Bah. The mistakes will be repeated and the bailout question will arise again. And it will be worse next time.
We should have had the guts to say "fail and die." It would have sucked, but not as much as crushing debt and a sequel.
Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase etc. deal with an inordinate amount of the world's liquid assets. If they had failed, the problems wouldn't have been a few quarters of negative GDP growth--we could have seen the collapse of financial markets everywhere along with prolonged global depression. Should we have had the guts to deal with that too?
1. Financial institutions cannot transfer funds between each other as usual and they cannot accurately predict who might fail next, so they pull back credit access. Spreads blow up as money supply decreases, causing a sharp decline in equipment investment and a big rise in consumer interest rates. Shit gets worse from there.
2. Banks die and, in conflict with everything we know about liquidity, money continues to flow perfectly. Banks are not afraid of failure so credit flows freely.
What do you see as more likely? Can you sum it up in a one-word answer?
However we're still in serious trouble because of the moral hazard created. Banks have been given the greenlight to take similar risks again because they know they'll be bailed out in future.
Frankly, without also taking steps to force banks back into smaller entities that we can afford to let fail, all we've done is compound the problem and delay it until later when it will be worse.
If we've merely postponed this problem and are waiting for Round II, then yes, we should have had the guts to have a depression resulting from irresponsible investments rather than a depression resulting from irresponsible investments AND governments up to their nostrils in debt.