Facebook reports second quarter results
reuters.com
reuters.com
Feel whatever you want about Zuckerberg, the company, their products and anything else, but what they created is simply the best digital distribution channel besides Google. Many business are built and scaled on Facebook Ads.
Putting opinions about privacy and politics aside (which are definitely topics that should be discussed), Facebook was the last Silicon Valley company to create something that literally has disrupted the way we live and interact. All the other ones that supposedly were on that road are barely alive (e.g: Uber).
In contrast many of the current public tech companies with promising trajectories of global disruption (for example Shopify) were created outside of Silicon Valley.
This is my personal opinion, but I think the golden Silicon Valley days are way in the past.
I think it's pretty hard to identify even a single major strategic decision that Zuckerberg didn't get right given enough hindsight.
This single episode is, in my view, enough to determine that MZ is a very special entrepreneur.
And yes, agree: privacy, Cambridge Analytica, etc, all topics that deserve attention. But purely looking at his skills, he's simply a genius with iron balls.
Obama's fan club thinks he deserves the Nobel Peace prize.
Elon's fan club is convinced a boring red dirt ball where nothing lives is the place to be.
Greta's fanclub think she is Jesus
The Kardashian fan club think she is the greatest feminist in history.
Who we admire says a lot about who we are and our individual Needs much more than it says anything about the people we prop up.
I do not admire MZ. But if you ask me if he's a good CEO/leader, the example I mentioned is clear proof that he's a rare breed.
You thinking I'm a fanboy shows very little respect for what I expressed before.
It's very easy. You can do it!
Some mistakes he highlights that resonated with me: Facebook Platform, Beacon, Cambridge Analytica, foreign expansion without native language support, release of private Messenger records to 3rd parties, placing Security within the business rather than engineering organization and failing to respond to state-actor threats
Chrome, while heading the way of ie6 in it's dominance is a massive public benefit.
Search - given that it's free of charge, it is a hugely valuable tool and has changed the world in the last 20 years.
I think you can argue that they don't provide this altruisticly, but it's definitely been a positive impact
And that's just programming, a relatively niche use of Google, not to speak of any other occupation or task that you might use it for, and that's just google search, not even chrome or maps or... Google has revolutionized the world.
Even as a Search Engine, Google was miles ahead of its competitors during its early days. Yahoo, AltaVista, and plenty of smaller ones like Ask.com..... They were crap.
I dont like Google since the day they said they do no Evil. But there is no way I can ignore the Impact Google has to the Internet and the world.
Completely agreed. Not to mention that their M&A strategy has also been nothing short of a master class: from Instagram, to WhatsApp, to Oculus. Money making machine indeed.
The tbh acquisition was a complete waste of time and money. Time will tell how giphy works out...
Snap is the only example I can think of that remained independent so far, and even they are one App Store flipped bit away from being out of business. Are there “never Google/Facebook/Microsoft/Apple/Amazon” startups that have or would be able to raise nine figures to pursue big projects?
Is that even a viable path, or is the winning endgame always just being acquired by Big Tech and Big Tech only?
I guess my question is “Is avoiding major/typical VC funding the only way to “win” and not end up as FAANG staff?”
The reason I ask is because I already have a perfectly comfortable lifestyle business, and would love to pursue something larger (that requires funding and a medium-sized staff) but there is no amount of money or equity that would make me ever be okay with working for a company that helps governments abuse human rights, which is 100% of Big Tech these days. Is there any third path?
Be bootstrapped and profitable (Basecamp/Indie Hackers) or independent and ethical (Small Tech) [0].
You don't need to have the same goals as cancer to win in the tech space.
I refuse to believe that with capital being what it is today, there is no funded route to having e.g. 100M users that doesn't eventually involve working for the big five.
OWS has done it (in a strange way), so there are definitely some paths, if a bit weird.
> It's not cancerous to want to pursue e.g. advanced hardware (Oculus) or hundreds of millions of users (Instagram, WhatsApp, etc).
All of this (and every startup needs this to grow) is usually at the cost of the customers privacy. All the time.
> I refuse to believe that with capital being what it is today, there is no funded route to having e.g. 100M users that doesn't eventually involve working for the big five.
You don't have to sell out to the big tech companies, just be a regular profitable business from the start and don't spy on your customers.
You mention Snapchat, and I think that's a great example. I'm somewhat cynical, having tried (and failed) several times launching a consumer-facing social-style app, but Snapchat gives me hope. For years, it was a pretty mediocre one-trick-pony, but it just goes to show how important user metrics are. It didn't start out with millions of dollars (like TikTok) and it didn't start out with influencers (like Clubhouse). It just resonated with high school and college kids, and that was enough.
I don't know...
* Apple disrupted the way we live and interact more recently (iPhone).
* Uber & Lyft may be barely alive currently, but mostly/only because of Covid - they were doing decently enough before then. Same for AirBnb, though IMHO they're not as disruptive.
* If Facebook counts despite poorly executed earlier companies attempting the same idea, then Netflix probably counts for this list too - crappy cable TV on-demand existed before them, but widespread changes in how we consume video didn't occur until the rise of Netflix streaming.
* Amazon didn't really take over all of online shopping until around the same time Facebook was exploding, if I remember.
* Widespread consumer access to GPS - starting with Garmins in cars, then later smartphones - didn't really happen until well into the Facebook era as well.
* The dominance of the SaaS model mostly came after Facebook too.
Maybe in the next decade Uber or AirBnB or one of these SaaS players will have a major explosive new product or service, like Apple had with the iPod and later with the iPhone, and become a real tech behemoth. Time will tell.
I feel completely out of the loop. What has facebook created that is so impactful ?
I see them as a company that incrementaly executed better than the previous social networks and successfully killed/absorbed competition. But is there any critical thing they really created from the end user point of view ?
2. No other social network has even come close to how much FB has connected the world.
Social network that spawns most of the world. It's a very valid to argue about upsides or downsides of it, but no one else came even close in creating such a huge, powerful and diverse network.
For instance Shimano crushed all other cycling equipment vendors in an unprecedented way, at a scale never see before and built a worldwide empire.
But did Shimano’s entry fundamentally change the field ? I’d argue no. They iterated and executed flawlessly, actually not disrupting what was a good business to them from the start.
I’d argue Facebook is in the same position. They brought unprecedented scale and became the massively dominant player, while keeping the field mostly the same in quality (targeted ads, social games etc. were already a thing, older SNS already pivoted on that before facebook coming in)
facebook.com
It's not the product but its magnitude. That's the disruption IMO.
I’d see how a service like Streetview would be seen as disruptive because of bringing a fringe fonctionnality to a mass market in a unprecedented scale.
But I feel like calling Facebook disruptive is like saying Samsung is revolutionnary, by the sheer massive number of smartphones they sell.
For me disruptive boils down to how likely is something to produce a change in the behaviors of a general population and improve (or worsen) their lives.
Streeview is very innovative, for sure. But it hasn't changed me or anyone that I know in any significant way.
On the other hand Facebook services allow me to stay in touch with my elder parents who live in Colombia and stay in touch with people I care about. The technology or the concepts may not be incredibly innovative but I can characterize them as disruptive just because of their size (reach).
Also I have discovered interesting products through Instagram Ads. That seems minor but ultimately many of those things have had a certain impact in my overall quality of life.
It appears Google just had their first revenue decline ever. I guess it was anticipated, and people aren't particularly freaking out, but I wonder if it will be a turning point in hindsight a year from now.
Facebook cheated. They stole the advertising industry from print and broadcast with lies. Google helped, but AFAIK with fewer lies. Facebook doesn't have a Jeff Dean (or pg/Yahoo for that matter), they had the Napster guy. Facebook created nothing more than an attractive nuisance.
Facebook is an object lesson in the amorality of capital. As long as they maintain an agreeable narrative to smooth over questionable ethics along the way, they will be called a miracle. Capitalism is defined as a system inclined to accept success on its terms without question, and someone like Zuck who tells a vague story about FB's purpose just seems like gravy, feels like transparency.
FB - 2.4B MAU [1]
Instagram(FB Owned) - 1B MAU [2]2018 numbers
WhatsApp(FB Owned) - 2B MAU [3]
Facebook totals - 5.4B MAU (overlap between apps, not unique users)
Everyone else:
Snap - 360M MAU [4]
Twitter - 330M MAU [5]
TikTok - 800M MAU [6] estimate
Everyone else totals = 1.49B
*MAU = Monthly Active User B = Billions, M = Millions
[1] - https://www.businessinsider.com/facebook-grew-monthly-averag...
[2] - https://www.statista.com/statistics/253577/number-of-monthly...
[3] - https://www.statista.com/statistics/260819/number-of-monthly...
[4] - https://www.omnicoreagency.com/snapchat-statistics/
[5] - https://www.omnicoreagency.com/twitter-statistics/
[6] - https://wallaroomedia.com/blog/social-media/tiktok-statistic...
[1] For example, in a blatant show of hypocrisy, Nike slashed FB advertising, but has had plenty of child labor and sweatshop scandals to boot.
I am surprised ad industry is not affected heavily. Isn't ads the first thing a company will cut if things look bleak.
>[At Facebook] Q1 2019 the top 100 advertisers made up less than 20% of the company’s ad revenue; most of the $69.7 billion the company brought in last year came from its long tail of 8 million advertisers.
>This focus on the long-tail, which is only possible because of Facebook’s fully automated ad-buying system, has turned out to be a tremendous asset during the coronavirus slow-down.
>This explains why the news about large CPG companies boycotting Facebook is, from a financial perspective, simply not a big deal. Unilever’s $11.8 million in U.S. ad spend, to take one example, is replaced with the same automated efficiency that Facebook’s timeline ensures you never run out of content. Moreover, while Facebook loses some top-line revenue — in an auction-based system, less demand corresponds to lower prices — the companies that are the most likely to take advantage of those lower prices are those that would not exist without Facebook, like the direct-to-consumer companies trying to steal customers from massive conglomerates like Unilever.
>In this way Facebook has a degree of anti-fragility that even Google lacks: so much of its business comes from the long tail of Internet-native companies that are built around Facebook from first principles, that any disruption to traditional advertisers — like the coronavirus crisis or the current boycotts — actually serves to strengthen the Facebook ecosystem at the expense of the TV-centric ecosystem of which these CPG companies are a part.
Or there could be other effect...
It depends on the advertiser and the industry. For example, immediately after 9/11, and again when states started locking down, ads for local auto dealers evaporated almost overnight. But others were ready to take their place.
I wonder if it's also because these are Q2 results, and those ad campaigns would already have been budgeted and allocated. But I don't know what Facebook's Q2 months are.
Working from home and lockdowns in general.
Are you saying that 10% revenue increase has led to 10x earnings beat? That doesn't make any sense.
If you were expected to make $1.01 and spend $1, and instead you made $1.10 and spent $1, your revenue only beat by 9% but your income beat by 900%.
I know we've read about the major strikes by Amazon workers here repeatedly (supposedly all of them walking out etc). Doesn't seem to have affected the top line sales at least.
It isn’t a ‘conspiracy’ but it does feel like humans are being diminished so their time and attention can be commodified.
(via https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24002529, merged hither)
I imagine this is one of the reasons Facebook didn't want to drop political ads (like the competition) in an election year.
Or, actually he knows it was just cheap PR for marketing budgets making cuts anyway (and apparently, not even that many at all).
I wonder if this is why Zuckerberg seems to be so friendly to Trump...
The members of Congress would ask a yes or no question, and then the CEO would start in on a speech about how great their company is. That's why you kept seeing those interruptions.
American democracy and accountability is over.
"... the smallest minds and the selfishest souls and the cowardliest hearts that God makes." -- Twain