Just Too Efficient
tbray.org
tbray.org
Wouldn’t a more parsimonious explanation be that the job previously consisted of a safe part and a dangerous part, and it was easier to automate the safe part, so now more of a human's time on the job is spent doing the dangerous part?
If you imagine the "safe part" of the job as "slack" (i.e. imagine that the employees were previously half working, and half doing nothing—not that they actually were, but it makes the model clearer), then they've effectively just gotten rid of all the slack, and so made the employees do twice as much work per work day. If there's a constant small probability of injury per item packed, then of course doing twice as much work per work day, will lead to twice as many injuries per employee per work day. You'd have gotten the same number of employee-injuries out per items-packed in, no matter what time scale that packing occurred on.
This assumes injury-risk is a linear function of number of items packed. That's not true. Fatigue increases injury-risk - that is how tired you and your entire team is while performing the task. If the person sorting the packages up the line is tired and making mistakes, the person binning it is more prone to mistakes, leading to an injury. In summary, there is a "fatigue-threshold" after which injury-risk increases non-linearly (say exponentially) with every item packed.
This is the approach I believe is also advised for improving productivity/decreasing errors in the medical field (where doctors have a hard time not pushing themselves to 100% all the time, because of their personalities): hire more doctors per hospital, such that each doctor can be cut down to a shorter shift (and thus maybe lower salary, too.)
If, on the other hand, fatigue is about the lack of micro-rests between individual units of work, then the appropriate solution is more subtle:
1. replace the low-quality rest of doing "slack" work, with high-quality rest of doing nothing-at-all (or even "actively" resting, the equivalent of an athlete doing cool-down stretches between sets of an exercise), so that employees can cool down more quickly and/or return closer to peak productivity from each rest;
2. have slightly more employees (hopefully fewer than double), working off branching lines, such a way that units of work are directed to go to whichever employee is "fresh" rather than "stalled." Like processors with pipelined executions and multiple APUs per core, directing instructions to the APU that isn't currently blocked.
I am skeptical. Fatigue rate would be the delta between exertion and recovery rate. Recovery rate is far from negligible.
Try running up several flights of stairs as fast as you can, vs taking them at a leisurely pace. Most people would be winded after the former, but not bothered after the latter.
EDIT: It's made more complicated by the fact that we have many different "recovery rate"s. When talking exercise, there's the obvious "V02 max", or the maximum rate at which we can absorb oxygen. So long as our muscles have sugar/fat, they should be able to work if we keep our exertion below this point.
If we exceed this, our muscles begin working anaerobically; recovering energy there takes much longer. That's the difference between running and walking up the stairs.
I imagine there are other types of fatigue, but I am not a medical/health/exercise professional.
Mental fatigue is different again as well.
But there are probably background "fatigue"ing rates that are important, like hours-since-you've-eaten. In that case, doing the same work in half the time may be better.
It's easy to talk myself into realizing I know nothing.
It's important to realize that tycoons cornering the market in days gone by weren't violating any rules or societal norms. They were just maximizing efficiency. Same goes for industrial revolution era business owners demanding 16+ hour work shifts and tossing the broken people aside. You didn't need much skill to feed the machines; just functional hands.
Eventually, society steps in and changes the rules to favour the downtrodden, and those who stand to lose from the change fight and complain bitterly about interference and the unfairness of making their efficiency harder to achieve, and then it gets pushed through regardless and life goes on.
We may not be able to prescribe remedies against future abuse in many cases (and probably shouldn't in some), but we can at least recognize it when it's there, and do something about it. That's what a free society is about.
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TxcRbCYHaeL59aY7E/meditation...
I went to comments exactly to see if anyone mentioned it already.
BTW. The efficiency (specialization) vs redundancy (genericity) is a kind of jing-jang, fractal thing and is part of how the universe ... dances... I'd say (inspired by Alan Watts lectures). Systems have cycles where they build specilization up until it becomes so fragile and unstable that it blows up and genericity takes over again. I don't know if that's like some law of cybernetics or something.
Similar to how stability on one level of analysis leads to instability in the one above it (well described in Taleb's book).
Longer series, but the first post does a good job of summarizing Meditations on Moloch.
Somewhat offtopic, try listenig to the original poem on youtube. It's a treat.
This shouldn't bother me but it really does. For a community striving to be less wrong, how does someone write a 47-minute long post about Moloch but not know Moloch?
It doesn't really matter since it's about the metaphor not the actual Moloch, but I guess it's because of where it's posted. Not sure if there's a name for it but there's a phenomena where if you say you care about something, you'll get a lot of flak for it compared to if you never mention it. Kind of like how Google always gets a lot of bad press since they claim to care about X when VCs for example have a much worse record but don't really get mentioned. With lesswrong's reputation, I can't help but be really put off by the inaccuracy.
I was thinking the same thing recently, reading a New York Times review panel on Hamilton. Someone said they didn't focus enough on slavery, and that the casual mentioning of Sally Hemings was tasteless. I posed the same thought: If Sally hadn't been mentioned at all, they wouldn't have commented on the lack of focus on her. If they didn't make a point of being a multiracial cast, or had lyrics condemning slavery, would there have been so much criticism for the magnitude of their condemnation?
This phenomenon of "talking about something, then being attacked for not caring/knowing enough" seems to be happening more and more online.
"The Copenhagen Interpretation of Ethics says that when you observe or interact with a problem in any way, you can be blamed for it. At the very least, you are to blame for not doing more. Even if you don’t make the problem worse, even if you make it slightly better, the ethical burden of the problem falls on you as soon as you observe it. In particular, if you interact with a problem and benefit from it, you are a complete monster."
https://blog.jaibot.com/the-copenhagen-interpretation-of-eth...
I think people like to see the poor helped unconditionally, or with conditions that help them. In the PETA example, it seems to outsiders that a political agenda is being forced on them. PETA may counter they are improving lives by showing the benefits of veganism.
In the wifi example, it looks like exploitation of the desperate, though it isn't any more debasing than swinging a sign around for a furniture store.
And in the Uber example, that just looks shitty because they're a hugely wealthy company... though I don't know how much of the surge pricing goes to the driver.
Yes, people like to see the poor helped...they do not particularly like helping the poor themselves.
So by calling Moloch a demon, you are participating in perpetuating a potentially false history of Moloch that is heavily biased and Judeocentric. Sure you can call him an evil pagan god, but to call him a demon requires fitting that into a prior belief system of evil supernatural entities which is inconsistent with the very belief system he came from.
So basically, a god of Canaanites we only know about from the people that wanted to wipe them out and wrote very influential texts.
[1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21509144 [2]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=9015092
This is an old complaint going back to the early days of the Industrial Revolution at least. The US once had an 8-hour day and a 40-hour week. Now those are only memories.
Unions. The people who brought you the weekend.
I have personally benefited from rights that unions have fought for. I am grateful to them for this. What I see them fight for now is worker retention. The most common fight is for the worst union members, because you have to represent your worst member, otherwise what is a union worth?
The other common union fight is whether the members are going to be screwed by management or by the competition, where the competition may be in a different country or a state with fewer protections on workers' rights.
I think there are still marginal conflicts where the Union can secure benefits for their members, but I'm not sure how much more they can help society overall.
EDIT: it would also be remiss not to add that much of the power of unions has been stripped away by union busting and bad legislation
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/02/religion-w...
You can have a career as a software engineer with a 40 hour week if you want. It just won't be at Amazon.
You can have a career as a lawyer, just not at big law.
Professionals get to opt in and get commensurate rewards. The factory workers didn't get anything extra for their extra efforts.
Rewards like burnout, lower quality of life, worsening relationships with friends and family...?
The problem is actually a vicious circle. People work more to be valued more, which causes others to work also more so that they can compete. The company benefits from this and takes it as the new normal: deadlines shorten, workload increases, and it stops being optional to become "optional", as in "you can opt out of more work, but get ready to find another job soon". Now you have a whole group of workers burning themselves out for marginally more money and status, while the company they work for makes more money.
And no, it doesn't just happen at Amazon. This happens to software engineers everywhere.
Of course, it's not by far the same situation as factory workers, but there's a serious problem with the work culture in software, specially in the US.
But what are those things worth to you? As they have different values to everyone.
A friend of mine is currently working on his software project at work (and this is for a massive non tech company, so it is not as if it is a startup). It is 6AM on a Sunday and that is what he is doing. And he is doing it out of boredom as he is in many ways the stereotypical software guy.
Another good friend is in Seattle. He logged in to work at midnight today while chatting with me. Why? He has nothing else to do.
I spend 100+ hours at my computer a week and have since high school. Spending a greater percentage of that time coding for work does not meaningfully impact my quality of life other than taking away from commenting on forums or my hobby of solving innovation challenges. Whether I am unemployed or facing a major deadline, I am going to be online anyway.
I get why long hours would be terrible for people with families requiring attention or girlfriends or those who like hiking, but a lot of software engineers (like me or the aforementioned friends) have none of those, making more work very cheap for us.
I don't know any software person who works at 6AM on a Sunday.
>He logged in to work at midnight today while chatting with me. Why? He has nothing else to do.
Does he have time to find anything else to do?
> Spending a greater percentage of that time coding for work does not meaningfully impact my quality of life other than taking away from commenting on forums or my hobby of solving innovation challenges.
Being online and working is not the same at all. Maybe for you, for not most people.
> but a lot of software engineers (like me or the aforementioned friends) have none of those
Several things:
1. Not having anything other than your job is bad. Full stop. Maybe a handful of persons can work in that situation, but having such a messed up work-life balance is bad for your health, there are plenty of studies on this.
2. Have you asked why this happens? Maybe it's not just people who like that, but people who have no other options due to companies "forcing" those hours.
3. Is this beneficial? How much productivity can someone get out of the last 2 hours of a 12-hour work day? How much is that extra work worth?
4. Are you and your friends ready to take on those workloads for your whole life? Because it's hard to get out of that dynamic.
5. Burnout is a serious issue. Burnout can lead to depression, can lead to losing your job, to having serious health problems... It's not a joke. It's a serious risk.
It's not for you to decide where anyone derives their meaning and happiness in life or how many hours they should work. You can only decide this for yourself.
>2. Have you asked why this happens? Maybe it's not just people who like that, but people who have no other options due to companies "forcing" those hours.
There are always options. It's up to you to find the niche that works for you.
>3. Is this beneficial? How much productivity can someone get out of the last 2 hours of a 12-hour work day? How much is that extra work worth?
Depends on the individual.
>4. Are you and your friends ready to take on those workloads for your whole life? Because it's hard to get out of that dynamic.
Their decision.
>5. Burnout is a serious issue. Burnout can lead to depression, can lead to losing your job, to having serious health problems... It's not a joke. It's a serious risk.
It's each individual's risk to take. If someone wants to work 12 hours a day, it is their decision. "Full stop"
Everyone decides these things for themselves indeed, but that shouldn't stop others from having opinions regarding those decisions, or giving unsolicited advice to help others stop hurting themselves. I for sure hope my friends will step in and try to stop me if I go down the path of self-destruction.
And also, anyone is free to ignore the advice given by others. Which is a good thing, for much of it is bad advice.
Most importantly, it’s not an isolated thing. It’s not just one or two persons doing it: if it were that it wouldn’t be a problem. It’s a generalized culture issue that should be taken seriously and not only viewed in terms of individuals.
> And if companies allow and encourage staying more hours, it creates an environment where people can’t choose to work sane hours.
Yes they can, they just have to accept that they will get compensated and rewarded less than people who generate additional high quality work. That should be fine and is fair; those people working 8 hours are deriving value from other activities. It's not reasonable to say "I demand everyone works 8 hours because I want to work 8 hours and I don't want any ramifications for making that decision".
I've seen research suggesting that workers can get increased productivity working over 40 hours a week for several weeks, but after that, productivity actually goes negative relative to a 40 hour week, because more mistakes are being made that will require rework.
For how much time? There is a clear association between more working hours and more burnout [1] and health problems [2] that can be delayed for decades.
> Yes they can, they just have to accept that they will get compensated and rewarded less than people who generate additional high quality work.
Sorry, but in most places this doesn't happen. I'm lucky to be out of those environments, but the expectation tends to be that everybody works those hours or they're out, even if they're producing the same high quality work (also, I highly doubt that more hours equals more high quality work: productivity decreases after a certain point, specially in software, that's why 6-hour work days are being discussed so much). I still remember a friend being glad that he convinced his manager to "only" work 10 hours a day, because he was literally losing hair due to the extra work. This guy liked what he was doing and at the beginning said "it doesn't matter, I'm happy working these hours.
> It's not reasonable to say "I demand everyone works 8 hours because I want to work 8 hours and I don't want any ramifications for making that decision".
Well, this is the law in most countries in Europe. Overtime is heavily regulated (enforcement is another matter, unfortunately) precisely because business pressure can be disguised as "individual decisions". When a lot of people start working more hours, it puts pressure on people who fulfill their contracted hours, and who might not want or be able to put those extra hours.
In the end, it's a balancing act between giving some people the freedom to work the hours they want and helping the company put pressure on others to do more hours than they were contracted for (in other words, changing their work conditions without negotiation) or give others the freedom to do the job they were hired and paid for without pressure to do more than what was negotiated. Me, I prefer to err on the side of caution and choose the action that doesn't harm the health and well-being of the employees.
1: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/302591873_The_Assoc... 2: https://academic.oup.com/eurpub/article/24/3/422/477763
The quote you reply to says nothing about meaning and happiness, just health.
And no matter how much meaning and happiness you believe you are getting, when your body and mind give out, that choice will be taken away from you and you will be taking time off from working, just not in a very pleasant way.
By "not having anything", I assume the OP is referring to things that give meaning.
>And no matter how much meaning and happiness you believe you are getting
This is awfully presumptuous and condescending.
>when your body and mind give out, that choice will be taken away from you and you will be taking time off from working, just not in a very pleasant way.
You mean when I'm not able to sustain long hours anymore? I'll have enough money saved to simply cut back on work. No spiraling health crisis necessary.
That part is the key. Otherwise it is just self imposed indentured servant-hood.
Many studies have shown that extra work has negative value, particularly in intellectual disciplines.
You will pay a price. Maybe not today and maybe not tomorrow, but you don't stay young forever.
Please help yourself before it's too late.
More like professionals are forced in, but get commensurate rewards. Employment isn't flexible enough for people to really choose extra work for extra rewards. The "typical" (average, median, raced-to-the-bottom, whatever) amount people are willing to work and the typical amount they're willing to work for dictates what jobs are even out there. When you need roughly replaceable workers, you give them all roughly the same deal, so professionals aren't just competing on wages vs skill, but on the whole necessarily-mostly-homogeneous package.
I'm happy to have these extra benefits well above a living wage, but I'd take a fraction of my comp for a fraction of my hours in a heartbeat, but we're in a world where a FAANG wage/hour means basically FAANG hours.
Now I’m a software dev working in an office, the base pay is much better, but there is no overtime.
Even if you are a software engineer you can make top-tier, simply insane amounts of money at most big companies with a sub-40 hour workweek.
It is simply a matter of finding the right team and having a good manager. The former is something you can affect and the latter can be luck. But you can definitely make some of the best compensation in CS and have cushy working hours if you play your cards right.
Or at least guilds with 'base' contracts / conditions for employments.
Actors all get the same basic level of protection with regards to working conditions, pensions, health care (?), but that does not stop them from negotiating different salaries (with a floor?) for the "100x" performers.
If Marx was still alive today, I think that he would answer the question about how modern workers have such better conditions than those in early capitalism the exact same way as when people in his time said that proletarian had better conditions than the peasants before them, which was nominally true.
In any case, the prescriptions of how a 19th century proletarian could improve their life are essentially the same. The idea is that the interests of your employer will always he opposite yours, as a result you will only be able to improve your conditions by organizing with your fellow workers in order to tip the balance of power, and eventually it is in your interests to change the conditions that lead to this conflict to begin with.
To claim that Marx isn't relevant for worker conditions today is to either misunderstand him or misrepresent him. The contradictions arising from social conflict can't be solved by air condition because they are bound to our mode of production.
Marx was inspired by the world around him, which consisted of poor worker conditions [0]. We can say this confidently because recent evolution in the study of ideology tells us exactly this: We are a product of our social and material environment, something we can't escape [1].
Anyway, my point is that the way CamperBob2 discusses the topic of Marx's inspiration makes it sound like a fundamental axiom of Marxism is the poor conditions of the working class and specifically their conditions during working hours. If this was true, we'd be able to conclude that the predictions of Marx [2] would be disproved by the gradual removal of these (poor) worker conditions.
We can show this isn't true by appealing to our shared knowledge about the world, where global inequality is increasing and where worker conflict was at the center of an (almost) successful presidential campaign. We can also show this with empirical data, where our shared knowledge may fail us. For instance, Marx predicted that the global rate of profit would continue to fall, the reasons for which are beyond the scope of HN. This has been demonstrated to be true by many Marxists along the years, of whom the most prominent since the rise of the IT-worker is the economist Andrew Kliman [3].
[0]: See Marx's theory of alienation and the concept of reification, for instances of this.
[1]: In particular, see Anthoni Gramsci through Louis Althusser and Slavoj Zizek.
[2]: Ranging from social conflict theory to capital accumulation, the tendency of the rate of profit to fall, the value-form and social conflict theory.
[3]: “The Persistent Fall in Profitability Underlying the Current Crisis: New Temporalist Evidence” by Andrew Kliman
Marxism isn't a normative ideology. You could be a despotic monopoly leader and still be a Marxist. Whether worker conditions are good or bad at any instant in any place has no bearing on Marxist analysis.
And the 8 hour work day was supposedly introduced by Ford, not by Unions.
[1] https://www.cnbc.com/2017/05/03/how-the-8-hour-workday-chang...
I still think the whole demand is completely backwards.
Article also mentions the info workers who work 12 hours and more - well they do it because they make good money that way. They'll retire by 40 and have the last laugh.
As for factory workers, are you sure the issue is factories not paying enough? Or what exactly is going on in the US economy? What is so expensive? Why is there so much competition for jobs?
Unions are a way of making HR listen.
Retail clerk?
Pretty much anything that falls under "essential jobs" during the pandemic fits the "in demand" label, and the vast majority of those pay low wages.
And no matter how easy it is for a company to replace a given worker in their job, no job should ever pay so little that the person in it cannot live on what they make from it.
Any business that cannot survive while paying its employees a true living wage does not deserve to exist, because it is offloading its costs onto the rest of us through the various social programs its employees depend upon to survive.
That's not true. The rest of us would have to pay those costs anyway. It's not like the person wouldn't exist, if they didn't have a job.
Given the choices
a) Business pays employee a living wage; taxpayers pay nothing for that person's survival
b) Business pays employee a less-than-living wage; taxpayers pay partially for that person's survival
c) Person has no job; taxpayers pay fully for that person's survival
(Note, of course, that this leaves off choice d) Person has no job, or does not make enough from their job to survive; for whatever reason, they also cannot obtain welfare, and they die.)
...I think that most people would agree that the best of these three is (a). In that situation "the rest of us" most certainly do not have to pay those costs.
Furthermore, I think the more important point than "the person would still exist if they didn't have a job" is "other, better jobs would still exist if that company folded due to unprofitability, or was never created in the first place".
People have an inherent right to life, liberty, and property.
Businesses are not some sacred abstract; they exist purely to support people. Any privileges they have (down to and including their existence), we grant them, and we can revoke from them if they are not fulfilling their fundamental purposes.
Given that we're talking about such businesses, the choice is between b and c, and b is clearly preferable.
For example the government may say that to clean their facility, cleaning companies need to be able to do a, b, c and after that it all comes down to the price. Almost all of them can do a,b,c so they compete on price, on cleaning company is not paying taxes though so can offer lower prices and wins all deals, forcing all other companies to stop paying taxes to survive, and makes the whole trade in that area morally bankrupt.
See also: construction business & tipping.
It's pure fantasy to assume every employer could pay a living wage. For example, take house cleaning. What if some pensioner can spare 30$/week to have their house cleaned. How are they supposed to pay a living wage? If somebody steps forward and says OK, I'll clean the house for 30$, fine. If not, tough luck. But to demand the pensioner should pay a living wage (like what, 2000$ or more to have their house cleaned), or call them evil for not paying enough, is backwards and absurd.
I don't call them evil for not paying enough.
I say they don't make enough to employ a cleaner as that cleaner's full-time job.
And the full-time job is not a valid argument. So if some company were to split their jobs into part time jobs, it would make it OK for you? I rather doubt that.
You only exhibit the socialist magic thinking again As if there are infinite resources, and the only problem is to redistribute them. That's not how the real work works. If you want to eat, somebody (possibly you) has to hunt or farm, gather resources, and so on. It's not a given that any number of people can simply earn a "living wage" or even have a job. Somebody has to create such jobs, that are productive enough to feed somebody.
Instead of complain about stinginess of businesses, prove your theories by creating jobs that pay better.
However, yes, I would agree with previous commenters that if you can't afford to pay people enough to live on then you don't have a business that society should deem viable. If everyone in society was scrabbling around for resources then you might have a point, but in actual fact, the dominant situation is that there is a tiny group of people who are extraordinarily wealthy, a larger-but-still-not-massive group of people who are comfortable, and a great deal of people who get what's left, often not very much at all. Resources are so unfairly distributed I just don't find your argument at all persuasive.
Socialist thought doesn't assume infinite resources, it just says that democracy should be extended much further than it is right now, particularly to the workplace. We could "create" jobs collectively and not leave the decision of how much to pay to a small group of people who have all the power simply because they have the money to start with.
The talk about "businesses that society should consider viable" is nonsense, as the example of the pensioner wanting someone to clean their apartment shows. What should they do if society doesn't consider them "viable", commit suicide?
If society doesn't deem some business "viable", they can simply refuse to work for that business.
If you want to create jobs "collectively", sorry to say, you are in full blown socialist territory, and you will fail, for the same reasons that socialism always fail (because planning economies can't assign resources efficiently enough).
This talk [1] by by Mark Sherman of the Software Engineering Institute at CMU is about as dark as the summary of injuries Tim presents in his post. He mentions there are on the order of hundreds of thousands of CVE reports that there are neither time nor money to triage.
[1] https://www.platformsecuritysummit.com/2019/speaker/sherman/
We send astronauts to space knowing that we will kill about 1 in 30 of them. We let thousands die on roads so we can move around cities quickly.
Everything we enjoy about modern society has a certain amount of injury risk.
We are constantly saying skew the bugs, let's see what happens.
Edit: also I'm discussing security bugs where there are asymmetries in the risk profiles and threat models of actors and agents.
Modern society seems obsessed by productivity. It's interesting for example that the mission statement for the Gates Foundation is to build a world where every person has the opportunity to live a healthy, productive life. Why is that? What if I don't want to be productive? Am I still entitled to be healthy, or is health reserved for "productive" people?
In Cape Town, at the top of Table Mountain lives a species of little mammals, the dassie (rock hyrax). They spend most of their day staring into the void, not looking for food, not mating, doing nothing. (I know because I once spent a day watching them.) The official explanation is that they either stand guard for predators, or they stay immobile in the sun to keep warm.
But isn't it possible they're having an aesthetic experience? The scenery there is simply breathtaking, and changes constantly due to moving clouds just below. Contemplation is possibly the least productive activity one can think of; yet it's vital, if not for dassies, at least for us humans.
One possibility may be that we love productivity so much, simply because it's eminently, and easily, measurable: weight the output, divide by the number of workers, done.
We need a way to measure contemplation.
Who pays for the sustenance of these idle people and why are they obligated to do it? Life is not sustained by manna from heaven. Life is sustained by the hard work of real people. Glorifying idleness is a giant "screw you" to the people who make civilization possible.
People like you?
But when those machine can't eat anymore, you'll see productivity decline.
Related: https://theshiftproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/Study...
It reminds me of someone who believes that all torture is morally wrong, but then adds "and it doesn't work anyway". Now if someone can find a situation where it does work then they can undermine that position with addressing the core argument.
This is not really the way the argument goes though. Person A says “torture is repugnant and should be banned”; person B responds “well how will we ever get a prisoner to answer the questions we need”.
And then person A points out that trained interrogators who build some kind of trust or at least mutual respect with those they are interrogating literally always get better results than the adversarial tough guys who jump to inflicting pain, and that if you ask effective experienced interrogators even from repressive horrible regimes, they’ll tell you “nah, skip the torture, because you’ll waste a lot of trouble getting completely worthless results. When you torture someone they’ll tell you whatever you want to hear to make you stop, and the garbage they spew under torture is never actionable. It takes a lot of hard work to undo the damage and regain enough trust to get useful information, if it’s even possible at all”.
This is not to say that torture would be fine if only it were effective, but rather that the people who torture are lying when they cite its effectiveness or potential. The people who turn to torture (or instruct others to do so) are not actually doing it because they get valuable information out of it; that’s just a rationalization. They’re really doing it for (a) the sadistic psychopathic pleasure in the act, or (b) to terrorize and degrade as an end in itself.
The folks who defend torture based on some hypothetical efficacy (always without evidence, or sometimes with “evidence” that falls apart like wet toilet paper once exposed to the most cursory examination) reveal themselves to be not only morally repugnant but also dishonest and disingenuous. Unless they are extremely naïve (e.g. schoolchildren) it is not worth having this or any other debate with them, because they are not arguing in good faith.
But this characterization of anti-torture arguments is a straw man, not reflective of how the discussion goes in practice, and itself missing the point of converations about torture’s essential ineffectiveness.
— George Orwell, 1984, 1949
Exactly that's what I want to point out. The talking in the article is not about efficiency or productivity, but that there is a moral compass we have to uphold whatever path we chose to take.
Why? Efficiency means performance per unit of effort. Being more efficient means you can take more smoke breaks, and still perform the same.
Its true that with limited demand being more efficient would give you more break time. That's however not the reality as there is always more to do.
Now it's suddenly profitable to remove all breaks as long as the extra time offsets the reduced efficiency.
Just In Time - the machine that changed the world (See Toyota Production System)
Just In Time works great, until it doesn't. The factory works at 1 unit per minute, demand is pretty inelastic. Society is pretty elastic, if a bunch of people decide they want toilet paper TODAY, the Just In Time system is going to starve out.
I think the system responded very well.
If you let the beancounters squeeze out headroom in the name of greater efficiency, you sacrifice resilience and reliability. In other news, water is wet.
This reminds me that capitalism will probably be just fine once people are reminded (yet again) about what risk is, and that they should treat all their counterparties well, to get those long term win-win situations.
Can you elaborate on this? What is the risk, and what do people need to be reminded of?
“Once men turned their thinking over to machines in the hope that this would set them free. But that only permitted other men with machines to enslave them.”
― Frank Herbert, Dune
- Frank Herbert, Dune Chronicles
Competition is supposed to enforce efficiency on sellers, but the temptation to cheapen quality is just too big, because it turns out customers are less picky than they should've been in theory, and are ready to give up quality for something free (as free social network) or cheaper (as cheaper sugar-laden food). So when your competitor cheapens quality and it goes down well with the customers, what else can you do besides watching your market share shrinks?
EDITED: typos.
> and (for the business) efficient
Otherwise on the bigger point about competition: it doesn’t seem to me the landscapes are that tight, except when you’re in the efficiency game.
If your target is Amazon, you’re in for a ride and can leave your ethics in the closet. If your goal is to find a viable niche where you can grow with your customers, you won’t be in a zero-sum, drive the prices to the ground kind of rat race.
Finding that kind of niche if of course far from easy, now I’d argue a rat race to become the next Amazon isn’t either.
Either follow the suit or cater to subset of customers who value quality.
> When we say that one kind of work is overpaid and another underpaid, what are we really saying? In a free market, prices are determined by what buyers want. People like baseball more than poetry, so baseball players make more than poets. To say that a certain kind of work is underpaid is thus identical with saying that people want the wrong things.
> Well, of course people want the wrong things. It seems odd to be surprised by that. And it seems even odder to say that it's unjust that certain kinds of work are underpaid. Then you're saying that it's unjust that people want the wrong things. It's lamentable that people prefer reality TV and corndogs to Shakespeare and steamed vegetables, but unjust? That seems like saying that blue is heavy, or that up is circular.
In the same way, it’s “lamentable” that people buy mass-produced products that are slightly inferior and cheaper, but not surprising.
My bigger concern about that is all of the fossil fuels getting wasted doing the haber-process for food nobody's going to use.
Of course, this is pretty much inadvisable in every day life. We need some 'inefficiency' to ensure that our stuff won't break apart at the wrong time.
Compared to new plastic consumer class crap, older premium dell notebooks have excellent usability, they last forever and you can even throw them around without worrying about their metal outer layer breaking.
The downside is that they might look ugly for some people.
Also most people I recommended this, dismissed the idea, because buying stuff used were somehow unthinkable for them?
I just don’t get it.
Also - Is it affected by the level of hardness in the local water and my patterns of usage ajd types of detergent I use? Does additional reliability affect any other parameters like energy and water usage?
In a multi-variable comparison like this it is impossible to say much about future past 5 years with much certainty, while the price is single biggest objective metric.
I don't believe we would even know what we ate if there wasn't laws in place.
Supposedly it's one of the reasons why homes (but not land) tend to depreciate in Japan: newer structures meet newer, higher safety standards. When you live in an active earthquake zone (also: typhoons), why wouldn't you want one that takes in account the seismic developments of the previous thirty years (generally how often rebuilds are done)?
It's all very well to say to it'd be nice for appliances to last longer, which isn't a 'wrong' statement, but looking at the efficiency gains over the last 20-30 years is quite remarkable.
We may now be hitting diminishing returns, so perhaps should turn to durability more, but it's not like buying new didn't get you anything in recent years.
For the case of a racing car, if the engineers were told to design it with maximum efficiency possible, and it only has to last the race, then yes, why not have it break and fall apart at the end, if doing so means it runs at a very high efficiency?
This is the main point behind most of the works of Jacques Ellul, we're re-discovering it at our own expense decades later.
> The Ellulian concept of technique is briefly defined within the "Notes to Reader" section of The Technological Society (1964). It is "the totality of methods rationally arrived at and having absolute efficiency (for a given stage of development) in every field of human activity.
- Tracer Tong, Deus Ex
The older I get, the more prophetic that quote becomes.
I chuckle sometimes when I see things like your fridge (or a smart kitchen) will order items for you by predicting things for you need. In future, it seems tech will do transactions with other tech with lesser human involvement, all in the name of efficiency. And then this will trigger another recursive cycle of optimizations.
The rate at which tech is changing and along with it our society is way faster than rate at which humans can find a coping mechanism. We do not know what we are sleepwalking into.
The alternative theory would be that middle management does its job efficiently but it is a different one than the job description says.
A lot of the things that he is describing are very efficient for the company providing them, and now less so for the customer.
In many cases, the quantity that is being optimized is simply profit.
> If we suppose that the goal of society is to produce the greatest utility, and that the utility wealth provides an individual is sub-linear (i.e. twice as much money makes you less than twice as happy), then inequality is inefficient resource allocation.
> However, we also suppose that some level of inequality can lead to greater productivity, and thus greater utility overall. The question is then what level produces the best outcome?
I'm wondering if this is might be a problem of "incomplete models". Defined such, the human need for "inefficient gaps" in their work could be factored into the models, and we might get something that resembles a less controlled mode of production again, which doesn't burn out the workforce.
But I wouldn't hold my breath.
Efficiency yes, but please to measure in human utility per input, not in currency output per input?
* People scale poorly. There is a reason Agile favors a "less is more" approach.
* There is more than one dimension. Money is an easy metric, but not the sole one. Diminishing returns kick in when we optimize for frog$kins.
* Wisdom is hard to communicate. If human wisdom were cumulative, we should have long ago reached some paradise where everyone shares their toys nicely. Doesn't happen, and great parents are followed by dull kids. And the wiser parents somehow have less offspring than the fools. This, too, is counterproductive.
Efficiency without a specific goal doesn't mean anything. It's like Philip K Dick's Autofac. Just a replication machine.
Hey, I was there! Back in the '90s, IBM was getting too many support calls for AIX forwarded to the AIX team, so they introduced another layer of phone tech support to cut down on it.
Not taking orders from robots, or having your agenda defined by robots/automatic scripts, should in fact be a societal norm. One can argue with a human boss, however bad or mean or stupid they are. You can't argue with a robot and that's what makes people's lives miserable.
Huh. Interesting. I think it’s the other way around. Efficiency leads to more convenience and better prices. Thus, I have more time and money to spend on things that really matter to me. The most basic “item” is for example a dish washer. How many hours and water was wasted before doing this work by hand?
People working like robots in warehouses and factories are certainly not winning. They have neither more time, nor more money.
However, I love having the option to just start the dish washer and do other stuff instead.
Most of today's innovations are not freeing up people's time on the scale that the washing machine or dishwasher did. On the contrary, many of them are using up time without any productivity gains. Smartphones and Facebook have not improved any other part of the economy besides their own.
Edit: See this interview which makes the point very well https://www.vox.com/a/new-economy-future/robert-gordon-inter...
There's a point where more automation does not mean things become easier.
Let's take the same dishwasher example. Of course it saves a lot of time for a family of four, for example. Pop it in and you're done.
But for example, for a single person, this makes much less sense. Because the time it takes for putting it in the dishwasher, waiting to fill the machine and running the cycle is longer than just washing the damn dishes.
No automation is "free". And overautomation causes problems as well.
Automate dishwashing for a 10 party dinner: no brainer
Automate dishwashing for one plate, one fork and one knife. Not advantageous
Automate generating a manual report that takes 30min and needs to run everyday: no brainer also
Automate a report that needs one piece of data that's easy to get and needs to run once a month: does it really matter?
It's notable that in a lot of Europe, the welfare systems we have today, for example, while they happened under pressure or fear of socialism, were pushed through with the help of Christian democrats.
E.g. Bismarcks pension and healthcare bills that effectively formed the first large-scale welfare system were blatant attempts at stemming the growing support for what he saw as dangerous socialist parties becoming a threat to the established order - while stealing some of their social policies he proceeded to ban dozens of groups and newspapers and arrest their leaders. But he passed those bills with the help of the conservative Christian "Zentrum", the forerunner of Merkel's CDU, by appealing to Christian values.
For that audience, and over-simplifying greatly: all communists are trying to create a decentralized system that evenly spreads power, and the main split among them is how to actually do that. Anarchists think we should build decentralized power structures until they've replaced our current centralized ones. Marxist-Leninists think we should replace the state with one that promises to implement communism later.
Distributism reads a lot like somebody heard of Marxism-Leninism, thought it was dumb, reinvented anarcho-communism in response, and then described the result as opposed to communism, even though it's largely the same idea as one of the main branches of communist theory.
That's simply not feasible, because many centralized systems are a lot more effective than decentralized ones. And centralized systems can't be run via a committee or via direct democracy either, so you will always have some people with outsized decision-making power. At least when you reward these actors with wealth (as opposed to raw political influence, as in socialist countries) they can then go and deploy that wealth on pro-social things, like many of wealthiest businesspeople do in the US. Distributism has the right idea, it's just not universally applicable.
Even Anarchism doesn't say that no one should have outsized decision-making power. Just that it shouldn't be the same people every time, that there should be a good reason for it and that it should be kept in check. The old anarchist example was that of the pirate ship :)
Also, decentralized systems are not always less efficient than centralized systems. Sometimes they are much more efficient, it depends on what you are optimizing for exactly.
Indeed, centralized decision-making, while viable sometimes, need not be pluripotent, and it can be limited enough that it doesn't actually create a power imbalance. Many human societies actually operated in such a way.
If you actually wish to read up a bit more on that, I'd suggest in the extreme of reading up on anarchism. If you use debian, you should be able to apt-get install anarchism :)
Peter Leeson has written extensively on the way actual pirate ships were run. He sometimes calls himself an anarchist, but he makes it clear in his work that these ships were relying on carefully-tuned institutional designs that were not all that far from what we would now call liberal, representative government.
Even in the most extreme of situations, such as a pirate ship, there would be less hierarchy than in our society (this is due to analysis of economic hierarchy).
That is exagtly what I said.
Please continue this while I find something to get VC funding
Where formerly we ate what was in season, we now have produce shipped around the globe, sometimes raw foods shipped across the ocean and turned into process foods and then shipped right back again. We eat meat in nearly every meal.
We used to die quickly at home when we were incurably sick; now we cling to half-life for years or decades.
We used to let our kids out the front door when they were bored, now we drive them all over town for everything in their busy calendar.
When we wanted to learn how to do a job, we'd talk to someone doing it and start working directly under them, quickly making ourselves useful. Now we spend years learning totally unrelated stuff, just to prove that we're human beings with a pulse who can be hired.
Now, flying across the world to have fun is 'necessary,' because parks and natural areas in our own backyards are not enough.
etc...
We make more and more things we don't need, in ever greater quantities, using more and more resources, and destroy the planet in the process. We won't stop until there's nothing left.
0: https://media.ccc.de/v/34c3-9270-dude_you_broke_the_future
An AI that is more intelligent than a human may be able to come up with plans for profit maximization that no humans can come up with.
A corporation is only going to be able to come up with a plan that a human _could_ come up with.
A corporation is merely a sociopathic human intelligence that is hell bent on profit-maximization.
Yet, a single corporation is intelligent enough to do this.
I think we already have achieved super-human intelligence.
Related to this, on the morality dimension, corporations can introduce a diffusion of responsibility [0] and enable a collection of humans to commit to profit-maximising acts that no single one of them would do. Less ominously, teams of cooperating researchers may do something similar on the innovation dimension: their combined efforts act as a 'super researcher' beyond the ability of any single human researcher.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diffusion_of_responsibility
If you're talking about AI with 'smarter than us the way we're smarter than chickens' as the standard I suppose I'd have to agree, but it seems like there's a big, very vaguely defined stretch between 'very smart human' and 'makes a very smart human look like an imbecile'
> [food]
Even when we live in rather harsh conditions we can have a balanced diet (where I live, without modern means of transportation, my diet would be exclusively Barbary figs, fish and mussels. If I wanted meat, someone would have to tend goats and sheep full time and that person would have to roam a huge area to find enough food for them).
> [medicine]
I am not dying of an infection, I take antibiotics.
> [raising kids]
Kids can now easily try out things their parents never did, understood or appreciated. The cost for the parents is negligible while the benefit for the kids can be tremendous. (That's why know how to play the flute, how I got into software development and into theatre).
> [education]
I have at least a basic understand of the problem domain when writing software for chemists or biologists; I understand political processes and have a broad cultural knowledge. Even when I don't know, I know that I don't know.
> [travel]
I really understand that there are different cultures, way beyond hearsay. That allows me (to some degree) to critically reflect on my own culture, to understand what shaped it.
> Even when we live in rather harsh conditions we can have a balanced diet
We can have a balanced diet, but it is not the cheapest or most convenient; 40% of Americans are obese, and there is so much we can fault willpower for it. Heart disease, diabetes etc. being top killers, we are still actually dying and suffering from mal-nutrition. The system that fills 90% of our supermarkets with crap food is very efficient for itself, but that efficiency is not shared with the entirety of population.
> I am not dying of an infection, I take antibiotics.
Yet we stumbled so hard supplying basics like masks in a rather middling pandemic. High efficiency supply chains came at the cost of high fragility, again a cost paid by the entirety of population.
Besides, death is not the worst of all fates. E.g. 1/8 of Americans are on antidepressants, and this rate is increasing sharply. 10 percent of kids are diagnosed ADHD, 60% of which are pushed amphetamines, again at increasing rates. Is this an increase in efficiency? For whom?
> Kids can now easily try out things their parents never did, understood or appreciated.
Novelty at all costs is the core mission of AI recommended content pushed to kids. Do you think a nation that can't fight with high obesity rate is really doing well with limiting screen time? Do we know the long term effects of this 'stimulation obesity'? Again, this is efficiency for the company that profits from the engagement, and we're just gonna roll with the experiment and see where the costs will show up.
> I understand political processes and have a broad cultural knowledge
Look at the quality of political discourse dominating the US. Does it sound educated, able to reflect critically, able to allow ideas fight instead of people? Many attended to college, paid high tuition sure, but what was gained in the end? The system they attended, the admin class grew and made money very efficiently indeed. Did it reflect to the quality of education?
> I really understand that there are different cultures, way beyond hearsay
Almost the entire rest of the world already understands this because certain dominating "cultures" long been in their land, whether by force or through TV, internet, merchandise, food etc. Kids in far far away places grew up with Batman, McDonalds, Coca Cola, they watched MTV when TV was a thing, now we're letting YouTube decide what they should find relevant etc. The fact that an American is required to travel to understand there are different cultures is an exception and a privilege.
While that may be efficient in certain scenarios, what are the odds of winning that lottery?
As market efficiency shows up in income, and incomes have held stagnant even as the population gains more and more education, we know that most people aren't winning. They are only losing.
Now, now. We can't really do the former any more in most of America; there's nowhere for kids to go. Overstrict zoning, and massive property developments plopped down in outlying low-land-value areas, has killed suburbia and replaced it with exurbia. Most detached single-family homes in America are now in "housing islands" in the middle of huge stretches of nothing, only accessible to urban centers by highways. (And without viable public transit accessible to said kids, because adults are too car-obsessed to fund it.)
And that's not really more or less efficient; it's just silly and self-defeating. People buy these houses precisely for the dream of suburbia; but they find it isn't there to be found. It's not a vicious cycle; it's simply a trick, a con, on the part of the property developers, misleading people into thinking they can have their whole family integrated with the life of a city despite living many miles away from it with no easy access.
A child could have a "busy calendar" in the 1950s—friends, hobbies, clubs, sports, etc.—and get along just fine, because they actually could walk to everything in town, because they functionally lived "in" the town they lived in. (Or they didn't live "in" a town at all, but rather "on a farm" — but that used to be its whole own lifestyle with its own coping mechanisms. Now suburban children may as well live on a farm as well—but without even the livestock to bother.)
If you live in a coastal city, it may actually be more efficient (on a J-per-kg basis) to have something shipped from far away on a boat than over land in a truck. I'm sure there's cross-over point between the two that can ostensibly be calculated.
>Where formerly we ate what was in season, we now have produce shipped around the globe, sometimes raw foods shipped across the ocean and turned into process foods and then shipped right back again. We eat meat in nearly every meal.
The author touches upon this when he chooses to wait at the butcher for fresh bacon vs walking into a grocery store and leaving a minute later with plastic wrapped water logged bacon. The convenience (i.e "efficiency") is the multitude of options available at the grocery store, at the cost of human interaction and quality.
>We used to die quickly at home when we were incurably sick; now we cling to half-life for years or decades.
I think this falls outside of the articles context
>We used to let our kids out the front door when they were bored, now we drive them all over town for everything in their busy calendar.
This culture was created from "stranger danger" and helicopter parenting.
>When we wanted to learn how to do a job, we'd talk to someone doing it and start working directly under them, quickly making ourselves useful. Now we spend years learning totally unrelated stuff, just to prove that we're human beings with a pulse who can be hired.
As mentioned, author talks about the loss of humanity.
>Now, flying across the world to have fun is 'necessary,' because parks and natural areas in our own backyards are not enough.
It is convenient to do so, and like the grocery store, there are more options
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Productivity_paradox
Planet Money had a great episode on this with Nordhaus.
> Where formerly we ate what was in season, we now have produce shipped around the globe, sometimes raw foods shipped across the ocean and turned into process foods and then shipped right back again
Yes. Now instead of eating salt pork and tubers all winter, we can enjoy a healthy and balanced diet year-round. How inefficient.
> We used to die quickly at home when we were incurably sick; now we cling to half-life for years or decades.
People like Stephen Hawking can lead a full life. How inefficient.
> We used to let our kids out the front door when they were bored, now we drive them all over town for everything in their busy calendar.
Travel across town can happen in minutes, not hours. Our kids can visit their friends and have rich social connections instead of helping with the corn harvest. How inefficient.
> When we wanted to learn how to do a job, we'd talk to someone doing it and start working directly under them, quickly making ourselves useful. Now we spend years learning totally unrelated stuff, just to prove that we're human beings with a pulse who can be hired.
Previously, you were born into a trade and just joined your father's guild. Now someone of any background can prove himself via an impartial process and work on problems he feels passionate about. How inefficient.
> Now, flying across the world to have fun is 'necessary,' because parks and natural areas in our own backyards are not enough
Now people can experience all humanity has to offer instead of limiting their perspectives to whatever backwater their parents happened to call home. How inefficient.
However, when I hear proponents of the anti-modernity, it is hard to take them seriously because I immediately start to wonder why is it that that they don't walk the walk and demonstrate the correctness of their estimation of the inadequacy of the modern world by moving their lives to a small village, a forest, a wild the tribe or any other place still existing today that lives by the old standards.
There is no shortage of these places, that by modern standards should be considered prehistoric. There are many perfectly functional tribes existing today, that are still operating in largely the same way as they did thousands of years ago. They live in tight connection with nature, they don't use technology, they are not subjected to apparently very dangerous and devious hazards of our modern world like small smartphone screens, long commutes in personal vehicles and overwhelming amounts of freedoms that we suffer in the city life. These tribes would be perfectly willing to accept in new members because in their present condition they always require more workforce. If the tribe life is not what one is looking for, it would surely be just as easy to move out into a forest or another natural place. 100% of the problems discussed in this topic would be completely resolved by changing the life situation in this way.
And yet you don't see people moving out of the modern society into prehistoric tribes by the hundreds of thousands. They complain about how bad the life is in the modern world, and yet don't take any of the obvious steps available to them for quickly resolving all of the issues.
This observation makes me seriously question how much of what these people say and what they are complaining about can we really trust even as accurate representations of what they believe. Life is much easier and makes much more sense when we start judging what people believe by what they do and not by what they say.
(Also, as someone who moved to a small town, married and has a kid, I desperately want to get back to a large city - small towns are depressing and soul-suckingly boring.)
As someone who grew up in a medium-small city, moved to a large city, watched it get larger, and then moved to a small town (and who has no kids), I desperately want to stay the hell away from large cities. The sheer unrelenting friction of everything would kill me. And it's cheaper here.
> Eating
Yes, that's why we do it but many eat repetitively and miss out on a lot of flavors and discovery they would likely enjoy, especially if poor. I wish high product quality would also be sustainably industrialized.
> Death
I hope to live well then die quickly and inexpensively. Being brain-dead on life support brings me no value and would cost my family a lot. It was legally mandated where I live in Washington state for a long time.
> Kids
Raising the bar on safety by creating laws that punish parents for letting their kids walk to the park or school or roam in the "hood" on their own is real. They used to "visit their friends and have rich social interactions) running freely around their neighborhood. That written, this seemed a point of evidence stretched in the article.
> Learning
I have to agree that this was a weak point. It forgoes the benefits of cross-disciplinary research and the advances due there. But the description references college degrees as a stamp of approval rather than as a source of knowledge (and perhaps wisdom) which, in some cases, applies and is a shame.
> Travel
Yes, a limited set can experience more. The hedonic treadmill is real and it does seem we've lost appreciation for what we have as well as our stewardship of those resources and ability to create more of them. We chase the "best" and often miss out on much.
In conclusion, yes the article was imperfect and most of us can agree that modernity brought many advantages but we seem a bit stuck in some ways and there have been unforseen and undesirable outcomes. Identifying where allows us to continue making it better and doing so more broadly.
It seems our geographic removal from that exploitation leads to an emotional removal from it in a lot of people too
Just because their lives are better doesnt mean we are doing good. Not to mention that india and most of africa wouldnt be living in abject poverty were it not for western colonialism.
Let's go to your country, destroy your society and culture, then build a factory and pay you pennies. Then you can thank me for pulling you out of poverty. It's a tough sell
The reason our kids don't help with the corn harvest and have "rich social connections" (?) is that we hire immigrants do it, paying them as little as possible and denying them basic rights.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/02/us/coronavirus-undocument...
> "Farmworkers, Mostly Undocumented, Become ‘Essential’ During Pandemic"
> "Immigrant field workers have been told to keep working despite stay-at-home directives, and given letters attesting to their “critical” role in feeding the country."
Seasonal workers coming in for harvest have a tough job, but it has nothing to do with kids occupation.
For a comparison point, french wineyards use a flock of workers coming from everywhere around europe (including french students and unemployed) to harvest grapes for a few weeks and go back to whatever they were doing.
It doesn’t need to be some tangled mess of undocumented immigrants with no rights, no contracts etc., that part is more to me a reflection of US politics than anything.
Plantations are like nation-states - inefficient, but powerful enough to bankrupt smaller competitors in the same market.
[1] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X1...
Ever heard about sweat-shops and children in mines? This goes for parts of the food industry as well - bananas springs to mind as an example.
We do use human labour, just not as much in the west, and most of us live in convenient ignorance.
That's the thing about progress, you can be better off than yesterday, and still have a shit load of problems to solve.
Still, from what I gather we’ve peaked the heck out of this industrialization and not enough of the gains have reached enough people. As people we know better, but as industrialized conglomerates all that is out the window.
Seeing how the world is ruled at present I’m weary of the outlook.
Every single one of your examples represents the ideal outcome of the use of modern technology, as if most people's diet during Winter is more nutritious than dried or pickled meat and produce, or as if the only alternative to driving your kids to a friend in an SUV is to let it do hard manual labor on a field.
That is in fact extremely efficient, as it allows to grow food in an industrial way: at scale, with optimal process and conditions.
> We used to die quickly at home when we were incurably sick
And also to remain sick forever when we were curably sick, for lack of cures. Amputated limbs for simple infections, lifelong toothaches, broken backs, skin, ear and eye infections, fleas, etc.
> to learn how to do a job, we'd talk to someone doing it and start working directly under them
Yes, sent as an apprentice at an artisan's shop, probably before age ten. Or working in the fields (all that nice ploughing, by hand) or just learning your father's trade.
Waiting a year to eat another in-season fruit or vegetable is a bad thing that we ought to use technology to solve. It’s not wholesome or contentment or whatever, it’s a bad, unproductive limitation.
Apprenticeships often lead to servitude and heavily suppressed wages, more similar to indentured servants. It is not a glamorous or romanticized vision of steadily mastering a craft.
All of your examples follow this pattern. It reads like Luddite anti-progress fantasy and glorification of past limitations like a sort of noble savage lie.
In a sense everyone is damaged in one way or another.
In the meanwhile there is always a chance of getting a new cure.
Except when you are no longer available..
On the one hand, yes, modernity keeps me alive, at far greater than "half-life," thanks to control theory and hi-tech sensor technology. But on the other hand modernity was the very thing which caused my t1d in the first place -- environment is thought to cause t1d, with rates much higher in developed countries.
This issue is one of those 'what does it all mean' type of issues, for me personally.
> It’s important to realize that Amazon isn’t violating any rules, nor even (on the surface) societal norms. Waste is bad, efficiency is good, right? They’re doing what’s taught in every business school; maximizing efficiency is one of the greatest gifts of the free market. Amazon is really extremely good at it.
This idea that capitalist efficiency is not something to blame the capitalist for, but is an effect of the mode of production of society overall is really very much a Marxist idea, and yet like your assumption that Bray is berating Amazon, people tend to similarly believe Marx hated capitalists.
But like Marx praised capitalism into the skies for its efficiency yet criticised its bad sides, Bray is also pointing out that this efficiency has good sides. It's just that it also has bad sides, and we should worry that we blindly keep accepting the bad sides even as the toll it takes rises:
> It’s hard to think of a position more radical than being “against efficiency”. And I’m not. Efficiency is a good, and like most good things, has to be bought somehow, and paid for. There is a point where the price is too high, and we’ve passed it.
I for one am enjoying being not so efficient this morning.
You could also think of this as the bias-variance tradeoff, lack of generalization, or overly specific adaptation.
This can be seen in the supply chains and economies right now with the COVID-19 impact. Economies with ultra-efficient supply chains (like the US or Western Europe) are being hit the worst, while those with slack and inefficiencies (like Central/Eastern Europe post-communist countries) can absorb the impact much better.
It seems to be quite anemic.
One thing that comparing GDP per capita growth tends to show is that global and regional overall development totally swamps even seemingly large changes like the 35 hour week.
What the change also tends to gloss over is that the number of hours worked per worker in France is not particularly low. According to OECD, for 2019 it stood at 1505 vs. 1538 for the UK or 1386 for Germany. The reduction in France, to the extent it changed anything, may have distributed work a bit more but it did not suddenly drastically reduce the hours worked.
The average number of hours worked per worker dropped somewhat over the few years after the reform, but it dropped across all the major OECD countries, and by similar rates.
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=France+and+us+gdp+per+...
Here is a ratio to illustrate my point better (the ratio is roughly flat)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=France+divided+by+us+g...
If an "efficiency rate" leads to too many injuries, it is not the best "efficiency rate". I don't think you need Unions to figure that out, it is in the capitalist interest to then reduce the efficiency rate.
I find the whole idea of discussing "how much should we work" very telling. It comes from a position of high privilege and ignorance - the idea that we live in abundance, and stuff only needs to be distributed somehow.
If you are naked in the jungle, the question is not "how many hours should I work", the question is "what do I have to do to survive". If it takes 80 hours to build shelter, make a fire and hunt some food, then you'll work 80 hours.
If you manage to build stuff that reduces your work load, good for you. Like in the jungle, build a net that automatically catches fish, so you don't have to spent so many hours hunting. Not you have spare time. Good for you. But don't ask some imaginary entity (god? capitalism? the government?) to provide you with your spare tie and assign your jobs.
I'd like to add that to me the story of the 8 hour work week is also a warning before corporate employment. Because if 8 hours maximize your productivity, it means you are wasted after 8 hours. All you can still hope to do is eat and watch some TV. But that's not a reason to me to blame corporations . If you don't like it, negotiate with the corporations to work only part time, or seek to improve your skills so that you can ask for more money and afford more spare time. Nobody owes anybody a job.
The Haymarket Massacre happened 30 years prior to Ford introducing the 8 hour workday in his plants. Furthermore, there had been labor agitation resulting in 8-hour days in other parts of the country decades before Ford did so.
Nevertheless the claim that only Unions can reduce work hours is simply false. People can negotiate their contracts. Many people work less than 40 hour work weeks.
I’d wager that’s true for perhaps 10-20% of the workforce at best.
How many people even try to negotiate their work hours? I'd believe you if you claimed less than 10% even think about it, the others just accept their lot as the norm.
Sounds weirdly similar and weirdly appropriate.
In the previous sentence or so, there was talk about margins of healthcare, which have disappeared. These margins don't exist without more work.
Maybe it is rather that we are working with more things with less effort, rather than doing few things well.
Also cash and work have some correlation, but I think there is higher more profound correlation with work and total amount of products such as roads and buildings. Cash rarely stays in bank accounts but circulates and randomly spawns service and concrete products.
Everyone should work, all the time, to leave this a better place than we found it. And there is still much work to do.