Most trees alive today won’t survive in the climate expected 40 years from now
rapidshift.net
rapidshift.net
It's interesting to see how a marginal increase in temperature can have huge impacts on the ecosystem, for example incests able to survive where previously they couldn't.
I'd also be interested to see what the impact of a large number of tree's dying out would cause - growing up deforestation of the rainforest was a huge environmental issue (and continues to be).
That is so ridiculous. Temperatures within 40 years aren't going to change by much more than they've already changed over the past 100 years. Did most forests die off and vanish? No, in fact the extra C02 in the atmosphere, and warmer climate is beneficial for tree growth - if only we weren't clearing the forests we'd have more trees today. The earth has been hotter than where we're headed with global warming. It was heavily forested at that time. To be extra clear, none of that is saying global warming isn't a huge problem, just that forests dying off probably isn't the part to worry about.
Articles like this do climate science a serious disservice and give people reason to doubt climate change - they're counter productive.
When Earth was that hot, it didn't get that hot so quickly, giving ecosystems time to adapt.
This is the same reason coral reefs around the world have bleached and died.
> No, in fact the extra C02 in the atmosphere, and warmer climate is beneficial for tree growth
The paper discusses the impact of CO2. https://science.sciencemag.org/content/368/6488/261/tab-pdf
BTW, I wouldn't bet that temperatures will change only a little in the next 40 years, considering how many record temperatures we've had in the past ten.
What does the absolute change matter? Things have limits. If we observe that the temperature increases from 50°F in winter to 90°F in summer, we still shouldn't conclude that things would be fine if they increased another 40°F (I'm speaking purely by analogy here, not making any claim about climate change - I just can't think of a better analogy).
Even if it goes up 2.0 F in the next 40 years, it's still a relatively small change that is not likely to reduce forest cover in any measurable way.
I'd worry more about human activities that are reducing forest cover at a serious rate.