This doesn't really mesh with the situation on the ground.
I think it does: https://aatishb.com/covidtrends/?scale=linear&trendline=fals...
I think it does: https://aatishb.com/covidtrends/?scale=linear&trendline=fals...
As of yesterday's report[2], dorm cases account for 45,260 of the 48,035 total cases. Incidence in the ex-dorm population is only 0.04%, and fewer than half of those have unknown chains of transmission.
1. Which is, admittedly, a separate issue in and of itself.