Windows Phone 7 to eclipse iPhone in 2015 - IDC forecast

Seriously? Trying to predict a tech trend that is 4 years out?

There were stat predictions from a firm called Ovum last week with similar numbers. WinPho7 was only slightly behind iOS rather than a little ahead. Oh, and that would be in 2016. Strangely those were headlined as being good news for Android, whereas people seem to have clicked that the big deal here is the prediction for Microsofts success.

Great minds think alike? Or do these companies sell their services as self-fulfilling prophets? I mean Micrsoft could throw billions at this market, but even then I think these estimates overstate Microsoft at Android's expense. Both show the market as effectively static beyond the Nokia->Microsoft transition when the last few years have been hectic.

IDC/Gartner and S&P/Moodys should be required to invest based on their projections. I imagine the amount of fluff coming out would drop significantly.