Steven Pinker on the Tribal Roots of Defying Social Distancing
nautil.us
nautil.us
> Non-medical, fabric masks are being used by many people in public areas, but there has been limited evidence on their effectiveness and WHO does not recommend their widespread use among the public for control of COVID-19. However, for areas of widespread transmission, with limited capacity for implementing control measures and especially in settings where physical distancing of at least 1 metre is not possible – such as on public transport, in shops or in other confined or crowded environments – WHO advises governments to encourage the general public to use non-medical fabric masks.
This is confusing advice.
Why don't they say "WHO has no recommendation about their widespread use" instead of "does not recommend." Are they really advising against masks?
This is especially confusing combined with the rest of the paragraph. What is considered an area of widespread transmission?
https://www.who.int/news-room/q-a-detail/q-a-on-covid-19-and...
Unfortunately, you then have Fox News run an article like this: "WHO guidance: Healthy people should wear masks only when 'taking care of' coronavirus patients"
https://www.foxnews.com/world/who-guidance-healthy-people-we...
Then you have the CDC recommending masks, while the POTUS refuses to do so.
"CDC is additionally advising the use of simple cloth face coverings to slow the spread of the virus and help people who may have the virus and do not know it from transmitting it to others."
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prevent-getting-si...
So yeah, there's tribalism, but there's also conflicting advice from authorities.
In my family, we wear masks when we're out among other people. I don't see how it does any harm, the argument for how it can slow the spread of my germs to others intuitively makes sense, is consistent with surgeons wearing masks to prevent infecting patients, and there's anecdotal and initial research that it helps.
What is the WHO's problem?
Yes, they are, because there are potential risks associated with wearing a mask, not only potential benefits:
The likely disadvantages of the use of mask by healthy people in the general public include:
• potential increased risk of self-contamination due to the manipulation of a face mask and subsequently touching eyes with contaminated hands;(48, 49)
• potential self-contamination that can occur if non-medical masks are not changed when wet or soiled. This can create favourable conditions for microorganism to amplify;*
• potential headache and/or breathing difficulties, depending on type of mask used;
• potential development of facial skin lesions, irritant dermatitis or worsening acne, when used frequently for long hours;(50)
• difficulty with communicating clearly;
• potential discomfort;(41, 51)
• a false sense of security, leading to potentially lower adherence to other critical preventive measures such as physical distancing and hand hygiene;
• poor compliance with mask wearing, in particular by young children;
• waste management issues; improper mask disposal leading to increased litter in public places, risk of contamination to street cleaners and environment hazard;
• difficulty communicating for deaf persons who rely on lip reading;
• disadvantages for or difficulty wearing them, especially for children, developmentally challenged persons, those with mental illness, elderly persons with cognitive impairment, those with asthma or chronic respiratory or breathing problems, those who have had facial trauma or recent oral maxillofacial surgery, and those living in hot and humid environments.
https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/advice-on-the-use-of...
Btw, this is not a new discussion. There has long been uncertainty about the benefits of wearing a surgical mask in the community, to protect oneself or others from diseases. e.g. see this article from The Conversation dated October 17, 2019 and titled Can surgical masks protect you from getting the flu?:
https://theconversation.com/can-surgical-masks-protect-you-f...
This one seems very real to me. I've always been a bit of a germophobe, so I'm careful not to touch my face after shaking hands or using a greasy door knob etc... Now that masks are required in my area (questionably enforced, but an actual mandate from the mayor), if I'm in the grocery store and my mask slips a little, I have to touch the mask to adjust/fix it. Of course my hands have been on the shopping cart and such.
When my gym opens up, they're going to require masks too. I'm not sure how that's going to work when doing cardio. Am I going to be huffing out my sweat through the fabric on my face?
Mindbogglingly stupid on WHO's part.
WHO is front organisations for a gaggle of medical professionals who between them have a lot of different opinions on the effectiveness of face masks. At the top sits a politician of sorts who job it is to seek a consensus on various topics. His job is comparable to asking computer professional to canvas Hacker News for the consensus position on which is better: react or vue, and report back to the masses on what they should use.
Translation: right now asking for the consensus opinion of the medical fraternity on face masks is asking for something that doesn't exist. Come back in a few years time.
But on the other hand, if you just took Fox News off the air, more people would wear masks and obey social distancing. And it isn’t obvious if Fox News would be replaced with something else that would also be suddenly #1 and just as radically anti-facts, that hasn’t happened with media basically ever. If it went away, nobody would be “tribal” about masks anymore, it would become a matter of a public health campaign, just like every other health crisis that is sensitive to mass media, like first time smoking and drinking.
Is the general perception that CNN is as left wing as Fox is right wing? I only see snippets of each but from that small sample, there is absolutely no comparison. CNN doesn't come across as left wing at all.
well, controversy is where the news makes its biggest bucks isnt it?
we would probably all be better off if we just password-blocked the "news" channels all-together
https://www.projectveritas.com/news/exposecnnpart1/
The people who work there don't think they're unbiased. Why should anyone else?
I do wear a mask when I go to the grocery store - I'm not an idiot. About 90% of people in the store also wear face coverings, even though they are not required. Our area is not in any way a hotspot, but I know I have a comorbidity (high blood pressure which I manage with ACE inhibitors), so I'm being extra cautious.
But I will take my money elsewhere if an establishment thinks it can "require" me to wear a mask, because unlike with the government, I don't have to be subject to their bullshit. So I haven't been to Costco or Home Depot in a while now, and haven't renewed my membership at Costco.
I'm very skeptical that my wearing a common mask protects me from anyone else. I do suspect that it reduces the possibility of me infecting someone else (hypothetically, assuming I'm asymptomatic).
Either a mask filters effectively, or it doesn't[1]. Intuitively I don't understand why a mask would only filter air in one direction.
[1] https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=.%2C+ACS+Nano+10.1021%2...
I think of it like a device that is acting the way your hand does when you cover your mouth when you sneeze or cough. Your hand isn't filtering in any real way, but you are keeping droplets from flying as far as they otherwise would.
I think a good filter would require something much more like a WWII gas mask or a forced air respirator in a hazmat suit, etc...
Now, I'm sure someone will throw an obnoxious "citation needed" reply...
Does this constitute a lesser reason to wear a mask?
https://www.axios.com/coronavirus-face-mask-science-e9df446b...
(BTW, why the downvotes for the original poster? He is not advocating not wearing masks, just expressing his personal unease with them, and asking for evidence. FWIW, I also don't like them, and nevertheless think one should wear them (like condoms)).
EDIT to add: Some direct links (from the article)
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...
https://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/pdf/10.1377/hlthaff.2020.0...
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/342198360_Associati...
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/peteraldhous/mario-moli...
There's plenty of videos of experiments you can conduct yourself (like the the aerosol ones or just people trying to blow out a candle) showing how masks stop spreading the virus.
Also, have a look at you own monitor screen. See all the funny, dirty dots? That's your spit. Does that compute now?
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7191274/
The research includes cloth masks, medical masks, and respirators in community and medical settings.
Conclusion:
“ The study suggests that community mask use by well people could be beneficial, particularly for COVID-19, where transmission may be pre-symptomatic. The studies of masks as source control also suggest a benefit, and may be important during the COVID-19 pandemic in universal community face mask use as well as in health care settings. Trials in healthcare workers support the use of respirators continuously during a shift. This may prevent health worker infections and deaths from COVID-19, as aerosolisation in the hospital setting has been documented.”
If all scientific explanations also came with strong and plausible proposals of causation, science-based advice would be much harder to dismiss, whether that dismissal is motivated by mechanism-free (and evidence-free) theories like tribalism or not.
Given how little is known about the production and airborne behavior of infectious respiratory droplets, it is difficult to define a safe distance for social distancing
There are plenty of scientists saying masks have no effect when worn by people who aren't actually both visibly sick and working in healthcare:
https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/04/commenta...
In fact manufacturers of ear loop/cloth masks specifically say they can't stop COVID:
https://off-guardian.org/wp-content/medialibrary/EYZu2Q2X0AA...
The WHO said:
https://www.foxnews.com/world/who-guidance-healthy-people-we...
"If you do not have any respiratory symptoms such as fever, cough or runny nose, you do not need to wear a mask," Dr. April Baller, a public health specialist for the WHO, says in a video on the world health body's website posted in March. "Masks should only be used by health care workers, caretakers or by people who are sick with symptoms of fever and cough."
There's plenty of contradictory research out there. Maybe a mask helps if you're literally coughing up phlegm all over the place, but COVID has a dry cough and obviously symptomatic people don't seem to be the only way it spreads.
Something tells me this comes from people who cannot be satisfied with rational/scientific proof anyway.
Similar is the pretense that the race protests wouldn’t explode the transmission of COVID — how could they not?
And while there is little doubt that maskless protests of any sort cause spreading, there is little evidence so far of them causing the transmision to "explode".
Well, so far its looking like they did not. There seem to be three reasons:
1. High rate of mask wearing,
2. They were outdoor events where people were moving about a great deal, and
3. Only 1-2% of the attendees were infected.
You need to get a certain amount of a given virus to actually get infected. For most respiratory viruses if you are just briefly near an infected person and they do not do something to emit a large number of viruses at one (such as cough or sneeze right near you) you won't get enough viruses from them to become infected.
Here's an article about this for the Minnesota protests [1].
[1] https://www.wired.com/story/what-minnesotas-protests-are-rev...
[1] https://www.erinbromage.com/post/the-risks-know-them-avoid-t...
(This makes sense in a simple thought model where the virus starts replicating once it "hits" you, and then your immune system needs N days to ramp up and attack it back. The bigger the initial load, the more the immune system will have to fight back once it's operational. - Not saying that's how it is, just that this is a simple model to make plausible what appears to be empirically seen.)
The rate of Covid infection in Elmhurst and Jackson Heights is ~50% higher than in Flushing.