Google to keep employees home until summer 2021
wsj.com
wsj.com
I'm also a WSJ subscriber, and saw this notification from WSJ before I checked my email this morning. I think there are 2 important things to take from this for those that didn't/can't read this.
1) From the article: "Mr. Pichai was swayed in part by sympathy for employees with families to plan for uncertain school years that may involve at-home instruction, depending on geography. It also frees staff to sign full-year leases elsewhere if they choose to move."
2) This does not mean offices will remained closed. If Google is able, they will open offices and allow people to return, if employees chose to. This is more about giving people more options.
I have family trying to raise two kids during this pandemic. Turns out, children aren't just little adults who will go off and do assigned tasks unsupervised; they require attention and crave personal feedback, and those aren't things they can get from either teachers or peers in a distance-learning configuration. Not in the quantities they get them in school. A lot of working parents are going to find they're splitting their time between their day jobs and keeping their children on their tasks, which will be a huge adjustment for a lot of families (especially families with two working parents who can remote-work).
I don't know that the US has a firm understanding of how much the babysitting aspect of regular primary (and in some cases, high school) education adds value, and the whole economy is in for a rude shock come Q42020 / Q12021 as everyone's projections get missed unless companies are writing down goal-hitting expectations right now.
I hope this leads to realization of how important work/life balance is here in the States. This Protestant work ethic simply isn't necessary with today's productivity.
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The “two-income trap,” described The “two-income trap,” as described by Warren, really consists of three partially separate phenomena that have arisen as families have come to rely on two working adults to make ends meet:
The addition of a second earner means, in practice, a big increase in household fixed expenses for things like child care and commuting. Much of the money that American second earners bring in has been gobbled up, in practice, by zero-sum competition for educational opportunities expressed as either skyrocketed prices for houses in good school districts or escalating tuition at public universities. Last, while the addition of the second earner has not brought in much gain, it has created an increase in downside risk by eliminating an implicit insurance policy that families used to rely on. This last point is really the key to Warren’s specific argument about bankruptcy, though it’s the first two that would drive her larger interest in politics. Bad things have always happened to families from time to time. In a traditional two-parent, one-earner family, there was always the possibility that mom could step up and help out when trouble arose.
“If her husband was laid off, fired, or otherwise left without a paycheck,” Warren and Tyagi write, “the stay-at-home mother didn’t simply stand helplessly on the sidelines as her family toppled off an economic cliff; she looked for a job to make up some of that lost income.” Similarly, if a family member got sick, mom was available as an unpaid caregiver. “A stay-at-home mother served as the family’s ultimate insurance against unemployment or disability — insurance that had a very real economic value even when it wasn’t drawn on.”
A modern family where mom is already working has no “give” and is much more likely to be pushed into bankruptcy by job loss or family illness unless it builds up a big financial cushion.
So in effect, a wealth transfer to equity holders.
The article calls the book "controversial", but I don't see how the harm from effectively denying motherhood to women is "controversial" at all.
In countries less allergic to establishing welfare programs, cheap subsidized daycare is used to boost workforce participation amongst women: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-31/affordabl...
From the Quebec study:
> For those kids who are in Quebec’s public programs, known as centres de la petite enfance (CPEs), “repeated studies have found sharp improvements in child development,” Fortin said. This accounts for about one-third of Quebec’s children in care right now.
Now the problem is scaling up good childcare to the other two thirds.
Other than this I don't really see how you would put the genie back in the bottle for women juggling childcare with employment, without also screwing over women who want both or don't want children.
Besides, I don't believe anyone other than parents are "the best" to raise children, on average. That's because I have children of my own and I know that childcare and primary education is basically a game of roulette wrt whether you get lucky and get a teacher who's any good. We should just make it socially unacceptable to abdicate parental responsibility at this point, IMO. It's absolutely nuts that 6 months old children end up in daycare.
As opposed to the average parent who is great at parenting, right?
Sorry, but many (most?) parents absolutely suck at raising their kids. They didn’t have good parents themselves and they never dealt with the psychological issues that resulted. And in 99% of cases, they’re totally blind to this, and think (as you apparently do) that loving their kids makes them good caregivers.
I’m not arguing for or against childcare, but it’s a mistake to think the average parent is well-equipped.
But even there, just looking at developed countries around the world with arguably much better values around parenting, I still think we'd end up with most kids in childcare. Maybe not starting at six months, but starting pretty young. I'm biased as a parent too, just in the other direction. There are just too many benefits to both children and women.
And a woman cannot rely on her parents to support her as an adult until she gets married. That’s too heavy a burden on her aging parents.
Really, the only way forward, is for the woman to get educated, skilled, trained, or certified, in order to work.
But, we as a society need a new and different social contract.
First of all, with two incomes, if one person loses a job, you still have cash coming in. On average, the drop is from 100% of normal cash flow to 50% of normal. With one income it is from from 100% to 0%. Yes, the other spouse can get a job, but that takes time, maybe days, maybe months.
This seems especially true during a bad economy when unemployment is high and people stay unemployed for long periods of time. With a dual-income family, the two often work in different fields. One might get laid off but the other's job is safe. You'll suffer, maybe even have to sell your house or something, but at least you can feed yourself.
Second, I've seen what happens when a spouse doesn't work outside the home for a long time. This happened to a relative of mine a long time ago. She had a short but perfectly fine career as a teacher for a while before getting married, having children, and being a housewife. Eventually she got divorced and found that, after being out of the job market for 20 years, the only job she could get was near minimum wage data entry. (She eventually got a better job, but it took many years as she was basically starting over.) Anyway, the point is I'm skeptical of Warren's reasoning that in a single-income family, the other spouse can just go out and get a job if needed. Over the long term, the single-income situation tends to damage the career path of the spouse who doesn't work outside the home.
The general crux of Warren's argument, is that the fixed costs incurred by the necessity of women working is so large that it basically made household income a zero sum game.
Previously, one person made income Y, and if the breadwinner became unable to work then they made some amount close to or smaller than Y.
Today, two people each make X, and also have to pay childcare and additional commuting or other expenses of Z every day.
Warren's assertion is that overall, today 2X-Z <= Y, because women increased the labor supply so much that wages were suppressed; so that Y for one person eventually became X for two people in a household. Depending on how bad the decline is, X may be a lot worse than a new, untrained wife making less than Y.
In the scenario of 1 working partner, if that 1 person loses their job, you can have 2 people looking for jobs in order to get back to normal.
The trap is: declining real household income for segments of the population. The "two income" part is a consequence of the trap, not a cause.
This matters because a lot of the increasing representation of women in the workforce is not the result of the two-income trap, but the result of women, individually, wanting to work. In other words, not every two-income household is actually in a trap. Many of them are formed by two people who each have jobs they like and want to keep.
My wife, for example, has advanced training and likes her job. She couldn't wait to get back to work after we had our first child. As a family, we could survive fine on my salary today... but she would kill me if I suggested this. Now we're struggling to home-educate our child while we both work remotely. If I suggested that she quit her job to be our family's "insurance policy", again, she would kill me (even if I invoked Elizabeth Warren).
My mom worked too, because she wanted to. Good thing she did, because when my parents divorced she was able, financially, to transition to being on her own right away.
Single-income families can be a trap too... for the person who is not earning an income. About half of U.S. marriages end in divorce. A spouse with no independent financial base and no job of their own is not in a position to leave when they want to.
This stuff is really important to understand, so we don't go down a fruitless rabbit hole of wringing our collective hands about the decline of the traditional family culture or whatever. Taking that broad simple view of two-income households runs a very real risk of simply denying the agency of women who want to work and make their own way in the world... even if they are married with kids.
The US was settled by people leaving those old generations behind and moving west (be it from somewhere in Europe to the US or from somewhere in the US to somewhere less populated in the US) with their spouse and maybe young kids. You always had stay at home moms, because home was usually mom's workplace, often dad's too.
Multi-generational households in the US existed as the exception when early settlers brought their entire communities over or when first generation Americans moved West with their immigrant parents. Having multi-generational households was never the norm.
Also, it would be interesting to explore exactly how and why "protestant work ethic"-based communities and "multigenerational housing"-based communities became generally mutually exclusive, whether there is causation, or just a happenstance correlation.
That's something my wife & I have been discussing recently. She pointed out that traditional family structures have more slack built into them, which comes in handy in times of trouble. The problem is that in the modern Taylorist world we treat slack as waste. But it really isn't, any more than insurance is waste.
I understand the gist of what you mean, but I think you’re really pointing at the idea of the “nuclear family,” and the “two-income household,” both of which are post-war ideas. Specifically, Elizabeth Warren wrote an entire book about this “Two Income Trap,” how much more fragile it makes families, and why we should be working to get back to one-income being a reasonable option so that more people could choose it when their circumstances demanded it.
And there's the problem. I'd be totally comfortable if my future wife ended up being the financial supporter of the family. There's technical things I'd like to invest time and mental resources in that wouldn't necessarily make money, but would be fulfilling, and housework is already something I do a lot of and wouldn't mind being more responsible for if I wasn't spending 40+ at the office.
I can't imagine dumping my career whilst I'm the higher earner, but if she ends up making more than me (kinda likely actually, given some time), it might be the most sensible solution. Marriage should be a team activity where either partner is willing to take on whatever role is best for the family.
It must have been fulfilling to start out a young inexperienced women in your village and eventually become an influential matriarch, with knowledge in herbal medicine, nursing, textiles, pottery, basketry, child development, leadership, storytelling, etc.
Stay at home moms are always having get togethers, play dates, catching up for coffee, etc.
The more of your friends who are stay at home moms the easier it becomes to be a stay at home mom.
For a lot of people including women housework is actually boring and they would rather have a fulfilling career.
Perpetuating the idea that men should work outside and women should work inside really makes life really hard for men and women that don’t think that way.
For the vast vast majority of people there is no fulfillment in a career either.
> Perpetuating the idea that men should work outside and women should work inside really makes life really hard for men and women that don’t think that way.
I'm making an observation - I don't like it either.
I think the problem is cultural and genetic. After all, we have thousands of generations where men were molded for the breadwinner role. Lots of scholarly articles on that topic: https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=genetic+influence+on+br...
I’d love to send my wife out to work for the family.
In fact I’d love to get multiple wives and send them all out to work.
We've chosen hyper-specialization of our living areas. The places which are good for raising children are mostly horrible for careers and social life. The places where young people can get ahead and be social aren't as traditionally convenient for raising children (unless you have lots of money).
You pretty much have to pick where you live based on what phase of your life you're in, and I think for most people the expectation is still that once you get married you'll just move out to the 'burbs. Personally, I hate the idea, but I'm both not in a place in life where I'm too worried about children and also fortunate to work in an industry where its at least theoretically viable to afford to raise city kids and maintain a career.
My parents are getting ready to retire and thinking of moving to the mountains somewhere because being retired is no fun in a place where everything is optimized around children and everything is developed family-size. They won't be a support system where they are for my hypothetical kids anyways, and are eager to escape the suburb I grew up in as it has declined over the decades, so I wouldn't want to be there either.
Wrapping up that rant... quite simply, I insisted on moving away from where I grew up because there was nothing for me there and I wouldn't want my kids to grow up in that place. The fact that my parents still live there for now is mostly incidental. (But I also generally think suburbs are a worst-of-both-worlds kind of thing, none of the cohesive culture or community of a small town but also none of the variety, walk/bikeability, or cultural diversity of big cities, so my bias might be showing).
I guess it's already happening to some extent with Schengen and young talented engineers moving to job centers.
So we moved out to the burbs, where we could afford a starter home big enough for our two kids and a mother-in-law.
If you don't live in the larger metro areas, there aren't the same number of jobs paying good wages. So you move to where the jobs are, or at least where the jobs you want are. If you're a software developer you probably don't want to live in Ohio, and if you're a defense contractor you probably don't want to live in Wyoming.
Go west young man was not just a saying but part of America. Look at post WWII information on families moving to California for example.
That being said, multigenerational households were really common up until the postwar period, at which point the US really started pushing the standalone suburban nuclear family as a way to avoid another case of excess industrial capacity. It takes a lot of workers and goods to build all the highways, infrastructure, and houses to support a two-story house with a white picket fence and a car in the driveway.
Because over a several hundred year period a large fraction of the people in Europe who were willing to risk financial ruin for a chance at a better life wound up here and our culture reflects that.
What you experience is still quite common. Some of my siblings live 5 minutes from my parents and my nieces & nephews basically stay with their grandparents while their parents are working. A lot of my coworkers claim similar situations as well.
But this means that when your children decide to have children, they will have to move away. If they are lucky, they can buy a house near you; but if there are many people who want to live in the city, and the new houses are not built often, or at least not near you, then they will have to move further away from you. And this is still just talking about living in a city... I haven't mentioned proximity to job opportunities or schools yet.
My advice is to not over-tax yourself trying to do two things at once. It is very tiring both mentally and physically to switch back and forth too frequently.
Focus on your kids when they need your focus and reserve your strength for planned time that you can actually focus on work. Like during nap time or after bedtime.
Not always eight hours, sometimes school can be boring ;)
We found a good balance eventually but it was only possible through the circumstances of my wife's role and my ability to take leave.
Many many people are not in a position (negotiating power, financially) to do that which makes this extremely tough mentally and physically. If you have the ability (time, money) to help friends, family, neighbours, please consider doing so (those that need it will very much appreciate it).
This is being discussed from the well-off perspective of remote-capable jobs. The real pain is being felt by medical and other front-line workers. Gov. really need to look for options to support those in critical in-person jobs, starting with medical/fire/etc and then opening up to all essential jobs categories.
Also keep in mind, if both generations have kids at 30 (or even younger in a more traditional setting), grandparents are also still working age when the child is born.
Because the cost of living where their adult children are reflects the incomes of their adult children.
And as its a public school these are small class sizes
At the same time, we've forgone extra income by having her stay at home, so there's that too..
To get to the root of this...You are likely hinting that it is a choice to have kids. But it’s also necessary for society that people have children and take care of them.
Disclaimer: I don’t have kids but might one day.
> You are likely hinting that it is a choice to have kids.
I did not, and my view on having children is not relevant here.
I have a young child and, over the last 4 months, have probably spent less time than ever doing work for my employer.
At the same time, just by having the right idea/insight at the appropriate time, I've probably delivered more value to my employer in the last 2 months than ever before.
I think and hope that the outcome of all this in terms of my career will be a net positive. But I guess time will tell.
Not directly, but having fewer outside-work responsibilities always leaves more hours in the day to chase a promotion.
I am aware that this is an extremely unpopular opinion, but in my opinion one shouldn't have kids unless they have the means to dedicate sufficient time and attention to them. That is maybe once you can take 2 days a week off as a parent, or there's UBI or something like that.
Would avoid a lot of unhappy marriges, parents and children.
Of course, most people seek to 'leave something behind', even at the cost of unhappiness for all involved.
I am not sure exactly what a good solution would be, but maybe 40+ hours a week isn't a good deal anymore.
And? How do we know it's enough? Based on the number of unhappy, abusive households, certainly doesn't seem so.
My point is that parents should have the economic means to spend more time with their children if required, such as during a pandemic, while facing minimum stress and economic disruption.
When parents have to work full time and often barely be able to take care of their children, it leads to stress at home and directly impact the child.
Maybe working 40+ hours a week isn't a good deal anymore?
People that had sufficient time to dedicate to their children prior to the pandemic no longer do. It's not reasonable to suggest that all prospective parents should have forseen Covid-19.
I mean, you can, but I don't buy an unsupported argument that says that everyone "should" do it that way.
It's different in that you're not directly affecting the well being of people dependent on you by making that choice, apart of course from them being living beings.
> don't buy an unsupported argument that says that everyone "should" do it that way
Am not saying what anyone should be doing, you do you, just that I think many parents don't realize how much responsibility is it to have children and even if they do, the current way society is set up doesn't allow them to do their best, in most cases.
Can I infer that you think constant engagement with parents produces the best outcomes for children? Why do you think that?
I totally agree. But I'm not sure how you can use that to support your original statement.
> one shouldn't have kids unless they have the means to dedicate sufficient time and attention to them.
Do believe that no one in a deficient society should have kids whatsoever?
I could have all of the free time in the world, and childcare would still be better for the kid than entirely time at home.
That is not an argument I am making. That is a good way to beat a strawman.
My point is not that they shouldn't be in childcare at all, but that society should support such economic conditions that parents are allowed to spend more time with their kids without having to compromise their economic prospects and so that when they cannot send their children to childcare, say because of a pandemic, it is only a minor inconvenience, rather than a significant burden.
> Childcare isn't just "store children until I get off work", it's engagement. It's that child getting a variety of structured and unstructured time with educators and other kids.
That's the ideal. When you're well educated, have the means to pick up the best childcare for you kid you can find, have done the research, but there's lots of families for whom, yes, childcare is precisely just "store children until I get off work", not out of malice, but because their economic situation hardly allows them to think about it much.
I don't have kids, but I've always worried. How the hell can you afford them? Have plans for them all the time? Never be able to leave the house without them, etc etc etc. Whereas some folks go into things just knowing "it will work" or "they'll find a way". I've watched friends and relatives raise kids; they somehow always manage to find a sitter, or the grandparents step in, or whatever. There are daycare options, schools, etc (in normal times). These are things I don't account for. When I think of having kids I think of being 100% responsible for them all the time, so the actual situation in the pandemic more closely matches my fears than it matches the "old reality".
I think of it a lot like planning for retirement and not expecting social security, or a pension, or an inheritance. Planning for the worst case scenario, I guess, but that "worst case" always seems like reality -- and them I'm pleasantly surprised.
This whole pandemic situation has really opened up my wife's eyes re: my reasoning for insisting on working remotely.
I gather you're referring to Sioux Falls though.
Lovely place.
Glad you enjoyed it here, come back soon, there are some awesome reasons to visit :)
I agree that this decision was probably predicated on 1) no vaccine until next year and 2) schools may be largely closed so emphasis on helping employees with kids.
Just wondering if there is any other interesting data out there pointing to things persisting to be bad until Summer 2021.
I live alone(it seemed like a good idea at the time[pre-corona]). My family lives hundreds of miles away on a different land mass. At the weekends I can meet up with people and do activities, but everything I used to do midweek(e.g. swim training) is now shutdown indefinitely due to Coronavirus.
I am utterly miserable in Home Office. It means from weekend to weekend I have no human contact with anyone except my reflection in the mirror.
I have no idea what to do. If I demand to work from the office just so they I get the chance to occasionally chat to someone, it takes away valuable capacity from people that actually need it.
Here's how I'm coping:
1. Reactivated my introvert side with
a) Reading more books
b) Learning to play music
c) Online singing lessons
d) Exercising at home: i) Strength ii) Following through Supple Leopard (book)
2. Going outside once a day for a walk. No exceptions.3. Chill at the emptiest park on the weekend.
4. Going on a hike during on some weekends.
5. Small talk and saying Hi to random people on the street.
6. Cleaning the house
I started two weeks ago with #2 (a ~10 minutes walk in the morning) and it does seem to have a positive impact (more relaxed while working, less feeling of being "stuck at home").
Concerning #1a I started reading again some books that I already read in the past, but in a different language.
Additionally: cooking. I previouly used to cook just some veeery basic stuff but now I tend to experiment more and raise a little bit the difficulty level (e.g. Tom Kha Gai soup, fish cooked in the owen, etc...) => interesting, and it changes a bit your usual day, and it provides something about which you can talk to other people => nice (but dangerous - always have a plan B available, hehe)
Perhaps the original poster just found the right conditions for their extroversion to blossom.
It really makes me hurt to be stuck by myself for this long again. There's some net benefits to introversion (more time, mostly), but theyre minimal and don't increase much
Filed under yet another reason why Myers-Briggs sucks.
1. Ask yourself why do you have to be an extrovert. Several advantages come to mind: More connections, more confidence, better relationships, no stage fear, better small-talk, better dating life etc.
2. Understanding why you don't like being social/going outside. Write about it. Start from the first moment. Is it because of your parents? Did your siblings make fun of you for expressing your emotions/feelings? Is it your classmates in kindergarten/primary/secondary.. etc.
3. Now that you understand the cause, have hobbies that make you an extrovert. Covid examples: Online group lessons, hiking, walking in the park. Post/Pre-covid examples: Social dancing lessons, Meetup.com (weird crowd sometimes but hang in there), group lesson in any topic you're interested in, toastmasters, team sports. Think of something you always wanted to do.
Could you share how you're doing those online signing lessons? Is there a specific website, or did you find a personal teacher and get lessons via zoom/Skype? I'd be very interested in hearing about that.
A stationary bike or row machine or an aerobics video is a good home exercise (and can be done on video chat)
Isn't that a premature optimization? How do you know that's going to happen?
I rather enjoyed working from the office, it helped me timebox work and provided a break in between parts of the day.
What I started doing, is to go for 1-2 hour walks every day. At first just to get some physical activity and change of what I'm looking at all day, but later friends joined for a chat and I had a bunch of dates and work related meetings this way. Although it feels a bit silly in the beginning, it definitely helped a lot with loneliness.
Its definitely much harder to socialize while under physical distancing conditions, but it is possible, it just takes considerably more effort and imagination to come up with fun things to do.
On the human contact side, getting into massive multiplayer games might be interesting - there are a lot of interactions and cooperative play. Team sense of accomplishment and belonging do develop, which might help a bit with the sense of isolation.
Last but not least, we do video conferencing happy hours and drinks/game time with my team, which also takes the edge off.
Ultimately, this isolation has nothing to do with WFH, but rather with the pandemic.
I've settled for meeting my neighbor's pets.
Definitely such a big mental improvement, it's crazy
To the OP, I feel you! One thing I would say is that you can bet a lot of people are in your boat and people will invent new creative ways to connect.
Pools are one of the few things I'll miss, as they are truly communal. Even billionaires generally don't have private 25m+ pools (from what I've gather from those $50M real estate listing videos on youtube).
But I personally don't mind moving forward in society where your default friends or not defacto your colleagues.
As a parent I'm grateful for the flexibility to choose where I work until next summer, however it has become very clear to me that a large number of lower-income essential workers who are parents are currently facing a major childcare crisis because they have to return to work despite schools being closed.
This is really revealing underlying disparities in childcare access and the inequities in our education system. Given the immediacy and severity of this crisis, people in my community are trying to figure out if they can repurpose existing social service foundations, like school PTAs, to raise funds from more well off community members to support others who are in this sort of childcare bind.
But it's very hard going, not at the least because everyone is in their own personal logistical crisis and it's hard to think about others' childcare needs when you are trying to figure out your own.
It's tough that school districts and municipal gov are all on their own to plan things, and the lack of consistency makes it impossible to collaborate.
Education has been mostly unchanged over the last 100+ years, it's probably time to try some new ideas.
Why can't schools districts share the information in near real-time?
One group of approaches will be used by people with money who spend it on innovative small group supplemental learning/childcare pods via hired tutors.
The other group of approaches will those used by those with very limited means scraping together whatever childcare they can afford with little ability to tend to academics or social development.
Which group of approaches would you want your child in?
Worth noting that, at least in California, a decision was made to allocate funding to schools based on last years enrollment numbers, rather than this upcoming school year's numbers.
One major implication is that charter schools that are more prepared to help parents deal with schooling at home will not receive increased funding to help with the massive increase in enrollment applications these schools have received.
Very often these are people who are highly educated themselves, having college degrees or are self-taught and whose work is intellectual or creative/technical in its nature. It's not a solution for people or communities who don't have those built-in advantages.
You can't expect low paid essential workers (grocery store clerks, janitors, etc) - people who have no higher education and even limited primary education but on whose labor we are all heavily dependent - to form home-school "pods" that provide anything like what their children had access to in their school. Doing so would be (and by all accounts currently is) exacerbating the inequities already present.
The public school teacher to a less educationally resourced community is much like rural schoolhouse teacher of the past was to theirs. Those teachers were often the only person in the community with any higher education at all. The parents within rural community weren't resourced to teach their children the basic skills needed to operate in an ever more sophisticated world, which is why they often imported a schoolteacher from a nearby city or town.
That said, even a lot of parents with higher education struggle to help their kids with subjects that they haven't considered since their own primary schooling, like algebra or critical reading and writing.
Providing funding for childcare services (from public school budgets) would also be a good idea, but if we are going to have large-scale child-care services, why not just re-open schools? If the point of closing public schools is to minimize the amount of social contact in order to keep the spread of the disease low, then it necessarily means more parents will need to care for their children at home. Homeschool pods and charter schools make this process less of a pain.
Btw, not all homeschooling families are well-educated. Many do it for religious reasons, or because they have concerns about the safety of the school environment, or because they have a child with special needs that aren't accommodated by the public school system. Charter schools that facilitate homeschooling have teachers who are resources for the parents and a variety of pre-packaged curricula that parents can choose from.
Agree 100%
> Providing funding for childcare services (from public school budgets) would also be a good idea
There is no money in public school budgets for this. The pandemic hasn't lowered expenses for public schools by any appreciable amount.
> but if we are going to have large-scale child-care services, why not just re-open schools? If the point of closing public schools is to minimize the amount of social contact in order to keep the spread of the disease low, then it necessarily means more parents will need to care for their children at home.
The idea is to provide financial assistance to help low income parents pay for child care when they must leave the home for work, and do so in smaller pods to minimize disease transmission. Parents with high incomes and/or high work flexibility or work from home jobs are already forming these pods and hiring college students as childcare/tutors. Poor families with inflexible work are not able to do this.
These pods are a net increase in cost, since the safety and care function was previously provided by the school facilities and staff has been lost. As you say, it's making the best of a bad situation. The problem is that only people with particular privileges either in job flexibility or income can afford to make the best in the situation.
> Btw, not all homeschooling families are well-educated. Many do it for religious reasons,
I'd argue that from a literacy perspective, a religious home schooling family is better educated than many others even if they don't have secular credentials. The Bible isn't that easy to read, after all.
COVID tragically exaberates inequities in basically all systems.
If you compare it to WWII or WWI, those wars were obviously awful, but they had a sort of equalizing effect economically. When you drop bombs on cities and factories, the rich — who own all of that physical infrastructure — get harmed more than the poor. Physical wars destroy capital, so they tend to reduce economic inequality.
But this pandemic is the exact opposite. It leaves every physical object untouched and only harms people. And, as has always been the case, it is the poor who always end up in harm's way. So this pandemic is making the poor drastically poorer while leaving the well to-do mostly alone.
It is horrible and profoundly unfair. This is exactly the time where you need a big government that is not afraid to do wealth redistribution to even some of this tragedy out. But, instead, here in the US we have Trump and the kleptocracy who are only interested in redistributing wealth into their own pockets.
If we don't get a better government in 2020, the US is going to be in very dire straits. We need an FDR right now, and not to re-elect Hoover.
Because I live in a middle-class bubble, I wonder what most of those folks do ordinarily while school is out for the summer.
Additionally, staying in the same place all day cuts out hundreds/thousands of opportunities (over a year) to meet people.
I disagree with people pushing for WFH to become the norm. As convenient as it is, I think it is a net negative to society/our social fabric. IMO, life is already too convenient. That being said, it may be possible for local (neighborhood/town) culture to bloom. It will be challenging in our hyper-political, 'can find people who agree with me anywhere in the world' environment.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third_place
There was an HN post with great discussion that I cannot find about the wiki article. Third place's were already in decline in the USA.
Lastly: This has been posted many times, but many of the employers costs could be transferred to the employee in a WFH environment.
EDIT: I should add, I've been working from home for > 5 years and live in a big city. I've watched my self discipline decline over the years (or maybe that's due to getting older, or being too comfortable). It's been very difficult to build a social network of friends.
I'm also an introvert and live alone, so I guess I don't have much to offer on this topic. all I can say is that setting these sorts of boundaries is something we already expect from college students, who conduct pretty much their entire life (work, sleep, socializing) on a fairly small patch of earth. in college, it's very tempting to let social time bleed into "work time" or (for some) to let work strangle their social life out of existence. but to graduate college at all proves that you have at least some ability to manage work/life balance without the aid of strong physical boundaries.
as far as third places go, I would expect WFH to be a major boon if it weren't happening in the midst of social distancing. I feel like I have much more energy to go out and do stuff after a day of working from home than I normally would after my thirty minute commute.
It's kind of shocking how many years I could've been forced to spend in the office away from what's important. Cats have short enough lives as it is! And I only get this one with my wife :)
Due to this, boundaries are pretty easy. I just use a planner & make sure I stay on task. I fit it in whenever and just hit requirements for the week. Get paid & spend the majority of life on things that directly benefit me. Highly recommended.
Hourly tech workers, or those who have to be available 9-5 anyway, don't have this luxury.
I agree with the parent that WFH does have a lot of long-term potential downsides/changes for society.
I have a salaried job as a BigCo (not a FAANG or even a tech company) - If I were to work hourly (say, consulting/contracting) I don't think it would be too different. Pay would be more sporadic but also work requirements would be more in my control so it just trades off. Eventually I'll probably drop the BigCo job and get paid less but on my own terms as my finances allow.
I agree I'm in a position that allows for this. I had to get through school and cut my teeth in industry before I could get a position like this. But I knew I wanted it & pounced on the first company that would remotely hire junior me despite my lack of remote experience. Pretty much every career choice I've made was guided towards working remotely like this.
Pre-covid it was so trivial to find gatherings for shared interests (meetups, clubs, tournaments, rec sports, art walks, classes) that I think society would be fine if you stopped forcing people to associate with others that get paid by the same corporation. All the things I listed are a bigger signal of shared interests.
Let me know if you find the HN article on the decline
I've seen the idea that cost is pushed from employer to employee. But I'd argue this is actually a mutually beneficial cost savings.
I don't have to drive. I can get cheaper car insurance. If I was completely remote I could honestly get rid of one of my two cars (wife and me).
I can look into tax benefits such as deducting part of the house as an office if it's not single purpose.
I do experience more usage on my house. I do have to work in a non-optimal area (in my case a shed), but if I value my time more I also save 1-1.5 hours a day.
That was all cost I was paying. So it's a mutually shared cost exchange.
Also many companies have had to quickly invest heavily in their VPNs and other remote technologies, while still being stuck in a lease for large offices which may even be required (by law) to be cooled although there is only one or two people there.
It's fair to say that this change has had pros/cons for many people. Some heavily weighed towards one side or the other. This goes for companies too. Non-tech companies who have done business the same way since the age of remote are HURTING. Sales are down, they don't know how to sell when their people can't hop on a jet and go talk to clients in person. Etc.
That long rant was me saying, I don't think we can simply say, companies have pushed the costs down to employees. I've seen a ton of benefit from my company being remote full time right now. Whereas I know other people who's companies are not in lock down and are forcing employees back to the office with little to no appropriate social distancing in place.
Weighing all of those pros and cons I'm so happy to be at a company which is understanding enough to let me WFH until my kids can go back to school (not google but similar policy).
The main downside of WFH, especially for introverts, and which I don't think is being noticed yet, is the workplace social network / face-to-face bandwidth. The former has been established through working at the office until this March, and we are now coasting on those connections. Who to ask for help with X, which people to get together to socialize a project, etc. I would hate to be a new hire in this environment; there is so much less social contact and less rapport building.
Then, there are instances of when you need to tackle a hard problem with several people in a group, and focus. Usually we would do this in a closed conference room with a whiteboard. The f2f bandwidth is hard to match here.
For the above two reasons I think companies that restart office work (even if a year from now) will be more competitive, and the "WFH Spring" won't last.
In my opinion it's great. Often times our coworkers are people we're forced to socialize with because we don't really have a choice. Working from home brings that choice back, but it does mean that there's some groundwork to lay down.
As an embedded hardware engineer, I've been coming in to the office on an "as necessary" basis. Reading between the lines, I'm rolling my eyes. 99% of what I do can be done at home with the equipment I have, yet our business unit has been the one R&D group expected to have butts-in-seats the whole "shutdown" due to being an "essential" (i.e. medical devices) business.
Hearing all of these tech companies taking the pandemic seriously is giving me some serious grass-is-always-greener feelings.
Equipment is not to leave the lab, but we are encouraged to set things up to allow as much to happen remotely as possible. So I've got remote power, remote debug probes, a brace of EM100 QSPI emulators, etc. The net result is that unless I need to physically change the cabling on something I can work from home. I work on data center hardware which makes this pretty practical. I don't know how folks on the consumer side of things are faring.
They are serious about not having people come in unless they need to be there for there work (e.g. actual design and testing).
If you need a lab, you are allowed to use it with approval from your VP. If you don't, you WFH.
Their labs are open but at 1/2 capacity for social distancing, so they have to trade off who gets to be in them (and have to wear masks the whole time, temp checks, etc.)
Their deadlines haven't changed, and their counterparts in Asia are working normal hours, so they have to work seven days a week just to try to keep up since the lab is producing 1/2 the work it normally does.
Bingo. Global competition and productivity will likely be the larger factor than our (in)ability to balance work-life. I feel this pressure more so managing a remote distributed team around the world, even though we're software-only.
Reality is if people did start coming back to office that could easily get reversed in a few months.
So again I like the idea of kicking the problem down the road given what we know today.
Which effectively means instead of 4-8 hours of Zoom meetings at his house, he can take them sitting at his desk in the building, while the other 50% sit at home.
Not sure how well that is going to work out. This is an old school Financial company though, so it's not overly surprising.
Then administration caught wind we were 14% off on students.
Two days later - mandatory, everyone back in the office, no remote work to be allowed, for any reason.
It's depressing, and I have no other reason to type this out, other than to complain, I guess. 99% of my, and the folks in my office's jobs can be done, effectively, remotely. But that's not an option. Just ridiculous.
Faculty are given the choice on whether to teach in-person, remote, or a hybrid.
It's the staff that aren't given a choice, and also aren't given an avenue to deal with concerns or questions.
So, the answer is, if there is spread on campus, the faculty will be told to go online, and staff will be told "you're safe, because there are no students now", much as we are being told today, in the current summer semester.
To quote the President from his most recent update for staff about enrollment, "Please join me in being part of the solutions to the many challenges we face now and in the very near future and refrain from the negativity and participation of those wanting to be part of the problem. That individual choice is yours. Please make it wisely."
What does 14% off on students mean? 14% fewer students registering for classes?
I probably wouldn't make it as a telemarketer.
At the current virus levels, it is expected that at least two teachers and 60 students will die every day in the USA if we reopen schools.
That is of course out of hundreds of thousands of teachers and millions of students, but if it's your teacher or your friend, it doesn't really matter how many millions didn't die that day, does it?
People keep saying "a few more months." What is the evidence for this? We are not going to have a vaccine developed, tested, and deployed to 300 million people in a few months. Nor are we going to grow Asia-level mask compliance, quarantine enforcement, and contact tracing within the Trump presidency. Now that it's a tribal issue, it probably can't be done at all.
It really seems like we're in this for a few years.
Also, at least right where I live in Santa Clara county, we're almost at the point of reopening again. I see 99.9%+ mask compliance here, and the numbers are trending down (albeit slowly).
I suspect based on the Governor's new policies that my kids will be back in school before Thanksgiving, until things get bad again and the have to leave again.
There is no timeframe for getting the virus levels under wraps. It's a matter of determining what the risk is.
I'd put it like this for myself, if the risk to the students and teachers is MORE than some already known risk factors we have out there (driving) then let's not do it.
If the risk to students and teachers is similar or less than some already known risk factors then we can consider opening.
I'd also like to see a plan of something like (not exactly this I'm no expert).
If someone from a class is confirmed with COVIDthe whole class closes for 2 weeks (goes remote). If there are 3 cases at the school they close for 2 weeks. If there are 3 schools in the district and there's less than XYZ miles then the district closes for 2 weeks.
This is a rough idea but we can easily handle 2-4 weeks off at a time given a case of COVID. So if we're opening lets be cautious and imitate other countries who have done well.
Also, where did you get those numbers from? I would have expected teachers to be at far higher risk of death than students.
Many fewer, especially given that for students it usually involves walking or short drives through residential neighborhoods.
> Should we WFH forever and wrap the kids in bubble wrap to avoid that trauma too?
Obviously not. There is clearly a point where it makes sense to go back. But now isn't that time.
> Also, where did you get those numbers from? I would have expected teachers to be at far higher risk of death than students.
It's based on the CDC mortality data combined with the number of school kids.
The teacher estimate is harder because we don't know exactly the age breakdown of the teachers, but it's based on the assumption that 30% of teachers are over 50 and putting the rest in the 20-30 risk group, which is probably too low.
The actual number of teachers is lower just because there are only about 1 teacher per 30 students.
My broader point, though, is that life requires calculated risk and tradeoffs. If the standard is "no child should ever experience a teacher dying from corona", and we WFH until that risk becomes <1/adult/year, then we're disregarding things like kids committing suicide due to isolation, health issues left untreated due to the pandemic, domestic violence etc. School is a literal lifeline for many children, particularly those from disadvantaged backgrounds.
Overall it has left a very sour taste in my mouth, it almost feels as if we will be called in office the moment gov removes restrictions. It also tells me my company doesn't want us making any medium term plans. In another words, we are expendable.
I mean, really, a lot of Bay Area people would probably end up with MORE living space in a mobile home.
Either that, or maybe I should just be trying to move to New Zealand.
You should do more research if this is an option you're seriously considering.
Google arguably pioneered the model of "office will have everything you need" to incentive current employees to come to the office as well as lure new recruits. It's been a win-win for the company and the employees: Google gets focus/dedication and the synergies of colocation, whereas employees can enjoy the many onsite perks.
One major irony is that for a company that sells products that facilitate and enable WFH, such as the GSuite, it's actually not very open to allowing its employees to WFH. Covid19 has seemingly forced the company to change, or at least adapt in the short term.
But what happens in 2-3 years? As tech employees everywhere are used to WFH, Google probably needs to de-emphasize the onsite requirement aspect and consequently change their culture/workplace model.
No, that was company towns, which are frontier era.
'We provide everything you need' is also a good way to run a cult. The cost of leaving is that you lose everything, including friends and family.
Right now Google can't get your whole family working at the company so they don't have quite the lock on people that they could.
Now we have confirmation that remote work is basically all fine, except we can’t take real advantage of it because there‘s no reason to think it will continue to be possible in the future.
I appreciate that companies are offering flexibility, but it would definitely be better if there was more thinking being done about the long-term restructuring of work.
There is. Your partner has information on that internally. It's a big decision for a company of 120,000+ full time employees across 150 countries so it will take time to figure out a permanent plan going forward.
Personally, I think it's because of Google's focus on collaboration at all costs internally, which just isn't possible if everyone is working remote. IMs and Meets can only get you so far, but there's no substitute for overhearing a co-worker chatting about something or popping over next to them for a moment to see what they're working on.
I'm enjoying being back home, especially since "home" is in a country that has their shit together a lot more than the US does right now. That means I can go to the gym, visit parks, and have a basically normal social life. I do miss my friends in the (US) city I normally work in.
If my employer forcibly recalls everyone to the office, I might decide to take a slightly lower-paid job in my home city, especially if the US is still inundated with COVID cases.
On the other hand, I think the large majority of people want to go back to the office (once it is safe to do so)
Anecdotally, a significant number of my colleagues hope to be able to remote forever. Some are looking at finally realizing their dreams of buying a nice home; a third of the price as it'd cost in the city.
I don’t know what the exact numbers would be aggregated across the entire population, but from comparing surveys across my own office and several other large companies I think there are two large minority positions (want to WFH forever / want back in office) and a third slice of undecideds.
* 20% want to go back to the office
* 30% want to WFH forever
* 50% want the flexibility to WFH 2-3 days a week
Post-pademic, we've figured out and fixed a lot of the tech and culture issues years faster than we would have otherwise and I'm suddenly much more comfortable staying remote indefinitely.
I'd be curious to know if my own change of heart is unique.
The western part of the state is where most of the picturesque landscape is, and there were a lot of expensive developments in the area and on the Idaho side of the border from us too.
Rents are still the same but with 1-2 months free deal (which translates to around a few hundred dollars per month down from pre-covid).
Artificially only in the sense that most people who would have been selling their house right now are cancelling their plans due to the pandemic, not some sort of organized conspiracy.
Not discrediting the amount of skills available on the US East coast but why wouldn't FAANG try to source new remote employees elsewhere in the US?
I think location will factor more into salary discussions moving foward, but it's not like there are a ton of software devs in South Dakota ready to take the jobs of the SV folks.
Yet.
That's the point. They're in places like SV, because they're required to be, right now. If remote work really takes hold, and folks can move to places like South Dakota, I bet that changes. That's the entire point. Right now there aren't folks out there, but there will be in the next 1-3 years, I imagine.
I say 'northern' rural area, just because I've never lived in a rural area in the south of the US.
It's more that I'd prefer to support schools and social programs, and have those open to me as best as possible, than get away from it all. I've been in a spot where if it wasn't for the ACA I'd be dead (specifically extension of parents insurance until child is 26) and if I didn't have strong local schools growing up I probably wouldn't have gone far. We do better when we work together and pool resources for all, including the next generation. It's hard for me to be a part of that by moving somewhere rural.
And I can't bring myself to move to a red state unless it's flipping purple and willing to basically pull a Virginia. The social rights differences between colors is serious and unfortunate.
There are tons of software developers in Canada though.
Edit. I have two small kids and child care has been the bane of my existence since March. This (and flex time) has definitely helped my families situation. I'm grateful for the luxury and I'm deeply concerned for everyone who is in this situation without this flexibility (friends and family included).
/Googler living in a middle state, thoughts my own.
The sole exception, however, that it can sort of work if everyone else is also remote.
Its easy for key features to be lost - and a lot of time and $ to be wasted.
I wont mention any names but I found out today that our team should have been on a call about a major website rebuild - I have a suspicion that some key areas have been missed.
Does no one have a project management/coordination role for your team? It's literally their job to make sure this doesn't happen.
And because "remote' is such an incredible afterthought, co-dev production is harmed immensely as a kind of collateral damage.
I have worked in companies that did this right, we had offices in NYC/London/Bangkok and we did everything over RT tickets+IRC, mostly because it was incredibly frictionless (yes, I know IRC and RT are not the best tools in the world, but once they were set up and everyone was in people preferred using them to taking in person meetings).
Contrast with today: we have teams in Sweden, UK, North Carolina, San Francisco and Helsinki- and we use Jira/Teams/Confluence as our "tools".... but they're so /slow/ that we have to be dragged through the coals to use them, we much prefer in-person meetings, we much prefer hashing things out over a coffee.. and thus, our co-dev is very much out of the loop, and it's "odd" (as in, not default) to include them. So what happens is we carve out bits of responsibility and we restrict immensely the communication channels.. in fact some peoples entire job is to ensure those communication channels run smoothly.. and it's still very many shades of terrible.
I want to blame the tools, but really, it's the culture, if you're more comfortable engaging over IM/Tickets w/e then it doesn't matter if you're sitting 10ft away or 100mi away.
For the start-up I worked at, everyone around the world was working on the same APIs. Issues and priorities were just bubbled up via chat.
The larger company I work for now is more difficult because more people = more questions that need to be resolved via video chats. We have a PM that talks with the people on the other side of the world and also a "team liaison" on the east coast that hops in their planning meetings, and communicates with us if there are any issues we need to be aware of. The project we're working on is being completed by three separate teams, all in different parts of the world.
The smaller team I am on has people all over the US and Canada. That itself hasn't been much of an issue. Prior to COVID, we would have the occasional fly-in to San Francisco so we could do team stuff in person, go out for happy hour, etc.
The most complaints I've seen where lack of communication within team members which contributes to siloing, but that is more of an issue with how many services our team has assigned to it and less to do with having team members working remotely (although it does contribute).
(Genuinely asking) what makes you think that way? From what I have seen, remote works only if everyone on the team is remote and timezone differences are somehow taken care of. If you are the only remote member of the team and everyone else is in office in close proximity of each other, you are going to suffer mainly in terms of career growth.
Here are the things remote members miss out on when a lot of team members are in office: water cooler conversations (great to forge bond and trust), quick one-minute clarifications, grabbing a minute from your super busy bosses (when they are walking from one meeting to another), grokking and perceiving things that are not said during in-person 1:1's (important for managers or leads to understand the issues of their team members) etc. If you are missing out on all this while the rest of your team members have these advantages, guess who is going to be more productive in the long run?
I think this needs to be talked about more with an eye towards reducing the amount people must work.
I guess you could say I'm offering a "premium product" either way and be right, but my original point stands. I don't need to be giving 100% to get that money. And the longer I'm at a job, the more I can understand the effort bar I need to meet and influence it downward.
Caring about hours worked is for bad managers, plain and simple. The biggest reason to not work in the office is that it's easier to avoid these bottom-of-the-barrel, butts-in-seats leaders. With them out of the way, you're free to tune your output in such a way that keeps your employer happy while also freeing up your life.
If you're under-loaded, then a good manager can shift the balance around the team. Maybe someone else is over-loaded. If the whole team is under-loaded, then maybe the team can deliver more features. Maybe its a good time to pay down some of last year's technical debt. Maybe its a good time to take a bet on a higher-risk research project.
My peak throughput isn't necessarily there for the company's taking. I guard it as my greatest secret. My manager only gets 2 signals from me regarding load: It's good..or I'm overloaded. Never the truth when I'm underloaded if everyone's happy - that would just be harming myself for some company's benefit.
Full-remote companies like GitLab seem to have an effective remote-work culture, while others seem to be struggling to convert their existing processes and communication avenues to remote. On the other hand, I dramatically prefer working from an office, while several of my coworkers prefer working from home.
I'd rather get a job at 80% productivity and have control of my time instead of maximize productivity & spend more time solely focused on work than sleeping.
If you or your company can't handle it then the problem is with you or your company, not working remotely.
It's better to correct the bad behavior than to kick it down the river.
All the layoff horror aside, it was glorious working there for a while before they started renting the unused space.
The executive bathrooms were real treat. it was always quiet, every common space was sort of a private lounge.
I wonder if folks in the office are having the same experience.
Those of us approaching 60 haven't, either. Arguably the Cold War, but unless I happened to watch The Day After recently, I never gave that much thought.
PS: Typing this wondering when the corona phases out.
- The current population density of urban and suburban areas, is prone to pandemic scale events. However, density is great for a lot of reasons and this trend will continue.
- The latency and throughput of travel being so good, is prone to pandemic scale events. However, current travel is great for a lot of reasons and improving latency and throughput will continue.
- Bio-engineering advancing quickly, will be prone to cause pandemic scale events. However, we need to advance this domain for better medical treatments.
With these points above, the next large-scale, remote-work event is guaranteed, the only question is when.
Keep in mind (from a for-profit corporation perspective):
- They value stable productivity rather than productivity peaks and throughs.
- Land, buildings and infrastructure are 15% of employee costs.
- Pandemics are not the only form of churn requiring remote work, so are natural and unnatural disasters, etc.
- Reacting to the event, will always lag the event. Creating a vaccine or cleaning up a fire / flood / earthquake will require a few months at the least, everytime.
As a company making a decision today:
- If the employees working remotely have less than 15% productivity loss (but the company pays 15% less for real-estate), then remote-work is viable today. Like with Google, et-al.
- If the employees working remotely have a noticeable (i.e. 15% or more) productivity loss, then remote-work is not a viable option. However, maybe the increased stability is worthwhile for the company, and remote-work will be deemed viable.
In either case, it seems like a no-brainier to start investing into tooling to support automation or remote-work with increased productivity (Slack, Oculus, remote controlled robots, etc). While the word "covid" will phase out, the mentality of remote-work and hyper-hygiene (e.g. masks and hand sanitizers) will only accelerate.
This is similar to the change of era where "parents allowed the kids to play outdoors, unsupervised", these eras are sadly over.
It’s more about convenience than the cost.
The only way to place gyms, makerspaces, and all the other fancy amenities right next to everyone's house would be to have very dense "techie towns" where the population (would have to he at the very least hundreds, better thousands) are all roughly like-minded, and even then you'd have issues with access control and trust (which requires a lot less friction inside a company, where too-far-out-of-bounds behavior is kept in check by the implied collateral of your high-paying job).
Don't you think "access to high quality food anytime they want for their whole family" (ideally through appropriate pay) be a minimum bar before they consider themselves, or we consider them, even close to "blessed"?
That's being said, I don't work for Google, but the guarantee that I'd be able to move some place cheaper for a year would make these expenses easier to swallow.
But if these things last longtime or become permanent, I think people will start reconsider where they live. For instance, we could need an extra room for a proper office.
The primary motivator isn't to save a few bucks.
But also, it's going to save them a lot of cash. Those amenities are incredibly expensive. So much so that the IRS has probed around as to whether they're properly taxed at a compensation level commensurate with their value.
I recall 20 years ago a large UK company wanted to offer free tea and coffee as a perk.
And avoid also to avoid every group having its own coffee/tea club - which lead to messy looking offices and also incidents when some ones decides to take Wally" to task for not contributing.
Basically HMRC said oh that's nice here's the tax bill so that was the end of that.
Ironically it bit the HMRC in the ass as the CFO used the ability to distribute profit based tax free shares as a big F&% you.
0700-1600 only for me (almost four years 100% WFH).
I am an employee, and I am not at work 24/7.
There are major cons to WFH - less collaboration, impact on productivity. I don't think Google cares enough about the 'cost savings' aspect of it, if it has any impact on productivity.
- A good chunk of the FAANG workers are young immigrants, which means they cannot move back to their parents’. Whereas most of their American counterparts can do this if they choose to and enjoy multiple benefits from rent savings to moral support of having a community.
- A good majority of the workers are single young adults. Multiyear shutdowns including the office space will make couplings suffer. It is already harder for immigrants to find partners (e.g. large intercultural gaps) but this not only amplifies the current isolation but also delays people’s life goals significantly.
- A good portion of the workforce don’t have enough savings for a downpayment and usually live in HCOL locations, which means they are renting smallish apartments. When the primary locale is home, it makes a huge difference what that home is like. Be it sufficient noise isolation from neighbors, to having space for exercise / hobbies (even more important where gyms and other entertainment venues are closed), a dedicated office, a yard to get some sunshine and fresh air.
I forsee mental health of these demographics taking an extra hit that will ripple for the next several years, even decades.
This and the related issue of school closure,
are necessitated only because in this country we were incapable of embracing, or even in any meaningful way, articulating, the necessary and obvious solution to this pandemic: • support individuals and businesses 100%, while • developing effective test, trace, treat, and control
There is no mystery here. The examples of successful variants are everywhere: literally, everywhere else in the first and some of the second world.
The arguments for UBI, single payer, and not least, the eradication of right-wing indoctrination networks which cultivate a meaningful subset of the populace to be uninformed, uninformable tribal victimhood-rage-junkies divorced from consensus reality and hostile to science, have never been more stark.
Yet nowhere are these self-evident truths being articulated, debated, trumpeted, defended, forced.
Every vehicle which the right habitually paints as "left" liberal or biases that I follow,
is so laughably mealy-mouthed, equivocating, both-siding, and self-constrained in its framing, let alone advocacy, as to provoke nihlistic despair.
The question is not why Google is resigning itself to WFH.
The question is not why employees must now form micro-schooling pods out of pocket.
The question is why there are not pitchforks and torches forcing the obvious basic systemic change in this country necessary to bring us in-line with every other functional variant of 21st c. intelligent capitalism.
We have been committed by short-sighted billionaires who backed social tribalism as a tactic to wealth consolidation,
to a path of total cultural and political self-destruction.
So f--king tiresome and so, so, so unnecessary.
And if even more people return, the habits like remembering to make meetings accessible to people who aren't physically present will fade. Not that meetings were particularly accessible, even in many tech industry companies, before. Conference room audio equipment is quite bad in a lot of places.
Possible seems to me to mean if almost all people in a company, group, or department are working remotely, if working remotely isn't seen as a career impediment (or working in the office isn't viewed as more of a boost than working remotely would take away from), and if people can still participate in groups, then perhaps.
What I figure we will see is a hybrid, where people are in the office a day or two per week and at home the rest of the time. That still means you have to be within commuting distance of an office and still have to make child care and other appointment arrangements.
Prior to this, everyone had unrealistic "fall 2020", then pushed to "January 2021".
This still assumes a vaccine and production of the vaccine will be finished in under a year.
A more realistic estimate seems to be 2022.
I don't understand why this is so hard, you can look at pandemic physics to know that Coronavirus is not going anywhere. And you can look at previous vaccine and medical production to understand how long it takes to make hundreds of millions or billions of vaccines.
Are most people willfully ignorant?