ve never seen a shirt that was literally non-iron - they still need an iron to press and put the creases back in.
here's an article about them - note the quote near the bottom that matches my experiences exactly: https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-war-over-non-iron-shirts-14...
I mean how can they simultaneously hold creases in the right places but resistant to creases in the wrong places? How does the fabric know which creases you need and which you don’t?
And even the shirts in the article saying they don’t need ironing... look like they need a good ironing!
But I guess I won’t be able to try the shirts you’ve used if they’re going bankrupt.
how do shape memory materials work in general? in this case, heat is the stimulus, which returns the fabric to its pre-set state. it's pressed and treated chemically essentially converting the fabric into an SMM.
In general, if you hang up and fully button cotton shirts while dripping wet, you will not need to iron much, if at all.