NASA Astronauts Return Home in SpaceX's Crew Dragon Spacecraft [video]
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Both Soyuz and the Space Shuttle had fatal accidents on re-entry.
SpaceX's Starship will probably be a lot more tolerant to defects in the heat shield because of the relatively heat-tolerant steel underneath, but landing safely relies on the operation of massive aero surfaces and a relight of the engines with thrust vectoring. It'll be interesting to see how that goes.
Things can always go wrong, but we know enough about both classes of vehicle to be able to say that the Shuttle's design was in general terms both more complex and more risky.
This is slightly off topic, but the Shuttle was horribly unsafe on the way up as well as on the way down. Using solid rocket boosters with no means to get the crew safely off the stack until they stop burning is, for lack of a better word, demented. The Crew Dragon/Falcon 9 stack offers realistic abort modes from the moment fueling begins until the vehicle reaches its intended orbit.
(Both Reagan and the Soviet top leadership didn't care about MAD, they cared about practical methods to stop incoming missiles. To get the arms limitations agreements signed, Reagan allowed the Soviets an exception to the anti-ABM ban to allow a ring of anti-ABM sites around Moscow, which exists until today. The "Star Wars" kinetic interception methods are also likely still active, though the laser methods probably never worked well.)
https://www.nytimes.com/1990/01/07/us/space-shuttle-poised-t...
Obviously there is the movie about Salyut 7 that depicts the shuttle trying to capture the station. Salyut 3 had a machine gun attached to it.
Retrieving the satellite allows you to safely recover the film, and re-equip the satellite with new film and propellant. The latter is important because it’s useful for spy satellites to be able to change their orbits frequently to observe new targets or evade tracking.
Also bear in mind some spy satellites are huge and incredibly costly. The Hubble Space Telescope is based on a spy satellite series.
What the Shuttle was designed to do in a military context is launch into a polar orbit from the coast of California, release a stealthy spy satellite, and return to Earth immediately after during the very same orbit (so about 90min from launch to landing). It therefore needed the very large wings to be able to glide back to Edwards Air Force Base in southern California, which would have rotated up to 1,500km away from the path of the orbiter. And because of the Pacific ocean, there'd be other landing sites available. This cross-range capability impacted every aspect of the design.
The idea was that big rockets which launch satellites are very easy to track, so it was hard to get a bird up without the enemy knowing its orbital path, and if the enemy knew the orbit they could evade overhead passes. So do a surprise launch on the shuttle, do a little orbit maneuvering while you are up there to maximize the enemy's uncertainty over its orbital plane, then immediately let go and land the shuttle--because otherwise they'd know where it was from tracking the shuttle.
I'm not sure if it was ever used this way, and the requirement is now obsolete anyway. You really can't hide a satellite from modern instruments, which have full global coverage, and its critical that orbits are known to avoid collisions in the much more crowded space up there.
I feel like it's not too outlandish to suspect that some military satellites might have a way to hide themselves from instruments, as well.
The X-37B is a shuttle-like design because it was designed for NASA to be a crew escape vehicle for the ISS. The Air Force only took over the project when NASA cancelled it.
It was also limited by the Shuttle's OMS in terms of delta-v so the orbits from which a satellite could be retrieved was constrained.
If I was a military satellite designer, heaven forbid, I'd definitely include that in a world that included the possibility of stealing satellites. The capability, quietly communicated between the powers, would be enough to ensure that the satellite would never be stolen. And therefore, the billion-dollar kidnapping capability becoming useless.
Of course, military use could do something different, but that's more along the lines of "pack a kilogram of explosives in a pipe bomb".
What mainly doomed the shuttle was the DoD requirement that the shuttle be able to pluck a satellite from a polar orbit in one orbit, making it necessary to include the massive wings so that it wouldn't be forced to land in the Pacific as the world rotated underneath it.
No known secret satellites :)
I'm reasonably sure this story was always more of a case of "how do we sell this thing" than "this is something that we can actually realistically do".
So I will be holding my metaphoric breath until the astronauts are delivered from SpaceX responsibility to NASA responsibility, which should be on land somewhere in Florida (too lazy to look it up sorry not sorry)
It was probably just a cached/saved website saved to the home screen. I'm not a rocket scientist, but as a web developer, I would rely upon that for anything earth-bound, let alone in Space.
...would?
Currently there is a live stream of the autonomous “return coast” phase while the crew sleeps: https://youtu.be/zMsxviPT2Cw
The splashdown stream is at https://youtu.be/tSJIQftoxeU and starts at 4:25 AM PDT, with deorbiting expected around 10:55 AM PDT.
I suck at math though so I’ll just wait for theoretical astrophysicists to tell me interesting things on blogs.
NASA/SpaceX really should start using UTC for their timestamps.
Stuff published to the public is not coming directly from mission control, it is being filtered through NASA PR and SpaceX PR. And PR often tries to simplify things for their audience, like converting UTC (which the average person isn't very familiar with) to local timezone. (And sometimes NASA PR also likes to turn metric into US customary, although SpaceX PR does that less.)
The primary target of NASA and SpaceX's PR is American voters, because it is American taxpayer money that pays for all this. Putting things in terms which makes it easier for an American to understand, but harder for a non-American, makes sense in that context.
It was fantastic seeing us send people back into space again.
Hopefully the landing is just as smooth as Curiosity's.
It would be really cool to see actual, high quality footage of it, but at least there's the simulated renderings. Extremely impressive.
Physical separation is at 11m35s: https://youtu.be/13OkD0C_TWU?t=695
As for propulsive landing - the latest I can see[1] is that while the craft is technically capable of propulsive landing, it's not approved by NASA, even for emergencies. So it's likely that these options are not even available for the crew, and they wouldn't have trained on how to use it/activate it.
[1] https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-crew-dragon-emergency-landi...
Clearly not. NASA was already not keen about the superdraco system. The explosion that destroyed the Dragon 2 capsule that was slated for the In-flight Abort test killed any chance of it being used for human-rated flights.
> Does that mean that it is officially not there
This is life-critical hardware/software. You don't go putting functionality in there that isn't approved by NASA, and most importantly the crew who're going to fly it.
Finding out that there's undocumented features and easter-eggs, even if they might in some very remote scenario help save life is certain to be outweighed by the risk that having it in there might somehow contribute to someone's death.
Could it be used for propulsive landing? Perhaps, but they'll first have to prove to NASA that it's safe - just like they proved to NASA that reused launch vehicles were safe, and reused Dragon 1 capsules were safe.
SpaceX seems to have given up on the idea of it anyway. They deleted landing legs from the capsule, and propulsive landing at sea as an emergency backup for the failure of all four parachutes (and you'd need to include a way to detect the failure, cut the chutes and then use the superdraco thrusters) seems a shitload of work which is probably going to only increase risk.
For propulsive landing of humans/cargo, it seems Spaceship their focus.
Official response from SpaceX: Superdraco thrusters are completely inhibited once the launch is sucessful.
So, no, not even as a backup.
Also, one other thing I remembered - the draco and superdraco thrusters require different pressurisation levels for their fuel systems. Before launch, the system is put into a high pressure mode, to enable launch escape. After they make orbit, the system is depressurised back to enable the draco thrusters to operate.
So they'd need to have time to re-pressurise the system, too.
PS re repressurisation failures: If it becomes absolutely necessary, a procedure could well be devised to operate the larger thrusters at a lower flow rate, albeit with a diminished efficiency and thrust.
They didn't elaborate, it was a 30 second response.
No way they're adding in a big pile of extra untested software and hardware for an unlikely event. NASA would never approve, and correctly so, as that would be a massive number of extra things to potentially go wrong.
Propulsive landing was not qualified, nor likely even finished, so I very much doubt it shipped. An untested propulsive mode is a significant liability.