Of the 1%, by the 1%, for the 1%
vanityfair.com
vanityfair.com
For example, you write: "As anyone who has worked for the government knows, the important thing is not to make the right choices, but to make choices that can be justified later if they fail."
What evidence do you have of this? What about agencies like DARPA? Your statement could also apply to employees of large corporations.
You are doing the same thing that Joe Stigliz did in the article (without his academic ethos)
That's an important distinction. In advocacy, you start already knowing the conclusion you want to reach, and you try as hard as you can to convince the audience of it, the way a lawyer or a politician would. Whereas an essay, as the name implies, starts with a question, and from there you try to follow the truth wherever it leads.
I wrote about this in "The Age of the Essay" (http://paulgraham.com/essay.html).
There is not a mathematically sharp distinction between the two approaches, of course. A lawyer or politician will use the truth when it suits his purpose. And an essayist trying to follow the truth will inevitably have biases that cause him not to follow the truth as far down some roads as others. But though the two approaches form a continuum, and writers sometimes drift along it in the middle of a given piece, the distinction is a meaningful one.
"Anschutz bought out his father's drilling company in 1961" (age 22)
... as you do.
Paging down the list shows a quite interesting mix of self-made to lesser or greater extents, but a lot of Waltons and Rockerfellers... still.
More broadly, the emphasis on the ultra-rich isn't enormously illuminating either way, although it's worth noting that a lot of the 'entirely self-made' ultra-rich come from extremely comfortable upper-middle-class backgrounds, most obviously Bill Gates.
I would be suprised to hear any evidence supporting your "Forbes 40,000" line - got any, or are you just making it up?
http://econ-www.mit.edu/files/6348
Stiglitz is a serious economist and a Nobel laureate, there is data behind what he says, but bear in mind that he's writing this for Vanity Fair and not the American Economic Review.
Despite the very visible presence of Gates, Buffer, Ellison, etc at the top of the list the Forbes 400 isn't exactly a startup playground (a lot of mineral wealth, the Waltons, a still-pretty decent whack of inherited $$$). The idea that American inequality en masse has much to do with startups is an idea that, well... let's just say it would be a compliment to call it sensible.
I'm sure that the American environment has resulted in great inequalities of outcome among, say, _tech_ firms (e.g. big winners and losers rather than having IBM and the seven dwarves pootle along for decades) but this doesn't translate to a fraction of the effect of, say, big declines in the tax rate paid by the very rich, or changes in the USA's blend of manufacturing or service jobs.
Not staking a position here either way, just saying that bringing startups into this is absurd navel-gazing.
It's hard to see what you're achieving trying to undermine specific points in an opinion piece ("You didn't show evidence that X" looks a lot like "I think you're wrong about X but am trying to look like the bigger man here") with this rather pointless bit of drive-by snark.
$500k is a lot of money, but it isn't "senators are at your beck and call, own houses in six countries" money.
[Edit to add: guesstimate based on misremembered data. Real number closer to 400k.]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Household_income_in_the_United_...
I moved to the bay area recently, and I'm an engineer. I was kind of wondering how people actually live out here. I came here from New York, so I get how people can rent for their whole lives, but I had thought that there'd be more reasonable home ownership in the bay area.
Not so. :\
(hmm, maybe there's some causation there?)
As normal in politics, the middle classes are being raped for the benefit of those at the top and at the bottom.
What is that percentile wise?
As an American, I am perpetually shocked at how low UK salaries sound when I hear them, especially given that I know consumer goods are more expensive on your side of the pond. Is it made up for by comparatively lower cost of housing or other essential items or what? Or is there a huge transatlantic income gap that I never really hear about (mostly it's cost of living differences that seem to draw attention)?
To put this into perspective with an anecdote, I know a family who bought a house about 10 years ago to rent out in an up and coming area for £60k. Two years later they bought the house next door for 220k. Now each house is worth around £400-500k. This isn't even in London/the South where the rises were even greater.
So property assets perhaps made up for relatively low income, and I feel that the government at the time played up to this. I also know a lot of people who took debts against their homes to increase their cash flow and buy cars, kitchens, etc with it.
EDIT: Of course, now the situation is different, with the property market being flat. Who knows what will happen from now on, but our new government has made noises about making sure the property market less important to the economy.
I'm not sure where it is that we make up the difference in costs, or if indeed we do.
That said, the U.K. spends a lot less as a percentage of GDP on health care, but then they have a substantially lower per capita GDP.
ADDED: off the top of my head, U.K. health care spending is 6-7% of GDP, US is 17%.
As someone who has a life-threatening medical condition (and also spends a lot of time talking to others with serious conditions), I will note that being unhealthy has a great many costs involved that go far beyond whatever is spent on doctors and drugs. The very high healthcare costs in the US are not merely a financial cost. They are an indicator of general poor health in the US: High levels of obesity, high blood pressure, heart disease, diabetes and on and on. People who are ill have less energy and mental focus for the tasks of day-to-day living and often spend more money on lower quality products, like eating microwave meals and fast food instead of cooking from scratch.
In fact, the degree to which my local grocery store is an utter madhouse right before American holidays that revolve around a big meal where extended family is typically invited suggests to me and others that I have spoken with that most Americans just don't much cook. I was a homemaker for 2 decades and the degree to which I shopped daily for fresh meats and produce and cooked for dinner what I had bought fresh earlier that afternoon drew frequent remarks from people who worked at the grocery store and who wished their wife would cook like I did. I have gotten myself a great deal healthier than doctors think is possible for my condition and dietary changes are a big part of how I accomplished that. It is well known that Europe has a food culture in a way that is unknown here in the US. I strongly suspect that the emphasis on eating well in Europe is linked both to having a high quality of life without a very high salary and to lower overall healthcare costs.
/soapbox
Well, I suppose so, the UK's NICE (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Institute_for_Health_a...), much like our CMS (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Centers_for_Medicare_and_Medica...), establishes the impersonal guidelines, but in the US only those over 64 or on Medicaid are impersonally bound by them. In practice when our "parasitic insurance industry" addresses this it's about providing coverage beyond the CMS guidelines, since the latter are a floor which our legal system won't let the "parasitic insurance industry" go below.
That legal system and most especially its lack of the English "loser pays" Rule is probably a greater influence on costs, especially since the NHS has got to have some level of sovereign immunity.
Does it? (I don't know of anyone suing NICE, but they've certainly brought lawsuits against GP practices and hospital trusts, and won substantial damages for malpractice and/or judgements requiring the provision of treatment that was at first denied on various grounds.)
Meanwhile, the NHS bodies that deliver healthcare -- be they PCTs or fundholding GP practices -- don't have a profit incentive for excluding people with pre-existing medical conditions from receiving treatment. (They may have a cost control incentive to for denying anomalously expensive treatments, but that kicks in at the opposite end of the supply-and-demand chain: and it's defended by reference to metrics like quality-adjusted life-years per unit expenditure rather than the requirement to show a profit.)
Finally, the "loser pays" rule has been greatly undermined by the widespread adoption of conditional-fee lawsuits for civil damages in the UK over the past decade.
Peace.
£37,000 is very close to the top 10% threshold.
Firstly, the average London salary is £33,187; in Birmingham it's £25,273. An average middle-class household income should therefore be somewhere in the £30K-£60K range.
The 40% marginal income tax rate does indeed kick in at a very low level compared to the USA -- at £37K -- because it has barely risen for about 20 years. But inflation has pushed a lot of regular workers into that territory, and far from a high tax payer being one of the "hated rich", it's just another burden born by the middle class. (For "hated rich" status you need to aspire to the 50% marginal rate, which kicks in on income over £150,000 a year.)
Meanwhile, the average home in the UK costs £232,628, but that's heavily skewed by London and the South-East -- in the West Midlands (Birmingham) for example, it's £177,690.
What we've got is a situation where the marginal rate of income tax rises steeply much earlier than in, say, the USA -- but there is (or was) a much higher level of social services. For example, that tax rate includes free healthcare and primary/secondary education. And property taxes are much lower than in the USA, because education comes out of central government funds.
Source: http://www.payscale.com/research/UK/Country=United_Kingdom/S...
Source: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/spl/hi/in_depth/uk_house_pric...
What are the professions where a hard working and intelligent person can reach a $500k income with a high degree of certainty?
So, to answer your question, there is no profession (in the USA, at least) with "a high degree of certainty" of hitting $500k.
> While many of the old centers of inequality in Latin America, such as Brazil, have been striving in recent years, rather successfully, to improve the plight of the poor and reduce gaps in income, America has allowed inequality to grow.
Wait, is the problem poverty or inequality? If "the plight of the poor" is simply that they're not as comfortable as those in the top 1%, but they still have cars, and TVs, ad microwaves, I'm never going to be impressed by this sort of article.
What is troubling, and what the author ignores, is the changing distribution of returns in our economy. There's no point in trying to legislate it away, but more and more work is becoming automated. We're in the middle of a second industrial revolution, and many kinds of work that people rely on for income and identity will go away over time. Will we end up in a society where 90% of us, who don't have the skills to be productive, are subsidized by the remaining 10%? That seems like an awful outcome from a social perspective, but I'm not sure how we should respond to it.
From a policy perspective, I would like to see a higher short-term capital gains rate to limit the attractiveness of financial instrument trading, and I think carry income (on VC and private equity) should be taxed as income, not at the lower rate for capital gains. But apart from those areas, we need to address the long-term trend of growing income inequality as a society, not with legislation.
Not only is this paragraph entirely unsubstantiated in the essay, but I doubt that it's even true. Perhaps the author could have interviewed people in this top 1% or cited polling data or something. Instead they went with caricature.
The author, Joseph Stiglitz [1], doesn't explain how inequality of wealth alone causes such erosion. On its own, inequality very well might not.
But other factors might be at work as well. Consider the effects of envy, or more precisely, "relative deprivation" [2]. There's been research indicating that no matter how well off humans are on an absolute scale, we tend to become dissatisfied when we perceive that we're worse off than our neighbors; we tend to believe we're somehow entitled to do at least as well, or even better, than they. (See also "keeping up with the Joneses.")
Envy is probably a product of natural selection; it can be a useful motivator, at least when properly channeled.
On the other hand, envy might be less adaptive in an era of global mass communications. It's certainly easier today for millions of people to become aware of, and then (perhaps subconsciously) resentful of, others who seem better off than they.
So it could be that we have a combination of causes at work: Increasing public awareness of wealth inequality leads to increased envy, which might indeed start to erode the social fabric.
If this turns out to be the case, what could we do about it?
Some might say humanity should be less envious, that people should just accept inequalities of wealth as natural consequences of their own limitations. History suggests that they -- or should I say, we -- probably won't.
[1] Joseph Stiglitz, professor at Columbia, former chief economist of the World Bank, Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics 2001 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_Stiglitz
On the other hand, this piece only talks about inflation-adjusted net income. If you compare the quality of life or purchasing power I think that everyone is still better off with each year. Even though a typical middle-class family has less money now than 30 years ago, they can have mobile phones and a flat-screen TV and a computer and internet and one or two fuel-efficient comfortable cars, and none of those things existed 30 years ago.
shrug
1) The presumption that wealth is gained at the expense of someone else. 2) That wealth is always given and not earned. 3) That being "rich" is the result of some sort of criminal behavior. 4) Phrases like "doesn't need that much money" or "has too much money" and the like. 5) The idea that a job belongs to anyone other than the person providing it.
You didn't claim any of those things per se.
So it seems like "top 20% should own 35% of the wealth" is roughly the consensus of the vast majority of Americans, give or take 5%, across many demographic and political groups. Where they differ is what, if anything, we should do to make that happen.
Source: http://www.people.hbs.edu/mnorton/norton%20ariely%20in%20pre...
The most conservative proposal from the survey splits the wealth at roughly 40:20:20:10:10. That means if we had an average representative of each of the 5 groups, they would each be worth 5* $175* (that group's percentage) = $350k : $175k : $175k : $87.5k : $87.5k
Meanwhile, the most liberal proposal was roughly 30:20:20:15:15 giving $262K : $175k : $175k : $131k : $131k
Of course, America has an increasingly corrupt government and a great many people acquiring wealth by using government to scam the rest of us. And we should be railing against that.
But the fact that wealth is distributed unevenly is inevitable. Not only are the productive wildly different in their abilities to produce, the ability of the corrupt to steal varies greatly as well.
Not once did the author submit forth anything of value. I kept thinking I wish I wrote this article and instead of complaining about the troubles focus on WHY? WHY is this happening? I've always come to the same answer: give kids the opportunity to find what they love (or who they are) through education.
I dislike the PIE analogy! Anytime they mention pie and those greedy few it gives the wrong idea about wealth generation.
I think a growing trend of more educated peoples will fix this inequality over time -- wealth distribution will be more sparse.
It seems like (FY2010) 20% of Federal expenditures go toward defense, and 58% go to entitlement programs (which (I speculate) the 1% wealthiest do NOT receive disproportionate benefit from).
Source: http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2011/03/usa-incor... second graph