Dam built by robots? Japan's Obayashi tests it out
asia.nikkei.com
asia.nikkei.com
That's intriguing and reminded me of the following Perlis quote -
> The only constructive theory connecting neuroscience and psychology will arise from the study of software.
Anyone who actually believes this has a poor understanding of computers, humans, or both.
We know far more about programs than about biology, but the gap between software and neuroscience is huge and we probably don't know as much about software as we think we do, either.
Code can be studied and improved gradually. Since it guarantees repeatable results, you can try tweaking parameters and measuring the outcome, to achieve even better result. It's a bit like taking the highest-skilled workers, merging their knowledge, and extending their lifespan indefinitely so that they can continuously improve.
The only disadvantage I can see is that you're skewing the playing field in favor of those who have access to the most data, and by reducing the workforce size, make it difficult for someone else to obtain the same data.
At the end, a skilled worker can leave a company and make its own, or join a rival one. An algorithm can't do that, further entrenching a select few companies'positions, thus locking knowledge away from humankind. Companies probably contribute to the loss of information over time (see lost knowledge: Roman cement, massive bronze castings, etc), as free-flowing information is against their interests, in most cases.
I agree with what else you said, but I see much of the opposite process in corporations actually. I have worked in a couple of very large corporations and what I have seen is less of information hiding (and "not invented here") and more of cooperation through partnerships, open source software and standardisation of processes.
Once you start training algorithms instead of people, though, you attach that knowledge to the company, and it may not leave. In my experience, open source software and standards are the exception rather than the norm.
I'd like to add a little context around the quote [0], because I do think it makes another issue very apparent:
> Building a dam requires knowledge and skill developed through years of experience. Obayashi's automated system is expected to be a game-changer in dam construction, as well as in other applications.
> "By transferring expert techniques to machines, we're able to analyze what was once implicit knowledge," said Akira Naito, head of Obayashi's dam technology unit.
> Every process for constructing the 334-meter-wide dam will involve some form of automation. That includes the initial work of establishing the foundation, and pouring concrete to form the body.
Implicit knowledge here refers to dam builders' workmanship and experience. It is an empirically constructed knowledge which is "stored" in the worksman's mind as instincts, concepts, know-how... While these may "be analyzed" and re-used for automation purposes, I have very strong doubts whether such implicit knowledge may even be truly understood and translated (be it in code or any other media) if there is such a precise goal. Specifically because the knowledge is implicit and applies situationally, one may never be able to grasp it all without some kind of very complex knowledge transfer set-up that could cover a broad range of situations, allowing all of the patterns to emerge and be identified.
Enough knowledge may be gathered that a company could successfully apply it to dam building by machines. But as automation replaces dam builders, chances are that the portion of the extracted knowledge which is not necessary to the company will join the expertise which did not transfer from the workmans' minds to the company to lay forever in the land of lost knowledge (...until it is found again through experience).
The rest will most likely be preserved "forever" through more or less obscure patents and "hard", explicit knowledge in the company's hands.
[0] https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Engineering-Construction/Da...
A while ago there was an article on HN on how Sony automated most of PS4's manufacturing and made the production extremely efficient. It's almost like the continuation of Japanese craftsmanship in robot form. It's beautiful and really illustrates how the Japanese tradition is transferred to modern machinery.
One example is bullet trains - my most favorite form of transportation but sadly only few countries can adopt it with success similar to Japan.
Second is Osaifu-Ketai - I think this the best NFC based payment system in the world, extremely fast and almost no learning curve. But it took way too long to modernize it and put it inside smartphones. Is very inflexible. Licensing is too expensive so won't be ever globally opted, so we ended up with much inferior QR codes and slow NFC systems.
> Japanese craftsmanship in robot form
you mean Asimo 'I have full diaper' pre programmed non closed loop/inverse kinematics walk?
Excellent - integrate high technology and make it cool - all kinds of nice second-order effects
That is true for every country on the planet.
One of my friends born there did his undergrad and masters in aerospace engineering in the US as there's a lot more programs and jobs here. When he went back due to family obligations he discovered he wouldn't be able to get a job beyond translating manuals. He's been told over and over again that if he had to leave Japan for school then clearly something must be wrong with him. So besides the undercurrent of racism, similar problems are found by native born citizens that don't conform to these expectations.
The more we have immigrants stocking supermarket shelves and constructing infrastructure the more we can focus our high end R&D on things like biotech, medicine, space, and the like. That’s economics; comparative advantage is real.
If Japan can automate many of these things they will end up being leagues ahead of those who solved it with immigration and will end up selling the solutions to the rest of the world.
China alone could absorb all that workforce and still have room for more given that their fertility rate has been below replacement for close to 30 years now.
It will be very interesting to see how that affects both China and the world...
Countries relying on immigration are going to get strangled and fall behind those that found ways to continue to develop themselves.
I wanted to double check so I googled it and found this, looks like there’s new visas for things like construction: https://www.mofa.go.jp/files/000459527.pdf